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soperator silentsurge runeusdt 15m 29.07.2025

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CONFIRMATION BASED 15 minutes @soperator
● Live

Silent Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [5948280e]

🛡️ SILENTSURGE RUNEUSDT 15M 29.07.2025

Trading Pair
RUNE
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - August 12, 2025
0
  • icon 2

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +1.71% Updated 3 hours ago
Total Return Primary
1313.38%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
54.81%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.424
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-2.3%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
1507
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Dec 6, 2021
1,507
Days
1507
Trades
Last Trade
Jan 20, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-12-06 08:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.43
  • Sortino Ratio: 9.42
  • Calmar: -5.40
  • Longest DD Days: 90.00
  • Volatility: 20.16
  • Skew: 2.24
  • Kurtosis: 21.94
  • Expected Daily: 0.19
  • Expected Monthly: 4.07
  • Expected Yearly: 61.41
  • Kelly Criterion: 16.20
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -1.21
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -2.30
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-01-20 15:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 12
  • Number Winning Trades 826
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 9
  • Number Losing Trades: 681
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -5.40
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.42
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.17
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.42
  • Tail Ratio: 1.78
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 4.91
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 6.03
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.02
  • Serenity Index: 350.29

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
-2.46%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-1.63%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-0.42%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-2.03%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-2.30%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+1.71%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-2.96%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-6.42%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-8.19%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+6.05%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
54.8%
Total Trades
1507
Cumulative
-2.55%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
654.73%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2021
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-0.14%
+36.26%
Simple P&L
2022
-1.12%
+25.42%
Simple P&L
+0.72%
+24.75%
Simple P&L
+0.44%
+82.29%
Simple P&L
-1.54%
+11.03%
Simple P&L
-0.11%
+30.01%
Simple P&L
+3.08%
+34.41%
Simple P&L
+2.21%
+24.11%
Simple P&L
+0.24%
+39.72%
Simple P&L
-0.21%
+8.13%
Simple P&L
+0.18%
+8.18%
Simple P&L
-0.42%
-5.85%
Simple P&L
+0.59%
-1.12%
Simple P&L
2023
-1.57%
+8.66%
Simple P&L
+1.40%
-2.53%
Simple P&L
+0.54%
+2.62%
Simple P&L
+0.14%
+12.10%
Simple P&L
+1.23%
+5.74%
Simple P&L
-1.88%
+9.69%
Simple P&L
+1.27%
+5.40%
Simple P&L
+0.04%
+13.96%
Simple P&L
-1.36%
+25.29%
Simple P&L
-0.30%
+20.13%
Simple P&L
+0.22%
+9.72%
Simple P&L
+1.05%
+7.73%
Simple P&L
2024
+0.61%
+16.91%
Simple P&L
-4.46%
+9.61%
Simple P&L
+3.69%
+26.96%
Simple P&L
+1.52%
+24.97%
Simple P&L
+0.64%
+34.21%
Simple P&L
+1.02%
-6.08%
Simple P&L
+1.57%
+21.52%
Simple P&L
-0.14%
+8.39%
Simple P&L
-1.52%
+18.15%
Simple P&L
+0.75%
-14.24%
Simple P&L
-1.33%
+11.52%
Simple P&L
-0.01%
-15.62%
Simple P&L
2025
+0.68%
+2.03%
Simple P&L
+0.91%
+34.46%
Simple P&L
-0.98%
-4.43%
Simple P&L
-1.28%
-5.23%
Simple P&L
-1.24%
+5.50%
Simple P&L
+1.34%
+12.06%
Simple P&L
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2026
••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

1507

Number of Trades

-2.55%

Cumulative Returns

54.81%

Win Rate

2025-07-29

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-2.96%

30 Days

-8.19%

60 Days

-6.42%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit1300402.41300.4833396.32833.4467006.08467.01
Gross Profit4089656.954089.662198280.382198.281891376.571891.38
Gross Loss2789254.552789.251364884.071364.881424370.491424.37
Expected Payoff972.631180.45740.1
Commission Paid214055.62114383.9899671.63
Buy & Hold Return-80153.43-80.15
Buy & Hold % Gain-80.15
Strategy Outperformance1380555.83
Max Contracts Held249688238949.0249688.0
Annualized Return (cagr)105.3983.8860.51
Return On Initial Capital1300.4833.4467.01
Account Size Required76828.54
Return On Account Size Required1692.61084.75607.85
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)7 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)26455.5926.46
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)85155.585.16
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)1320936.3594.07
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)1320.94
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)7 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)18351.418.35
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown16.9310.856.08
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)76027.876.03
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)76828.5424.72
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)76.83
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss11875.667610.824336.01
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit0.350.640.67
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss0.390.80.76
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades1337.0706.0631.0
Number Winning Trades748.0401.0347.0
Number Losing Trades589.0305.0284.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable55.9556.854.99
Avg P&l972.630.481180.450.58740.10.37
Avg Winning Trade5467.462.735482.02.715450.652.76
Avg Losing Trade4735.582.374475.032.215015.392.54
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.1551.2251.087
Largest Winning Trade14126.7714126.7712616.37
Largest Winning Trade Percent6.976.976.47
Largest Losing Trade10950.1510950.1510770.4
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.495.495.42
Avg # Bars In Trades24.020.028.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades24.020.029.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades23.020.026.0
Sharpe Ratio0.468
Sortino Ratio10.267
Profit Factor1.4661.6111.328
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit1313375.741313.38821889.38821.89491486.36491.49
Gross Profit4414196.154414.22313328.532313.332100867.622100.87
Gross Loss3100820.413100.821491439.161491.441609381.251609.38
Expected Payoff871.521057.77673.27
Commission Paid241174.68125822.86115351.82
Buy & Hold Return-91419.23-91.42
Buy & Hold % Gain-91.42
Strategy Outperformance1404794.97
Max Contracts Held365163360101.0365163.0
Annualized Return (cagr)89.3970.8553.51
Return On Initial Capital1313.38821.89491.49
Account Size Required76828.54
Return On Account Size Required1709.491069.77639.72
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)7 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)26056.9426.06
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)85155.585.16
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)1359201.8294.23
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)1359.2
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)8 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)18479.918.48
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown17.0910.76.4
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)76027.876.03
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)76828.5424.72
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)76.83
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss11994.147505.744563.31
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit0.390.610.81
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss0.350.730.67
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades1507.0777.0730.0
Number Winning Trades826.0430.0396.0
Number Losing Trades681.0347.0334.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable54.8155.3454.25
Avg P&l871.520.431057.770.52673.270.34
Avg Winning Trade5344.062.675379.832.665305.222.68
Avg Losing Trade4553.332.284298.12.134818.512.44
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.1741.2521.101
Largest Winning Trade17011.5214126.7717011.52
Largest Winning Trade Percent9.186.979.18
Largest Losing Trade10950.1510950.1510770.4
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.495.495.42
Avg # Bars In Trades24.020.028.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades24.020.028.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades24.021.027.0
Sharpe Ratio0.433
Sortino Ratio9.42
Profit Factor1.4241.5511.305
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 1307.25%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 89.28%
Sharpe Ratio 0.432
Profit Factor 1.42
Maximum Drawdown -76.03%
Volatility (Annualized) 20.16%

The strategy demonstrates notable returns with a cumulative gain of 1307.25% and a reasonably high annualized return of 89.28%. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.432 indicates the need for better risk-adjusted returns as it is slightly below the desirable threshold of 0.5. The maximum drawdown of -76.03% is a significant concern, signaling exposure to substantial potential losses.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, the strategy shows potential, especially in terms of raw returns. However, the viability is questionable without addressing the high drawdown and the Sharpe Ratio below 0.5. It's vital to recognize the market conditions favoring such performance and whether they are sustainable. The negative buy & hold gains at -91.03% highlight the strategy's superior performance over a non-strategy-based approach, but improvements are crucial for real-world application.

Risk Management

The significant drawdown of -76.03% highlights areas for improvement in risk management:

  • Utilize less leverage to help reduce maximum drawdown and exposure to large losses.
  • Implement more effective position sizing methods.
  • Consider stop-loss orders to mitigate potential losses.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy's performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize trading parameters to enhance risk-reward balance, targeting an improved Sharpe Ratio.
  • Incorporate additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit signals, potentially reducing drawdowns.
  • Conduct forward-testing and stress testing to evaluate strategy adaptability across varying market conditions.
  • Enhance the risk management framework to minimize exposure during high-volatility periods.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy exhibits strong profitability potential but necessitates improvements in risk management practices to deal with high drawdowns and enhance the Sharpe Ratio. The impressive cumulative and annualized returns demonstrate the strategy's upside, but further optimization is crucial.

Recommendation: Proceed with optimizing and modifying the strategy to reduce drawdowns and improve risk-adjusted returns. Implement the suggested improvements aimed at enhancing robustness, mitigating risk, and adapting to various market conditions effectively.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
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Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

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Strategy Analysis Video

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