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schmidhip wolfbear polyxusdt 1h 29.07.2025

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TREND FOLLOWING 1 hour @schmidhip
● Live

Wolf & Bear [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [f2108eac]

🛡️ WOLFBEAR POLYXUSDT 1H 29.07.2025

Trading Pair
POLYX
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - August 12, 2025
0
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  • icon 1
  • icon 1
  • icon 1
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 2 months ago
Total Return Primary
300.13%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
47.83%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.381
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-0.1%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
207
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Oct 29, 2023
930
Days
207
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 16, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-10-29 03:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.56
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.33
  • Calmar: -1.74
  • Longest DD Days: 30.00
  • Volatility: 14.44
  • Skew: 0.43
  • Kurtosis: -0.26
  • Expected Daily: 0.13
  • Expected Monthly: 2.77
  • Expected Yearly: 38.76
  • Kelly Criterion: 12.75
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -1.32
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -1.43
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-16 17:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 5
  • Number Winning Trades 99
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 7
  • Number Losing Trades: 108
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.74
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.37
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.52
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.37
  • Tail Ratio: 1.52
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.27
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.02
  • Serenity Index: 3.54

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.83%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-0.20%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-7.40%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-17.74%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
47.8%
Total Trades
207
Cumulative
-0.83%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
80.62%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-1.22%
+7.75%
Simple P&L
+0.77%
+5.99%
Simple P&L
-0.31%
+5.89%
Simple P&L
2024
+1.22%
+7.41%
Simple P&L
-1.17%
-3.23%
Simple P&L
+1.37%
+6.14%
Simple P&L
+1.35%
+2.07%
Simple P&L
-0.76%
-1.68%
Simple P&L
-0.66%
-2.29%
Simple P&L
+0.05%
+6.28%
Simple P&L
+0.44%
+6.73%
Simple P&L
+0.25%
+4.41%
Simple P&L
+0.25%
+10.64%
Simple P&L
-5.17%
+4.94%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+3.83%
Simple P&L
2025
+0.60%
+12.86%
Simple P&L
-0.02%
+10.68%
Simple P&L
-0.63%
+2.84%
Simple P&L
+1.21%
+3.96%
Simple P&L
-1.21%
-12.73%
Simple P&L
+0.87%
+9.36%
Simple P&L
-0.27%
+2.78%
Simple P&L
-0.86%
-1.04%
Simple P&L
-1.00%
+2.19%
Simple P&L
+1.06%
+0.45%
Simple P&L
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2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

207

Number of Trades

-0.83%

Cumulative Returns

47.83%

Win Rate

2025-07-29

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0%

30 Days

0%

60 Days

-7.4%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit30012.52300.137025.6270.2622986.9229.87
Gross Profit108749.331087.4929133.21291.3379616.12796.16
Gross Loss78736.81787.3722107.59221.0856629.22566.29
Expected Payoff144.9970.26214.83
Commission Paid6723.571817.524906.05
Buy & Hold Return-8315.83-83.16
Buy & Hold % Gain-83.16
Strategy Outperformance38328.35
Max Contracts Held26820991946634.02682099.0
Annualized Return (cagr)77.7224.6964.04
Return On Initial Capital300.1370.26229.87
Account Size Required9473.38
Return On Account Size Required316.8174.16242.65
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)15 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)3308.1433.08
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)9407.3294.07
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)40515.5880.21
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)405.16
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)26 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)2504.9825.05
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown3.170.742.43
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)9309.5993.1
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)9473.3819.43
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)94.73
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1325.93407.741015.54
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.799.673.81
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.877.794.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades207.0100.0107.0
Number Winning Trades99.044.055.0
Number Losing Trades108.056.052.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable47.8344.051.4
Avg P&l144.990.3970.260.19214.830.58
Avg Winning Trade1098.482.78662.122.781447.572.78
Avg Losing Trade729.041.8394.781.851089.021.75
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.5071.6771.329
Largest Winning Trade3033.422817.773033.42
Largest Winning Trade Percent9.089.084.93
Largest Losing Trade2263.511723.062263.51
Largest Losing Trade Percent8.228.223.91
Avg # Bars In Trades8.08.07.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades10.011.09.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades6.06.05.0
Sharpe Ratio0.557
Sortino Ratio1.333
Profit Factor1.3811.3181.406
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit30012.52300.137025.6270.2622986.9229.87
Gross Profit108749.331087.4929133.21291.3379616.12796.16
Gross Loss78736.81787.3722107.59221.0856629.22566.29
Expected Payoff144.9970.26214.83
Commission Paid6723.571817.524906.05
Buy & Hold Return-8315.83-83.16
Buy & Hold % Gain-83.16
Strategy Outperformance38328.35
Max Contracts Held26820991946634.02682099.0
Annualized Return (cagr)77.7224.6964.04
Return On Initial Capital300.1370.26229.87
Account Size Required9473.38
Return On Account Size Required316.8174.16242.65
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)15 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)3308.1433.08
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)9407.3294.07
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)40515.5880.21
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)405.16
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)26 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)2504.9825.05
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown3.170.742.43
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)9309.5993.1
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)9473.3819.43
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)94.73
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1325.93407.741015.54
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.799.673.81
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.877.794.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades207.0100.0107.0
Number Winning Trades99.044.055.0
Number Losing Trades108.056.052.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable47.8344.051.4
Avg P&l144.990.3970.260.19214.830.58
Avg Winning Trade1098.482.78662.122.781447.572.78
Avg Losing Trade729.041.8394.781.851089.021.75
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.5071.6771.329
Largest Winning Trade3033.422817.773033.42
Largest Winning Trade Percent9.089.084.93
Largest Losing Trade2263.511723.062263.51
Largest Losing Trade Percent8.228.223.91
Avg # Bars In Trades8.08.07.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades10.011.09.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades6.06.05.0
Sharpe Ratio0.557
Sortino Ratio1.333
Profit Factor1.3811.3181.406
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 300.13%
Annualized Return (CAGR) 77.72%
Sharpe Ratio 0.557
Profit Factor 1.381
Maximum Drawdown (Close-to-close) 93.1%
Volatility (Annualized) 14.44%

The strategy has demonstrated a strong cumulative return of 300.13% with a remarkable yearly return of 77.72%. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.557 indicates good risk-adjusted returns in the crypto market context. However, the maximum drawdown of 93.1% is quite high and poses significant risk, indicating potential room for improvement in risk management.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, the strategy has potential viability for real-world trading under specific market conditions. While the strategy outperforms the benchmark by a considerable margin, the primary concern remains the high drawdown percentage. The robust CAGR and profit factor suggest the capability to generate high returns, but more prudent drawdown management is essential for sustainability.

Risk Management

The maximum drawdown highlights an area requiring immediate attention. Important aspects to consider for enhanced risk management include:

  • Reducing leverage to minimize drawdowns and potential losses.
  • Implementing stricter stop-loss levels to safeguard against significant downturns.
  • Applying dynamic position sizing adjusted for market volatility to contain risk.

Improvement Suggestions

To further enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize strategy parameters to strike a better balance between risk and return.
  • Incorporate a broader set of technical indicators for improved trade timing.
  • Conduct out-of-sample testing and forward-testing across varied market conditions to assess performance robustness.
  • Refine risk management protocols, including leveraging tools like stress testing and Value-at-Risk (VaR) models, to better anticipate market risks.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy shows promise with impressive returns and satisfactory risk-adjusted metrics as indicated by the Sharpe Ratio. However, the high maximum drawdown underscores a need for enhanced risk management efforts to ensure it is resilient during adverse conditions.

Recommendation: Proceed with modifications to the strategy, particularly focusing on reducing leverage and enhancing risk management processes. Implement further testing and optimization to bolster the strategy’s robustness and diminish potential drawdowns.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
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1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
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Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
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Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
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Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

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The settings will of started to download in the background.

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