T3 Nexus @DaviddTech 🤖 [57a1a32c]
🛡️ T3NEXUS BTCUSDT 45M 18.06
@schmidhip
⌛45 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 3 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-23 13:30:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.33
- Sortino Ratio: 1.64
- Calmar: -2.19
- Longest DD Days: 85.00
- Volatility: 19.63
- Skew: 2.30
- Kurtosis: 7.63
- Expected Daily: 0.27
- Expected Monthly: 5.87
- Expected Yearly: 98.32
- Kelly Criterion: 23.85
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.88
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -1.47
- Last Trade Date: 2024-12-10 15:45:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 9
- Number Winning Trades 165
- Max Consecutive Losses: 14
- Number Losing Trades: 192
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.19
- Gain/Pain (1M): 2.07
- Payoff Ratio: 2.40
- Common Sense Ratio: 2.07
- Tail Ratio: 3.03
- Outlier Win Ratio: 3.78
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.04
- Serenity Index: 17.53
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 1303.08% |
Buy & Hold Return | 861.72% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.324 |
Sortino Ratio | 1.594 |
Profit Factor | 1.983 |
Maximum Drawdown | 27.01% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 18.68% |
The strategy demonstrates substantial returns with a net profit of 1303.08%, significantly outperforming a simple buy-and-hold approach. The maximum drawdown of 27.01% is within acceptable limits, especially considering the strategy's leveraging in crypto markets. The profit factor near 2 is positive, indicating almost $2 gained for every dollar lost, although the Sharpe Ratio of 0.324 suggests room for improvement in risk-adjusted performance.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data, this strategy presents promising potential for real-world application, particularly in volatile market conditions like those in crypto trading. While the strategy outperforms in absolute returns, the underwhelming Sharpe Ratio indicates that further refinement is needed for risk-adjusted superiority. Identifying its best market conditions and ensuring these persist will be key.
Risk Management
The strategy shows commendable risk management by maintaining drawdowns below the critical 40% threshold typical for crypto strategies, indicating efficient downside protection. However, there are opportunities for improvement:
- Reducing leverage can further decrease max drawdowns and stabilize risk profiles.
- Integrating adaptive stop-loss mechanisms to protect against unexpected volatility surges.
- Exploration of position scaling techniques to optimize risk/reward ratios.
Improvement Suggestions
To further enhance the strategy’s robustness and performance, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimization of strategy parameters can improve Sharpe and other risk-adjusted metrics.
- Incorporate a wider set of technical indicators for improved decision-making processes.
- Undertake extended out-of-sample testing to validate cross-market reliability.
- Enhance capital allocation strategies to improve average returns and minimize risk.
Final Opinion
In summary, this trading strategy offers strong returns potential with effective control over drawdowns, crucial in the highly volatile crypto markets. Nevertheless, improving risk-adjusted performance metrics is imperative. With further optimization, leveraging, and advanced risk management techniques, the strategy can become a robust contender in crypto trading portfolios.
Recommendation: Continue refining and testing the strategy, focusing on enhancing risk-adjusted performance while maintaining effective risk management. Implement suggested improvements to mitigate market volatility impacts and improve overall strategy robustness.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | -4.27% | 0.00% | 56.22% | -2.90% | 1.12% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | -0.62% | 31.86% | 26.92% | -0.60% | -0.69% | 10.02% | -3.43% | -8.54% | -4.36% | 20.76% | -2.85% | 1.88% |
2022 | 7.28% | 7.55% | -12.93% | -2.29% | -3.14% | 8.19% | -1.50% | -0.44% | 1.12% | -3.09% | 8.66% | -1.65% |
2021 | 47.76% | 17.37% | -3.62% | -9.29% | 24.22% | -11.37% | -8.40% | 5.86% | -1.86% | 22.74% | -8.45% | 0.00% |
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -1.06% | 5.33% | -0.48% | -2.83% | 26.45% | -1.98% | -0.29% | 0.00% | 64.84% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
44
Number of Trades
12.33%
Cumulative Returns
43.18%
Win Rate
2024-06-18
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
19.9%
30 Days
9.64%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 138,550.79 USD | 1,385.51 | 142,049.23 USD | 1,420.49 | −3,498.44 USD | −34.98 |
Gross Profit | 243,518.76 | 2,435.19 | 195,488.39 | 1,954.88 | 48,030.38 | 480.30 |
Gross Loss | 104,967.97 | 1,049.68 | 53,439.16 | 534.39 | 51,528.82 | 515.29 |
Max Run-up | 162,626.79 | 94.27 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 15,567.74 | 27.01 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 83,137.12 | 831.37 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.345 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.764 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.32 | 3.658 | 0.932 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 5 | 5 | 4 | |||
Open PL | 143.14 | 0.10 | ||||
Commission Paid | 3,451.06 | 1,830.79 | 1,620.27 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 314 | 166 | 148 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 146 | 88 | 58 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 168 | 78 | 90 | |||
Percent Profitable | 46.50 | 53.01 | 39.19 | |||
Avg Trade | 441.24 | 4.79 | 855.72 | 8.78 | −23.64 | 0.31 |
Avg Winning Trade | 1,667.94 | 15.96 | 2,221.46 | 21.46 | 828.11 | 7.61 |
Avg Losing Trade | 624.81 | 4.92 | 685.12 | 5.53 | 572.54 | 4.40 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.67 | 3.242 | 1.446 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 14,440.17 | 88.42 | 14,440.17 | 88.42 | 4,459.36 | 32.58 |
Largest Losing Trade | 3,719.81 | 23.31 | 3,719.81 | 23.31 | 3,319.56 | 16.02 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 336 | 396 | 268 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 485 | 560 | 372 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 206 | 212 | 201 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 155,891.71 USD | 1,558.92 | 168,158.93 USD | 1,681.59 | −12,267.21 USD | −122.67 |
Gross Profit | 298,653.31 | 2,986.53 | 237,582.44 | 2,375.82 | 61,070.87 | 610.71 |
Gross Loss | 142,761.59 | 1,427.62 | 69,423.51 | 694.24 | 73,338.08 | 733.38 |
Max Run-up | 177,886.32 | 94.73 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 21,298.47 | 27.01 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 128,529.84 | 1,285.30 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.332 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.636 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.092 | 3.422 | 0.833 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 5 | 5 | 4 | |||
Open PL | −668.18 | −0.40 | ||||
Commission Paid | 4,573.76 | 2,369.15 | 2,204.61 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 357 | 187 | 170 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 165 | 98 | 67 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 192 | 89 | 103 | |||
Percent Profitable | 46.22 | 52.41 | 39.41 | |||
Avg Trade | 436.67 | 4.33 | 899.25 | 8.14 | −72.16 | 0.15 |
Avg Winning Trade | 1,810.02 | 15.03 | 2,424.31 | 20.42 | 911.51 | 7.13 |
Avg Losing Trade | 743.55 | 4.86 | 780.04 | 5.39 | 712.02 | 4.40 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.434 | 3.108 | 1.28 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 14,440.17 | 88.42 | 14,440.17 | 88.42 | 4,459.36 | 32.58 |
Largest Losing Trade | 5,690.87 | 23.31 | 3,719.81 | 23.31 | 5,690.87 | 16.02 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 332 | 385 | 273 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 478 | 546 | 378 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 206 | 208 | 205 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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