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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
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  • Free Indicators
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    • Documentation
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schmidhip stifftrend btcusdt 30m 14.05

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 30 minutes @schmidhip
● Live

StiffTrend by @DaviddTech 🤖 [e80bee6a]

🛡️ STIFFTREND BTCUSDT 30M 14.05

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - June 5, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 2 weeks ago
Total Return Primary
-18.58%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
26.92%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
0.863
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-1.96%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
52
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 7, 2025
451
Days
52
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 17, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2025-01-07 11:30:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: -0.11
  • Sortino Ratio: -0.14
  • Calmar: 0.28
  • Longest DD Days: 41.00
  • Volatility: 9.55
  • Skew: 1.43
  • Kurtosis: 1.10
  • Expected Daily: -0.03
  • Expected Monthly: -0.69
  • Expected Yearly: -7.94
  • Kelly Criterion: -6.14
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.57
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.61
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-17 01:30:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 3
  • Number Winning Trades 14
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 12
  • Number Losing Trades: 38
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: 0.28
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 0.80
  • Payoff Ratio: 2.41
  • Common Sense Ratio: 0.80
  • Tail Ratio: 2.29
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 1.73
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.02
  • Serenity Index: -0.06

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+1.01%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-0.12%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-0.57%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-1.53%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+2.87%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-12.68%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-16.90%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-19.71%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
26.9%
Total Trades
52
Cumulative
-1.96%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
1.21%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2025
-2.05%
+3.08%
Simple P&L
+0.86%
-3.05%
Simple P&L
+0.40%
+4.82%
Simple P&L
-1.13%
+8.62%
Simple P&L
+0.04%
+0.99%
Simple P&L
+0.87%
-4.54%
Simple P&L
-0.68%
+10.97%
Simple P&L
+0.29%
+0.16%
Simple P&L
+0.25%
-3.74%
Simple P&L
••••
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••••
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2026
••••
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••••
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••••
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

52

Number of Trades

-1.96%

Cumulative Returns

26.92%

Win Rate

2024-05-14

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

2.87%

30 Days

-16.9%

60 Days

-12.68%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit-1858.15-18.58-1858.15-18.580.00.0
Gross Profit11748.6117.4911748.6117.490.00.0
Gross Loss13606.74136.0713606.74136.070.00.0
Expected Payoff-35.73-35.730.0
Commission Paid1884.491884.490.0
Buy & Hold Return-3252.91-32.53
Buy & Hold % Gain-32.53
Strategy Outperformance1394.77
Max Contracts Held00.00.0
Annualized Return (cagr)-15.49-15.490.0
Return On Initial Capital-18.58-18.580.0
Account Size Required6008.06
Return On Account Size Required-30.93-30.930.0
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)62 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)3916.4539.16
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)3916.4539.16
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)4884.6233.35
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)48.85
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)175 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)3504.6935.05
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown-0.31-0.310.0
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)5893.0658.93
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)6008.0643.9
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)60.08
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss-292.15-292.150.0
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit15.4115.410.0
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss4.674.670.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades52.052.00.0
Number Winning Trades14.014.00.0
Number Losing Trades38.038.00.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable26.9226.92
Avg P&l-35.730.02-35.730.02
Avg Winning Trade839.195.27839.195.27
Avg Losing Trade358.071.91358.071.91
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.3442.344
Largest Winning Trade1810.691810.69
Largest Winning Trade Percent7.757.75
Largest Losing Trade636.02636.02
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.113.11
Avg # Bars In Trades128.0128.00.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades321.0321.00.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades57.057.00.0
Sharpe Ratio-0.109
Sortino Ratio-0.136
Profit Factor0.8630.863
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit-1858.15-18.58-1858.15-18.580.00.0
Gross Profit11748.6117.4911748.6117.490.00.0
Gross Loss13606.74136.0713606.74136.070.00.0
Expected Payoff-35.73-35.730.0
Commission Paid1884.491884.490.0
Buy & Hold Return-3252.91-32.53
Buy & Hold % Gain-32.53
Strategy Outperformance1394.77
Max Contracts Held00.00.0
Annualized Return (cagr)-15.49-15.490.0
Return On Initial Capital-18.58-18.580.0
Account Size Required6008.06
Return On Account Size Required-30.93-30.930.0
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)62 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)3916.4539.16
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)3916.4539.16
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)4884.6233.35
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)48.85
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)175 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)3504.6935.05
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown-0.31-0.310.0
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)5893.0658.93
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)6008.0643.9
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)60.08
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss-292.15-292.150.0
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit15.4115.410.0
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss4.674.670.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades52.052.00.0
Number Winning Trades14.014.00.0
Number Losing Trades38.038.00.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable26.9226.92
Avg P&l-35.730.02-35.730.02
Avg Winning Trade839.195.27839.195.27
Avg Losing Trade358.071.91358.071.91
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.3442.344
Largest Winning Trade1810.691810.69
Largest Winning Trade Percent7.757.75
Largest Losing Trade636.02636.02
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.113.11
Avg # Bars In Trades128.0128.00.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades321.0321.00.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades57.057.00.0
Sharpe Ratio-0.109
Sortino Ratio-0.136
Profit Factor0.8630.863
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Putting the provided QuantStats report under the microscope reveals several pertinent performance metrics:

Metric Value
Annualized Return (CAGR) -15.49%
Sharpe Ratio -0.109
Profit Factor 0.863
Maximum Drawdown 58.93%
Volatility (Annualized) 9.55%
Percent Profitable 26.92%

The strategy shows a negative annualized return, coupled with a low Sharpe ratio of -0.109, indicating that the risk-adjusted returns are not favorable. The maximum drawdown exceeds acceptable risk levels at 58.93%, suggesting high vulnerability to losses during downswings. Furthermore, the profit factor below 1 (0.863) indicates overall losses when accounting for both winning and losing trades.

Strategy Viability

Currently, this strategy does not appear viable for real-world trading due to its underperformance and high risks. The negative return and high drawdown suggest the strategy's performance is deteriorating rather than generating value. The market conditions under which it might perform better are unclear without a more robust risk-adjusted performance. Comparatively, it performs poorly against standard benchmarks and similar strategies.

Risk Management

The strategy's risk management framework needs significant improvements to handle the overarching drawdowns and negative returns. Areas of concern include:

  • High exposure to losses due to inadequate position sizing and stop-loss mechanisms.
  • A need for better volatility management, given the unsatisfactory drawdown results.
  • Exploration of less aggressive leverage to mitigate the impact of drawdowns, thereby increasing the chance to lower the maximum drawdown below 40%.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance performance and reduce risks, consider the following enhancements:

  • Optimize the strategy parameters by performing thorough backtesting across different market conditions to find more favorable settings.
  • Incorporate additional technical and fundamental indicators to improve decision-making processes for entries and exits.
  • Enhance risk management strategies by integrating dynamic position sizing, improved stop-loss strategies, and diversification to buffer against isolated failures.
  • Conduct further testing, including out-of-sample and forward-testing, to validate the strategy's efficacy in diverse market scenarios.

Final Opinion

In its current state, the strategy exhibits significant challenges with high-risk exposure and negative returns, impairing its effectiveness. Its low Sharpe ratio, profit factor, and high drawdown require immediate attention to mitigate potential financial losses.

Recommendation: Before considering real-world implementation, extensive testing, optimization, and adjustments to both the strategy's parameters and risk management protocols are crucial. Aim to transform weaknesses into opportunities for improvement, and strive towards achieving better balance and consistency across varied market conditions.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
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Transition Probabilities
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Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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