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DaviddTech
Traders should know
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schmidhip wolfbear polyxusdt 1h 29.07.2025

  • Homepage
TREND FOLLOWING 1 hour @schmidhip
● Live

Wolf & Bear [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [f2108eac]

🛡️ WOLFBEAR POLYXUSDT 1H 29.07.2025

Trading Pair
POLYX
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - August 12, 2025
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-0.64% Updated 6 hours ago
Total Return Primary
230.58%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
52.23%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
15.68%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.77
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-8.51%%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
157
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Oct 29, 2023
665
Days
157
Trades
Last Trade
Aug 23, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-10-29 03:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.76
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.95
  • Calmar: -3.38
  • Longest DD Days: 22.00
  • Volatility: 8.98
  • Skew: 0.27
  • Kurtosis: -0.38
  • Expected Daily: 0.13
  • Expected Monthly: 2.83
  • Expected Yearly: 39.81
  • Kelly Criterion: 21.75
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.85
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.93
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-08-23 08:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 5
  • Number Winning Trades 82
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 75
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -3.38
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.73
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.62
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.73
  • Tail Ratio: 1.48
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.28
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.01
  • Serenity Index: 8.53

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators


Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20230.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%11.67%7.76%7.39%
202415.47%-4.54%6.66%6.19%-2.22%-1.81%13.84%4.07%8.64%8.07%11.44%6.96%
202512.51%••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

4

Number of Trades

-2.51%

Cumulative Returns

25%

Win Rate

2025-07-29

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-2.51%

30 Days

11.82%

60 Days

11.22%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit23909.29239.098344.0183.4415565.28155.65
Gross Profit52622.86526.2315699.83157.036923.02369.23
Gross Loss28713.56287.147355.8273.5621357.74213.58
Commission Paid2762.14754.862007.28
Buy & Hold Return-4916.2-49.16
Max Equity Run-up25438.4771.79
Max Drawdown4677.9215.68
Max Contracts Held535818.0242100.0535818.0
Total Closed Trades153.075.078.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades81.038.043.0
Number Losing Trades72.037.035.0
Percent Profitable52.9450.6755.13
Avg P&l156.270.62111.250.49199.550.75
Avg Winning Trade649.662.81413.152.82858.672.81
Avg Losing Trade398.81.85198.811.91610.221.78
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.6292.0781.407
Largest Winning Trade1771.541555.041771.54
Largest Winning Trade Percent9.089.084.93
Largest Losing Trade1255.931097.961255.93
Largest Losing Trade Percent8.228.223.91
Avg # Bars In Trades7.08.06.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades9.010.08.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades4.05.04.0
Sharpe Ratio0.813
Sortino Ratio2.077
Profit Factor1.8332.1341.729
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit23058.42230.588008.7180.0915049.71150.5
Gross Profit53002.73530.0316079.71160.836923.02369.23
Gross Loss29944.32299.448071.080.7121873.32218.73
Commission Paid2831.75800.042031.71
Buy & Hold Return-4912.48-49.12
Max Equity Run-up25438.4771.79
Max Drawdown4677.9215.68
Max Contracts Held535818.0242100.0535818.0
Total Closed Trades157.078.079.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades82.039.043.0
Number Losing Trades75.039.036.0
Percent Profitable52.2350.054.43
Avg P&l146.870.59102.680.46190.50.72
Avg Winning Trade646.372.82412.32.82858.672.81
Avg Losing Trade399.261.84206.951.9607.591.78
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.6191.9921.413
Largest Winning Trade1771.541555.041771.54
Largest Winning Trade Percent9.089.084.93
Largest Losing Trade1255.931097.961255.93
Largest Losing Trade Percent8.228.223.91
Avg # Bars In Trades7.08.06.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades9.010.08.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades4.05.04.0
Sharpe Ratio0.756
Sortino Ratio1.949
Profit Factor1.771.9921.688
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 23,170
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 12.36%
Sharpe Ratio 0.76
Profit Factor 1.79
Maximum Drawdown 1,568
Volatility (Annualized) 9.01%

The strategy shows a cumulative net profit of 23,170, with an annualized return of 12.36%. With a Sharpe Ratio of 0.76, the strategy demonstrates good risk-adjusted performance, particularly for crypto trading. The Profit Factor of 1.79 indicates that the strategy earns $1.79 for every $1 lost. The maximum drawdown is reasonable, illustrating acceptable levels of risk.

Strategy Viability

Based on the provided data, this strategy appears quite viable for real-world trading within the observed market conditions. The acceptable maximum drawdown and solid cumulative returns suggest robustness and resilience over time. Current market conditions that align with this strategy’s strengths should be identified to ensure continued success.

Risk Management

The strategy employs solid risk management approaches, as indicated by the low maximum drawdown and zero margin calls. However, improvement opportunities do exist in terms of risk management:

  • Leverage utilization can be optimized to potentially reduce drawdowns without significantly impacting returns.
  • Implementing tighter stop-loss mechanisms to better manage potential downside risks.
  • Consider dynamic position sizing based on volatility and market conditions.

Improvement Suggestions

To further bolster the strategy’s performance and ensure durability, consider the following recommendations:

  • Explore parameter optimizations that could improve profitability while containing risk levels.
  • Add additional technical indicators to refine trade entry and exit points.
  • Expand backtesting to cover a broader range of market environments and conditions for enhanced reliability.
  • Increase robustness checks such as out-of-sample testing and walk-forward analysis to solidify strategy confidence.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy demonstrates commendable performance with favorable returns and solid risk-adjusted metrics. The existing framework is adept at managing risks, evidenced by a reasonable drawdown and swift recovery abilities. However, continuous refinement is essential to maintain effectiveness in varying market conditions.

Recommendation: Continue with the current strategy while implementing suggested improvements. Focus on further optimizations and robust testing to better adapt the risk management framework for enhanced strategic resilience.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
0.00
0.00
Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

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How-to import CSV files.

After Downloading the optimiser and installing it on your chrome browser, follow the steps in this video to upload the settings.

The settings will of started to download in the background.

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First add enter your TradingView username

To copy other members charts, is simple:

  • A new window in TradingView will of opened.
  • Simply navigate to the top right corner and click "copy" like in the image below.
  • This will copy the chart to your TradingView with all the shared settings.

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