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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
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schmidhip wolfbear polyxusdt 1h 29.07.2025

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TREND FOLLOWING 1 hour @schmidhip
● Live

Wolf & Bear [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [f2108eac]

🛡️ WOLFBEAR POLYXUSDT 1H 29.07.2025

Trading Pair
POLYX
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - August 12, 2025
0
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-1.68% Updated 3 hours ago
Total Return Primary
300.36%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
49.46%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.451
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-38.51%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
186
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Oct 29, 2023
790
Days
186
Trades
Last Trade
Dec 22, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-10-29 03:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.61
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.41
  • Calmar: -2.52
  • Longest DD Days: 22.00
  • Volatility: 14.11
  • Skew: 0.34
  • Kurtosis: -0.25
  • Expected Daily: 0.14
  • Expected Monthly: 3.07
  • Expected Yearly: 43.82
  • Kelly Criterion: 15.33
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -1.32
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -1.43
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-12-22 08:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 5
  • Number Winning Trades 92
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 94
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.52
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.45
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.48
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.45
  • Tail Ratio: 1.46
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.32
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.02
  • Serenity Index: 5.67

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
-17.27%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-54.64%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-54.51%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-60.44%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-9.90%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
-1.68%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-5.66%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-11.85%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-8.52%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-4.14%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
49.5%
Total Trades
186
Cumulative
300.36%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
87.71%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+14.77%
+7.75%
Simple P&L
+10.69%
+5.99%
Simple P&L
+10.72%
+5.89%
Simple P&L
2024
+26.51%
+7.41%
Simple P&L
-10.27%
-3.23%
Simple P&L
+13.57%
+6.14%
Simple P&L
+12.13%
+2.07%
Simple P&L
-6.76%
-1.68%
Simple P&L
-4.56%
-2.29%
Simple P&L
+29.41%
+6.28%
Simple P&L
+9.94%
+6.73%
Simple P&L
+22.20%
+4.41%
Simple P&L
+39.42%
+10.64%
Simple P&L
+19.54%
+4.94%
Simple P&L
+24.23%
+3.83%
Simple P&L
2025
+48.96%
+12.86%
Simple P&L
+59.77%
+10.68%
Simple P&L
-18.30%
+2.84%
Simple P&L
+7.76%
+3.96%
Simple P&L
-52.09%
-12.73%
Simple P&L
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Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

186

Number of Trades

300.36%

Cumulative Returns

49.46%

Win Rate

2025-07-29

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-5.66%

30 Days

-8.52%

60 Days

-11.85%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit33886.54338.8712399.17123.9921487.37214.87
Gross Profit75680.25756.822991.04229.9152689.21526.89
Gross Loss41793.71417.9410591.87105.9231201.85312.02
Expected Payoff221.48165.32275.48
Commission Paid4019.971101.742918.23
Buy & Hold Return-4432.03-44.32
Buy & Hold % Gain-44.32
Strategy Outperformance38318.57
Max Contracts Held846578386844.0846578.0
Annualized Return (cagr)131.3557.9991.64
Return On Initial Capital338.87123.99214.87
Account Size Required7273.61
Return On Account Size Required465.88170.47295.42
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)15 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)3056.1630.56
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)9407.3294.07
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)36338.4278.43
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)363.38
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)17 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)1731.8617.32
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown4.661.72.95
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)6844.2668.44
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)7273.6119.08
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)72.74
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1756.94719.61114.07
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.6410.215.23
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss4.6116.276.18
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades153.075.078.0
Number Winning Trades81.038.043.0
Number Losing Trades72.037.035.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable52.9450.6755.13
Avg P&l221.480.62165.320.49275.480.75
Avg Winning Trade934.322.8605.032.81225.332.79
Avg Losing Trade580.471.83286.271.9891.481.77
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.612.1141.374
Largest Winning Trade2756.642348.312756.64
Largest Winning Trade Percent9.089.084.93
Largest Losing Trade1928.721723.061928.72
Largest Losing Trade Percent8.228.223.91
Avg # Bars In Trades7.08.06.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades9.010.08.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades4.05.04.0
Sharpe Ratio0.817
Sortino Ratio2.114
Profit Factor1.8112.1711.689
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit30036.03300.368381.0383.8121655.0216.55
Gross Profit96604.31966.0424144.51241.4572459.8724.6
Gross Loss66568.28665.6815763.48157.6350804.8508.05
Expected Payoff161.4897.45216.55
Commission Paid5790.481386.24404.28
Buy & Hold Return-8166.11-81.66
Buy & Hold % Gain-81.66
Strategy Outperformance38202.14
Max Contracts Held2163940841208.02163940.0
Annualized Return (cagr)89.1232.2669.77
Return On Initial Capital300.3683.81216.55
Account Size Required8727.07
Return On Account Size Required344.1796.03248.14
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)15 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)3308.1433.08
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)9407.3294.07
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)40515.5880.21
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)405.16
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)21 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)2468.5724.69
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown3.440.962.48
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)8727.0787.27
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)8727.0719.08
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)87.27
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1326.97486.4956.7
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.149.734.19
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.410.934.46
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades186.086.0100.0
Number Winning Trades92.040.052.0
Number Losing Trades94.046.048.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable49.4646.5152.0
Avg P&l161.480.4797.450.32216.550.6
Avg Winning Trade1050.052.79603.612.811393.462.78
Avg Losing Trade708.171.8342.681.841058.431.76
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.4831.7611.317
Largest Winning Trade3033.422348.313033.42
Largest Winning Trade Percent9.089.084.93
Largest Losing Trade2263.511723.062263.51
Largest Losing Trade Percent8.228.223.91
Avg # Bars In Trades7.08.07.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades9.010.09.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades6.06.05.0
Sharpe Ratio0.606
Sortino Ratio1.412
Profit Factor1.4511.5321.426
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 300.36%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 12.99%
Sharpe Ratio 0.606
Profit Factor 1.451
Maximum Drawdown 19.08%
Volatility (Annualized) 14.11%

The strategy exhibits a cumulative gain of 300.36% with a respectable annualized return of 12.99%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.606 indicates an acceptable level of risk-adjusted return for crypto markets, with a profit factor showing reasonable profitability. Notably, the maximum drawdown of 19.08% is within a generally acceptable range, suggesting the strategy manages its downside risks relatively well.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy appears to be viable for real-world trading. It performs well under the observed conditions, especially when considering its risk-adjusted returns and ability to maintain acceptable drawdown levels. The strategy seems to thrive in moderately volatile conditions, as suggested by its volatility and drawdown figures. Monitoring market conditions closely will be crucial to capitalize on the strategy’s strengths consistently.

Risk Management

The strategy employs reasonable risk management techniques, reflected in its drawdown control and the gain/pain ratio of 1.45. However, there is room for enhancement by addressing certain aspects of its risk management setup:

  • Consider employing dynamic position sizing to optimize exposure relative to market volatility.
  • Further refine stop-loss mechanisms to reduce the impact of large losses.
  • Potentially adjust leverage usage to mitigate the risk of excessive drawdowns and improve long-term performance consistency.

Improvement Suggestions

To further enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize parameters related to entry and exit strategies for improved timing and profitability.
  • Explore additional technical indicators to enhance decision-making for trade initiation and closure.
  • Conduct out-of-sample and forward-testing to assess performance across varying market scenarios and confirm strategy resilience.
  • Review leverage usage as a means to decrease max drawdown and maintain a more stable performance trajectory.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy demonstrates promising performance with high cumulative returns and satisfactory risk-adjusted metrics. While there is a degree of volatility, the strategy’s management of drawdowns is commendable, indicating a solid foundational risk management approach. Nevertheless, continuous optimization and testing are advised to enhance robustness and adaptability across different market conditions.

Recommendation: Proceed with the strategy, incorporating the suggested optimizations. Continue testing to ensure the strategy's adaptability and robustness are enhanced for varied market environments, ultimately improving potential risk-adjusted returns.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
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1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
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Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

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The settings will of started to download in the background.

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