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traderdev HaCeLSMAv5.1 adausdt 2h 20.05.2025

  • Homepage
2 hours @traderdev
● Live

HACELSMAV5.1 ADAUSDT 2H 20.05.2025

Trading Pair
ADA
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - July 10, 2025
0
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 2 months ago
Total Return Primary
18.87%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
53.5%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.372
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-0.45%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
286
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Mar 31, 2021
1,872
Days
286
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 22, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-03-31 08:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.14
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.24
  • Calmar: -0.82
  • Longest DD Days: 51.00
  • Volatility: 0.09
  • Skew: 0.45
  • Kurtosis: 2.04
  • Expected Daily: 0.00
  • Expected Monthly: 0.01
  • Expected Yearly: 0.17
  • Kelly Criterion: 14.72
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.01
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.01
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-22 19:54:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 9
  • Number Winning Trades 153
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 5
  • Number Losing Trades: 133
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.82
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.38
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.19
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.38
  • Tail Ratio: 1.08
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 3.46
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.38
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 1.75

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+1.16%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-0.19%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+0.68%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+6.93%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+3.38%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+4.96%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
53.7%
Total Trades
287
Cumulative
-1.45%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
117.17%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2021
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-2.60%
-2.65%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
-2.65%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.97%
+6.02%
Simple P&L
+1.22%
+5.67%
Simple P&L
-2.09%
+3.21%
Simple P&L
+1.62%
+0.36%
Simple P&L
-1.55%
-2.62%
Simple P&L
+1.21%
+13.17%
Simple P&L
+1.17%
+3.06%
Simple P&L
2022
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-1.05%
+6.43%
Simple P&L
-1.50%
+1.08%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+2.08%
+3.03%
Simple P&L
-2.09%
+1.12%
Simple P&L
+0.38%
-0.64%
Simple P&L
+0.65%
+8.88%
Simple P&L
-0.24%
+3.39%
Simple P&L
-0.79%
+4.70%
Simple P&L
2023
+1.14%
+9.45%
Simple P&L
+0.63%
-4.47%
Simple P&L
+2.40%
+9.64%
Simple P&L
-2.39%
+1.57%
Simple P&L
+1.60%
-8.74%
Simple P&L
+2.28%
+12.93%
Simple P&L
-2.42%
-0.39%
Simple P&L
+0.60%
-3.57%
Simple P&L
+1.35%
-6.20%
Simple P&L
+0.55%
+12.36%
Simple P&L
-1.91%
-5.33%
Simple P&L
-0.30%
+1.48%
Simple P&L
2024
-1.15%
+6.99%
Simple P&L
+1.78%
+7.93%
Simple P&L
-2.03%
+4.14%
Simple P&L
-0.02%
+7.01%
Simple P&L
+0.06%
-5.61%
Simple P&L
-0.68%
+4.51%
Simple P&L
-0.29%
-7.41%
Simple P&L
+1.58%
+7.92%
Simple P&L
+0.52%
+22.37%
Simple P&L
-1.97%
+2.35%
Simple P&L
-0.02%
-5.34%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
2025
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+1.02%
+9.45%
Simple P&L
+0.88%
+1.13%
Simple P&L
+2.28%
-1.93%
Simple P&L
-2.27%
-12.90%
Simple P&L
+1.77%
+0.56%
Simple P&L
-1.77%
-2.65%
Simple P&L
-0.01%
+1.62%
Simple P&L
+0.01%
-1.24%
Simple P&L
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2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

287

Number of Trades

-1.45%

Cumulative Returns

53.66%

Win Rate

2025-05-20

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0%

30 Days

3.38%

60 Days

6.93%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l0.950.08
Net Profit188.6818.8757.615.76131.0713.11
Gross Profit695.469.54269.326.93426.1142.61
Gross Loss506.7350.67211.6921.17295.0329.5
Expected Payoff0.660.460.81
Commission Paid46.0617.7828.28
Buy & Hold Return-792.18-79.22
Buy & Hold % Gain-79.27
Strategy Outperformance980.86
Max Contracts Held43402251.04340.0
Annualized Return (cagr)3.511.122.49
Return On Initial Capital18.875.7613.11
Account Size Required57.47
Return On Account Size Required328.28100.23228.06
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)34 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)17.11.71
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)58.295.83
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)198.3616.6
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)19.84
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)51 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)13.751.37
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown3.31.022.3
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)46.684.67
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)57.475.2
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)5.75
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1304.28531.42906.07
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.885.556.33
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.855.124.9
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades286.0125.0161.0
Number Winning Trades153.058.095.0
Number Losing Trades133.067.066.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable53.546.459.01
Avg P&l0.660.410.460.050.810.69
Avg Winning Trade4.552.984.643.074.492.93
Avg Losing Trade3.812.553.162.574.472.54
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.1931.471.003
Largest Winning Trade26.9814.9626.98
Largest Winning Trade Percent6.283.246.28
Largest Losing Trade14.4710.8414.47
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.212.674.21
Avg # Bars In Trades11.012.011.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades11.013.010.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades12.012.011.0
Sharpe Ratio0.136
Sortino Ratio0.243
Profit Factor1.3721.2721.444
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l1.040.09
Net Profit188.6818.8757.615.76131.0713.11
Gross Profit695.469.54269.326.93426.1142.61
Gross Loss506.7350.67211.6921.17295.0329.5
Expected Payoff0.660.460.81
Commission Paid46.0617.7828.28
Buy & Hold Return-792.27-79.23
Buy & Hold % Gain-79.28
Strategy Outperformance980.95
Max Contracts Held43402251.04340.0
Annualized Return (cagr)3.511.122.49
Return On Initial Capital18.875.7613.11
Account Size Required57.47
Return On Account Size Required328.28100.23228.06
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)34 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)17.11.71
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)58.295.83
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)198.3616.6
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)19.84
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)51 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)13.751.37
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown3.31.022.3
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)46.684.67
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)57.475.2
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)5.75
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1304.28531.42906.07
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.885.556.33
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.855.124.9
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades286.0125.0161.0
Number Winning Trades153.058.095.0
Number Losing Trades133.067.066.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable53.546.459.01
Avg P&l0.660.410.460.050.810.69
Avg Winning Trade4.552.984.643.074.492.93
Avg Losing Trade3.812.553.162.574.472.54
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.1931.471.003
Largest Winning Trade26.9814.9626.98
Largest Winning Trade Percent6.283.246.28
Largest Losing Trade14.4710.8414.47
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.212.674.21
Avg # Bars In Trades11.012.011.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades11.013.010.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades12.012.011.0
Sharpe Ratio0.136
Sortino Ratio0.243
Profit Factor1.3721.2721.444
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 18.87%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 3.51%
Sharpe Ratio 0.136
Profit Factor 1.372
Maximum Drawdown 5.75%
Volatility (Annualized) 9%
Win Rate 53.5%

The strategy shows a steady cumulative return of 18.87% with an annualized return of 3.51%. Although the Sharpe Ratio of 0.136 is below the desired threshold, the maximum drawdown of 5.75% is well within acceptable limits suggesting good capital preservation. The Profit Factor of 1.372 is a positive indicator, demonstrating profitable trades overall.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy has the potential to be viable for real-world trading, particularly under stable market conditions with low volatility. While the Sharpe Ratio suggests there is room for improving risk-adjusted returns, the strategy's low drawdown and reasonable profit factor indicate a solid foundation. Continuous adjustments could make it better suited to cope with a wider range of market environments.

Risk Management

The strategy effectively manages risk, as evidenced by its low maximum drawdown and zero margin calls. However, improvements could be considered to increase the risk-adjusted performance:

  • Employing a dynamic leverage adjustment approach to enhance returns without proportionally increasing risk.
  • Incorporating stringent stop-loss protocols to protect against adverse market moves.
  • Broadening asset diversification to reduce concentration risk.

Improvement Suggestions

To further enhance the strategy’s efficacy and robustness, consider implementing the following:

  • Refining strategy parameters to enhance the Sharpe Ratio while maintaining drawdown levels.
  • Incorporating additional indicators that could better capture changing market trends or volatility dynamics.
  • Conducting comprehensive out-of-sample and forward testing to ensure robustness across various market conditions.
  • Exploring advanced risk management techniques like position sizing algorithms or volatility targeting.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy demonstrates solid fundamentals with satisfactory profitability and risk control. Despite a low Sharpe Ratio, the robust risk management framework keeps drawdowns minimal. To tap into its full potential, enhancements in risk-adjusted return metrics and adaptations for varied market conditions are encouraged.

Recommendation: Proceed with further refinements and testing aimed at improving risk-adjusted performance and ensuring strategy robustness across different market scenarios.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
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Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

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