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Stiff Zone BTC 15MIN

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 15 minutes @henrik2685
● Live

Stiff Zone by @DaviddTech 🤖 [532a5211]

🛡️ STIFF ZONE BTC 15MIN

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - April 1, 2024
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 1
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +9213.91% Updated 4 hours ago
Total Return Primary
446.47%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
55.47%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.029
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-2.05%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
759
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Feb 25, 2019
2,538
Days
759
Trades
Last Trade
Feb 3, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2019-02-25 19:30:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.19
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.34
  • Calmar: -0.02
  • Longest DD Days: 142.00
  • Volatility: 8.92
  • Skew: -0.56
  • Kurtosis: 5.64
  • Expected Daily: 0.01
  • Expected Monthly: 0.15
  • Expected Yearly: 1.87
  • Kelly Criterion: 1.73
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.92
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -1.45
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-02-03 20:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 10
  • Number Winning Trades 421
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 7
  • Number Losing Trades: 338
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.02
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.03
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.82
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.03
  • Tail Ratio: 0.91
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 5.23
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 4.98
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.08
  • Serenity Index: 0.01

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
-0.83%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-1.72%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-1.18%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-1.15%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-1.78%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+9,213.91%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+51,033.73%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+192,412.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+119,445.45%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+429,135.50%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
98.4%
Total Trades
759
Cumulative
-2.31%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
6,469,619.66%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2019
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-2.41%
-18.51%
Simple P&L
+1.99%
+57.25%
Simple P&L
-0.39%
+1,481.65%
Simple P&L
+0.74%
+304.70%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+114.05%
Simple P&L
-0.50%
+1,391.63%
Simple P&L
-0.48%
+7,842.80%
Simple P&L
+0.87%
+7,035.51%
Simple P&L
-2.23%
+5,691.86%
Simple P&L
+0.15%
+3,443.28%
Simple P&L
+0.87%
+4,076.36%
Simple P&L
2020
-0.26%
+9,090.44%
Simple P&L
+0.91%
+2,659.24%
Simple P&L
-0.42%
+4,216.09%
Simple P&L
+0.72%
+13,337.19%
Simple P&L
-0.79%
+9,010.93%
Simple P&L
+0.26%
+11,836.90%
Simple P&L
-1.02%
+24,608.24%
Simple P&L
+1.37%
+11,196.70%
Simple P&L
-0.18%
+11,868.37%
Simple P&L
-0.36%
+10,656.87%
Simple P&L
-1.88%
+2,260.71%
Simple P&L
+0.58%
+3,508.27%
Simple P&L
2021
-0.13%
+2,462.09%
Simple P&L
+1.06%
+1,507.52%
Simple P&L
+0.13%
+2,583.12%
Simple P&L
+0.95%
+4,398.35%
Simple P&L
-1.80%
+881.99%
Simple P&L
+2.02%
+3,119.36%
Simple P&L
-0.46%
+5,946.89%
Simple P&L
+0.21%
+2,422.45%
Simple P&L
-0.33%
+2,798.07%
Simple P&L
-1.13%
+10,013.40%
Simple P&L
+1.46%
+16,170.87%
Simple P&L
+0.23%
+7,631.55%
Simple P&L
2022
-1.29%
+12,652.29%
Simple P&L
+0.94%
+15,164.18%
Simple P&L
-0.14%
+11,326.38%
Simple P&L
-0.60%
+14,367.95%
Simple P&L
+0.97%
+26,505.18%
Simple P&L
-1.01%
+38,103.59%
Simple P&L
+0.47%
+31,927.46%
Simple P&L
+0.30%
+38,476.33%
Simple P&L
-1.04%
+62,826.82%
Simple P&L
+0.46%
+31,941.73%
Simple P&L
+0.54%
+34,750.92%
Simple P&L
+0.07%
+27,497.26%
Simple P&L
2023
-0.10%
+61,867.43%
Simple P&L
+0.43%
+57,423.09%
Simple P&L
-0.14%
+50,905.04%
Simple P&L
-0.75%
+55,046.05%
Simple P&L
+0.62%
+34,082.57%
Simple P&L
-1.38%
+55,214.94%
Simple P&L
+1.27%
+49,087.32%
Simple P&L
+0.36%
+48,392.68%
Simple P&L
-0.80%
+43,424.48%
Simple P&L
+0.40%
+49,827.28%
Simple P&L
+0.37%
+48,013.97%
Simple P&L
-0.86%
+108,499.27%
Simple P&L
2024
+0.94%
+185,845.00%
Simple P&L
-1.23%
+335,292.93%
Simple P&L
+1.09%
+205,017.03%
Simple P&L
+0.08%
+375,673.83%
Simple P&L
-0.61%
+492,785.37%
Simple P&L
+0.31%
+405,350.32%
Simple P&L
-0.15%
+328,662.31%
Simple P&L
+0.33%
+311,355.05%
Simple P&L
-0.42%
+312,412.23%
Simple P&L
+0.48%
+209,596.26%
Simple P&L
-0.51%
+246,291.98%
Simple P&L
-0.39%
+112,837.05%
Simple P&L
2025
+0.90%
+216,966.61%
Simple P&L
-0.97%
+101,281.50%
Simple P&L
+0.40%
+107,926.64%
Simple P&L
+0.74%
+286,191.93%
Simple P&L
-0.56%
+244,546.54%
Simple P&L
+0.36%
+169,747.22%
Simple P&L
-0.56%
+139,284.34%
Simple P&L
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2026
••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

759

Number of Trades

-2.31%

Cumulative Returns

98.42%

Win Rate

2024-03-29

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

51033.73%

30 Days

119445.45%

60 Days

192412%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit31195.873119.5924533.92453.396661.97666.2
Gross Profit68915.26891.5248106.384810.6420808.822080.88
Gross Loss37719.333771.9323572.482357.2514146.851414.69
Expected Payoff56.7269.533.82
Commission Paid14471.4210063.394408.03
Buy & Hold Return17831.251783.12
Buy & Hold % Gain1783.13
Strategy Outperformance13364.62
Max Contracts Held44.04.0
Annualized Return (cagr)95.3886.8348.12
Return On Initial Capital3119.592453.39666.2
Account Size Required3287.75
Return On Account Size Required948.85746.22202.63
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)32 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)1531.81153.18
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)6580.81658.08
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)31299.4597.22
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)3129.95
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)39 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)734.5573.45
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown9.497.462.03
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)3134.73313.47
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)3287.7550.89
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)328.78
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1892.491488.34720.16
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.995.7210.17
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss4.376.996.54
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades550.0353.0197.0
Number Winning Trades328.0214.0114.0
Number Losing Trades222.0139.083.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable59.6460.6257.87
Avg P&l56.720.1869.50.233.820.14
Avg Winning Trade210.111.19224.81.16182.531.23
Avg Losing Trade169.911.31169.591.28170.441.36
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.2371.3261.071
Largest Winning Trade2749.422749.422115.68
Largest Winning Trade Percent3.23.22.69
Largest Losing Trade1648.41648.4925.07
Largest Losing Trade Percent2.632.632.51
Avg # Bars In Trades23.019.030.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades18.017.022.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades30.023.041.0
Sharpe Ratio0.409
Sortino Ratio0.915
Profit Factor1.8272.0411.471
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit4464.66446.4712753.41275.34-8288.74-828.87
Gross Profit159206.0415920.695030.379503.0464175.676417.57
Gross Loss154741.3915474.1482276.978227.772464.427246.44
Expected Payoff5.8827.31-28.39
Commission Paid45004.5225879.4719125.05
Buy & Hold Return15014.851501.48
Buy & Hold % Gain1501.49
Strategy Outperformance-10550.19
Max Contracts Held66.05.0
Annualized Return (cagr)27.2745.080.0
Return On Initial Capital446.471275.34-828.87
Account Size Required36608.1
Return On Account Size Required12.234.84-22.64
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)32 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)2228.32222.83
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)14692.651469.27
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)41724.0397.9
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)4172.4
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)58 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)3164.68316.47
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.120.35-0.23
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)36608.13660.81
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)36608.187.01
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)3660.81
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss118.18367.3-219.4
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.823.053.96
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.444.225.21
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades759.0467.0292.0
Number Winning Trades421.0263.0158.0
Number Losing Trades338.0204.0134.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable55.4756.3254.11
Avg P&l5.880.0827.310.11-28.390.04
Avg Winning Trade378.161.13361.331.12406.181.14
Avg Losing Trade457.811.22403.321.2540.781.26
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.8260.8960.751
Largest Winning Trade2902.352902.352538.89
Largest Winning Trade Percent3.23.22.69
Largest Losing Trade3777.973472.223777.97
Largest Losing Trade Percent2.632.632.51
Avg # Bars In Trades21.018.026.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades18.017.019.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades26.021.033.0
Sharpe Ratio0.188
Sortino Ratio0.344
Profit Factor1.0291.1550.886
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Net Profit 548.8%
Annualized Return (CAGR) 30.55%
Sharpe Ratio 0.199
Profit Factor 1.036
Maximum Drawdown 3581.61%
Volatility (Annualized) 8.95%

The strategy achieves a notable net profit of 548.8% with an annualized return of 30.55%. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.199 indicates room for improvement in the strategy's risk-adjusted performance. The maximum drawdown is a significant weakness, indicating potential issues with risk management.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, the strategy shows potential but raises concerns due to its high drawdown. It is important to recognize the strategy’s strengths, such as consistent profitability with a win rate of 55.78%. Nevertheless, considering the substantial drawdown, the strategy might struggle in turbulent market conditions unless adjusted for improved risk management.

Risk Management

The strategy's current risk management approach exhibits inadequacies, as evidenced by the substantial maximum drawdown. Potential improvements include:

  • Reducing leverage to minimize the magnitude of drawdowns.
  • Implementing stricter stop-loss parameters to limit losses per trade.
  • Enhancing position sizing to adapt to varying volatility conditions.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy's robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize the parameters to improve the Sharpe Ratio and reduce drawdown.
  • Incorporate additional technical indicators to fine-tune entry and exit points.
  • Conduct more comprehensive scenario analysis and stress testing to fortify the strategy against extreme market conditions.
  • Explore dynamic risk adjustment methods, such as volatility-based position sizing, to manage exposure more effectively.

Final Opinion

In summary, while the strategy offers notable returns, its risk management strategies require significant improvement due to the large drawdown. The moderate Sharpe Ratio suggests that the strategy's risk-adjusted returns could be better.

Recommendation: Consider further optimization and rigorous testing of the strategy. Focus on enhancing risk management techniques to reduce the drawdown while maintaining the strategy's profitability. Proceed with caution until improvements are verified through additional testing and validation.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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