🚀 Super FVMA + Zero Lag [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [bbac0f14]
🛡️ SUPERFVMA+ZL BTCUSDT 2H 17.12.2024
@schmidhip
⌛2 hours
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 41 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-05-10 08:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.27
- Sortino Ratio: 0.82
- Calmar: -1.22
- Longest DD Days: 38.00
- Volatility: 140.61
- Skew: 4.58
- Kurtosis: 27.78
- Expected Daily: 1.46
- Expected Monthly: 35.57
- Expected Yearly: 3,754.02
- Kelly Criterion: 17.36
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.03
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -9.23
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-27 08:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 6
- Number Winning Trades 71
- Max Consecutive Losses: 10
- Number Losing Trades: 125
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.22
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.93
- Payoff Ratio: 3.42
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.93
- Tail Ratio: 2.64
- Outlier Win Ratio: 5.02
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 9.90
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.10
- Serenity Index: 6.58
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 758.47% |
CAGR | 55.41% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.268 |
Profit Factor | 1.952 |
Maximum Drawdown | 47.6% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 140.61% |
The strategy has achieved a net profit of 758.47%, which is impressive. The CAGR of 55.41% indicates solid growth potential. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.268 suggests that risk-adjusted returns could improve. The Profit Factor of 1.952 is nearly approaching 2, signaling a decent profit potential relative to risk. Nonetheless, the maximum drawdown of 47.6% is concerning and exceeds the preferred threshold, indicating a scope for improved risk management amidst the identified high volatility.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data, the strategy showcases a potential for profitability but must be refined for real-world trading viability. The current Sharpe Ratio suggests suboptimal risk-adjusted performance under the given market conditions, while the strategy's drawdowns are above the acceptable limit. The market conditions that favor this strategy aren't distinctly evident, necessitating more comprehensive testing across various market phases to better understand its adaptability.
Risk Management
The strategy's current risk management framework demands further refinement, particularly in managing drawdowns and volatility:
- Consider reducing leverage which could significantly mitigate the extent of drawdowns and subsequent risks.
- Implement additional stop-loss strategies or trailing stops to curtail substantial losses.
- Incorporate regular position size adjustments based on current volatility to manage exposure effectively.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy's performance and resilience, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize strategy parameters, such as trade entry and exit signals, to achieve better risk-adjusted returns.
- Incorporate a broader scope of market indicators that might improve timing and decision-making processes.
- Use out-of-sample and forward testing to validate the strategy’s robustness across varying market landscapes.
- Implement advanced risk management frameworks like Value-at-Risk (VaR) for comprehensive assessments and safeguards.
Final Opinion
In conclusion, while the strategy demonstrates some promising aspects in profitability, its risk management needs significant enhancement to ensure practical applicability and resilience in diverse market conditions. The high volatility and drawdowns suggest necessary adjustments to both strategy parameters and leverage usage to optimize both return potential and risk control.
Recommendation: Modify and test the strategy further, focusing on optimizing its risk-reward balance through strategic leverage usage and advanced risk management mechanisms.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -18.64% | -25.79% | 50.49% | 0.00% | -32.97% | 37.97% | 93.69% | 41.24% |
2021 | 4.91% | 18.86% | 0.00% | 14.65% | 8.69% | 5.94% | 11.33% | -3.01% | 1.03% | 9.53% | 3.21% | 3.43% |
2022 | 10.10% | 7.72% | -2.92% | 2.56% | 3.31% | -2.74% | -6.05% | 6.71% | -3.66% | -3.42% | 4.61% | 1.30% |
2023 | 8.69% | 2.59% | 3.89% | -3.18% | -0.62% | -0.43% | -0.39% | 2.66% | -1.62% | -0.37% | -3.81% | 1.42% |
2024 | -4.09% | 11.05% | 8.28% | 1.18% | 0.40% | -0.30% | 4.78% | -3.09% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
17
Number of Trades
0.29%
Cumulative Returns
11.76%
Win Rate
2024-12-17
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-3.62%
30 Days
-9.74%
60 Days
-5.31%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | -581.17 | -0.06 | ||||
Net Profit | 824206.28 | 824.21 | 573170.87 | 573.17 | 251035.41 | 251.04 |
Gross Profit | 1540496.54 | 1540.5 | 975020.86 | 975.02 | 565475.68 | 565.48 |
Gross Loss | 716290.26 | 716.29 | 401849.99 | 401.85 | 314440.27 | 314.44 |
Commission Paid | 38222.24 | 17334.92 | 20887.32 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1046397.23 | 1046.4 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 869830.51 | 94.1 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 82506.17 | 47.6 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 32.0 | 28.0 | 32.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 181.0 | 81.0 | 100.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 70.0 | 30.0 | 40.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 111.0 | 51.0 | 60.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 38.67 | 37.04 | 40.0 | |||
Avg P&l | 4553.63 | 1.73 | 7076.18 | 2.64 | 2510.35 | 0.99 |
Avg Winning Trade | 22007.09 | 8.36 | 32500.7 | 12.25 | 14136.89 | 5.44 |
Avg Losing Trade | 6453.07 | 2.46 | 7879.41 | 3.01 | 5240.67 | 1.98 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 3.41 | 4.125 | 2.698 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 82379.56 | 82379.56 | 25518.7 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 30.53 | 30.53 | 9.78 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 16236.55 | 16236.55 | 12159.39 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 6.26 | 6.26 | 4.62 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 46.0 | 79.0 | 19.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 73.0 | 141.0 | 22.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 29.0 | 42.0 | 18.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.284 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.866 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.151 | 2.426 | 1.798 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | -693.17 | -0.08 | ||||
Net Profit | 758467.38 | 758.47 | 541400.33 | 541.4 | 217067.05 | 217.07 |
Gross Profit | 1554924.11 | 1554.92 | 975020.86 | 975.02 | 579903.25 | 579.9 |
Gross Loss | 796456.73 | 796.46 | 433620.53 | 433.62 | 362836.2 | 362.84 |
Commission Paid | 41387.74 | 18367.29 | 23020.45 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 836469.72 | 836.47 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 874059.1 | 94.13 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 82506.17 | 47.6 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 32.0 | 28.0 | 32.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 196.0 | 86.0 | 110.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 71.0 | 30.0 | 41.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 125.0 | 56.0 | 69.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 36.22 | 34.88 | 37.27 | |||
Avg P&l | 3869.73 | 1.47 | 6295.35 | 2.35 | 1973.34 | 0.78 |
Avg Winning Trade | 21900.34 | 8.32 | 32500.7 | 12.25 | 14143.98 | 5.44 |
Avg Losing Trade | 6371.65 | 2.42 | 7743.22 | 2.96 | 5258.5 | 1.99 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 3.437 | 4.197 | 2.69 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 82379.56 | 82379.56 | 25518.7 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 30.53 | 30.53 | 9.78 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 16236.55 | 16236.55 | 12159.39 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 6.26 | 6.26 | 4.62 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 44.0 | 76.0 | 19.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 73.0 | 141.0 | 23.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 28.0 | 41.0 | 17.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.268 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.818 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.952 | 2.249 | 1.598 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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