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Traders should know
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schmidhip wolfbear polyxusdt 1h 29.07.2025

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TREND FOLLOWING 1 hour @schmidhip
● Live

Wolf & Bear [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [f2108eac]

🛡️ WOLFBEAR POLYXUSDT 1H 29.07.2025

Trading Pair
POLYX
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - August 12, 2025
0
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0.45% Updated 10 hours ago
Total Return Primary
374.19%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
50.55%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
19.08%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.632
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
27.68%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
182
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Oct 29, 2023
770
Days
182
Trades
Last Trade
Dec 6, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-10-29 03:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.72
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.94
  • Calmar: -3.10
  • Longest DD Days: 22.00
  • Volatility: 13.78
  • Skew: 0.38
  • Kurtosis: -0.20
  • Expected Daily: 0.17
  • Expected Monthly: 3.72
  • Expected Yearly: 54.96
  • Kelly Criterion: 19.03
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -1.26
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -1.40
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-12-06 08:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 5
  • Number Winning Trades 92
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 90
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -3.10
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.61
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.59
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.61
  • Tail Ratio: 1.53
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.30
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.01
  • Serenity Index: 8.43

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+11.55%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-8.26%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+67.14%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+14.21%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+108.91%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.45%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-5.14%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+3.61%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-4.68%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+11.33%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
50.3%
Total Trades
183
Cumulative
366.55%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
93.82%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+14.77%
+7.75%
Simple P&L
+10.69%
+5.99%
Simple P&L
+10.72%
+5.89%
Simple P&L
2024
+29.00%
+7.41%
Simple P&L
-10.27%
-3.23%
Simple P&L
+13.57%
+6.14%
Simple P&L
+9.51%
+2.07%
Simple P&L
-6.76%
-1.68%
Simple P&L
-4.56%
-2.29%
Simple P&L
+29.41%
+6.28%
Simple P&L
+9.94%
+6.73%
Simple P&L
+22.20%
+4.41%
Simple P&L
+39.42%
+10.64%
Simple P&L
+19.54%
+4.94%
Simple P&L
+26.54%
+3.83%
Simple P&L
2025
+48.96%
+12.86%
Simple P&L
+59.77%
+10.68%
Simple P&L
-18.30%
+2.84%
Simple P&L
+7.76%
+3.96%
Simple P&L
-52.09%
-12.73%
Simple P&L
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Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

183

Number of Trades

366.55%

Cumulative Returns

50.27%

Win Rate

2025-07-29

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-5.14%

30 Days

-4.68%

60 Days

3.61%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit33886.54338.8712399.17123.9921487.37214.87
Gross Profit75680.25756.822991.04229.9152689.21526.89
Gross Loss41793.71417.9410591.87105.9231201.85312.02
Commission Paid4019.971101.742918.23
Buy & Hold Return-4432.03-44.32
Max Contracts Held846578386844.0846578.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration15 days
Avg Equity Run-up3056.1630.56
Max Equity Run-up36338.4278.43
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration17 days
Avg Equity Drawdown1731.8617.32
Max Drawdown7273.6119.08
Total Closed Trades153.075.078.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades81.038.043.0
Number Losing Trades72.037.035.0
Percent Profitable52.9450.6755.13
Avg P&l221.480.62165.320.49275.480.75
Avg Winning Trade934.322.8605.032.81225.332.79
Avg Losing Trade580.471.83286.271.9891.481.77
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.612.1141.374
Largest Winning Trade2756.642348.312756.64
Largest Winning Trade Percent9.089.084.93
Largest Losing Trade1928.721723.061928.72
Largest Losing Trade Percent8.228.223.91
Avg # Bars In Trades7.08.06.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades9.010.08.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades4.05.04.0
Sharpe Ratio0.817
Sortino Ratio2.114
Profit Factor1.8112.1711.689
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l-669.58-1.41
Net Profit37419.04374.198381.0383.8129038.02290.38
Gross Profit96604.31966.0424144.51241.4572459.8724.6
Gross Loss59185.26591.8515763.48157.6343421.78434.22
Commission Paid5483.041386.24096.84
Buy & Hold Return-7691.62-76.92
Max Contracts Held1912274841208.01912274.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration15 days
Avg Equity Run-up3247.1632.47
Max Equity Run-up40515.5880.21
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration20 days
Avg Equity Drawdown2127.121.27
Max Drawdown7273.6119.08
Total Closed Trades182.086.096.0
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Number Winning Trades92.040.052.0
Number Losing Trades90.046.044.0
Percent Profitable50.5546.5154.17
Avg P&l205.60.5297.450.32302.480.7
Avg Winning Trade1050.052.79603.612.811393.462.78
Avg Losing Trade657.611.8342.681.84986.861.76
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.5971.7611.412
Largest Winning Trade3033.422348.313033.42
Largest Winning Trade Percent9.089.084.93
Largest Losing Trade2263.511723.062263.51
Largest Losing Trade Percent8.228.223.91
Avg # Bars In Trades7.08.07.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades9.010.09.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades5.06.05.0
Sharpe Ratio0.718
Sortino Ratio1.942
Profit Factor1.6321.5321.669
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 374.66%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 16.37%
Sharpe Ratio 0.726
Profit Factor 1.634
Maximum Drawdown 19.08%
Volatility (Annualized) 13.79%

The strategy showcases a solid cumulative return of 374.66% with an annualized return of 16.37%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.726 is above the desired threshold, indicating favorable risk-adjusted returns. The profit factor of 1.634 reveals a healthy balance between gross profits and losses. Additionally, the maximum drawdown of 19.08% is within acceptable limits, which is essential for maintaining capital during adverse market conditions.

Strategy Viability

The strategy appears viable for real-world trading based on the data provided. It capitalizes on risk-adjusted returns, as evidenced by the Sharpe ratio well above the threshold for Crypto trading, indicating it effectively balances returns relative to the risks assumed. The strategy shows resilience in various market conditions, outpacing the buy-and-hold return of -76.16%. However, understanding specific market scenarios where the strategy excels will further support its application.

Risk Management

With a maximum drawdown of 19.08% and zero margin calls, the strategy's risk management appears competent. The gain/pain ratio of 1.71 and low ulcer index indicate an effective approach in minimizing losses during negative phases. However, to better this, addressing volatility management could prove beneficial:

  • Implementing dynamic position sizing in response to market volatility metrics.
  • Introducing layered stop-loss protocols to reduce exposure during high-risk scenarios.
  • Enhancing diversification to smoothen the equity curve and mitigate asset-specific risks.

Improvement Suggestions

To refine the strategy and its robustness further, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize strategy parameters for improved returns and reduced drawdowns.
  • Leveraging additional technical indicators could enhance decision-making for trade entries and exits.
  • Conduct forward-testing in different market environments to validate findings and ensure adaptability.
  • Consider decreasing leverage, which could easily lower the max drawdown, adding an extra layer of security to the trading framework.

Final Opinion

Overall, this strategy demonstrates promising performance with respectable returns and commendable risk management. While volatility remains a minor concern, the low maximum drawdown and efficient recovery periods are indicative of strong downside protection. To ensure continued success, continued testing and enhancement of the current risk management tactics are advisable.

Recommendation: Proceed with the strategy while carrying out further optimization and robustness checks. Implement the suggested improvements to increase adaptability and safeguard against market unpredictability effectively.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
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Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
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Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
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Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

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