Stiff Zone by @DaviddTech 🤖 [532a5211]
🛡️ STIFF ZONE BTC 15MIN
@henrik2685
⌛15 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 48 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2019-02-25 19:30:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.45
- Sortino Ratio: 1.10
- Calmar: -0.45
- Longest DD Days: 83.00
- Volatility: 19.78
- Skew: -0.31
- Kurtosis: 7.19
- Expected Daily: 0.12
- Expected Monthly: 2.52
- Expected Yearly: 34.79
- Kelly Criterion: 12.37
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -1.82
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -3.12
- Last Trade Date: 2025-01-13 13:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 10
- Number Winning Trades 378
- Max Consecutive Losses: 6
- Number Losing Trades: 267
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.45
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.27
- Payoff Ratio: 0.90
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.27
- Tail Ratio: 1.13
- Outlier Win Ratio: 5.67
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 6.71
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.05
- Serenity Index: 2.31
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 12.87% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.446 |
Profit Factor | 1.292 |
Maximum Drawdown | -44.84% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 19.78% |
Win Rate | 58.6% |
The strategy has an annualized return of 12.87%, with a Sharpe Ratio slightly below the generally acceptable threshold for robust performance in crypto markets. The Profit Factor of 1.292 indicates a modest level of earning per unit of risk taken. However, the maximum drawdown of -44.84% highlights a significant risk exposure that might be concerning without proper risk mitigation strategies.
Strategy Viability
The strategy demonstrates potential viability but presents areas that need improvement for real-world trading application. The Sharpe Ratio indicates the need for enhanced risk-adjusted performance, and the high drawdown suggests potentially risky periods. The relatively high win rate is a positive aspect, but it's essential to improve on the risk management side to assure longer-term profitability.
Risk Management
The current risk management approach can be improved to ensure sustainable returns:
- Reducing leverage could help lower the maximum drawdown and align risk levels with strategic goals.
- Integrating more dynamic stop-loss mechanisms might minimize significant losses during volatile periods.
- Implement diversification to spread risk across different asset classes could also reduce drawdowns.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy's performance and risk posture, consider the following actions:
- Optimize trading parameters to achieve a better balance between profitability and risk exposure.
- Experiment with additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit strategy.
- Conduct further out-of-sample testing to assess performance under varied market conditions.
- Explore advanced risk management frameworks, including stress testing and implementing Value-at-Risk (VaR) models.
Final Opinion
In summary, while the strategy exhibits some promising elements such as a good win rate and moderate return, there are crucial areas in risk management and parameter optimization that need attention. The significant drawdown and Sharpe Ratio need to be addressed to elevate the strategy to a more viable option for real-world trading.
Recommendation: Proceed with selective adjustments, focusing on enhancing the risk management aspects and improving robustness through further testing and optimization. Attention to these areas could potentially transform the strategy into a reliable and sustainable trading approach.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2024 | 56.32% | 52.29% | 22.56% | 14.62% | 2.50% | 1.48% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 23.41% | 8.94% | 0.31% | -41.71% | 11.10% | 32.59% | -7.01% | 21.35% | 3.42% | 30.82% | 7.34% | 41.54% |
2022 | 6.22% | -0.42% | 11.60% | 17.89% | 31.39% | 7.43% | 0.89% | 10.61% | -13.59% | 8.84% | -7.23% | 5.63% |
2021 | 2.81% | -1.78% | 7.40% | 2.00% | -2.60% | 10.39% | 4.13% | 7.89% | 7.50% | 12.01% | 14.66% | -2.33% |
2020 | 4.61% | -3.84% | 28.65% | 6.14% | 11.69% | 18.39% | 5.37% | -33.75% | 13.28% | -4.44% | -4.71% | 14.37% |
2019 | 0.00% | -1.81% | 7.34% | 11.63% | -6.42% | 14.36% | 18.83% | 29.57% | 10.52% | 0.77% | -4.94% | -2.69% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
95
Number of Trades
0.93000000000001%
Cumulative Returns
52.63%
Win Rate
2024-03-29
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
1.14%
30 Days
-40.22%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 115,412.03 USD | 11,541.20 | 92,846.62 USD | 9,284.66 | 22,565.41 USD | 2,256.54 |
Gross Profit | 200,089.99 | 20,009.00 | 146,200.36 | 14,620.04 | 53,889.63 | 5,388.96 |
Gross Loss | 84,677.97 | 8,467.80 | 53,353.74 | 5,335.37 | 31,324.22 | 3,132.42 |
Max Run-up | 115,447.91 | 99.17 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 11,290.33 | 44.31 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 17,831.25 | 1,783.12 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.517 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.373 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.363 | 2.74 | 1.72 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 13 | 13 | 12 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 21,814.20 | 15,737.00 | 6,077.19 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 550 | 353 | 197 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 328 | 214 | 114 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 222 | 139 | 83 | |||
Percent Profitable | 59.64 | 60.62 | 57.87 | |||
Avg Trade | 209.84 | 0.24 | 263.02 | 0.26 | 114.55 | 0.20 |
Avg Winning Trade | 610.03 | 1.25 | 683.18 | 1.23 | 472.72 | 1.29 |
Avg Losing Trade | 381.43 | 1.25 | 383.84 | 1.22 | 377.40 | 1.30 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.599 | 1.78 | 1.253 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 10,430.41 | 3.26 | 10,430.41 | 3.26 | 7,072.28 | 2.75 |
Largest Losing Trade | 5,245.95 | 2.57 | 5,245.95 | 2.57 | 3,242.96 | 2.45 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 23 | 19 | 30 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 18 | 17 | 22 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 30 | 23 | 41 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 103,957.71 USD | 10,395.77 | 72,907.53 USD | 7,290.75 | 31,050.18 USD | 3,105.02 |
Gross Profit | 460,127.06 | 46,012.71 | 280,913.60 | 28,091.36 | 179,213.46 | 17,921.35 |
Gross Loss | 356,169.35 | 35,616.93 | 208,006.07 | 20,800.61 | 148,163.28 | 14,816.33 |
Max Run-up | 182,953.81 | 99.48 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 80,906.39 | 44.84 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 25,663.98 | 2,566.40 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.446 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.098 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.292 | 1.351 | 1.21 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 28 | 28 | 22 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 64,117.63 | 38,618.89 | 25,498.74 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 645 | 411 | 234 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 378 | 240 | 138 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 267 | 171 | 96 | |||
Percent Profitable | 58.60 | 58.39 | 58.97 | |||
Avg Trade | 161.17 | 0.21 | 177.39 | 0.21 | 132.69 | 0.21 |
Avg Winning Trade | 1,217.27 | 1.22 | 1,170.47 | 1.21 | 1,298.65 | 1.24 |
Avg Losing Trade | 1,333.97 | 1.22 | 1,216.41 | 1.19 | 1,543.37 | 1.28 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.913 | 0.962 | 0.841 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 12,491.74 | 3.26 | 12,491.74 | 3.26 | 10,211.63 | 2.75 |
Largest Losing Trade | 15,708.40 | 2.57 | 13,946.17 | 2.57 | 15,708.40 | 2.45 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 22 | 18 | 28 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 18 | 16 | 21 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 28 | 21 | 39 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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