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Traders should know
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soperator stiffsurge avaxusdt 1h 10.02.2026

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 1 hour @soperator
● Live

Stiff Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [e7a8d325]

🛡️ STIFFSURGE AVAXUSDT 1H 10.02.2026

Trading Pair
AVAX
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - February 22, 2026
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +10.71% Updated 14 hours ago
Total Return Primary
22588.34%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
57.82%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.397
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
0%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
633
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Feb 9, 2023
1,129
Days
633
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 13, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-02-09 05:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.87
  • Sortino Ratio: 4.18
  • Calmar: -1.51
  • Longest DD Days: 43.00
  • Volatility: 2.80
  • Skew: -0.04
  • Kurtosis: 4.32
  • Expected Daily: 0.02
  • Expected Monthly: 0.36
  • Expected Yearly: 4.40
  • Kelly Criterion: 16.71
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.28
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.44
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-13 15:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 9
  • Number Winning Trades 366
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 5
  • Number Losing Trades: 267
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.51
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.41
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.03
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.41
  • Tail Ratio: 1.21
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 4.69
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 4.60
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 5.95

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
-3.39%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-0.80%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+0.32%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-2.91%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+0.07%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+10.71%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+6.66%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+13.06%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+24.53%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+44.78%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
57.8%
Total Trades
633
Cumulative
-3.45%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
375.79%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-2.42%
+9.36%
Simple P&L
-0.37%
-3.45%
Simple P&L
+0.28%
+2.23%
Simple P&L
-0.27%
+12.98%
Simple P&L
-8.68%
+9.32%
Simple P&L
+7.33%
-0.02%
Simple P&L
-0.60%
+13.83%
Simple P&L
+0.06%
+17.24%
Simple P&L
-1.20%
+2.54%
Simple P&L
+1.14%
-7.29%
Simple P&L
+0.06%
+19.04%
Simple P&L
2024
-0.13%
+13.85%
Simple P&L
+1.09%
+11.08%
Simple P&L
+0.15%
-7.08%
Simple P&L
+0.93%
+13.93%
Simple P&L
+2.66%
+15.80%
Simple P&L
+0.28%
+12.14%
Simple P&L
+1.75%
-1.01%
Simple P&L
-2.32%
+41.50%
Simple P&L
-1.99%
+10.26%
Simple P&L
-1.77%
+22.91%
Simple P&L
-1.10%
+22.89%
Simple P&L
-0.08%
-15.52%
Simple P&L
2025
+0.77%
+30.87%
Simple P&L
+0.29%
+10.65%
Simple P&L
-3.25%
+13.73%
Simple P&L
+0.16%
+10.10%
Simple P&L
-0.74%
+4.13%
Simple P&L
+4.45%
+18.06%
Simple P&L
-3.66%
-2.52%
Simple P&L
-1.29%
+23.25%
Simple P&L
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2026
••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

633

Number of Trades

-3.45%

Cumulative Returns

57.82%

Win Rate

2026-10-02

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

6.66%

30 Days

24.53%

60 Days

13.06%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital50
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit11294.1722588.341370.542741.089923.6319847.25
Gross Profit39741.8379483.6710426.0720852.1329315.7758631.53
Gross Loss28447.6656895.339055.5218111.0519392.1438784.28
Expected Payoff17.844.5130.16
Commission Paid1562.71472.531090.18
Buy & Hold Return-25.64-51.29
Buy & Hold % Gain-51.29
Strategy Outperformance11319.81
Max Contracts Held23891686.02389.0
Annualized Return (cagr)453.76187.48431.71
Return On Initial Capital22588.342741.0819847.25
Account Size Required2762.93
Return On Account Size Required408.7749.6359.17
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)9 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)446.25892.5
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)3115.456230.9
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)11623.8499.57
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)23247.68
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)13 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)400.03800.05
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown4.090.53.59
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)2562.55125.0
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)2762.9330.36
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)5525.87
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1087.44294.97955.48
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.115.712.86
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.655.135.36
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades633.0304.0329.0
Number Winning Trades366.0157.0209.0
Number Losing Trades267.0147.0120.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable57.8251.6463.53
Avg P&l17.840.594.510.2430.160.92
Avg Winning Trade108.583.5866.413.64140.273.53
Avg Losing Trade106.553.561.63.4161.63.62
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0191.0780.868
Largest Winning Trade839.69595.21839.69
Largest Winning Trade Percent7.495.727.49
Largest Losing Trade1038.6464.641038.6
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.376.375.76
Avg # Bars In Trades20.019.021.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades20.018.022.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades19.019.019.0
Sharpe Ratio0.866
Sortino Ratio4.176
Profit Factor1.3971.1511.512
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital50
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit11294.1722588.341370.542741.089923.6319847.25
Gross Profit39741.8379483.6710426.0720852.1329315.7758631.53
Gross Loss28447.6656895.339055.5218111.0519392.1438784.28
Expected Payoff17.844.5130.16
Commission Paid1562.71472.531090.18
Buy & Hold Return-25.64-51.29
Buy & Hold % Gain-51.29
Strategy Outperformance11319.81
Max Contracts Held23891686.02389.0
Annualized Return (cagr)453.76187.48431.71
Return On Initial Capital22588.342741.0819847.25
Account Size Required2762.93
Return On Account Size Required408.7749.6359.17
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)9 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)446.25892.5
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)3115.456230.9
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)11623.8499.57
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)23247.68
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)13 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)400.03800.05
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown4.090.53.59
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)2562.55125.0
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)2762.9330.36
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)5525.87
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1087.44294.97955.48
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.115.712.86
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.655.135.36
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades633.0304.0329.0
Number Winning Trades366.0157.0209.0
Number Losing Trades267.0147.0120.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable57.8251.6463.53
Avg P&l17.840.594.510.2430.160.92
Avg Winning Trade108.583.5866.413.64140.273.53
Avg Losing Trade106.553.561.63.4161.63.62
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0191.0780.868
Largest Winning Trade839.69595.21839.69
Largest Winning Trade Percent7.495.727.49
Largest Losing Trade1038.6464.641038.6
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.376.375.76
Avg # Bars In Trades20.019.021.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades20.018.022.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades19.019.019.0
Sharpe Ratio0.866
Sortino Ratio4.176
Profit Factor1.3971.1511.512
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Net Profit 21,008.9
Annualized Return (CAGR) 445.75%
Sharpe Ratio 0.851
Profit Factor 1.369
Maximum Drawdown (intrabar as % of Initial Capital) 5525.87%
Volatility (Annualized) 2.79

The strategy demonstrates strong performance with a net profit of 21,008.9 and a compelling annualized return of 445.75%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.851 surpasses the threshold of 0.5, indicating an above-average risk-adjusted return in the crypto domain. The Profit Factor of 1.369 also indicates a favorable balance between gains and losses. However, the maximum drawdown percentage is a concern, given its significantly high level.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, the strategy appears to offer a viable real-world trading opportunity owing to its high return potential. The consistency in returns, coupled with a healthy Sharpe ratio, suggests effective performance under current market conditions. That said, the high maximum drawdown calls for caution and suggests a deeper look into market conditions that might exacerbate it.

Risk Management

The strategy reflects over 5,000% maximum drawdown, which is considerable. While zero margin calls indicate some level of risk control, there is a definitive scope for better managing equity drawdowns. Below are potential areas to reinforce risk management:

  • Reduce leverage usage to manage and lower potential drawdowns.
  • Incorporate a more defined stop-loss framework to shield against extreme losses.
  • Consider using volatility indicators for dynamic position sizing, ensuring adaptation to market volatility.

Improvement Suggestions

Several steps could be taken to enhance the robustness of the strategy:

  • Explore optimization of strategy parameters to balance returns while significantly lowering drawdowns.
  • Integrate additional trading signals and indicators to refine entry and exit decisions.
  • Conduct more extensive backtesting, including out-of-sample testing, to validate the strategy across varying market scenarios.
  • Develop a comprehensive risk management framework by employing techniques like Value-at-Risk (VaR) and scenario analysis.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy delivers impressive profitability and risk-adjusted returns, evident from its Sharpe ratio and annualized return. However, the exceptionally high drawdown highlights a critical area for improvement. Addressing leverage use and reinforcing risk management protocols should be prioritized to ensure more stable and viable performance.

Recommendation: Proceed with strategic enhancements focusing on drawdown reduction and risk management improvements. This will aid in determining the effectiveness and sustainability of the strategy across broader market conditions.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
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Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
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Edge Intact
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--
Stability Index
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

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Strategy Analysis Video

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