Stiff Momentum by @DaviddTech 🤖 [f228bda6]
🛡️ STIFF MOMENTUM SCUSDT.P 1H @
CONFIRMATION BASED
1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-12-24 22:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.33
- Sortino Ratio: 1.45
- Calmar: -0.82
- Longest DD Days: 93.00
- Volatility: 9.40
- Skew: 0.76
- Kurtosis: 2.42
- Expected Daily: 0.06
- Expected Monthly: 1.20
- Expected Yearly: 15.44
- Kelly Criterion: 12.26
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.88
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -1.09
- Last Trade Date: 2025-04-17 07:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 5
- Number Winning Trades 145
- Max Consecutive Losses: 7
- Number Losing Trades: 154
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.82
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.34
- Payoff Ratio: 1.41
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.34
- Tail Ratio: 1.39
- Outlier Win Ratio: 3.81
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 5.61
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.02
- Serenity Index: 1.49
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the QuantStats report, a variety of performance metrics offer insights into the strategy's effectiveness:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 1709.31% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 4.98% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.332 |
Profit Factor | 1.314 |
Maximum Drawdown | 47.69% |
Volatility | 9.39% |
While the cumulative return is quite impressive, the strategy’s Sharpe Ratio of 0.332 falls short of the desired 0.5 threshold, indicating suboptimal risk-adjusted returns. The maximum drawdown stands at 47.69%, slightly above the ideal maximum of 40%, suggesting potential risks from excessive downside exposure.
Strategy Viability
The strategy has demonstrated substantial returns; however, its lower Sharpe Ratio and increased maximum drawdown raise some concerns regarding its applicability in real-world settings. Currently, it underperforms in risk-adjusted terms, which is crucial for sustainable trading strategies. This performance, largely dependent on varying market conditions, suggests careful monitoring of the conditions that allow the strategy to thrive.
Risk Management
The negative aspects concerning the drawdown highlight the necessity to enhance risk management practices:
- Max leverage could be reduced, directly decreasing potential drawdowns.
- Consider introducing tighter stop-loss mechanisms to minimize losses.
- Implementing dynamic position sizing could better align exposure with volatility levels.
Improvement Suggestions
To advance the strategy’s robustness and effectiveness, consider the following improvements:
- Re-evaluate strategy parameters to optimize returns while monitoring drawdowns closely.
- Expand the suite of indicators utilized for trade decision-making to refine the timing of entry and exit points.
- Conduct rigorous back-testing across varied market conditions and environments.
- Integrate comprehensive risk management tools, such as VaR and stress testing techniques, to mitigate unpredictable risks.
Final Opinion
Overall, the strategy presents strong returns, despite shortcomings in risk-adjusted performance and drawdown figures. The limitations in risk management are prominent but offer clear avenues for improvement.
Recommendation: Although promising, the strategy requires further refinement and testing. Leverage the outlined improvements to bolster risk management and optimize performance metrics, especially focusing on lowering the drawdown and enhancing the Sharpe Ratio. Proceed with caution, ensuring thorough testing and adjustments are made prior to real-world application.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -4.04% |
2022 | -10.73% | -4.53% | 21.70% | -0.42% | -35.78% | -6.24% | 30.84% | -21.46% | -2.76% | 0.16% | -5.31% | -1.50% |
2023 | 18.36% | 38.21% | 8.09% | -1.60% | 4.01% | -2.42% | 29.57% | -2.00% | 4.67% | 4.51% | 72.61% | 35.43% |
2024 | 97.41% | 78.96% | -10.64% | -9.40% | 1.83% | -5.13% | 15.29% | 1.40% | 6.80% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
SC
Base Currency
96
Number of Trades
44.64%
Cumulative Returns
45.83%
Win Rate
2024-02-23
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
18.47%
30 Days
22.36%
60 Days
6.43%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 18135.25 | 1813.53 | 16638.52 | 1663.85 | 1496.73 | 149.67 |
Gross Profit | 31130.63 | 3113.06 | 28084.03 | 2808.4 | 3046.6 | 304.66 |
Gross Loss | 12995.38 | 1299.54 | 11445.52 | 1144.55 | 1549.86 | 154.99 |
Commission Paid | 514.62 | 428.26 | 86.36 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 244.1 | 24.41 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 18581.83 | 97.11 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 2591.35 | 47.69 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 1397455.0 | 1397455.0 | 857796.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 206.0 | 144.0 | 62.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 104.0 | 64.0 | 40.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 102.0 | 80.0 | 22.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 50.49 | 44.44 | 64.52 | |||
Avg P&l | 88.04 | 1.41 | 115.55 | 1.67 | 24.14 | 0.82 |
Avg Winning Trade | 299.33 | 6.46 | 438.81 | 8.48 | 76.16 | 3.23 |
Avg Losing Trade | 127.41 | 3.73 | 143.07 | 3.78 | 70.45 | 3.57 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.349 | 3.067 | 1.081 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 2395.26 | 2395.26 | 817.4 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 10.94 | 10.94 | 10.21 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 1472.38 | 1472.38 | 452.64 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 9.42 | 9.42 | 5.11 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 24.0 | 27.0 | 17.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 24.0 | 30.0 | 15.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 24.0 | 25.0 | 21.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.423 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.081 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.396 | 2.454 | 1.966 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 829.85 | 4.59 | ||||
Net Profit | 17093.13 | 1709.31 | 12763.83 | 1276.38 | 4329.3 | 432.93 |
Gross Profit | 71539.42 | 7153.94 | 54590.44 | 5459.04 | 16948.98 | 1694.9 |
Gross Loss | 54446.29 | 5444.63 | 41826.61 | 4182.66 | 12619.68 | 1261.97 |
Commission Paid | 1951.35 | 1356.87 | 594.48 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -813.09 | -81.31 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 21692.67 | 97.51 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 7678.09 | 47.69 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 7613472.0 | 7613472.0 | 4999419.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 299.0 | 199.0 | 100.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 145.0 | 83.0 | 62.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 154.0 | 116.0 | 38.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 48.49 | 41.71 | 62.0 | |||
Avg P&l | 57.17 | 1.03 | 64.14 | 1.19 | 43.29 | 0.72 |
Avg Winning Trade | 493.38 | 6.14 | 657.72 | 8.17 | 273.37 | 3.43 |
Avg Losing Trade | 353.55 | 3.78 | 360.57 | 3.8 | 332.1 | 3.71 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.396 | 1.824 | 0.823 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 2440.13 | 2395.26 | 2440.13 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 13.59 | 10.94 | 13.59 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 2602.31 | 1472.38 | 2602.31 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 12.8 | 9.42 | 12.8 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 25.0 | 29.0 | 16.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 26.0 | 34.0 | 16.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 23.0 | 25.0 | 16.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.334 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.449 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.314 | 1.305 | 1.343 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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