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Stiff Zone BTC 15MIN

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 15 minutes @henrik2685
● Live

Stiff Zone by @DaviddTech 🤖 [532a5211]

🛡️ STIFF ZONE BTC 15MIN

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - April 1, 2024
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 1
  • icon 1
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +122.87% Updated 3 hours ago
Total Return Primary
682.39%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
56.06%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.045
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
17951.5%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
742
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Feb 25, 2019
2,497
Days
742
Trades
Last Trade
Dec 27, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2019-02-25 19:30:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.22
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.41
  • Calmar: -0.04
  • Longest DD Days: 126.00
  • Volatility: 9.00
  • Skew: -0.58
  • Kurtosis: 5.56
  • Expected Daily: 0.01
  • Expected Monthly: 0.22
  • Expected Yearly: 2.68
  • Kelly Criterion: 2.31
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.92
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -1.45
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-12-27 01:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 10
  • Number Winning Trades 416
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 7
  • Number Losing Trades: 326
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.04
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.04
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.82
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.04
  • Tail Ratio: 0.90
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 5.21
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 4.94
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.07
  • Serenity Index: 0.03

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
-4,665.80%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-3,459.10%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-27,452.10%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-27,382.10%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-21,167.80%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+122.87%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+2,588.94%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+6,804.78%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+4,672.66%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+14,115.74%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
92.5%
Total Trades
743
Cumulative
87,289.00%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
224,286.55%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2019
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+3,849.20%
+6.60%
Simple P&L
+256.90%
+344.90%
Simple P&L
+1,123.60%
+608.79%
Simple P&L
+3,270.70%
+261.63%
Simple P&L
+3,944.60%
+269.53%
Simple P&L
-2,355.70%
+275.09%
Simple P&L
-186.80%
+960.13%
Simple P&L
+463.50%
+754.05%
Simple P&L
-2,457.00%
+461.20%
Simple P&L
-236.10%
+248.44%
Simple P&L
+73.30%
+315.93%
Simple P&L
2020
+1,784.70%
+606.68%
Simple P&L
+741.00%
+234.00%
Simple P&L
-2,776.10%
+461.99%
Simple P&L
+1,731.70%
+560.80%
Simple P&L
+666.90%
+440.45%
Simple P&L
-379.10%
+637.42%
Simple P&L
+2,208.70%
+1,740.14%
Simple P&L
+117.80%
+454.15%
Simple P&L
-784.70%
+939.77%
Simple P&L
+2,825.60%
+843.40%
Simple P&L
+6,113.80%
+102.12%
Simple P&L
+3,171.70%
+280.99%
Simple P&L
2021
+8,966.00%
+106.59%
Simple P&L
+23,872.60%
+71.15%
Simple P&L
+2,899.50%
+135.73%
Simple P&L
-1,734.80%
+190.47%
Simple P&L
-306.20%
+5.99%
Simple P&L
-21,514.10%
+201.67%
Simple P&L
+6,932.60%
+535.75%
Simple P&L
+1,491.00%
+169.54%
Simple P&L
+1,250.60%
+174.45%
Simple P&L
+16,587.80%
+581.26%
Simple P&L
-7,556.30%
+819.26%
Simple P&L
-2,752.80%
+275.26%
Simple P&L
2022
-13,709.70%
+429.42%
Simple P&L
+4,327.40%
+471.04%
Simple P&L
+5,080.10%
+566.17%
Simple P&L
-7,469.40%
+834.06%
Simple P&L
-8,733.80%
+1,875.74%
Simple P&L
-9,564.60%
+1,363.76%
Simple P&L
+2,330.90%
+1,184.38%
Simple P&L
-2,948.50%
+1,549.87%
Simple P&L
-645.70%
+2,078.73%
Simple P&L
+661.20%
+891.86%
Simple P&L
-3,378.50%
+1,124.99%
Simple P&L
-258.10%
+1,097.16%
Simple P&L
2023
+6,269.30%
+2,518.65%
Simple P&L
+677.20%
+2,930.51%
Simple P&L
+4,667.50%
+1,542.49%
Simple P&L
+1,152.70%
+2,484.32%
Simple P&L
-2,572.90%
+1,506.02%
Simple P&L
+3,381.30%
+2,639.22%
Simple P&L
-929.50%
+1,388.55%
Simple P&L
-3,318.60%
+2,392.17%
Simple P&L
+940.40%
+1,308.19%
Simple P&L
+3,640.90%
+2,072.18%
Simple P&L
+7,035.80%
+1,645.53%
Simple P&L
+3,722.00%
+4,829.91%
Simple P&L
2024
+2,372.20%
+10,420.11%
Simple P&L
+17,799.60%
+18,700.55%
Simple P&L
+8,763.70%
+7,842.97%
Simple P&L
-9,040.70%
+14,531.69%
Simple P&L
+7,580.90%
+14,071.19%
Simple P&L
-8,221.30%
+12,171.35%
Simple P&L
+8,209.50%
+8,716.47%
Simple P&L
-4,319.00%
+12,516.07%
Simple P&L
-543.30%
+9,178.12%
Simple P&L
+6,494.40%
+6,480.40%
Simple P&L
+28,054.50%
+3,962.96%
Simple P&L
-2,419.20%
+2,540.12%
Simple P&L
2025
+6,409.20%
+4,918.54%
Simple P&L
-6,161.80%
+1,830.61%
Simple P&L
-9,811.60%
+1,948.66%
Simple P&L
+7,389.90%
+11,851.26%
Simple P&L
+14,219.50%
+6,862.52%
Simple P&L
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Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

743

Number of Trades

87289%

Cumulative Returns

92.46%

Win Rate

2024-03-29

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

2588.94%

30 Days

4672.66%

60 Days

6804.78%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit31195.873119.5924533.92453.396661.97666.2
Gross Profit68915.26891.5248106.384810.6420808.822080.88
Gross Loss37719.333771.9323572.482357.2514146.851414.69
Expected Payoff56.7269.533.82
Commission Paid14471.4210063.394408.03
Buy & Hold Return17831.251783.12
Buy & Hold % Gain1783.13
Strategy Outperformance13364.62
Max Contracts Held44.04.0
Annualized Return (cagr)95.3886.8348.12
Return On Initial Capital3119.592453.39666.2
Account Size Required3287.75
Return On Account Size Required948.85746.22202.63
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)32 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)1531.81153.18
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)6580.81658.08
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)31299.4597.22
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)3129.95
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)39 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)734.5573.45
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown9.497.462.03
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)3134.73313.47
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)3287.7550.89
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)328.78
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1892.491488.34720.16
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.995.7210.17
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss4.376.996.54
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades550.0353.0197.0
Number Winning Trades328.0214.0114.0
Number Losing Trades222.0139.083.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable59.6460.6257.87
Avg P&l56.720.1869.50.233.820.14
Avg Winning Trade210.111.19224.81.16182.531.23
Avg Losing Trade169.911.31169.591.28170.441.36
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.2371.3261.071
Largest Winning Trade2749.422749.422115.68
Largest Winning Trade Percent3.23.22.69
Largest Losing Trade1648.41648.4925.07
Largest Losing Trade Percent2.632.632.51
Avg # Bars In Trades23.019.030.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades18.017.022.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades30.023.041.0
Sharpe Ratio0.409
Sortino Ratio0.915
Profit Factor1.8272.0411.471
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l-15.01-0.19
Net Profit6823.91682.3913878.241387.82-7054.34-705.43
Gross Profit158147.9315814.7994545.779454.5863602.166360.22
Gross Loss151324.0315132.480667.538066.7570656.57065.65
Expected Payoff9.230.17-25.02
Commission Paid44319.5725509.2718810.3
Buy & Hold Return22208.932220.89
Buy & Hold % Gain2220.9
Strategy Outperformance-15385.02
Max Contracts Held66.05.0
Annualized Return (cagr)34.5547.630.0
Return On Initial Capital682.391387.82-705.43
Account Size Required34461.79
Return On Account Size Required19.840.27-20.47
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)32 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)2228.32222.83
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)14692.651469.27
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)41724.0397.9
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)4172.4
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)56 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)3056.32305.63
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.20.4-0.21
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)34224.083422.41
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)34461.7981.91
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)3446.18
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss180.62399.69-186.72
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.843.073.99
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.54.35.35
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades742.0460.0282.0
Number Winning Trades416.0261.0155.0
Number Losing Trades326.0199.0127.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable56.0656.7454.96
Avg P&l9.20.130.170.12-25.020.06
Avg Winning Trade380.161.13362.241.13410.341.15
Avg Losing Trade464.181.23405.361.21556.351.26
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.8190.8940.738
Largest Winning Trade2902.352902.352538.89
Largest Winning Trade Percent3.23.22.69
Largest Losing Trade3777.973472.223777.97
Largest Losing Trade Percent2.632.632.51
Avg # Bars In Trades21.018.026.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades18.017.020.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades26.021.035.0
Sharpe Ratio0.216
Sortino Ratio0.409
Profit Factor1.0451.1720.9
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Value
Cumulative Return 684.87%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 0.98%
Sharpe Ratio 0.216
Profit Factor 1.045
Maximum Drawdown 81.44%
Volatility (Annualized) 9%

The strategy yields a cumulative return of 684.87% over the observed period. While this suggests substantial growth, the annualized return of 0.98% indicates relatively modest yearly performance. Notably, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.216 is below the desirable threshold of 0.5 for crypto assets, suggesting room for improvement in risk-adjusted performance. The maximum drawdown of 81.44% is quite substantial, indicating high exposure to downside risk.

Strategy Viability

Based on the current data, the strategy appears to face challenges that impact its viability for real-world trading. The significant drawdown and suboptimal Sharpe Ratio denote areas of concern, particularly in terms of risk management and achieving consistent returns. However, there may be untapped potential if certain risk dimensions can be better managed, and performance consistency enhanced.

Risk Management

The report points to opportunities for strengthening the strategy's risk management framework:

  • Consider using less leverage to reduce the maximum drawdown, thus improving the strategy's resilience to market downturns.
  • Incorporate tighter stop-loss limits to protect against significant losses.
  • Enhance position sizing techniques to align risk exposure with market conditions efficiently.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy's performance and its appeal for implementation, consider these actions:

  • Perform parameter optimization to identify settings that maximize returns while minimizing risk.
  • Explore additional technical indicators or machine learning-based models for better entry and exit signals.
  • Conduct extensive backtesting and out-of-sample testing across varied market conditions to ensure robustness and adaptability.
  • Reassess the risk-reward framework to incorporate more sophisticated risk measures like Value-at-Risk (VaR) and stress testing for better risk containment.

Final Opinion

In its current form, the strategy shows both potential and significant areas for improvement. The substantial cumulative return is promising, but high volatility and drawdown raise concerns about sustainability and risk management.

Recommendation: Engage in further testing and optimization, focusing on reducing leverage and enhancing risk management. Continued development and validation can lead to a more robust strategy capable of delivering better risk-adjusted returns.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
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Win
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Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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