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DaviddTech
Traders should know
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soperator stiffsurge avaxusdt 1h 10.02.2026

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 1 hour @soperator
● Live

Stiff Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [e7a8d325]

🛡️ STIFFSURGE AVAXUSDT 1H 10.02.2026

Trading Pair
AVAX
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - February 22, 2026
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0.84% Updated 4 days ago
Total Return Primary
23708.14%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
57.86%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.413
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
0%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
636
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Feb 9, 2023
1,141
Days
636
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 22, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-02-09 05:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.88
  • Sortino Ratio: 4.23
  • Calmar: -1.60
  • Longest DD Days: 43.00
  • Volatility: 2.82
  • Skew: -0.03
  • Kurtosis: 4.18
  • Expected Daily: 0.02
  • Expected Monthly: 0.38
  • Expected Yearly: 4.65
  • Kelly Criterion: 17.36
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.28
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.44
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-22 15:12:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 9
  • Number Winning Trades 368
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 5
  • Number Losing Trades: 268
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.60
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.43
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.04
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.43
  • Tail Ratio: 1.25
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 4.55
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 4.62
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 6.71

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
-1.20%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 30 Days
+1.86%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+1.59%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-0.80%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+3.53%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.84%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+11.35%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+19.33%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+24.22%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+36.43%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
57.9%
Total Trades
637
Cumulative
-1.57%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
378.09%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-2.42%
+9.36%
Simple P&L
-0.37%
-3.45%
Simple P&L
+0.28%
+2.23%
Simple P&L
-0.27%
+12.98%
Simple P&L
-8.68%
+9.32%
Simple P&L
+7.33%
-0.02%
Simple P&L
-0.60%
+13.83%
Simple P&L
+0.06%
+17.24%
Simple P&L
-2.65%
+2.54%
Simple P&L
+1.14%
-7.29%
Simple P&L
+0.06%
+19.04%
Simple P&L
2024
-0.13%
+13.85%
Simple P&L
+1.09%
+11.08%
Simple P&L
+0.15%
-7.08%
Simple P&L
+0.93%
+13.93%
Simple P&L
+0.38%
+15.80%
Simple P&L
+0.28%
+12.14%
Simple P&L
+1.75%
-1.01%
Simple P&L
-2.32%
+41.50%
Simple P&L
-1.99%
+10.26%
Simple P&L
+0.12%
+22.91%
Simple P&L
-1.10%
+22.89%
Simple P&L
-0.08%
-15.52%
Simple P&L
2025
+0.77%
+30.87%
Simple P&L
+2.18%
+10.65%
Simple P&L
-3.25%
+13.73%
Simple P&L
+0.16%
+10.10%
Simple P&L
-0.74%
+4.13%
Simple P&L
+4.45%
+18.06%
Simple P&L
-3.66%
-2.52%
Simple P&L
-1.29%
+23.25%
Simple P&L
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2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

637

Number of Trades

-1.57%

Cumulative Returns

57.93%

Win Rate

2026-10-02

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

11.35%

30 Days

24.22%

60 Days

19.33%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital50
Open P&l185.51.56
Net Profit11854.0723708.141515.423030.8410338.6520677.31
Gross Profit40582.0381164.0510842.5821685.1729739.4459478.89
Gross Loss28727.9557455.919327.1718654.3319400.7938801.58
Expected Payoff18.644.9531.33
Commission Paid1600.51489.921110.59
Buy & Hold Return-26.94-53.88
Buy & Hold % Gain-53.89
Strategy Outperformance11881.01
Max Contracts Held23891686.02389.0
Annualized Return (cagr)455.34194.14432.15
Return On Initial Capital23708.143030.8420677.31
Account Size Required2762.93
Return On Account Size Required429.0454.85374.19
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)9 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)452.86905.72
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)3115.456230.9
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)12241.5599.59
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)24483.1
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)13 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)400.03800.05
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown4.360.623.81
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)2562.55125.0
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)2762.9330.36
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)5525.87
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1141.35326.15995.44
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.075.492.82
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.624.985.35
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades636.0306.0330.0
Number Winning Trades368.0158.0210.0
Number Losing Trades268.0148.0120.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable57.8651.6363.64
Avg P&l18.640.594.950.2331.330.93
Avg Winning Trade110.283.5868.623.64141.623.53
Avg Losing Trade107.193.563.023.41161.673.62
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0291.0890.876
Largest Winning Trade839.69595.21839.69
Largest Winning Trade Percent7.495.727.49
Largest Losing Trade1038.6464.641038.6
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.376.375.76
Avg # Bars In Trades20.019.021.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades20.018.022.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades20.020.019.0
Sharpe Ratio0.876
Sortino Ratio4.225
Profit Factor1.4131.1621.533
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital50
Open P&l199.591.68
Net Profit11854.0723708.141515.423030.8410338.6520677.31
Gross Profit40582.0381164.0510842.5821685.1729739.4459478.89
Gross Loss28727.9557455.919327.1718654.3319400.7938801.58
Expected Payoff18.644.9531.33
Commission Paid1600.51489.921110.59
Buy & Hold Return-26.96-53.91
Buy & Hold % Gain-53.92
Strategy Outperformance11881.03
Max Contracts Held23891686.02389.0
Annualized Return (cagr)455.34194.14432.15
Return On Initial Capital23708.143030.8420677.31
Account Size Required2762.93
Return On Account Size Required429.0454.85374.19
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)9 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)452.86905.72
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)3115.456230.9
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)12241.5599.59
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)24483.1
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)13 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)400.03800.05
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown4.360.623.81
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)2562.55125.0
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)2762.9330.36
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)5525.87
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1141.35326.15995.44
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.075.492.82
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.624.985.35
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades636.0306.0330.0
Number Winning Trades368.0158.0210.0
Number Losing Trades268.0148.0120.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable57.8651.6363.64
Avg P&l18.640.594.950.2331.330.93
Avg Winning Trade110.283.5868.623.64141.623.53
Avg Losing Trade107.193.563.023.41161.673.62
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0291.0890.876
Largest Winning Trade839.69595.21839.69
Largest Winning Trade Percent7.495.727.49
Largest Losing Trade1038.6464.641038.6
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.376.375.76
Avg # Bars In Trades20.019.021.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades20.018.022.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades20.020.019.0
Sharpe Ratio0.877
Sortino Ratio4.226
Profit Factor1.4131.1621.533
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 23708.14%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 455.34%
Sharpe Ratio 0.877
Profit Factor 1.413
Maximum Drawdown -30.36%
Volatility (Annualized) 2.82%

The strategy reports outstanding cumulative and annualized returns, achieving a cumulative return of 23708.14% and an annualized return of 455.34%. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.877 demonstrates strong risk-adjusted returns, being comfortably above the 0.5 threshold commonly deemed good in crypto trading. With a maximum drawdown of -30.36%, the strategy exhibits resilience in downside risk management, staying below the critical 40% level.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy appears viable for real-world trading, given its excellent risk-adjusted metrics and solid returns. Its maximum drawdown remains within acceptable limits for risky asset classes like crypto. Additionally, with a 57.86% win rate, the strategy demonstrates dependability over numerous trades. Market conditions supporting the strategy's success should be further analyzed to ensure continued viability.

Risk Management

The strategy employs satisfactory risk management techniques, which are reflected in its favorable drawdown and consistent returns. However, improvements could be made to further bolster its risk management framework:

  • Consider dynamic or algorithmic position sizing to optimize returns relative to market volatility.
  • Define additional stop-loss orders and trailing mechanisms to limit potential losses.
  • Explore diversifying the trading portfolio to diminish concentrated risk.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy’s effectiveness and adaptiveness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Fine-tune strategy parameters to achieve desirable trade-offs between risk and return.
  • Integrate a broader array of technical indicators to refine decision-making processes.
  • Engage in out-of-sample testing to ascertain the strategy’s resilience across varying market circumstances.
  • Utilize advanced risk management methodologies, like hedging techniques, to fortify the strategy against adverse market movements.

Final Opinion

In conclusion, the strategy exhibits strong performance metrics, particularly in terms of returns and risk management. Despite high volatility, the strategy achieves a favorable drawdown and quick recovery period while maintaining solid returns through effective risk management practices. Continued performance optimization and validation are essential to sustaining this momentum across different market dynamics.

Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and optimization of the strategy. Implement suggested enhancements to amplify robustness and refine risk management to better manage volatility within the dynamic crypto markets.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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