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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
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schmidhip trendtornado 1h btcusdt 15.10.2024

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TREND FOLOWING 1 hour @schmidhip
● Live

Trend Tornado by @DaviddTech 🤖 [9483d1f8]

🛡️ TRENDTORNADO 1H BTCUSDT 15.10.2024

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - November 17, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-2.33% Updated 3 days ago
Total Return Primary
710.43%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
54.87%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.255
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
0.09%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
195
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 21, 2023
1,137
Days
195
Trades
Last Trade
Feb 25, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-01-21 18:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.39
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.09
  • Calmar: -0.92
  • Longest DD Days: 43.00
  • Volatility: 38.82
  • Skew: 0.03
  • Kurtosis: -0.18
  • Expected Daily: 0.30
  • Expected Monthly: 6.55
  • Expected Yearly: 114.00
  • Kelly Criterion: 12.32
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.92
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.48
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-02-25 09:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 7
  • Number Winning Trades 107
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 5
  • Number Losing Trades: 88
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.92
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.29
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.04
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.29
  • Tail Ratio: 1.07
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.73
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.70
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.07
  • Serenity Index: 1.81

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-0.47%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+0.02%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-0.37%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-0.48%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.60%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+2.59%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+3.65%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+6.25%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
54.9%
Total Trades
195
Cumulative
-2.28%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
55.76%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
-2.06%
-0.64%
Simple P&L
-1.01%
-4.10%
Simple P&L
+2.45%
+9.56%
Simple P&L
-3.06%
-4.84%
Simple P&L
+2.13%
-2.43%
Simple P&L
-0.66%
+6.12%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.28%
+3.84%
Simple P&L
+0.15%
+1.07%
Simple P&L
-2.10%
+2.86%
Simple P&L
+1.69%
+2.74%
Simple P&L
+0.48%
+0.47%
Simple P&L
2024
-0.55%
-1.45%
Simple P&L
+1.50%
+19.50%
Simple P&L
-1.97%
+2.99%
Simple P&L
+1.18%
+5.75%
Simple P&L
+1.49%
-1.43%
Simple P&L
-0.39%
+2.72%
Simple P&L
-1.11%
+7.36%
Simple P&L
-1.18%
+1.92%
Simple P&L
+0.54%
-2.09%
Simple P&L
+0.40%
+4.19%
Simple P&L
-0.84%
+2.26%
Simple P&L
-0.93%
+0.54%
Simple P&L
2025
+1.50%
+0.01%
Simple P&L
-1.85%
-2.13%
Simple P&L
+2.40%
-4.85%
Simple P&L
+0.08%
+1.17%
Simple P&L
-0.29%
+4.63%
Simple P&L
+0.36%
-6.17%
Simple P&L
-0.17%
+5.55%
Simple P&L
-0.43%
-5.61%
Simple P&L
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2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

195

Number of Trades

-2.28%

Cumulative Returns

54.87%

Win Rate

2024-10-15

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0.6%

30 Days

3.65%

60 Days

2.59%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit71043.16710.4379082.21790.82-8039.05-80.39
Gross Profit349832.233498.32189146.441891.46160685.781606.86
Gross Loss278789.072787.89110064.231100.64168724.841687.25
Expected Payoff364.32878.69-76.56
Commission Paid36520.3316631.0619889.27
Buy & Hold Return19284.85192.85
Buy & Hold % Gain192.85
Strategy Outperformance51758.31
Max Contracts Held66.06.0
Annualized Return (cagr)93.6299.49-40.22
Return On Initial Capital710.43790.82-80.39
Account Size Required47021.68
Return On Account Size Required151.09168.18-17.1
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)32 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)10906.69109.07
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)36615.6366.16
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)117441.292.67
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)1174.41
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)34 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)10403.99104.04
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.511.68-0.17
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)43409.74434.1
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)47021.6839.15
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)470.22
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss652.66726.51-86.89
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.897.194.98
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.99.895.48
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades195.090.0105.0
Number Winning Trades107.052.055.0
Number Losing Trades88.038.050.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable54.8757.7852.38
Avg P&l364.320.29878.690.68-76.56-0.05
Avg Winning Trade3269.462.33637.432.632921.562.0
Avg Losing Trade3168.062.172896.431.993374.52.3
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0321.2560.866
Largest Winning Trade13601.4513601.457999.78
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.595.593.54
Largest Losing Trade10885.2110885.219252.41
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.113.934.11
Avg # Bars In Trades18.022.015.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades19.026.013.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades17.017.017.0
Sharpe Ratio0.394
Sortino Ratio1.088
Profit Factor1.2551.7190.952
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit71043.16710.4379082.21790.82-8039.05-80.39
Gross Profit349832.233498.32189146.441891.46160685.781606.86
Gross Loss278789.072787.89110064.231100.64168724.841687.25
Expected Payoff364.32878.69-76.56
Commission Paid36520.3316631.0619889.27
Buy & Hold Return19284.85192.85
Buy & Hold % Gain192.85
Strategy Outperformance51758.31
Max Contracts Held66.06.0
Annualized Return (cagr)93.6299.49-40.22
Return On Initial Capital710.43790.82-80.39
Account Size Required47021.68
Return On Account Size Required151.09168.18-17.1
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)32 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)10906.69109.07
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)36615.6366.16
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)117441.292.67
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)1174.41
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)34 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)10403.99104.04
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.511.68-0.17
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)43409.74434.1
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)47021.6839.15
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)470.22
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss652.66726.51-86.89
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.897.194.98
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.99.895.48
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades195.090.0105.0
Number Winning Trades107.052.055.0
Number Losing Trades88.038.050.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable54.8757.7852.38
Avg P&l364.320.29878.690.68-76.56-0.05
Avg Winning Trade3269.462.33637.432.632921.562.0
Avg Losing Trade3168.062.172896.431.993374.52.3
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0321.2560.866
Largest Winning Trade13601.4513601.457999.78
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.595.593.54
Largest Losing Trade10885.2110885.219252.41
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.113.934.11
Avg # Bars In Trades18.022.015.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades19.026.013.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades17.017.017.0
Sharpe Ratio0.394
Sortino Ratio1.088
Profit Factor1.2551.7190.952
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, the performance metrics reveal insightful details regarding the strategy's execution:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 710.43%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 93.62%
Sharpe Ratio 0.394
Profit Factor 1.255
Maximum Drawdown (close-to-close) 434.1%
Maximum Drawdown (intrabar) 39.15%
Volatility (Annualized) 38.82%
Percent Profitable 54.87%

The cumulative return of 710.43% and annualized return of 93.62% highlight the strong profitability potential of the strategy. However, the Sharpe ratio of 0.394, while below the ideal threshold for crypto, suggests there is room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. The maximum intrabar drawdown is within acceptable limits at 39.15%, but the close-to-close variant merits attention for risk management enhancement.

Strategy Viability

This strategy shows viability in generating substantial returns, particularly under favorable market conditions. However, the Sharpe ratio indicates that the risk-adjusted performance could be enhanced. Given its reward profile, further tuning might elevate it to exceed industry benchmarks, especially under persistently volatile market conditions which the strategy seems optimized to endure.

Risk Management

The risk management framework could be strengthened, particularly in mitigating drawdowns and enhancing the strategy’s stability. Notable recommendations for improvement include:

  • Refining leverage usage to limit exposure and reduce drawdowns, thus optimizing the risk/reward ratio.
  • Implementing more sophisticated stop-loss strategies to protect against large losses.
  • Evaluating dynamic position sizing to coherently align with volatility shifts.

Improvement Suggestions

To boost the strategy's robustness and performance, consider:

  • Fine-tuning strategy parameters to align better with market conditions and enhance risk-adjusted returns.
  • Integrating additional market indicators for diversified insights into trade decisions.
  • Engaging in thorough out-of-sample and forward-testing to ensure consistency across different market environments.
  • Enhancing risk management protocols by adopting advanced techniques, including stress testing and utilizing Value-at-Risk (VaR).

Final Opinion

Overall, this strategy presents significant strengths in profitability and trade consistency. Yet, there's room for improvement in its risk-adjusted performance, indicated by its drawdown and Sharpe ratio. Optimizing risk management and leveraging dynamic market insights could make this strategy more robust and adaptable.

Recommendation: Proceed with continuous optimization and further testing. Leverage the suggestions to minimize drawdowns and enhance overall performance, aligning better with the strategy’s risk-return matrix in volatile markets.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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