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DaviddTech
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schmidhip ttmstrend btcusdt 2h 04.02.2025

  • Homepage
2 hours @schmidhip
● Live

TTMSTREND BTCUSDT 2H 04.02.2025

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - July 10, 2025
0
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-139.31% Updated 2 weeks ago
Total Return Primary
19290.42%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
51.52%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
10.231
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-28.56%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
99
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Apr 6, 2022
1,457
Days
99
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 22, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2022-04-06 21:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.23
  • Sortino Ratio: 6.25
  • Calmar: -8.22
  • Longest DD Days: 19.00
  • Volatility: 108.44
  • Skew: 1.78
  • Kurtosis: 2.88
  • Expected Daily: 3.04
  • Expected Monthly: 87.65
  • Expected Yearly: 190,548.75
  • Kelly Criterion: 38.50
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.28
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.17
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-22 18:54:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 10
  • Number Winning Trades 51
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 12
  • Number Losing Trades: 48
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -8.22
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 4.49
  • Payoff Ratio: 4.58
  • Common Sense Ratio: 4.49
  • Tail Ratio: 5.64
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.74
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.04
  • Serenity Index: 130.99

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-139.31%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-139.31%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-139.31%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-139.31%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
49.5%
Total Trades
103
Cumulative
-44.11%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
607.48%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2022
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-8.33%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
-13.66%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+2.42%
-16.55%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+2.83%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+2.06%
-6.49%
Simple P&L
-0.39%
+3.25%
Simple P&L
2023
+0.74%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-13.78%
+199.29%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+12.52%
+2.80%
Simple P&L
+0.24%
+17.31%
Simple P&L
+1.47%
-76.43%
Simple P&L
-1.17%
+8.21%
Simple P&L
+1.25%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-1.47%
+49.10%
Simple P&L
-0.05%
-15.04%
Simple P&L
-4.71%
+140.22%
Simple P&L
-2.12%
-7.19%
Simple P&L
2024
+0.00%
-3.50%
Simple P&L
+8.15%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-7.01%
+310.04%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
-6.99%
Simple P&L
+0.51%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+2.12%
-13.78%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+10.07%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-1.85%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-8.98%
+179.91%
Simple P&L
-28.56%
-13.78%
Simple P&L
2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

103

Number of Trades

-44.11%

Cumulative Returns

49.51%

Win Rate

2025-02-04

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-139.31%

30 Days

-139.31%

60 Days

-139.31%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l-305749.46-15.77
Net Profit1929041.9719290.421734792.6917347.93194249.291942.49
Gross Profit2138024.6921380.251810791.4318107.91327233.263272.33
Gross Loss208982.712089.8375998.74759.99132983.971329.84
Expected Payoff19485.2726284.745886.34
Commission Paid17336.6811217.56119.17
Buy & Hold Return4699.7747.0
Buy & Hold % Gain47.0
Strategy Outperformance1924342.21
Max Contracts Held4241.042.0
Annualized Return (cagr)174.11168.6278.16
Return On Initial Capital19290.4217347.931942.49
Account Size Required433802.93
Return On Account Size Required444.68399.944.78
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)91 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)355371.243553.71
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)1004100.310041.0
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)2252912.499.61
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)22529.12
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)68 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)24705.72247.06
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown3.743.29-0.26
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)76470.6764.71
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)433802.9326.82
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)4338.03
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss3550.296272.89357.5
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit10.7212.6668.45
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss26.036.3940.86
Total Open Trades4.04.00.0
Total Closed Trades99.066.033.0
Number Winning Trades51.040.011.0
Number Losing Trades48.026.022.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable51.5260.6133.33
Avg P&l19485.277.5426284.7412.115886.34-1.59
Avg Winning Trade41922.0519.1745269.7922.2629748.487.93
Avg Losing Trade4353.814.812923.033.516044.736.35
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss9.62915.4874.921
Largest Winning Trade229158.6229158.6223987.02
Largest Winning Trade Percent52.1652.1610.07
Largest Losing Trade54334.7427655.454334.74
Largest Losing Trade Percent13.8513.8513.78
Avg # Bars In Trades167.0173.0154.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades231.0218.0278.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades99.0105.093.0
Sharpe Ratio0.233
Sortino Ratio6.245
Profit Factor10.23123.8272.461
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l-305693.02-15.77
Net Profit1929041.9719290.421734792.6917347.93194249.291942.49
Gross Profit2138024.6921380.251810791.4318107.91327233.263272.33
Gross Loss208982.712089.8375998.74759.99132983.971329.84
Expected Payoff19485.2726284.745886.34
Commission Paid17336.6811217.56119.17
Buy & Hold Return4701.2247.01
Buy & Hold % Gain47.01
Strategy Outperformance1924340.76
Max Contracts Held4241.042.0
Annualized Return (cagr)174.11168.6278.16
Return On Initial Capital19290.4217347.931942.49
Account Size Required433802.93
Return On Account Size Required444.68399.944.78
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)91 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)355371.243553.71
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)1004100.310041.0
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)2252912.499.61
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)22529.12
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)68 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)24705.72247.06
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown3.743.29-0.26
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)76470.6764.71
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)433802.9326.82
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)4338.03
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss3550.296272.89357.5
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit10.7212.6668.45
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss26.036.3940.86
Total Open Trades4.04.00.0
Total Closed Trades99.066.033.0
Number Winning Trades51.040.011.0
Number Losing Trades48.026.022.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable51.5260.6133.33
Avg P&l19485.277.5426284.7412.115886.34-1.59
Avg Winning Trade41922.0519.1745269.7922.2629748.487.93
Avg Losing Trade4353.814.812923.033.516044.736.35
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss9.62915.4874.921
Largest Winning Trade229158.6229158.6223987.02
Largest Winning Trade Percent52.1652.1610.07
Largest Losing Trade54334.7427655.454334.74
Largest Losing Trade Percent13.8513.8513.78
Avg # Bars In Trades167.0173.0154.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades231.0218.0278.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades99.0105.093.0
Sharpe Ratio0.233
Sortino Ratio6.245
Profit Factor10.23123.8272.461
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Value
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 174.11%
Sharpe Ratio 0.233
Profit Factor 10.231
Maximum Drawdown (intra-bar %) 26.82%
Volatility 108.44%
Net Profit % 19290.42%

The strategy exhibits a compelling net profit of 19290.42% with an annualized return of 174.11%, reflecting its potential for exceptional growth. Despite a Sharpe Ratio of 0.233, which is below the 0.5 threshold traditionally enjoyed in crypto, a high profit factor of 10.231 illustrates robust profitability whereby gains significantly outweigh losses. The maximum drawdown of 26.82% remains well within the acceptable range, suggesting controlled downside risk.

Strategy Viability

Based on the provided data, this strategy appears viable for real-world trading, particularly under existing conditions. While the Sharpe Ratio indicates room for improved risk-adjusted returns, the strategy’s notable outperformance over the buy-and-hold benchmark by 1924340.76% underscores its promise. It's important to ensure that the market environments where it excels are likely to persist to sustain these returns.

Risk Management

The strategy demonstrates effective risk management with a maximum drawdown under 40%. However, the high volatility of 108.44% suggests an opportunity to better stabilize performance fluctuations. Considerations for refining risk management might include:

  • Reducing leverage to further lower drawdown risk without negatively impacting overall returns.
  • Enhancing stop-loss strategies to swiftly curb potential losses during trades with adverse movements.
  • Emphasizing portfolio diversification to lessen dependence on specific market conditions or asset movements.

Improvement Suggestions

To bolster the strategy's performance and ensure robustness, embrace the following recommendations:

  • Explore parameter optimization focused on minimizing drawdowns and enhancing risk-adjusted returns.
  • Integrate broader technical indicators to refine entry and exit timing, enhancing trade precision.
  • Prioritize forward-testing across diverse market conditions to verify stability and adaptability.
  • Expand the risk management framework using advanced techniques, such as Monte Carlo simulations, to project potential future outcomes and stress scenarios.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy demonstrates tremendous upside potential with high returns and commendable profitability metrics. Although the volatility indicator denotes higher than desired fluctuation levels, the overall drawdown control and profit factor signify proficient risk management practices at play. Continuing to refine strategy parameters and risk measures could unlock further benefits and enhance overall strategy robustness.

Recommendation: Continue with strategic testing and optimization efforts to ensure robustness in various market scenarios. Strengthen the risk management framework to adeptly manage inherent market volatility.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
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Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
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Win
Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
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Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

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