SUPERFDEADV5 RUNEUSDT 2H 30.4 - @zagzag77
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-12-22 18:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.60
- Sortino Ratio: 2.27
- Calmar: -3.30
- Longest DD Days: 125.00
- Volatility: 0.10
- Skew: -0.43
- Kurtosis: -4,253,182.35
- Expected Daily: 0.00
- Expected Monthly: 0.02
- Expected Yearly: 0.23
- Kelly Criterion: 25.75
- Risk of Ruin: 32.90
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.01
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.02
- Last Trade Date: 2024-09-06 19:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 15
- Number Winning Trades 544
- Max Consecutive Losses: 5
- Number Losing Trades: 179
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -3.30
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.52
- Payoff Ratio: 0.50
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.52
- Tail Ratio: 1.12
- Outlier Win Ratio: 4.97
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.52
- Recovery Factor: 8.82
- Ulcer Index: 0.01
- Serenity Index: 21.01
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 319.36% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 24.90% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.63 |
Sortino Ratio | 2.397 |
Maximum Drawdown | -7.47% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 10.22% |
The strategy exhibits a respectable cumulative return of 319.36% with an annualized return of 24.90%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.63 and Sortino ratio of 2.397 indicate moderate risk-adjusted returns. Furthermore, the maximum drawdown of -7.47% is relatively low, which suggests effective downside protection. The 75.56% win rate is particularly impressive, showcasing the strategy's ability to consistently generate profitable trades.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy appears to be viable for real-world trading. The moderate Sharpe ratio and relatively low drawdown suggest that the strategy can achieve good returns without exposing itself to excessive risk. The high win rate (75.56%) is a positive indication of its robustness. However, the market conditions that favor such a performance need to be identified to ascertain if they can be sustained.
Risk Management
The strategy employs effective risk management techniques, as indicated by the low maximum drawdown and a Gain/Pain Ratio of 1.60. However, there are areas for improvement:
- Implement dynamic position sizing to adjust exposure based on changing market volatility.
- Consider additional stop-loss mechanisms to further limit potential losses.
- Explore diversification of the trading assets to reduce unsystematic risk.
Improvement Suggestions
To further enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize strategy parameters to improve returns while keeping drawdowns low.
- Incorporate a broader range of technical indicators to improve trade entry and exit points.
- Conduct out-of-sample testing and forward-testing to validate the strategy’s robustness across different market conditions.
- Enhance the risk management framework by integrating more sophisticated techniques such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) adjustments and stress testing.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy demonstrates strong performance with high returns and good risk-adjusted metrics. The low drawdown and high win rate are promising signs of its effectiveness. Optimizing and validating the strategy further will be essential to ensure its robustness in various market conditions.
Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and optimization of the strategy. Implement suggested improvements to increase robustness and adapt the risk management framework to handle higher market volatility more effectively.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 14.70% | 3.71% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2023 | -0.68% | -6.19% | 0.21% | 0.23% | 0.51% | 5.07% | -0.35% | 8.40% | 3.53% | 14.77% | 22.75% | -6.79% |
2022 | 12.41% | 1.02% | 17.13% | 5.93% | 2.63% | 6.94% | 9.96% | -4.06% | -0.71% | 0.22% | 8.75% | -0.26% |
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -0.95% |
Live Trades Stats
RUNE
Base Currency
85
Number of Trades
15.69%
Cumulative Returns
74.12%
Win Rate
2024-04-30
🟠 Incubation started
0%
7 Days
-0.66%
30 Days
10.99%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 545.73 USD | 245.82 | 378.66 USD | 170.57 | 167.07 USD | 75.26 |
Gross Profit | 1,541.91 | 694.56 | 1,095.30 | 493.38 | 446.61 | 201.18 |
Gross Loss | 996.19 | 448.73 | 716.64 | 322.81 | 279.55 | 125.92 |
Max Run-up | 593.52 | 73.15 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 77.66 | 17.97 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −70.14 | −31.59 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.591 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.23 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.548 | 1.528 | 1.598 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 235 | 235 | 222 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 41.69 | 30.47 | 11.23 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 639 | 363 | 276 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 481 | 281 | 200 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 158 | 82 | 76 | |||
Percent Profitable | 75.27 | 77.41 | 72.46 | |||
Avg Trade | 0.85 | 2.87 | 1.04 | 2.65 | 0.61 | 3.16 |
Avg Winning Trade | 3.21 | 5.19 | 3.90 | 4.69 | 2.23 | 5.90 |
Avg Losing Trade | 6.30 | 4.19 | 8.74 | 4.32 | 3.68 | 4.05 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.508 | 0.446 | 0.607 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 20.95 | 11.67 | 20.95 | 11.67 | 19.17 | 10.22 |
Largest Losing Trade | 27.90 | 10.33 | 27.90 | 9.54 | 14.59 | 10.33 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 11 | 9 | 15 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 11 | 8 | 15 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 13 | 12 | 14 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 669.72 USD | 301.68 | 461.20 USD | 207.75 | 208.52 USD | 93.93 |
Gross Profit | 1,941.11 | 874.37 | 1,324.46 | 596.60 | 616.65 | 277.77 |
Gross Loss | 1,271.38 | 572.69 | 863.26 | 388.85 | 408.13 | 183.84 |
Max Run-up | 728.57 | 76.98 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 77.66 | 17.97 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −104.79 | −47.20 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.596 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.273 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.527 | 1.534 | 1.511 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 235 | 235 | 222 | |||
Open PL | −6.09 | −0.68 | ||||
Commission Paid | 51.74 | 36.58 | 15.17 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 723 | 404 | 319 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 544 | 313 | 231 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 179 | 91 | 88 | |||
Percent Profitable | 75.24 | 77.48 | 72.41 | |||
Avg Trade | 0.93 | 2.90 | 1.14 | 2.65 | 0.65 | 3.20 |
Avg Winning Trade | 3.57 | 5.26 | 4.23 | 4.70 | 2.67 | 6.03 |
Avg Losing Trade | 7.10 | 4.29 | 9.49 | 4.36 | 4.64 | 4.22 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.502 | 0.446 | 0.576 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 26.41 | 11.67 | 23.68 | 11.67 | 26.41 | 10.22 |
Largest Losing Trade | 27.90 | 10.33 | 27.90 | 9.54 | 18.34 | 10.33 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 12 | 9 | 15 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 11 | 8 | 15 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 13 | 13 | 14 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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