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soperator silentsurge runeusdt 15m 29.07.2025

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CONFIRMATION BASED 15 minutes @soperator
● Live

Silent Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [5948280e]

🛡️ SILENTSURGE RUNEUSDT 15M 29.07.2025

Trading Pair
RUNE
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - August 12, 2025
0
  • icon 2

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-1.36% Updated 4 hours ago
Total Return Primary
1319.1%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
54.98%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.43
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
15.5%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
1486
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Dec 6, 2021
1,482
Days
1486
Trades
Last Trade
Dec 26, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-12-06 08:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.44
  • Sortino Ratio: 9.63
  • Calmar: -5.54
  • Longest DD Days: 90.00
  • Volatility: 20.30
  • Skew: 2.22
  • Kurtosis: 21.61
  • Expected Daily: 0.19
  • Expected Monthly: 4.13
  • Expected Yearly: 62.61
  • Kelly Criterion: 16.54
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -1.23
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -2.31
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-12-26 19:45:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 12
  • Number Winning Trades 817
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 9
  • Number Losing Trades: 669
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -5.54
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.43
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.17
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.43
  • Tail Ratio: 1.80
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 4.94
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 5.96
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.02
  • Serenity Index: 360.52

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
-2.75%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-4.52%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+14.51%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-10.96%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+80.12%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
-1.36%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-2.15%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+8.13%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-5.38%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+40.99%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
55.0%
Total Trades
1486
Cumulative
1,319.10%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
657.53%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2021
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+73.03%
+36.26%
Simple P&L
2022
+57.14%
+25.42%
Simple P&L
+50.90%
+24.75%
Simple P&L
+153.35%
+82.29%
Simple P&L
+22.45%
+11.03%
Simple P&L
+70.48%
+30.01%
Simple P&L
+56.85%
+34.41%
Simple P&L
+56.03%
+24.11%
Simple P&L
+79.44%
+39.72%
Simple P&L
+20.15%
+8.13%
Simple P&L
+12.17%
+8.18%
Simple P&L
-11.29%
-5.85%
Simple P&L
-2.28%
-1.12%
Simple P&L
2023
+17.99%
+8.66%
Simple P&L
-7.76%
-2.53%
Simple P&L
+8.87%
+2.62%
Simple P&L
+24.04%
+12.10%
Simple P&L
+11.35%
+5.74%
Simple P&L
+19.49%
+9.69%
Simple P&L
+10.67%
+5.40%
Simple P&L
+28.11%
+13.96%
Simple P&L
+50.66%
+25.29%
Simple P&L
+40.77%
+20.13%
Simple P&L
+20.42%
+9.72%
Simple P&L
+14.54%
+7.73%
Simple P&L
2024
+34.16%
+16.91%
Simple P&L
+31.90%
+9.61%
Simple P&L
+41.34%
+26.96%
Simple P&L
+49.81%
+24.97%
Simple P&L
+65.06%
+34.21%
Simple P&L
-7.83%
-6.08%
Simple P&L
+42.89%
+21.52%
Simple P&L
+16.40%
+8.39%
Simple P&L
+36.41%
+18.15%
Simple P&L
-24.62%
-14.24%
Simple P&L
+19.71%
+11.52%
Simple P&L
-31.31%
-15.62%
Simple P&L
2025
+10.43%
+2.03%
Simple P&L
+62.33%
+34.46%
Simple P&L
-4.88%
-4.43%
Simple P&L
-15.09%
-5.23%
Simple P&L
+11.23%
+5.50%
Simple P&L
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Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

1486

Number of Trades

1319.1%

Cumulative Returns

54.98%

Win Rate

2025-07-29

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-2.15%

30 Days

-5.38%

60 Days

8.13%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit1300402.41300.4833396.32833.4467006.08467.01
Gross Profit4089656.954089.662198280.382198.281891376.571891.38
Gross Loss2789254.552789.251364884.071364.881424370.491424.37
Expected Payoff972.631180.45740.1
Commission Paid214055.62114383.9899671.63
Buy & Hold Return-80153.43-80.15
Buy & Hold % Gain-80.15
Strategy Outperformance1380555.83
Max Contracts Held249688238949.0249688.0
Annualized Return (cagr)105.3983.8860.51
Return On Initial Capital1300.4833.4467.01
Account Size Required76828.54
Return On Account Size Required1692.61084.75607.85
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)7 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)26455.5926.46
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)85155.585.16
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)1320936.3594.07
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)1320.94
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)7 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)18351.418.35
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown16.9310.856.08
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)76027.876.03
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)76828.5424.72
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)76.83
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss11875.667610.824336.01
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit0.350.640.67
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss0.390.80.76
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades1337.0706.0631.0
Number Winning Trades748.0401.0347.0
Number Losing Trades589.0305.0284.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable55.9556.854.99
Avg P&l972.630.481180.450.58740.10.37
Avg Winning Trade5467.462.735482.02.715450.652.76
Avg Losing Trade4735.582.374475.032.215015.392.54
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.1551.2251.087
Largest Winning Trade14126.7714126.7712616.37
Largest Winning Trade Percent6.976.976.47
Largest Losing Trade10950.1510950.1510770.4
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.495.495.42
Avg # Bars In Trades24.020.028.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades24.020.029.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades23.020.026.0
Sharpe Ratio0.468
Sortino Ratio10.267
Profit Factor1.4661.6111.328
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit1319102.241319.1826255.72826.26492846.53492.85
Gross Profit4383232.394383.232290945.282290.952092287.112092.29
Gross Loss3064130.153064.131464689.561464.691599440.591599.44
Expected Payoff887.691085.75679.79
Commission Paid237812.32123254.68114557.64
Buy & Hold Return-92136.67-92.14
Buy & Hold % Gain-92.14
Strategy Outperformance1411238.91
Max Contracts Held365163360101.0365163.0
Annualized Return (cagr)91.5772.5554.68
Return On Initial Capital1319.1826.26492.85
Account Size Required76828.54
Return On Account Size Required1716.941075.45641.49
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)7 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)26240.9426.24
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)85155.585.16
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)1359201.8294.23
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)1359.2
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)8 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)18306.9618.31
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown17.1710.756.41
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)76027.876.03
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)76828.5424.72
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)76.83
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss12046.447545.614575.94
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit0.390.620.81
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss0.360.750.67
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades1486.0761.0725.0
Number Winning Trades817.0423.0394.0
Number Losing Trades669.0338.0331.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable54.9855.5854.34
Avg P&l887.690.441085.750.54679.790.34
Avg Winning Trade5365.032.685415.952.685310.372.69
Avg Losing Trade4580.162.294333.42.144832.152.44
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.1711.251.099
Largest Winning Trade17011.5214126.7717011.52
Largest Winning Trade Percent9.186.979.18
Largest Losing Trade10950.1510950.1510770.4
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.495.495.42
Avg # Bars In Trades24.021.028.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades24.021.028.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades24.021.027.0
Sharpe Ratio0.44
Sortino Ratio9.626
Profit Factor1.431.5641.308
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the QuantStats report, several performance metrics provide insights into the strategy's effectiveness:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 1325.22%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 92.65%
Sharpe Ratio 0.44
Profit Factor 1.43
Maximum Drawdown 24.72%
Volatility (Annualized) 20.32%
Percent Profitable 55.1%

The strategy has achieved a significant cumulative return of 1325.22%, with an annualized return of 92.65%. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.44, although slightly below the ideal threshold of 0.5, indicates the returns are reasonable concerning the risk undertaken. The maximum drawdown of 24.72% falls well within acceptable limits for the crypto market, demonstrating effective downside control. The Profit Factor of 1.43 is promising, indicating profitability over an extended period.

Strategy Viability

This strategy demonstrates viability in real-world trading scenarios, showing resilience in the face of market fluctuations as evidenced by its controlled maximum drawdown. Its performance suggests it could continue to succeed in similar market conditions, and the modest Sharpe Ratio indicates room for iterative enhancement rather than fundamental redesign. Ensuring the persistence of favorable conditions can help sustain these encouraging outcomes.

Risk Management

The strategy incorporates effective risk management practices, evidenced by the low maximum drawdown relative to crypto market standards. Improvements could be made in these areas:

  • Refine the position sizing methodology to dynamically adapt to changing market volatility.
  • Implement more refined stop-loss techniques to better contain potential losses.
  • Leverage partial or varied position reductions during market-side drawdots to buffer impacts.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance strategy performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Calibrate strategy parameters for optimized risk-return balance.
  • Introduce additional technical indicators for refined entry and exit timing.
  • Conduct extensive out-of-sample and forward-testing to verify strategy robustness across various conditions.
  • Integrate comprehensive risk controls like advanced Value-at-Risk (VaR) assessments.

Final Opinion

Overall, the strategy demonstrates strong potential with substantial returns and effective risk control measures. While the Sharpe Ratio indicates a slight need for improvement, the strategy's ability to maintain stability through market fluctuations is commendable.

Recommendation: Continue with the strategy, focusing on the proposed enhancements to strengthen its robustness. Further validate and fine-tune risk management practices to navigate volatility more successfully.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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