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traderdev wolfbearV5 polyxusdt 1h 01.04.2025

  • Homepage
1 hour @traderdev
● Live

WOLFBEARV5 POLYXUSDT 1H 01.04.2025

Trading Pair
POLYX
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - July 10, 2025
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-3.41% Updated 2 weeks ago
Total Return Primary
175.52%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
46.63%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.228
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-1.23%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
371
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Oct 29, 2023
887
Days
371
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 15, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-10-29 03:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.40
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.70
  • Calmar: -2.20
  • Longest DD Days: 48.00
  • Volatility: 36.80
  • Skew: 0.13
  • Kurtosis: -0.68
  • Expected Daily: 0.29
  • Expected Monthly: 6.35
  • Expected Yearly: 109.44
  • Kelly Criterion: 8.66
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -1.73
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -2.78
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-15 20:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 6
  • Number Winning Trades 173
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 9
  • Number Losing Trades: 198
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.20
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.23
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.41
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.23
  • Tail Ratio: 1.58
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 3.59
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 4.94
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.08
  • Serenity Index: 10.76

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.01%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-0.79%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-0.01%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-6.83%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-4.54%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-4.29%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-12.96%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
46.6%
Total Trades
371
Cumulative
-1.66%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
111.40%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-1.23%
+7.61%
Simple P&L
+0.77%
+3.30%
Simple P&L
-0.37%
+0.50%
Simple P&L
2024
+1.22%
+10.40%
Simple P&L
-1.22%
-7.03%
Simple P&L
+0.98%
+13.69%
Simple P&L
+1.35%
-3.32%
Simple P&L
-1.42%
+1.72%
Simple P&L
+1.50%
-3.89%
Simple P&L
-1.50%
+8.99%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+9.28%
Simple P&L
+0.74%
+7.45%
Simple P&L
+0.25%
+14.24%
Simple P&L
-5.17%
+12.73%
Simple P&L
+1.56%
+2.52%
Simple P&L
2025
-1.78%
+15.70%
Simple P&L
+0.85%
+1.81%
Simple P&L
+0.59%
+6.39%
Simple P&L
-0.39%
+8.00%
Simple P&L
-0.83%
-23.32%
Simple P&L
+0.87%
+9.71%
Simple P&L
-1.18%
+11.40%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+11.66%
Simple P&L
-1.01%
-0.58%
Simple P&L
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2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

371

Number of Trades

-1.66%

Cumulative Returns

46.63%

Win Rate

2025-04-01

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-6.83%

30 Days

-4.29%

60 Days

-4.54%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit175515.41175.5275604.075.699911.4199.91
Gross Profit944429.61944.43471139.48471.14473290.13473.29
Gross Loss768914.2768.91395535.48395.54373378.72373.38
Expected Payoff473.09404.3543.0
Commission Paid78411.639333.7539077.85
Buy & Hold Return-83179.28-83.18
Buy & Hold % Gain-83.18
Strategy Outperformance258694.69
Max Contracts Held73574447065549.07357444.0
Annualized Return (cagr)52.2326.333.27
Return On Initial Capital175.5275.699.91
Account Size Required77834.85
Return On Account Size Required225.597.13128.36
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)13 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)17273.4517.27
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)80501.6480.5
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)257799.9872.06
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)257.8
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)13 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)15583.6815.58
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown2.250.971.28
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)74770.674.77
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)77834.8524.91
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)77.83
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss724.31312.01562.74
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.122.222.23
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.156.131.71
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades371.0187.0184.0
Number Winning Trades173.086.087.0
Number Losing Trades198.0101.097.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable46.6345.9947.28
Avg P&l473.090.3404.30.22543.00.39
Avg Winning Trade5459.132.685478.372.625440.122.73
Avg Losing Trade3883.411.783916.191.833849.271.72
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.4061.3991.413
Largest Winning Trade10573.9610457.3710573.96
Largest Winning Trade Percent9.069.064.91
Largest Losing Trade24232.2224232.226393.35
Largest Losing Trade Percent8.248.243.93
Avg # Bars In Trades9.09.08.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades10.010.010.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades7.08.06.0
Sharpe Ratio0.395
Sortino Ratio0.7
Profit Factor1.2281.1911.268
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit175515.41175.5275604.075.699911.4199.91
Gross Profit944429.61944.43471139.48471.14473290.13473.29
Gross Loss768914.2768.91395535.48395.54373378.72373.38
Expected Payoff473.09404.3543.0
Commission Paid78411.639333.7539077.85
Buy & Hold Return-83179.28-83.18
Buy & Hold % Gain-83.18
Strategy Outperformance258694.69
Max Contracts Held73574447065549.07357444.0
Annualized Return (cagr)52.2326.333.27
Return On Initial Capital175.5275.699.91
Account Size Required77834.85
Return On Account Size Required225.597.13128.36
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)13 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)17273.4517.27
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)80501.6480.5
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)257799.9872.06
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)257.8
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)13 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)15583.6815.58
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown2.250.971.28
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)74770.674.77
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)77834.8524.91
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)77.83
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss724.31312.01562.74
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.122.222.23
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.156.131.71
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades371.0187.0184.0
Number Winning Trades173.086.087.0
Number Losing Trades198.0101.097.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable46.6345.9947.28
Avg P&l473.090.3404.30.22543.00.39
Avg Winning Trade5459.132.685478.372.625440.122.73
Avg Losing Trade3883.411.783916.191.833849.271.72
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.4061.3991.413
Largest Winning Trade10573.9610457.3710573.96
Largest Winning Trade Percent9.069.064.91
Largest Losing Trade24232.2224232.226393.35
Largest Losing Trade Percent8.248.243.93
Avg # Bars In Trades9.09.08.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades10.010.010.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades7.08.06.0
Sharpe Ratio0.395
Sortino Ratio0.7
Profit Factor1.2281.1911.268
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 175.52%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 52.23%
Sharpe Ratio 0.395
Profit Factor 1.23
Maximum Drawdown -74.77%
Volatility (Annualized) 36.8%

The strategy demonstrates a strong cumulative return of 175.52% with a notable annualized return of 52.23%. However, the Sharpe ratio of 0.395 is slightly below the preferred threshold of 0.5, suggesting room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. The profit factor of 1.23 indicates more gains than losses, yet the maximum drawdown of -74.77% is concerning and should be addressed to enhance overall performance.

Strategy Viability

The strategy, while providing significant returns, faces challenges due to its high drawdown. Despite these challenges, its ability to outperform the buy & hold strategy significantly suggests potential viability, particularly in volatile crypto market conditions. To strengthen viability, it will be essential to better manage the drawdowns and enhance the Sharpe ratio to compete with industry benchmarks effectively.

Risk Management

While the strategy has a high cumulative return, the risk management approach needs fine-tuning to address the large maximum drawdown. Some areas to explore for improved risk management include:

  • Reducing leverage to minimize the impact of drawdowns.
  • Implementing tighter stop-loss mechanisms to prevent substantial losses.
  • Exploring the use of hedging strategies to cushion against market volatility.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy's performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize key parameters to improve the balance between risk and reward and increase the Sharpe ratio above 0.5.
  • Incorporate additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit decision-making processes.
  • Evaluate the strategy's performance across different market conditions through rigorous backtesting and forward testing.
  • Consider diversification by adding non-correlated crypto assets to reduce unsystematic risk.

Final Opinion

In summary, while the strategy shows robust potential with a considerable return, it is undermined by significant drawdowns and a sub-optimal Sharpe ratio. Strengthening the risk management framework and optimizing strategy parameters can improve these aspects significantly.

Recommendation: Proceed with optimization and further testing of the strategy. Implement the suggested improvements to manage drawdowns better and enhance risk-adjusted returns for a more resilient performance in diverse market scenarios.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
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1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
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Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
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Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
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Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

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