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DaviddTech
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schmidhip HaCeLsma btcusdt 199m 04.11.2025

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 119 minutes @schmidhip
● Live

🚀 Heiken-Ashi CE LSMA [v5.1] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [46d5a9ee]

🛡️ HACELSMA BTCUSDT 199M 04.11.2025

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - February 22, 2026
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 4 months ago
Total Return Primary
2512.2%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
47.83%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.765
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-2.45%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
115
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 26, 2022
1,638
Days
115
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 6, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2022-01-26 19:50:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.40
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.31
  • Calmar: -1.66
  • Longest DD Days: 13.00
  • Volatility: 75.99
  • Skew: 0.75
  • Kurtosis: 0.60
  • Expected Daily: 1.22
  • Expected Monthly: 28.99
  • Expected Yearly: 2,021.76
  • Kelly Criterion: 20.71
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -6.59
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -7.01
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-06 13:53:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 4
  • Number Winning Trades 55
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 5
  • Number Losing Trades: 60
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.66
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.76
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.92
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.76
  • Tail Ratio: 1.59
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.48
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.05
  • Serenity Index: 5.65

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-1.71%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+12.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
47.8%
Total Trades
115
Cumulative
-3.33%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
107.04%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2022
-3.68%
-3.73%
Simple P&L
-0.20%
+7.19%
Simple P&L
+2.04%
-5.41%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-0.87%
+6.60%
Simple P&L
+1.46%
+1.19%
Simple P&L
-2.05%
-9.12%
Simple P&L
+2.49%
+9.01%
Simple P&L
+0.52%
+6.13%
Simple P&L
+0.04%
+3.71%
Simple P&L
-2.15%
-2.46%
Simple P&L
+0.39%
-1.61%
Simple P&L
2023
-1.30%
+6.77%
Simple P&L
+0.81%
-0.74%
Simple P&L
+0.32%
+5.37%
Simple P&L
-1.32%
+0.85%
Simple P&L
+1.95%
-5.15%
Simple P&L
-1.04%
+2.70%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
-2.64%
Simple P&L
+0.11%
+0.77%
Simple P&L
+1.05%
-1.48%
Simple P&L
-2.21%
+3.94%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+1.04%
+5.18%
Simple P&L
2024
+0.85%
+6.09%
Simple P&L
+1.35%
+15.61%
Simple P&L
-2.36%
-2.81%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.51%
-2.30%
Simple P&L
+0.82%
-1.48%
Simple P&L
-1.12%
+4.22%
Simple P&L
-0.04%
+7.77%
Simple P&L
+2.16%
+5.60%
Simple P&L
-1.16%
+2.52%
Simple P&L
-2.26%
+9.44%
Simple P&L
+0.60%
-6.21%
Simple P&L
2025
+1.28%
+9.68%
Simple P&L
-2.05%
+5.54%
Simple P&L
+2.46%
-5.15%
Simple P&L
+1.24%
+3.99%
Simple P&L
+0.24%
+8.57%
Simple P&L
-1.05%
-5.13%
Simple P&L
+0.39%
+10.84%
Simple P&L
-0.79%
-1.50%
Simple P&L
+0.97%
-3.80%
Simple P&L
+0.38%
+8.11%
Simple P&L
-2.62%
-2.85%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

115

Number of Trades

-3.33%

Cumulative Returns

47.83%

Win Rate

2025-04-11

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0%

30 Days

0%

60 Days

0%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit251220.282512.2221505.372215.0529714.91297.15
Gross Profit579821.075798.21433912.514339.13145908.561459.09
Gross Loss328600.793286.01212407.142124.07116193.651161.94
Expected Payoff2184.523076.46691.04
Commission Paid38167.227431.8410735.36
Buy & Hold Return8000.3380.0
Buy & Hold % Gain80.0
Strategy Outperformance243219.95
Max Contracts Held1919.010.0
Annualized Return (cagr)116.54110.4438.62
Return On Initial Capital2512.22215.05297.15
Account Size Required74191.28
Return On Account Size Required338.61298.5640.05
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)36 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)25811.11258.11
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)84533845.33
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)268191.5496.58
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)2681.92
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)53 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)17317.46173.17
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown3.392.990.4
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)69834.77698.35
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)74191.2831.78
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)741.91
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss973.11858.0192.04
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit8.4111.2420.32
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss7.8612.1513.32
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades115.072.043.0
Number Winning Trades55.036.019.0
Number Losing Trades60.036.024.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable47.8350.044.19
Avg P&l2184.520.933076.460.99691.040.83
Avg Winning Trade10542.24.612053.134.47679.44.98
Avg Losing Trade5476.682.445900.22.434841.42.45
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.9252.0431.586
Largest Winning Trade48774.4948774.4929655.78
Largest Winning Trade Percent7.957.957.5
Largest Losing Trade25816.3525816.3515473.58
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.083.914.08
Avg # Bars In Trades32.032.032.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades29.033.022.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades34.031.039.0
Sharpe Ratio0.404
Sortino Ratio1.313
Profit Factor1.7652.0431.256
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit251220.282512.2221505.372215.0529714.91297.15
Gross Profit579821.075798.21433912.514339.13145908.561459.09
Gross Loss328600.793286.01212407.142124.07116193.651161.94
Expected Payoff2184.523076.46691.04
Commission Paid38167.227431.8410735.36
Buy & Hold Return8000.3380.0
Buy & Hold % Gain80.0
Strategy Outperformance243219.95
Max Contracts Held1919.010.0
Annualized Return (cagr)116.54110.4438.62
Return On Initial Capital2512.22215.05297.15
Account Size Required74191.28
Return On Account Size Required338.61298.5640.05
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)36 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)25811.11258.11
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)84533845.33
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)268191.5496.58
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)2681.92
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)53 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)17317.46173.17
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown3.392.990.4
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)69834.77698.35
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)74191.2831.78
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)741.91
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss973.11858.0192.04
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit8.4111.2420.32
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss7.8612.1513.32
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades115.072.043.0
Number Winning Trades55.036.019.0
Number Losing Trades60.036.024.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable47.8350.044.19
Avg P&l2184.520.933076.460.99691.040.83
Avg Winning Trade10542.24.612053.134.47679.44.98
Avg Losing Trade5476.682.445900.22.434841.42.45
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.9252.0431.586
Largest Winning Trade48774.4948774.4929655.78
Largest Winning Trade Percent7.957.957.5
Largest Losing Trade25816.3525816.3515473.58
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.083.914.08
Avg # Bars In Trades32.032.032.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades29.033.022.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades34.031.039.0
Sharpe Ratio0.404
Sortino Ratio1.313
Profit Factor1.7652.0431.256
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 2512.2%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 116.54%
Sharpe Ratio 0.404
Profit Factor 1.76
Maximum Drawdown 31.78% intrabar
Volatility (Annualized) 75.99%

The strategy shows an impressive cumulative return of 2512.2% and a solid annualized return of 116.54%. Although the Sharpe ratio of 0.404 is slightly below the desirable threshold, the strategy's strong profit factor of 1.76 indicates good overall profitability. The maximum drawdown remains reasonably acceptable at 31.78%, considering the high returns, but there's room for improvement.

Strategy Viability

This strategy appears viable for real-world trading, particularly in the context of high-return seeking investors in the cryptocurrency market. It performs exceptionally well under conditions of high volatility, which is often present in the crypto space. Its impressive performance metrics, particularly the high cumulative return and profit factor, suggest it can be a profitable strategy if managed carefully.

Risk Management

While the strategy effectively limits its drawdowns to 31.78%, its Sharpe ratio suggests that some risk management approaches could be improved. Suggestions include:

  • Utilizing less leverage to manage potential drawdowns better and stabilize returns.
  • Incorporating additional stop-loss tactics to mitigate your exposure to extreme market movements.
  • Employing volatility-based position sizing to dynamically adjust according to market conditions.

Improvement Suggestions

To bolster this strategy's effectiveness and robustness, consider the following enhancements:

  • Optimize strategy parameters to improve the Sharpe ratio while maintaining return levels.
  • Analyze additional market indicators to refine entry and exit points, enhancing trade success rates.
  • Conduct extensive out-of-sample and forward testing to evaluate strategy performance consistency across varied environments.
  • Enhance risk management protocols with techniques like Value-at-Risk (VaR) and stress testing for more comprehensive risk assessment.

Final Opinion

In summary, this strategy demonstrates robust performance in terms of returns, with moderate drawdown control and a sound profit factor. Although the Sharpe ratio could be improved, the overall setup is strong for an ambitious trading approach within volatile markets such as crypto.

Recommendation: Proceed with further optimization and testing. Implement recommended improvements to bolster risk management and explore additional statistical measures to confirm strategy robustness and adaptiveness in fluctuating market conditions.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
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Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
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Win
Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

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Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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