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Traders should know
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zagzag_77 precisiontrendmastery mntusdt 30m 30.07

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TREND FOLOWING 30 minutes @zagzag
● Live

🚀 Precision Trend Mastery by @DaviddTech 🤖 [35b2ca5d]

🛡️ _77 PRECISIONTRENDMASTERY MNTUSDT 30M 30.07

Trading Pair
MNT
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - August 12, 2024
0
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +5.86% Updated 1 week ago
Total Return Primary
144.46%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
67.08%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.364
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-1.04%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
319
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 8, 2025
448
Days
319
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 22, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2025-01-08 05:30:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.57
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.44
  • Calmar: -1.51
  • Longest DD Days: 102.00
  • Volatility: 0.40
  • Skew: -0.54
  • Kurtosis: 7.01
  • Expected Daily: 0.00
  • Expected Monthly: 0.05
  • Expected Yearly: 0.63
  • Kelly Criterion: 17.28
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.04
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.05
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-22 23:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 13
  • Number Winning Trades 214
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 7
  • Number Losing Trades: 105
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.51
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.35
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.66
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.35
  • Tail Ratio: 1.26
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 4.60
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.63
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 2.90

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

☰ Note: Multiple Take Profits might enhance the appearance of results. Check the TradingView chart for clarity.

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+1.78%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.15%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.66%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+2.92%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+47.87%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+89.60%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+81.98%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+152.35%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
67.1%
Total Trades
319
Cumulative
-1.04%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
494.94%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2025
-0.24%
+59.83%
Simple P&L
+4.10%
+34.45%
Simple P&L
-2.14%
+23.05%
Simple P&L
-1.42%
+17.87%
Simple P&L
+1.41%
+22.93%
Simple P&L
+1.31%
+29.37%
Simple P&L
-0.61%
+43.75%
Simple P&L
+0.03%
+52.56%
Simple P&L
-1.25%
+60.51%
Simple P&L
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2026
••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

319

Number of Trades

-1.04%

Cumulative Returns

67.08%

Win Rate

2024-07-30

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

47.87%

30 Days

81.98%

60 Days

89.6%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital555
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit801.78144.46255.0845.96546.798.5
Gross Profit3004.75541.41463.23263.641541.53277.75
Gross Loss2202.98396.931208.15217.68994.83179.25
Expected Payoff2.511.853.02
Commission Paid254.44124.13130.31
Buy & Hold Return-251.26-45.27
Buy & Hold % Gain-45.27
Strategy Outperformance1053.04
Max Contracts Held55255525.05457.0
Annualized Return (cagr)107.8636.2875.28
Return On Initial Capital144.4645.9698.5
Account Size Required450.78
Return On Account Size Required177.8656.59121.28
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)9 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)90.1116.24
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)368.8766.46
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)914.6862.89
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)164.81
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)13 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)85.2215.35
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.780.571.21
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)446.0580.37
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)450.7831.2
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)81.22
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss478.79152.321035.46
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.845.833.81
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss7.613.865.31
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades319.0138.0181.0
Number Winning Trades214.085.0129.0
Number Losing Trades105.053.052.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable67.0861.5971.27
Avg P&l2.511.551.851.163.021.85
Avg Winning Trade14.043.5417.213.5211.953.55
Avg Losing Trade20.982.522.82.6219.132.37
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.6690.7550.625
Largest Winning Trade85.2485.2458.69
Largest Winning Trade Percent7.717.717.14
Largest Losing Trade167.46167.4652.8
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.656.655.52
Avg # Bars In Trades32.030.033.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades34.032.035.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades27.026.028.0
Sharpe Ratio0.57
Sortino Ratio1.444
Profit Factor1.3641.2111.55
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital555
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit801.78144.46255.0845.96546.798.5
Gross Profit3004.75541.41463.23263.641541.53277.75
Gross Loss2202.98396.931208.15217.68994.83179.25
Expected Payoff2.511.853.02
Commission Paid254.44124.13130.31
Buy & Hold Return-251.26-45.27
Buy & Hold % Gain-45.27
Strategy Outperformance1053.04
Max Contracts Held55255525.05457.0
Annualized Return (cagr)107.8636.2875.28
Return On Initial Capital144.4645.9698.5
Account Size Required450.78
Return On Account Size Required177.8656.59121.28
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)9 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)90.1116.24
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)368.8766.46
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)914.6862.89
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)164.81
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)13 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)85.2215.35
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.780.571.21
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)446.0580.37
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)450.7831.2
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)81.22
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss478.79152.321035.46
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.845.833.81
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss7.613.865.31
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades319.0138.0181.0
Number Winning Trades214.085.0129.0
Number Losing Trades105.053.052.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable67.0861.5971.27
Avg P&l2.511.551.851.163.021.85
Avg Winning Trade14.043.5417.213.5211.953.55
Avg Losing Trade20.982.522.82.6219.132.37
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.6690.7550.625
Largest Winning Trade85.2485.2458.69
Largest Winning Trade Percent7.717.717.14
Largest Losing Trade167.46167.4652.8
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.656.655.52
Avg # Bars In Trades32.030.033.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades34.032.035.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades27.026.028.0
Sharpe Ratio0.57
Sortino Ratio1.444
Profit Factor1.3641.2111.55
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Value
CAGR (Annualized Return) 107.86%
Sharpe Ratio 0.57
Profit Factor 1.364
Maximum Drawdown (close-to-close) 80.37%
Maximum Drawdown (intrabar) 31.2%
Volatility (Annualized) 40%
Percent Profitable 67.08%

The strategy showcases an impressive annualized return of 107.86% and maintains a positive Sharpe Ratio of 0.57, affirming acceptable risk-adjusted returns for a crypto strategy. However, the maximum drawdown close-to-close is markedly high at 80.37%, indicating potential risks during significant downturns. Profit Factor at 1.364 reflects a positive return over losses.

Strategy Viability

The strategy demonstrated promising results with strong gains and a reasonable Sharpe Ratio suitable for handling risk in the crypto market. However, the extreme close-to-close drawdown is a concern that needs addressing to enhance resilience. The current performance is superior to a 'Buy & Hold' approach, suggesting viability under volatile conditions if managed properly.

Risk Management

The high maximum drawdown points to a likely need for enhanced risk management mechanisms:

  • Consider modifying leverage usage to decrease potential drawdowns.
  • Implementing more stringent stop-loss measures could help manage downside risks.
  • Introduce periodic rebalancing based on defined risk levels to manage exposure.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy's performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize leverage parameters to reduce the magnitude of drawdown and bolster overall stability.
  • Incorporate additional technical indicators or timing signals to refine entry and exit precision.
  • Explore diversification across multiple asset pairs to spread risk.
  • Perform out-of-sample testing to confirm strategy effectiveness across different market conditions.

Final Opinion

The strategy demonstrates strong returns with acceptable risk-adjusted metrics but is hindered by significant close-to-close drawdowns. There is valuable potential in refining the risk management tactics to stabilize performance. Overall, the foundation is solid; nevertheless, further optimization and testing are necessary to ensure improved robustness in various market scenarios.

Recommendation: Proceed with refining and testing the strategy. Implement recommended improvements to decrease the drawdown size and enhance risk mitigation processes, making the strategy more adept in volatile crypto markets.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
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Edge Strength
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Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
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Stability Index
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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