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Traders should know
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schmidhip ttmstrend btcusdt 2h 04.02.2025

  • Homepage
2 hours @schmidhip
● Live

TTMSTREND BTCUSDT 2H 04.02.2025

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - July 10, 2025
0
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +15.55% Updated 18 hours ago
Total Return Primary
67217.74%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
52.48%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
26.82%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
10.265
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
218%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
101
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 7, 2022
1,394
Days
101
Trades
Last Trade
Nov 1, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2022-01-07 16:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.23
  • Sortino Ratio: 7.64
  • Calmar: -12.02
  • Longest DD Days: 19.00
  • Volatility: 146.02
  • Skew: 1.90
  • Kurtosis: 3.45
  • Expected Daily: 4.41
  • Expected Monthly: 147.54
  • Expected Yearly: 5,294,656.89
  • Kelly Criterion: 49.09
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -2.66
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -3.86
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-11-01 02:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 10
  • Number Winning Trades 53
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 12
  • Number Losing Trades: 48
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -12.02
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 10.45
  • Payoff Ratio: 8.80
  • Common Sense Ratio: 10.45
  • Tail Ratio: 8.52
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.81
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.05
  • Serenity Index: 560.75

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+15.55%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+15.55%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+15.55%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+15.55%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+15.55%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
54.3%
Total Trades
105
Cumulative
67,452.47%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
1,568.15%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2020
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+247.21%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
2022
+0.00%
+805.81%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-9.53%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
-13.66%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-8.52%
-16.55%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-3.24%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-6.04%
-6.49%
Simple P&L
+9.17%
+3.25%
Simple P&L
2023
+2,585.12%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-151.77%
+199.29%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+78.30%
+2.80%
Simple P&L
+73.75%
+17.31%
Simple P&L
-333.32%
-76.43%
Simple P&L
-169.21%
+8.21%
Simple P&L
+3,498.98%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-516.74%
+49.10%
Simple P&L
+8,708.42%
-15.04%
Simple P&L
+132.71%
+140.22%
Simple P&L
-610.75%
-7.19%
Simple P&L
2024
+0.00%
-3.50%
Simple P&L
+23,391.58%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-1,036.32%
+310.04%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
-6.99%
Simple P&L
-456.48%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+6,614.13%
-13.78%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+10.07%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+27,083.20%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-1,886.18%
+179.91%
Simple P&L
+218.00%
-13.78%
Simple P&L
2025
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

105

Number of Trades

67452.47%

Cumulative Returns

54.29%

Win Rate

2025-02-04

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

15.55%

30 Days

15.55%

60 Days

15.55%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l-123937.07-1.84
Net Profit6721774.0167217.746047383.9660473.84674390.056743.9
Gross Profit7447292.574472.936311236.1663112.361136056.3411360.56
Gross Loss725518.497255.18263852.22638.52461666.294616.66
Commission Paid60207.9838964.0421243.94
Buy & Hold Return114674.651146.75
Max Equity Run-up7842204.7399.87
Max Drawdown666429.4426.82
Max Contracts Held146.0144.0146.0
Total Closed Trades101.068.033.0
Total Open Trades4.04.00.0
Number Winning Trades53.042.011.0
Number Losing Trades48.026.022.0
Percent Profitable52.4861.7633.33
Avg P&l66552.2215.3788932.1223.620436.06-1.59
Avg Winning Trade140514.9533.65150267.5340.39103277.857.93
Avg Losing Trade15114.974.8110148.163.5120984.836.35
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss9.29614.8074.922
Largest Winning Trade795594.8795594.8777617.34
Largest Winning Trade Percent408.02408.0210.07
Largest Losing Trade188617.7296010.88188617.72
Largest Losing Trade Percent13.8513.8513.78
Avg # Bars In Trades311.0386.0154.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades502.0561.0278.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades99.0105.093.0
Sharpe Ratio0.245
Sortino Ratio8.172
Profit Factor10.26523.922.461
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l116213.871.73
Net Profit6721774.0167217.746047383.9660473.84674390.056743.9
Gross Profit7447292.574472.936311236.1663112.361136056.3411360.56
Gross Loss725518.497255.18263852.22638.52461666.294616.66
Commission Paid60207.9838964.0421243.94
Buy & Hold Return124925.241249.25
Max Equity Run-up7842204.7399.87
Max Drawdown1087942.9926.82
Max Contracts Held146.0144.0146.0
Total Closed Trades101.068.033.0
Total Open Trades4.04.00.0
Number Winning Trades53.042.011.0
Number Losing Trades48.026.022.0
Percent Profitable52.4861.7633.33
Avg P&l66552.2215.3788932.1223.620436.06-1.59
Avg Winning Trade140514.9533.65150267.5340.39103277.857.93
Avg Losing Trade15114.974.8110148.163.5120984.836.35
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss9.29614.8074.922
Largest Winning Trade795594.8795594.8777617.34
Largest Winning Trade Percent408.02408.0210.07
Largest Losing Trade188617.7296010.88188617.72
Largest Losing Trade Percent13.8513.8513.78
Avg # Bars In Trades311.0386.0154.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades502.0561.0278.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades99.0105.093.0
Sharpe Ratio0.228
Sortino Ratio7.638
Profit Factor10.26523.922.461
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics warrant close attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 67217.74%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 203.58%
Sharpe Ratio 0.228
Profit Factor 10.265
Maximum Drawdown 26.82%
Volatility (Annualized) 146.02%

The strategy exhibits exceedingly high cumulative returns of 67217.74% and an annualized return of 203.58%, which are remarkable figures. However, the Sharpe ratio of 0.228 suggests that despite the high returns, the risk-adjusted performance could be improved. On a positive note, the profit factor of 10.265 is extremely strong, indicating substantial profitability over losses. The maximum drawdown of 26.82% is acceptable, staying below the critical threshold of 40%, showing effective constraint on downside risk.

Strategy Viability

This strategy holds potential for real-world trading primarily owing to its high returns and robust profit factor. However, the relatively low Sharpe ratio implies that the returns come with significant volatility, which is typical in crypto markets but needs attention for risk-adjusted assessment. It's crucial to assess the specific market conditions driving these results to determine if the strategy can replicate this performance under different market scenarios.

Risk Management

While the strategy shows positive risk management indicators such as a 0% risk of ruin and no margin calls, the high annualized volatility of 146.02% suggests room for improvement in managing daily account fluctuations. To improve the strategy's risk management:

  • Consider using dynamic position sizing to modulate exposure according to market volatility.
  • Incorporate additional stop-loss rules to ensure better loss limitation.
  • Explore using less leverage, which would help reduce potential maximum drawdowns further.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy’s validity and performance, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize strategy parameters to maintain high returns while boosting the Sharpe ratio.
  • Expand the set of technical indicators to fine-tune entry and exit signals.
  • Conduct out-of-sample testing to confirm the strategy's robustness across various market conditions.
  • Refine the risk management framework by integrating advanced techniques such as stress testing and scenario analysis.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy impressively balances high returns with manageable drawdowns, although it could benefit from improved risk-adjusted returns. High volatility remains a challenge, but this also aligns with the characteristics of the crypto markets. Nevertheless, further optimizations would strengthen its robustness and adaptability.

Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and optimization, implementing suggested improvements to enhance risk management and explore the strategy’s performance under diverse market conditions. The potential for substantial gains is evident, and strategic refinements could improve risk-adjusted returns significantly.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

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