StiffTrend by @DaviddTech 🤖 [e80bee6a]
🛡️ STIFFTREND BTCUSDT 30M 14.05
@schmidhip
⌛30 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 3 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-01 00:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.45
- Sortino Ratio: 1.94
- Calmar: -2.05
- Longest DD Days: 42.00
- Volatility: 64.92
- Skew: 1.46
- Kurtosis: 1.67
- Expected Daily: 0.85
- Expected Monthly: 19.36
- Expected Yearly: 736.57
- Kelly Criterion: 14.39
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.32
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.09
- Last Trade Date: 2025-01-07 11:30:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 5
- Number Winning Trades 84
- Max Consecutive Losses: 8
- Number Losing Trades: 162
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.05
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.71
- Payoff Ratio: 3.25
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.71
- Tail Ratio: 2.70
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.07
- Serenity Index: 17.42
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 5462.33 |
Gross Profit | 13525.78 |
Gross Loss | 8063.45 |
Maximum Drawdown | 30.4% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.443 |
Profit Factor | 1.677 |
Volatility (Annualized) | 64.92% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 47.84% |
Win Rate | 34.15% |
The strategy manifests robust net profits with a favorable maximum drawdown of 30.4%, well within the acceptable range for crypto trading strategies. Although the Sharpe Ratio of 0.443 is slightly below the benchmark, the Profit Factor of 1.677 indicates a decent relationship between gross profits and losses.
Strategy Viability
Based on the metrics observed, the strategy seems viable for real-world trading, particularly given its ability to manage drawdowns effectively. It is clear that market dynamics conducive to higher volatility are where this strategy thrives. While the Sharpe Ratio is below the threshold, it does not disqualify the strategy's potential in high-volatility environments.
Risk Management
The strategy appears to have a reasonable approach to risk management, as evidenced by its controlled drawdown figures and lack of margin calls. To augment its risk management capabilities, consider:
- Reducing leverage use to further decrease the maximum drawdown.
- Exploring dynamic stop-loss adjustments based on volatility.
- Implementing a scalable position sizing mechanism to respond to different market conditions.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy’s performance further, the following recommendations could be considered:
- Enhance the Sharpe Ratio by refining entry and exit points through additional or alternative indicators.
- Conduct additional out-of-sample and forward testing to ensure robustness across diverse market scenarios.
- Consider incorporating more advanced risk measures such as Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) and stress testing scenarios.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy's strong maximum drawdown and commendable profitability make it a promising candidate for trading in the crypto space. However, minor adjustments to improve the Sharpe Ratio and the involvement of sophisticated risk techniques could bolster its overall effectiveness and readiness for various market conditions.
Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and optimization of the strategy, focusing on refining risk-adjusted returns and enhancing trading safeguards. These strategic improvements have the potential to translate the strategy into a resilient tool for navigating the dynamic cryptocurrency markets.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2024 | -9.47% | 55.40% | 4.28% | -6.44% | -8.14% | 0.23% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 52.56% | 9.28% | 6.92% | 8.71% | -10.50% | 17.10% | -9.04% | -0.87% | -0.81% | 42.01% | 14.59% | 14.37% |
2022 | -1.42% | 33.12% | 16.19% | -10.48% | 0.20% | -9.96% | 12.08% | -12.41% | 7.48% | -3.71% | 0.63% | -9.74% |
2021 | 0.00% | 22.38% | 9.61% | 0.11% | -3.45% | -2.29% | 17.77% | 1.83% | 10.47% | 41.83% | -2.94% | -5.11% |
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.83% | -3.24% | -13.59% | 20.26% | 0.95% | -5.86% | 39.60% | 51.74% | 29.10% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
43
Number of Trades
46.23%
Cumulative Returns
25.58%
Win Rate
2024-05-14
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
1.2%
30 Days
41.58%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 377,781.98 USD | 3,777.82 | 377,781.98 USD | 3,777.82 | 0 USD | 0.00 |
Gross Profit | 801,973.74 | 8,019.74 | 801,973.74 | 8,019.74 | 0 | 0.00 |
Gross Loss | 424,191.76 | 4,241.92 | 424,191.76 | 4,241.92 | 0 | 0.00 |
Max Run-up | 482,645.78 | 98.34 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 59,740.65 | 30.40 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 85,457.12 | 854.57 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.453 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.948 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.891 | 1.891 | N/A | |||
Max Contracts Held | 16 | 16 | 0 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 28,065.02 | 28,065.02 | 0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 204 | 204 | 0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 73 | 73 | 0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 131 | 131 | 0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 35.78 | 35.78 | N/A | |||
Avg Trade | 1,851.87 | 0.96 | 1,851.87 | 0.96 | N/A | |
Avg Winning Trade | 10,985.94 | 6.06 | 10,985.94 | 6.06 | N/A | |
Avg Losing Trade | 3,238.11 | 1.88 | 3,238.11 | 1.88 | N/A | |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 3.393 | 3.393 | N/A | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 63,455.44 | 9.54 | 63,455.44 | 9.54 | N/A | |
Largest Losing Trade | 30,249.64 | 3.06 | 30,249.64 | 3.06 | N/A | |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 87 | 87 | 0 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 121 | 121 | 0 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 69 | 69 | 0 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 546,232.85 USD | 5,462.33 | 546,232.85 USD | 5,462.33 | 0 USD | 0.00 |
Gross Profit | 1,352,577.73 | 13,525.78 | 1,352,577.73 | 13,525.78 | 0 | 0.00 |
Gross Loss | 806,344.88 | 8,063.45 | 806,344.88 | 8,063.45 | 0 | 0.00 |
Max Run-up | 617,069.31 | 98.69 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 126,213.73 | 30.40 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 143,930.26 | 1,439.30 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.447 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.935 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.677 | 1.677 | N/A | |||
Max Contracts Held | 16 | 16 | 0 | |||
Open PL | 23,837.71 | 4.29 | ||||
Commission Paid | 52,008.86 | 52,008.86 | 0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 246 | 246 | 0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 84 | 84 | 0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 162 | 162 | 0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 34.15 | 34.15 | N/A | |||
Avg Trade | 2,220.46 | 0.83 | 2,220.46 | 0.83 | N/A | |
Avg Winning Trade | 16,102.12 | 6.05 | 16,102.12 | 6.05 | N/A | |
Avg Losing Trade | 4,977.44 | 1.88 | 4,977.44 | 1.88 | N/A | |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 3.235 | 3.235 | N/A | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 85,712.27 | 9.54 | 85,712.27 | 9.54 | N/A | |
Largest Losing Trade | 32,286.74 | 3.06 | 32,286.74 | 3.06 | N/A | |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 87 | 87 | 0 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 122 | 122 | 0 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 69 | 69 | 0 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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