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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
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  • Free Indicators
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schmidhip ttmstrend btcusdt 2h 04.02.2025

  • Homepage
2 hours @schmidhip
● Live

TTMSTREND BTCUSDT 2H 04.02.2025

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - July 10, 2025
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 4 weeks ago
Total Return Primary
68471.76%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
52.48%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
26.77%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
10.374
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
0%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
101
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 7, 2022
1,368
Days
101
Trades
Last Trade
Sep 11, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2022-01-07 16:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.23
  • Sortino Ratio: 7.86
  • Calmar: -13.07
  • Longest DD Days: 19.00
  • Volatility: 146.24
  • Skew: 1.90
  • Kurtosis: 3.47
  • Expected Daily: 4.45
  • Expected Monthly: 149.36
  • Expected Yearly: 5,780,921.19
  • Kelly Criterion: 49.22
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -2.66
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -3.85
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-09-11 03:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 10
  • Number Winning Trades 53
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 12
  • Number Losing Trades: 48
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -13.07
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 10.71
  • Payoff Ratio: 9.02
  • Common Sense Ratio: 10.71
  • Tail Ratio: 8.55
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.80
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.05
  • Serenity Index: 627.74

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+31.49%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+31.49%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+31.49%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+31.49%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
54.3%
Total Trades
105
Cumulative
69,119.92%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
1,587.63%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2020
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+247.26%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
2022
+0.00%
+806.11%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-9.48%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
-13.61%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-8.45%
-16.40%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-3.08%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-5.93%
-6.33%
Simple P&L
+9.75%
+3.46%
Simple P&L
2023
+2,598.96%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-152.16%
+199.60%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+81.43%
+2.92%
Simple P&L
+74.57%
+17.40%
Simple P&L
-330.24%
-76.07%
Simple P&L
-169.56%
+8.40%
Simple P&L
+3,545.52%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-513.08%
+49.34%
Simple P&L
+8,849.95%
-14.89%
Simple P&L
+136.47%
+140.49%
Simple P&L
-603.88%
-7.01%
Simple P&L
2024
+0.00%
-3.44%
Simple P&L
+23,797.71%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-1,048.96%
+310.33%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
-6.96%
Simple P&L
-457.30%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+6,755.89%
-13.70%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+10.10%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+27,604.87%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-1,916.10%
+180.15%
Simple P&L
+635.76%
-13.75%
Simple P&L
2025
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

105

Number of Trades

69119.92%

Cumulative Returns

54.29%

Win Rate

2025-02-04

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

31.49%

30 Days

31.49%

60 Days

31.49%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l240844.43.51
Net Profit6847176.1368471.766156953.0661569.53690223.066902.23
Gross Profit7577600.9975776.016421098.8264210.991156502.1711565.02
Gross Loss730424.867304.25264145.762641.46466279.14662.79
Commission Paid44449.1328779.815669.34
Buy & Hold Return130056.571300.57
Max Equity Run-up7985222.599.87
Max Drawdown1107232.826.77
Max Contracts Held147.0146.0147.0
Total Closed Trades101.068.033.0
Total Open Trades4.04.00.0
Number Winning Trades53.042.011.0
Number Losing Trades48.026.022.0
Percent Profitable52.4861.7633.33
Avg P&l67793.8215.4190543.4323.6420915.85-1.56
Avg Winning Trade142973.633.69152883.3140.43105136.567.96
Avg Losing Trade15217.184.7810159.453.4821194.56.32
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss9.39615.0484.961
Largest Winning Trade810799.75810799.75793321.55
Largest Winning Trade Percent408.17408.1710.1
Largest Losing Trade191610.1696864.61191610.16
Largest Losing Trade Percent13.8213.8213.75
Avg # Bars In Trades311.0386.0154.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades502.0561.0278.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades99.0105.093.0
Sharpe Ratio0.232
Sortino Ratio7.858
Profit Factor10.37424.3092.48
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l240844.43.51
Net Profit6847176.1368471.766156953.0661569.53690223.066902.23
Gross Profit7577600.9975776.016421098.8264210.991156502.1711565.02
Gross Loss730424.867304.25264145.762641.46466279.14662.79
Commission Paid44449.1328779.815669.34
Buy & Hold Return130056.571300.57
Max Equity Run-up7985222.599.87
Max Drawdown1107232.826.77
Max Contracts Held147.0146.0147.0
Total Closed Trades101.068.033.0
Total Open Trades4.04.00.0
Number Winning Trades53.042.011.0
Number Losing Trades48.026.022.0
Percent Profitable52.4861.7633.33
Avg P&l67793.8215.4190543.4323.6420915.85-1.56
Avg Winning Trade142973.633.69152883.3140.43105136.567.96
Avg Losing Trade15217.184.7810159.453.4821194.56.32
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss9.39615.0484.961
Largest Winning Trade810799.75810799.75793321.55
Largest Winning Trade Percent408.17408.1710.1
Largest Losing Trade191610.1696864.61191610.16
Largest Losing Trade Percent13.8213.8213.75
Avg # Bars In Trades311.0386.0154.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades502.0561.0278.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades99.0105.093.0
Sharpe Ratio0.232
Sortino Ratio7.858
Profit Factor10.37424.3092.48
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 68471.76%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 219.72%
Sharpe Ratio 0.232
Profit Factor 10.374
Maximum Drawdown 26.77%
Volatility (Annualized) 146.24%

The strategy achieves a formidable cumulative return of 68471.76% with an impressive annualized return of 219.72%, suggesting strong profitability. Although the Sharpe Ratio of 0.232 is below the desirable threshold for crypto, the Profit Factor of 10.374 indicates excellent efficiency in generating returns relative to losses. The maximum drawdown of 26.77% is below 40%, which is positive, considering the high volatility.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy appears to be promising for real-world trading under the observed conditions. While the performance significantly surpasses typical benchmarks in terms of net profit and profit factor, the low Sharpe ratio highlights a need for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. Identifying market conditions that optimize this strategy's profitability will be key to its long-term success.

Risk Management

The strategy's current risk management is effective in terms of controlling drawdowns and maintaining a Profit Factor of over 10. However, the elevated volatility suggests areas for further enhancement. Consider the following:

  • Integrate dynamic position sizing to adapt to market volatility conditions more appropriately.
  • Employ additional protective measures, such as trailing stop-losses, to curb potential losses.
  • Reduce leverage to further minimize drawdowns, thus enhancing strategy resilience.

Improvement Suggestions

The following recommendations may further bolster the strategy’s performance and robustness:

  • Optimize strategy parameters, such as entry and exit points, to elevate risk-adjusted returns.
  • Expand technical indicator use to refine trading decisions and adapt to varying market conditions.
  • Conduct comprehensive out-of-sample and forward-testing to ensure the strategy’s viability across diverse scenarios.
  • Enhance volatility management through more sophisticated algorithms, potentially stabilizing returns amidst market fluctuations.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy exhibits excellent profitability with a high profit factor and favorable drawdown metrics. However, the Sharpe ratio suggests the need for better risk-adjusted performance and volatility management. Optimization and further testing are recommended to fully leverage the strategy’s strengths while addressing areas of potential improvement.

Recommendation: Proceed with further optimization and testing. Focus on refining risk management techniques and optimizing parameters to enhance both return and risk metrics, ultimately achieving a more balanced and robust trading approach.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
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Edge Strength
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Win
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Edge Intact
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
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Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

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