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DaviddTech
Traders should know
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soperator silentsurge runeusdt 15m 29.07.2025

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CONFIRMATION BASED 15 minutes @soperator
● Live

Silent Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [5948280e]

🛡️ SILENTSURGE RUNEUSDT 15M 29.07.2025

Trading Pair
RUNE
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - August 12, 2025
0
  • icon 2

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-0.88% Updated 13 hours ago
Total Return Primary
-4.5%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
45.19%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
0.988
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-1.28%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
208
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Aug 7, 2025
219
Days
208
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 13, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2025-08-07 16:45:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: -0.03
  • Sortino Ratio: -0.05
  • Calmar: 0.21
  • Longest DD Days: 135.00
  • Volatility: 60.33
  • Skew: 0.65
  • Kurtosis: 0.29
  • Expected Daily: 0.06
  • Expected Monthly: 1.27
  • Expected Yearly: 16.32
  • Kelly Criterion: 0.07
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -4.39
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.78
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-13 14:45:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 5
  • Number Winning Trades 94
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 7
  • Number Losing Trades: 114
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: 0.21
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.00
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.19
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.00
  • Tail Ratio: 1.17
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 3.01
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.18
  • Serenity Index: -0.01

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
-0.15%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 30 Days
+0.82%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.53%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-1.19%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+0.42%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
-2.10%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-3.51%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-11.72%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-3.04%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+5.60%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
45.2%
Total Trades
208
Cumulative
-1.28%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
-1.24%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2025
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-2.07%
-1.84%
Simple P&L
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2026
••••
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••••
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

208

Number of Trades

-1.28%

Cumulative Returns

45.19%

Win Rate

2025-07-29

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-3.51%

30 Days

-3.04%

60 Days

-11.72%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit-4503.26-4.5-17922.26-17.9213418.9913.42
Gross Profit384569.39384.57148251.07148.25236318.32236.32
Gross Loss389072.65389.07166173.33166.17222899.32222.9
Expected Payoff-21.65-196.95114.69
Commission Paid33208.3414670.1618538.18
Buy & Hold Return-65986.45-65.99
Buy & Hold % Gain-65.99
Strategy Outperformance61483.18
Max Contracts Held522466514139.0522466.0
Annualized Return (cagr)-7.19-27.3922.64
Return On Initial Capital-4.5-17.9213.42
Account Size Required47513.89
Return On Account Size Required-9.48-37.7228.24
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)11 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)19497.5419.5
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)42538.1142.54
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)55039.0240.98
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)55.04
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)53 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)31429.9631.43
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown-0.09-0.380.28
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)46942.2846.94
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)47513.8935.62
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)47.51
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss-56.2-321.09167.48
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit4.425.437.2
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.063.363.59
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades208.091.0117.0
Number Winning Trades94.038.056.0
Number Losing Trades114.053.061.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable45.1941.7647.86
Avg P&l-21.65-0.01-196.95-0.1114.690.07
Avg Winning Trade4091.162.063901.341.934219.972.14
Avg Losing Trade3412.921.713135.351.563654.091.84
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.1991.2441.155
Largest Winning Trade17011.528045.717011.52
Largest Winning Trade Percent9.183.989.18
Largest Losing Trade8012.345581.748012.34
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.062.774.06
Avg # Bars In Trades25.024.025.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades23.022.023.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades26.025.028.0
Sharpe Ratio-0.025
Sortino Ratio-0.049
Profit Factor0.9880.8921.06
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit-4503.26-4.5-17922.26-17.9213418.9913.42
Gross Profit384569.39384.57148251.07148.25236318.32236.32
Gross Loss389072.65389.07166173.33166.17222899.32222.9
Expected Payoff-21.65-196.95114.69
Commission Paid33208.3414670.1618538.18
Buy & Hold Return-65986.45-65.99
Buy & Hold % Gain-65.99
Strategy Outperformance61483.18
Max Contracts Held522466514139.0522466.0
Annualized Return (cagr)-7.19-27.3922.64
Return On Initial Capital-4.5-17.9213.42
Account Size Required47513.89
Return On Account Size Required-9.48-37.7228.24
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)11 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)19497.5419.5
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)42538.1142.54
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)55039.0240.98
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)55.04
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)53 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)31429.9631.43
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown-0.09-0.380.28
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)46942.2846.94
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)47513.8935.62
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)47.51
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss-56.2-321.09167.48
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit4.425.437.2
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.063.363.59
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades208.091.0117.0
Number Winning Trades94.038.056.0
Number Losing Trades114.053.061.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable45.1941.7647.86
Avg P&l-21.65-0.01-196.95-0.1114.690.07
Avg Winning Trade4091.162.063901.341.934219.972.14
Avg Losing Trade3412.921.713135.351.563654.091.84
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.1991.2441.155
Largest Winning Trade17011.528045.717011.52
Largest Winning Trade Percent9.183.989.18
Largest Losing Trade8012.345581.748012.34
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.062.774.06
Avg # Bars In Trades25.024.025.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades23.022.023.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades26.025.028.0
Sharpe Ratio-0.025
Sortino Ratio-0.049
Profit Factor0.9880.8921.06
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return -0.48%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) -0.78%
Sharpe Ratio 0.027
Profit Factor 0.999
Maximum Drawdown 46.94%
Volatility (Annualized) 60.57%

The strategy shows a slight negative return over time with a cumulative return of -0.48% and an annualized return of -0.78%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.027 suggests a need for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. The maximum drawdown of 46.94% signifies a risk area that could be mitigated with less leverage and enhanced risk management techniques.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy currently appears to face significant challenges in real-world trading, primarily due to the negative net profit and high drawdown. The market conditions have not favored this strategy, but there is a possibility of improvement with better risk and leverage management. It is vital to understand the specific conditions under which the strategy underperforms and adapt accordingly.

Risk Management

The strategy needs a better risk management approach, as evidenced by the high drawdown. Here are some suggested enhancements:

  • Implement a tighter stop-loss to minimize potential losses.
  • Use less leverage to decrease maximum drawdowns.
  • Incorporate volatility-targeting mechanisms to adjust position sizes dynamically.

Improvement Suggestions

To improve the strategy’s performance, consider the following recommendations:

  • Re-evaluate strategy parameters to discover configurations that maximize returns while controlling drawdowns.
  • Diversify trading instruments or time frames to spread risk and potentially uncover profitable opportunities.
  • Development of more sophisticated algorithms incorporating machine learning to predict market trends and improve entries/exits.
  • Extensive backtesting across various markets and time frames to ensure robustness and adaptability.

Final Opinion

This strategy demonstrates several areas in need of significant enhancement before it can be considered viable for real-world trading. The high drawdown and negative returns indicate risk management issues. However, with systematic improvements and rigorous testing, these challenges can be addressed.

Recommendation: Opt for substantial modifications and testing. Focus on risk management improvements, such as reducing leverage and refining strategy parameters to adapt to current market volatilities and enhance overall strategy performance.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
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Edge Strength
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Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
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--
Stability Index
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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