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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
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  • Free Indicators
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    • Documentation
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schmidhip ttmstrend btcusdt 55m 20.05.2025

  • Homepage
55 minutes @schmidhip
● Live

TTMSTREND BTCUSDT 55M 20.05.2025

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - July 10, 2025
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 5 months ago
Total Return Primary
152.69%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
36.36%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.454
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-2.91%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
44
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Feb 9, 2024
927
Days
44
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 6, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2024-02-09 08:15:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.25
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.83
  • Calmar: -1.07
  • Longest DD Days: 16.00
  • Volatility: 33.58
  • Skew: 1.04
  • Kurtosis: 0.01
  • Expected Daily: 0.29
  • Expected Monthly: 6.33
  • Expected Yearly: 108.77
  • Kelly Criterion: 14.48
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -1.97
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -2.18
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-06 13:45:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 3
  • Number Winning Trades 16
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 5
  • Number Losing Trades: 28
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.07
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.60
  • Payoff Ratio: 2.54
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.60
  • Tail Ratio: 2.26
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 1.81
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.02
  • Serenity Index: 0.50

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-2.10%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-3.54%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
36.4%
Total Trades
44
Cumulative
-3.49%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
32.40%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2024
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-0.28%
+18.16%
Simple P&L
-2.70%
-6.15%
Simple P&L
+1.59%
+3.88%
Simple P&L
-1.43%
+2.01%
Simple P&L
+1.00%
-1.88%
Simple P&L
-0.12%
+3.39%
Simple P&L
-1.33%
-5.99%
Simple P&L
+0.56%
-2.59%
Simple P&L
+2.12%
+5.52%
Simple P&L
-2.69%
+6.99%
Simple P&L
-0.51%
-3.66%
Simple P&L
2025
+1.73%
-1.94%
Simple P&L
+0.19%
-1.74%
Simple P&L
+0.82%
+9.88%
Simple P&L
+0.15%
-3.36%
Simple P&L
+1.07%
+8.63%
Simple P&L
-1.46%
-2.09%
Simple P&L
+0.35%
+2.43%
Simple P&L
+0.27%
+5.31%
Simple P&L
+0.02%
-1.45%
Simple P&L
-1.05%
+2.49%
Simple P&L
-0.96%
-2.11%
Simple P&L
+0.99%
-5.95%
Simple P&L
2026
-0.07%
+6.16%
Simple P&L
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

44

Number of Trades

-3.49%

Cumulative Returns

36.36%

Win Rate

2025-05-20

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0%

30 Days

0%

60 Days

0%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit15268.68152.6917415.54174.16-2146.86-21.47
Gross Profit48900.11489.038042.24380.4210857.87108.58
Gross Loss33631.43336.3120626.7206.2713004.73130.05
Expected Payoff347.02621.98-134.18
Commission Paid2933.572089.18844.39
Buy & Hold Return5515.7855.16
Buy & Hold % Gain55.16
Strategy Outperformance9752.9
Max Contracts Held22.01.0
Annualized Return (cagr)51.7257.39-10.3
Return On Initial Capital152.69174.16-21.47
Account Size Required8860.97
Return On Account Size Required172.31196.54-24.23
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)56 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)5135.7551.36
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)7390.2473.9
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)23275.4970.01
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)232.75
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)101 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)4972.6649.73
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.721.97-0.24
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)7956.6979.57
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)8860.9729.76
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)88.61
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss537.46613.03-90.79
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit13.3217.1236.85
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss8.4513.7718.18
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades44.028.016.0
Number Winning Trades16.011.05.0
Number Losing Trades28.017.011.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable36.3639.2931.25
Avg P&l347.020.74621.980.99-134.180.3
Avg Winning Trade3056.266.23458.396.062171.576.5
Avg Losing Trade1201.122.391213.342.31182.252.52
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.5452.851.837
Largest Winning Trade6513.336513.334001.05
Largest Winning Trade Percent10.1510.159.53
Largest Losing Trade2840.892840.892364.7
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.663.663.36
Avg # Bars In Trades62.069.051.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades92.091.096.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades45.054.030.0
Sharpe Ratio0.252
Sortino Ratio0.831
Profit Factor1.4541.8440.835
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit15268.68152.6917415.54174.16-2146.86-21.47
Gross Profit48900.11489.038042.24380.4210857.87108.58
Gross Loss33631.43336.3120626.7206.2713004.73130.05
Expected Payoff347.02621.98-134.18
Commission Paid2933.572089.18844.39
Buy & Hold Return5515.7855.16
Buy & Hold % Gain55.16
Strategy Outperformance9752.9
Max Contracts Held22.01.0
Annualized Return (cagr)51.7257.39-10.3
Return On Initial Capital152.69174.16-21.47
Account Size Required8860.97
Return On Account Size Required172.31196.54-24.23
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)56 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)5135.7551.36
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)7390.2473.9
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)23275.4970.01
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)232.75
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)101 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)4972.6649.73
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.721.97-0.24
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)7956.6979.57
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)8860.9729.76
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)88.61
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss537.46613.03-90.79
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit13.3217.1236.85
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss8.4513.7718.18
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades44.028.016.0
Number Winning Trades16.011.05.0
Number Losing Trades28.017.011.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable36.3639.2931.25
Avg P&l347.020.74621.980.99-134.180.3
Avg Winning Trade3056.266.23458.396.062171.576.5
Avg Losing Trade1201.122.391213.342.31182.252.52
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.5452.851.837
Largest Winning Trade6513.336513.334001.05
Largest Winning Trade Percent10.1510.159.53
Largest Losing Trade2840.892840.892364.7
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.663.663.36
Avg # Bars In Trades62.069.051.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades92.091.096.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades45.054.030.0
Sharpe Ratio0.252
Sortino Ratio0.831
Profit Factor1.4541.8440.835
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 152.69%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 51.72%
Sharpe Ratio 0.252
Profit Factor 1.454
Maximum Drawdown (intrabar) 29.76%
Volatility (Annualized) 33.58%

The strategy demonstrates a solid cumulative return of 152.69% and a commendable annualized return of 51.72%. Despite a moderate maximum drawdown of 29.76%, which is below the 40% threshold, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.252 indicates potential room for enhancing the risk-adjusted performance.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy appears to be moderately viable for real-world trading. While the returns are promising, the low Sharpe Ratio suggests that the strategy may not yet deliver optimal risk-adjusted performance. Nonetheless, the maximum drawdown is within acceptable limits for the crypto market, providing a degree of downside protection. Evaluating the strategy under varying market conditions will uncover its robustness and identify optimal performance scenarios.

Risk Management

The strategy benefits from a maximum drawdown of 29.76%, which indicates decent risk management. However, given the low Sharpe Ratio, there is room to improve the risk profile further:

  • Consider reducing leverage to potentially lower the drawdown and enhance the Sharpe Ratio.
  • Integrate additional stop-loss mechanisms to mitigate potential losses further.
  • Implement dynamic position sizing based on market volatility for better risk exposure control.

Improvement Suggestions

To further bolster the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize strategy parameters to potentially improve the Sharpe Ratio while maintaining acceptable drawdowns.
  • Integrate more technical indicators to enhance the precision of trade entries and exits.
  • Conduct in-depth out-of-sample and forward-testing to ensure robustness across varied market environments.
  • Strengthen the risk management framework by exploring sophisticated adjustments such as stress testing and potential drawdown limits.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy presents good potential with its favorable returns and manageable drawdown. While the metrics reveal some areas for improvement, particularly concerning the Sharpe Ratio, employing strategic optimizations and enhancements will likely elevate its performance effectively.

Recommendation: Proceed with further optimization and testing while implementing recommended improvements. Adapt the risk management framework to support higher volatility and refine the strategy for increased robustness.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
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Transition Probabilities
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Win
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Edge Intact
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Stability Index
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
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Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

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