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schmidhip wolfbear polyxusdt 1h 29.07.2025

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TREND FOLLOWING 1 hour @schmidhip
● Live

Wolf & Bear [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [f2108eac]

🛡️ WOLFBEAR POLYXUSDT 1H 29.07.2025

Trading Pair
POLYX
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - August 12, 2025
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 1
  • icon 1
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 2 weeks ago
Total Return Primary
386.53%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
52.35%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
19.13%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.746
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
44.7%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
170
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Oct 29, 2023
729
Days
170
Trades
Last Trade
Oct 11, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-10-29 03:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.77
  • Sortino Ratio: 2.06
  • Calmar: -3.46
  • Longest DD Days: 22.00
  • Volatility: 13.58
  • Skew: 0.30
  • Kurtosis: -0.16
  • Expected Daily: 0.20
  • Expected Monthly: 4.18
  • Expected Yearly: 63.52
  • Kelly Criterion: 22.32
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -1.28
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -1.41
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-10-11 04:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 5
  • Number Winning Trades 89
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 81
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -3.46
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.74
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.59
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.74
  • Tail Ratio: 1.51
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.36
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.01
  • Serenity Index: 9.06

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+28.49%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+44.70%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+45.38%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+73.15%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+1.71%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+6.75%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+6.15%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+6.03%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
52.4%
Total Trades
170
Cumulative
386.53%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
101.77%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+14.78%
+7.75%
Simple P&L
+10.62%
+5.96%
Simple P&L
+11.04%
+6.04%
Simple P&L
2024
+34.98%
+7.53%
Simple P&L
-10.35%
-3.27%
Simple P&L
+13.70%
+6.15%
Simple P&L
+9.65%
+2.09%
Simple P&L
-6.87%
-1.70%
Simple P&L
-4.57%
-2.29%
Simple P&L
+29.54%
+6.27%
Simple P&L
+10.01%
+6.75%
Simple P&L
+22.39%
+4.42%
Simple P&L
+39.93%
+10.75%
Simple P&L
+19.71%
+4.96%
Simple P&L
+26.78%
+3.82%
Simple P&L
2025
+49.66%
+12.92%
Simple P&L
+60.89%
+10.76%
Simple P&L
-18.53%
+2.88%
Simple P&L
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

170

Number of Trades

386.53%

Cumulative Returns

52.35%

Win Rate

2025-07-29

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

1.71%

30 Days

6.15%

60 Days

6.75%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit34182.54341.8312507.72125.0821674.82216.75
Gross Profit76539.56765.423269.79232.753269.77532.7
Gross Loss42357.02423.5710762.07107.6231594.95315.95
Commission Paid4043.151108.222934.93
Buy & Hold Return-4432.03-44.32
Max Equity Run-up36662.1778.58
Max Drawdown7433.5119.13
Max Contracts Held851597.0389513.0851597.0
Total Closed Trades153.075.078.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades81.038.043.0
Number Losing Trades72.037.035.0
Percent Profitable52.9450.6755.13
Avg P&l223.420.62166.770.49277.880.75
Avg Winning Trade944.932.81612.362.821238.832.81
Avg Losing Trade588.291.85290.871.91902.711.78
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.6062.1051.372
Largest Winning Trade2815.582389.492815.58
Largest Winning Trade Percent9.089.084.93
Largest Losing Trade1942.061738.761942.06
Largest Losing Trade Percent8.228.223.91
Avg # Bars In Trades7.08.06.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades9.010.08.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades4.05.04.0
Sharpe Ratio0.815
Sortino Ratio2.1
Profit Factor1.8072.1621.686
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit38652.86386.5310979.05109.7927673.81276.74
Gross Profit90445.31904.4524443.63244.4466001.67660.02
Gross Loss51792.45517.9213464.58134.6538327.87383.28
Commission Paid4864.251271.423592.83
Buy & Hold Return-6569.83-65.7
Max Equity Run-up38657.3179.46
Max Drawdown7433.5119.13
Max Contracts Held1018855.0429271.01018855.0
Total Closed Trades170.082.088.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades89.040.049.0
Number Losing Trades81.042.039.0
Percent Profitable52.3548.7855.68
Avg P&l227.370.6133.890.41314.480.77
Avg Winning Trade1016.242.81611.092.821346.972.8
Avg Losing Trade639.411.83320.591.88982.771.79
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.5891.9061.371
Largest Winning Trade3072.492389.493072.49
Largest Winning Trade Percent9.089.084.93
Largest Losing Trade2278.621738.762278.62
Largest Losing Trade Percent8.228.223.91
Avg # Bars In Trades7.08.07.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades9.010.09.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades5.05.04.0
Sharpe Ratio0.768
Sortino Ratio2.062
Profit Factor1.7461.8151.722
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy Value
Cumulative Return 386.53%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 18.21%
Sharpe Ratio 0.768
Profit Factor 1.746
Maximum Drawdown -19.13%
Volatility (Annualized) 13.58%

The strategy exhibits strong returns with a cumulative gain of 386.53%. The annualized return of 18.21% implies consistent growth over the observed period. The Sharpe ratio of 0.768 signifies a good risk-adjusted return, exceeding the acceptable threshold of 0.5. With a Profit Factor of 1.746, the strategy is generating revenue that significantly surpasses the costs. A maximum drawdown of 19.13% shows that the strategy maintains healthy risk management under the given conditions.

Strategy Viability

The data suggests this strategy is viable for real-world trading, especially in markets prone to volatility. It outperforms the benchmark, as evidenced by a Buy & Hold return of -65.7%. The strategy showcases resilience and potential for reliable profit generation. It’s worth understanding the periods when the strategy excels, which might suggest favorable market conditions.

Risk Management

The strategy displays effective risk management with a maximum drawdown well within the acceptable range under crypto trading standards. The low risk of ruin indicates a stable setup. However, further improvements can enhance this framework:

  • Utilize dynamic leverage adjustments to lower the max drawdown even further, thus maintaining better capital allocation.
  • Introduce comprehensive trailing stops on gains to secure profits proactively.
  • Incorporate more sophisticated volatility tracking to adjust entry and exit points.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy’s potential and robustness, consider:

  • Adjusting parameters for better risk-reward balance, especially around leverage utilization to minimize potential drawdowns.
  • Integrating additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit timings.
  • Conducting in-depth scenario analyses to assess strategy performance under varied market conditions.
  • Robust backtesting, including out-of-sample data, to ensure strategy stability over unforeseen shifts in market dynamics.

Final Opinion

In summary, this strategy demonstrates strong performance with significant returns, good risk-adjusted metrics, and a manageable drawdown profile. Its effectiveness in a volatile market context is commendable. While the strategy could benefit from additional refinement and stress testing, its current configuration holds promise.

Recommendation: Proceed with further optimization and stress testing to solidify its robustness and enhance the risk management framework to fortify against heightened market volatility.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
0.00
0.00
Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

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