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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
  • Home
  • Free Indicators
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    • Documentation
    • Risk Calculator
    • Win Rate Calendar
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    • Bug & Feature Tracker
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traderdev ttmstrend btcusdt 1h 20.05.2025

  • Homepage
1 hour @traderdev
● Live

TTMSTREND BTCUSDT 1H 20.05.2025

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - July 10, 2025
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 4 months ago
Total Return Primary
393.81%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
42.31%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.72
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-2.57%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
52
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Feb 15, 2023
1,240
Days
52
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 6, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-02-15 20:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.30
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.07
  • Calmar: -1.13
  • Longest DD Days: 10.00
  • Volatility: 46.69
  • Skew: 0.95
  • Kurtosis: 0.59
  • Expected Daily: 0.65
  • Expected Monthly: 14.66
  • Expected Yearly: 416.34
  • Kelly Criterion: 16.25
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -2.99
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -3.52
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-06 01:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 4
  • Number Winning Trades 22
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 5
  • Number Losing Trades: 30
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.13
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.62
  • Payoff Ratio: 2.21
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.62
  • Tail Ratio: 1.87
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.45
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.03
  • Serenity Index: 0.96

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-2.50%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+1.03%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
42.3%
Total Trades
52
Cumulative
-3.90%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
68.93%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-0.19%
+5.94%
Simple P&L
-2.49%
-2.74%
Simple P&L
+2.02%
+11.66%
Simple P&L
-1.39%
-1.05%
Simple P&L
+1.68%
+5.21%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-1.33%
-1.76%
Simple P&L
+0.22%
-1.54%
Simple P&L
-0.29%
-1.82%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.95%
+6.65%
Simple P&L
2024
-2.70%
-3.57%
Simple P&L
-0.17%
+14.38%
Simple P&L
+0.67%
-6.12%
Simple P&L
+1.53%
+3.99%
Simple P&L
-1.60%
+1.63%
Simple P&L
+1.06%
-2.09%
Simple P&L
+1.19%
+7.57%
Simple P&L
-2.32%
-5.42%
Simple P&L
+2.05%
+8.54%
Simple P&L
+0.71%
+10.20%
Simple P&L
-2.85%
+10.72%
Simple P&L
-0.52%
-3.83%
Simple P&L
2025
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+2.24%
+4.54%
Simple P&L
+0.01%
+1.26%
Simple P&L
+0.19%
+6.36%
Simple P&L
-0.19%
-1.57%
Simple P&L
-0.47%
+2.30%
Simple P&L
+0.34%
-1.70%
Simple P&L
+0.26%
-1.44%
Simple P&L
+0.16%
+3.05%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-0.17%
-1.45%
Simple P&L
2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

52

Number of Trades

-3.9%

Cumulative Returns

42.31%

Win Rate

2025-05-20

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0%

30 Days

0%

60 Days

0%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit39381.45393.8141210.91412.11-1829.46-18.29
Gross Profit94090.26940.974779.27747.7919310.98193.11
Gross Loss54708.81547.0933568.36335.6821140.44211.4
Expected Payoff757.341113.81-121.96
Commission Paid5118.143630.651487.49
Buy & Hold Return20142.27201.42
Buy & Hold % Gain201.42
Strategy Outperformance19239.17
Max Contracts Held33.03.0
Annualized Return (cagr)64.1265.98-6.08
Return On Initial Capital393.81412.11-18.29
Account Size Required16646.18
Return On Account Size Required236.58247.57-10.99
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)80 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)9890.8198.91
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)14976.03149.76
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)48990.1983.08
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)489.9
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)58 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)5599.2655.99
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown2.372.48-0.11
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)14958.24149.58
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)16646.1829.42
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)166.46
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss777.76818.24-36.13
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit12.9616.332.21
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss9.2615.023.95
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades52.037.015.0
Number Winning Trades22.016.06.0
Number Losing Trades30.021.09.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable42.3143.2440.0
Avg P&l757.341.331113.811.31-121.961.36
Avg Winning Trade4276.836.484673.76.243218.57.12
Avg Losing Trade1823.632.451598.492.442348.942.49
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.3452.9241.37
Largest Winning Trade12192.512192.56219.86
Largest Winning Trade Percent10.7210.7210.04
Largest Losing Trade5063.425036.555063.42
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.953.953.52
Avg # Bars In Trades52.051.055.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades81.086.070.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades31.025.046.0
Sharpe Ratio0.302
Sortino Ratio1.072
Profit Factor1.722.2280.913
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit39381.45393.8141210.91412.11-1829.46-18.29
Gross Profit94090.26940.974779.27747.7919310.98193.11
Gross Loss54708.81547.0933568.36335.6821140.44211.4
Expected Payoff757.341113.81-121.96
Commission Paid5118.143630.651487.49
Buy & Hold Return20142.27201.42
Buy & Hold % Gain201.42
Strategy Outperformance19239.17
Max Contracts Held33.03.0
Annualized Return (cagr)64.1265.98-6.08
Return On Initial Capital393.81412.11-18.29
Account Size Required16646.18
Return On Account Size Required236.58247.57-10.99
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)80 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)9890.8198.91
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)14976.03149.76
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)48990.1983.08
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)489.9
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)58 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)5599.2655.99
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown2.372.48-0.11
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)14958.24149.58
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)16646.1829.42
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)166.46
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss777.76818.24-36.13
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit12.9616.332.21
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss9.2615.023.95
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades52.037.015.0
Number Winning Trades22.016.06.0
Number Losing Trades30.021.09.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable42.3143.2440.0
Avg P&l757.341.331113.811.31-121.961.36
Avg Winning Trade4276.836.484673.76.243218.57.12
Avg Losing Trade1823.632.451598.492.442348.942.49
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.3452.9241.37
Largest Winning Trade12192.512192.56219.86
Largest Winning Trade Percent10.7210.7210.04
Largest Losing Trade5063.425036.555063.42
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.953.953.52
Avg # Bars In Trades52.051.055.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades81.086.070.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades31.025.046.0
Sharpe Ratio0.302
Sortino Ratio1.072
Profit Factor1.722.2280.913
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics deserve close attention:

Metric Value
Cumulative Return 393.81%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 64.12%
Sharpe Ratio 0.302
Profit Factor 1.72
Maximum Drawdown 149.58%
Volatility (Annualized) 46.69%

The strategy exhibits a substantial cumulative return of 393.81% and an annualized return of 64.12%. Despite this robust performance in terms of returns, the Sharpe ratio of 0.302 signifies lower risk-adjusted returns. The profit factor of 1.72 is decent, indicating that the strategy is generating more profits than losses. However, the maximum drawdown of 149.58% is particularly concerning and indicates significant risk exposure.

Strategy Viability

This strategy, while demonstrating high returns, poses concerns given its maximum drawdown and relatively low risk-adjusted metrics. The strategy needs to be evaluated under varying market conditions to ascertain its effectiveness and sustainability. Currently, its high drawdown raises questions about its suitability for real-world trading without adjustments.

Risk Management

The strategy's risk management may need enhancement given the large drawdown observed. To mitigate risk further, the following steps could be beneficial:

  • Consider reducing leverage to manage drawdowns more effectively.
  • Implement stricter stop-loss mechanisms to cap potential losses.
  • Incorporate dynamic position sizing to reduce exposure during volatile periods.

Improvement Suggestions

To improve the strategy's performance, the following recommendations should be considered:

  • Optimize portfolio leverage to lower the max drawdown while maintaining adequate returns.
  • Incorporate additional indicators to refine entry and exit points and improve strategy responsiveness.
  • Conduct scenario analysis and Monte Carlo simulations to validate the strategy’s resilience across diverse market environments.

Final Opinion

In summary, this strategy presents strong potential with robust returns. However, the substantial drawdowns and low Sharpe ratio highlight areas needing refinement and risk management enhancements. By adjusting leverage and integrating stronger risk controls, the strategy could achieve a more balanced performance profile.

Recommendation: While the strategy shows promise, it requires further optimization and testing, especially around risk management. Considerations should be made to minimize drawdowns while preserving return potential. Proceed with modifications before employing it extensively in live trading scenarios.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

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How-to import CSV files.

After Downloading the optimiser and installing it on your chrome browser, follow the steps in this video to upload the settings.

The settings will of started to download in the background.

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