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DaviddTech
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schmidhip trendtornado 1h btcusdt 15.10.2024

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TREND FOLOWING 1 hour @schmidhip
● Live

Trend Tornado by @DaviddTech 🤖 [9483d1f8]

🛡️ TRENDTORNADO 1H BTCUSDT 15.10.2024

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - November 17, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0.77% Updated 43 minutes ago
Total Return Primary
2856.76%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
56.23%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.326
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
1.77%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
297
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Apr 30, 2020
2,092
Days
297
Trades
Last Trade
Jan 21, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-04-30 01:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.40
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.17
  • Calmar: -0.89
  • Longest DD Days: 34.00
  • Volatility: 51.53
  • Skew: 0.14
  • Kurtosis: 0.45
  • Expected Daily: 0.50
  • Expected Monthly: 11.05
  • Expected Yearly: 251.78
  • Kelly Criterion: 12.55
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -4.93
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -6.30
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-01-21 08:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 7
  • Number Winning Trades 167
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 5
  • Number Losing Trades: 130
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.89
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.29
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.01
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.29
  • Tail Ratio: 1.10
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 3.09
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.97
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.08
  • Serenity Index: 4.94

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.38%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+1.31%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+1.64%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-0.09%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+0.77%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.17%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+1.35%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+5.85%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-0.46%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-1.66%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
56.0%
Total Trades
298
Cumulative
-0.60%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
123.31%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2020
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-3.84%
+2.06%
Simple P&L
+0.83%
-5.67%
Simple P&L
-0.02%
-2.01%
Simple P&L
-0.66%
+0.08%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.07%
+6.63%
Simple P&L
+2.59%
+2.91%
Simple P&L
-0.13%
+6.19%
Simple P&L
-1.96%
+13.64%
Simple P&L
2021
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.24%
-8.17%
Simple P&L
-1.07%
+3.22%
Simple P&L
+0.53%
-1.42%
Simple P&L
+0.22%
-3.26%
Simple P&L
+0.06%
+10.24%
Simple P&L
+2.08%
+5.12%
Simple P&L
-1.02%
-0.16%
Simple P&L
+0.38%
+1.50%
Simple P&L
-1.05%
+7.15%
Simple P&L
+0.08%
-5.44%
Simple P&L
+1.68%
-0.60%
Simple P&L
2022
-1.36%
+4.49%
Simple P&L
+0.33%
+5.45%
Simple P&L
-0.17%
+8.01%
Simple P&L
-0.59%
+0.35%
Simple P&L
+1.25%
+13.06%
Simple P&L
+0.30%
-1.00%
Simple P&L
-1.88%
+0.07%
Simple P&L
+2.71%
-0.86%
Simple P&L
-2.38%
-1.67%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-3.05%
-2.74%
Simple P&L
+4.99%
+2.16%
Simple P&L
2023
-1.22%
+9.88%
Simple P&L
-1.01%
-4.10%
Simple P&L
+2.45%
+9.56%
Simple P&L
-3.06%
-4.84%
Simple P&L
+2.13%
-2.43%
Simple P&L
-0.66%
+6.12%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.28%
+3.84%
Simple P&L
+0.15%
+1.07%
Simple P&L
-2.10%
+2.86%
Simple P&L
+1.69%
+2.74%
Simple P&L
+0.48%
+0.47%
Simple P&L
2024
-0.55%
-1.45%
Simple P&L
+1.50%
+19.50%
Simple P&L
-1.97%
+2.99%
Simple P&L
+1.18%
+5.75%
Simple P&L
+1.49%
-1.43%
Simple P&L
-0.39%
+2.72%
Simple P&L
-1.11%
+7.36%
Simple P&L
-1.01%
+1.92%
Simple P&L
+0.54%
-2.09%
Simple P&L
+0.40%
+4.19%
Simple P&L
-0.84%
+2.26%
Simple P&L
-0.93%
+0.54%
Simple P&L
2025
+1.50%
+0.01%
Simple P&L
-1.85%
-2.13%
Simple P&L
+2.40%
-4.85%
Simple P&L
+0.08%
+1.17%
Simple P&L
-0.29%
+4.63%
Simple P&L
+0.36%
-6.17%
Simple P&L
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2026
••••
Login to see results
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

298

Number of Trades

-0.6%

Cumulative Returns

56.04%

Win Rate

2024-10-15

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

1.35%

30 Days

-0.46%

60 Days

5.85%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit186315.361863.15120445.161204.4565870.2658.7
Gross Profit412229.364122.29240576.922405.77171652.441716.52
Gross Loss2259142259.14120131.761201.32105782.241057.82
Expected Payoff874.721105.0633.37
Commission Paid33158.3317087.3216071.01
Buy & Hold Return66817.05668.17
Buy & Hold % Gain668.17
Strategy Outperformance119498.32
Max Contracts Held1313.012.0
Annualized Return (cagr)92.0975.6255.95
Return On Initial Capital1863.151204.45658.7
Account Size Required49998.2
Return On Account Size Required372.64240.9131.75
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)44 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)14253.72142.54
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)53009.66530.1
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)217959.2895.69
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)2179.59
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)34 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)8993.0389.93
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown3.732.411.32
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)48633.59486.34
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)49998.231.27
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)499.98
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1365.41882.68559.85
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit4.78.057.49
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss6.0411.3611.12
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades213.0109.0104.0
Number Winning Trades124.063.061.0
Number Losing Trades89.046.043.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable58.2257.858.65
Avg P&l874.720.571105.00.82633.370.31
Avg Winning Trade3324.432.733818.683.122813.972.33
Avg Losing Trade2538.362.442611.562.342460.052.55
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.311.4621.144
Largest Winning Trade19364.5519364.5512861.32
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.595.593.84
Largest Losing Trade13645.3313645.3311765.76
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.033.935.03
Avg # Bars In Trades21.024.018.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades22.027.017.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades20.019.021.0
Sharpe Ratio0.462
Sortino Ratio2.552
Profit Factor1.8252.0031.623
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l-6564.3-2.22
Net Profit285675.752856.76271577.222715.7714098.53140.99
Gross Profit1163195.5111631.96654725.146547.25508470.375084.7
Gross Loss877519.768775.2383147.923831.48494371.844943.72
Expected Payoff961.871912.5290.96
Commission Paid118329.7956877.0261452.77
Buy & Hold Return93573.88935.74
Buy & Hold % Gain935.74
Strategy Outperformance192101.87
Max Contracts Held2121.019.0
Annualized Return (cagr)78.7877.2916.29
Return On Initial Capital2856.762715.77140.99
Account Size Required154325.83
Return On Account Size Required185.11175.989.14
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)43 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)26467.62264.68
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)120176.091201.76
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)406136.7197.64
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)4061.37
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)36 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)23122.9231.23
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.811.720.05
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)142470.21424.7
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)154325.8339.15
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)1543.26
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss799.66760.246.43
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.846.825.16
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss4.079.326.14
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades297.0142.0155.0
Number Winning Trades167.080.087.0
Number Losing Trades130.062.068.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable56.2356.3456.13
Avg P&l961.870.421912.520.790.960.16
Avg Winning Trade6965.242.568184.062.935844.492.22
Avg Losing Trade6750.152.346179.812.197270.172.47
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0321.3240.804
Largest Winning Trade44642.5244642.5226257.17
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.595.593.84
Largest Losing Trade35724.6535724.6530368.39
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.033.935.03
Avg # Bars In Trades19.022.016.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades20.026.015.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades18.018.018.0
Sharpe Ratio0.404
Sortino Ratio1.17
Profit Factor1.3261.7091.029
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 2822.93%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 78.97%
Sharpe Ratio 0.405
Profit Factor 1.4
Maximum Drawdown (intrabar) 39.15%
Volatility (Annualized) 50.9%

The strategy achieved a substantial cumulative return of 2822.93% and an annualized return of 78.97%, which showcases its potential in generating high returns. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.405 is slightly below the desired threshold of 0.5, suggesting there is room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. The Profit Factor of 1.4, while decent, also indicates that further optimization could bolster profitability. The maximum drawdown of 39.15% is at the acceptable margin, indicating moderate risk exposure.

Strategy Viability

This strategy shows promise as a viable option for real-world trading, especially given its ability to maintain a low drawdown level just under 40%. While the Sharpe Ratio is below the preferred threshold, the strategy's positive profit factor and strong cumulative returns suggest potential viability. It is essential to monitor volatility levels and ensure the strategy can adapt to changing market environments for sustained performance.

Risk Management

While the strategy maintains a reasonable maximum drawdown and employs effective risk management, improvements could be made to enhance its robustness:

  • Implement dynamic position sizing to offset potential heightened volatility without compromising returns.
  • Introduce advanced stop-loss mechanisms to safeguard gains and contain unexpected market moves.
  • Consider diversifying across additional crypto assets to reduce concentrated risks.

Improvement Suggestions

Below are recommendations to possibly enhance the strategy's overall performance:

  • Refine strategy parameters for better calibration between returns and accepted risks, focusing particularly on optimizing trade entry and exit points.
  • Incorporate a variety of technical indicators to improve decision-making under various market conditions.
  • Conduct extensive out-of-sample testing to observe the strategy's performance across unseen data with varying market landscapes.
  • Decrease leverage to effectively minimize max drawdown, especially during volatile periods, for increased capital preservation.

Final Opinion

The strategy exhibits substantial return potential with a reasonably controlled risk aspect as demonstrated by the drawdown level. However, certain risk-adjusted performance metrics like the Sharpe Ratio reveal opportunities for improvement.

Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and optimization of the strategy by implementing the suggested improvements. Address the areas with potential for increased robustness and enhance the risk management mechanisms to ensure sustainability in diverse market conditions.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
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Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
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Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

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Strategy Analysis Video

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