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Silent Surge RUNEUSDT 15min

  • Homepage
CONFIRMATION BASED 15 minutes @heisenbergx5
● Live

Silent Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [d61e9618]

🛡️ SILENT SURGE RUNEUSDT 15MIN

Trading Pair
RUNE
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - March 11, 2024
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 1
  • icon 1
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +2.84% Updated 7 hours ago
Total Return Primary
64766.81%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
47.8%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.033
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-1.48%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
1502
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Dec 6, 2021
1,526
Days
1502
Trades
Last Trade
Feb 6, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-12-06 08:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.41
  • Sortino Ratio: 2.03
  • Calmar: -2.20
  • Longest DD Days: 429.00
  • Volatility: 65.73
  • Skew: 0.34
  • Kurtosis: 0.02
  • Expected Daily: 0.36
  • Expected Monthly: 7.95
  • Expected Yearly: 150.30
  • Kelly Criterion: 1.68
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.61
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -7.17
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-02-06 01:30:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 8
  • Number Winning Trades 718
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 11
  • Number Losing Trades: 784
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.20
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.04
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.13
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.04
  • Tail Ratio: 1.28
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.61
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.19
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.34
  • Serenity Index: 227.36

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
-4.29%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-4.43%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-5.61%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-4.18%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-5.95%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+2.84%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-2.19%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-12.69%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-19.54%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-20.21%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
47.8%
Total Trades
1502
Cumulative
-6.07%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
484.17%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2021
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-2.31%
+21.29%
Simple P&L
2022
+2.01%
+31.47%
Simple P&L
+0.25%
+3.66%
Simple P&L
-2.83%
+68.56%
Simple P&L
+0.43%
+39.32%
Simple P&L
-1.74%
+47.02%
Simple P&L
+4.38%
+36.73%
Simple P&L
+2.21%
+30.54%
Simple P&L
-0.30%
+18.63%
Simple P&L
+0.53%
+1.58%
Simple P&L
-0.02%
+2.45%
Simple P&L
-0.18%
+11.29%
Simple P&L
+0.46%
-1.15%
Simple P&L
2023
-1.59%
+3.97%
Simple P&L
+1.31%
+0.93%
Simple P&L
+1.29%
-2.64%
Simple P&L
-2.65%
+11.60%
Simple P&L
+1.23%
-3.36%
Simple P&L
-1.87%
+5.42%
Simple P&L
+1.26%
+8.06%
Simple P&L
-0.86%
-21.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+25.34%
Simple P&L
-1.72%
+18.34%
Simple P&L
+2.22%
+20.00%
Simple P&L
+0.06%
+20.46%
Simple P&L
2024
-0.95%
+21.80%
Simple P&L
-3.73%
+12.71%
Simple P&L
+1.10%
+20.38%
Simple P&L
+1.81%
+15.05%
Simple P&L
+0.79%
+24.87%
Simple P&L
-0.07%
-8.88%
Simple P&L
-0.41%
+17.99%
Simple P&L
-0.90%
+11.27%
Simple P&L
+0.22%
+15.53%
Simple P&L
-0.01%
-15.32%
Simple P&L
-0.68%
-1.15%
Simple P&L
+0.08%
-5.30%
Simple P&L
2025
+0.70%
-2.01%
Simple P&L
-3.81%
+7.02%
Simple P&L
+4.26%
-7.25%
Simple P&L
-1.28%
-16.44%
Simple P&L
-1.24%
-12.61%
Simple P&L
+0.80%
+6.49%
Simple P&L
+1.37%
+20.66%
Simple P&L
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2026
••••
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

1502

Number of Trades

-6.07%

Cumulative Returns

47.8%

Win Rate

2024-03-11

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-2.19%

30 Days

-19.54%

60 Days

-12.69%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l501751.775.4
Net Profit9289203.9792892.049085885.6590858.86203318.312033.18
Gross Profit22349098.79223490.9917492449.76174924.54856649.0348566.49
Gross Loss13059894.82130598.958406564.1184065.644653330.7146533.31
Expected Payoff1135621179.22522.67
Commission Paid1296236.84954910.28341326.55
Buy & Hold Return4087.2340.87
Buy & Hold % Gain40.87
Strategy Outperformance9285116.74
Max Contracts Held27131282713128.01949162.0
Annualized Return (cagr)1894.821875.6281.94
Return On Initial Capital92892.0490858.862033.18
Account Size Required1250204.32
Return On Account Size Required743.01726.7516.26
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)6 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)258232.222582.32
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)342819234281.92
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)10063600.299.93
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)100636.0
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)8 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)136588.641365.89
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown7.837.670.56
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)7315997315.99
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)1250204.3230.36
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)12502.04
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss930.13909.7768.82
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit4.696.07.2
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss7.6511.886.35
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Total Closed Trades818.0429.0389.0
Number Winning Trades420.0229.0191.0
Number Losing Trades398.0200.0198.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable51.3453.3849.1
Avg P&l11356.00.5621179.220.62522.670.49
Avg Winning Trade53212.143.3476386.243.1225427.483.6
Avg Losing Trade32813.812.3742032.822.2423501.672.5
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.6221.8171.082
Largest Winning Trade1048738.11048738.1349918.31
Largest Winning Trade Percent10.478.8910.47
Largest Losing Trade998698.15998698.15295452.5
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.386.046.38
Avg # Bars In Trades32.026.039.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades34.027.043.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades31.026.035.0
Sharpe Ratio0.629
Sortino Ratio7.045
Profit Factor1.7112.0811.044
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit6476680.5864766.819011964.1690119.64-2535283.59-25352.84
Gross Profit202770258.572027702.59127787177.651277871.7874983080.92749830.81
Gross Loss196293577.991962935.78118775213.491187752.1377518364.5775183.65
Expected Payoff4312.0411889.13-3407.64
Commission Paid14377352.759168482.895208869.87
Buy & Hold Return-9402.33-94.02
Buy & Hold % Gain-94.02
Strategy Outperformance6486082.91
Max Contracts Held3510049335100493.034223283.0
Annualized Return (cagr)367.36405.550.0
Return On Initial Capital64766.8190119.64-25352.84
Account Size Required21531204.43
Return On Account Size Required30.0841.86-11.77
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)9 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)847023.298470.23
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)10292499102924.99
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)28084470.7699.97
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)280844.71
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)12 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)950185.789501.86
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.30.42-0.12
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)21511294215112.94
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)21531204.4378.87
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)215312.04
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss268.84374.07-171.7
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.382.182.44
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.232.031.9
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades1502.0758.0744.0
Number Winning Trades718.0374.0344.0
Number Losing Trades784.0384.0400.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable47.849.3446.24
Avg P&l4312.040.3211889.130.37-3407.640.28
Avg Winning Trade282409.833.28341676.953.03217974.073.55
Avg Losing Trade250374.462.39309310.452.23193795.912.54
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.1281.1051.125
Largest Winning Trade2789057.852789057.851829237.99
Largest Winning Trade Percent10.478.8910.47
Largest Losing Trade2409152.292409152.291476552.13
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.386.16.38
Avg # Bars In Trades30.026.034.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades31.027.036.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades29.026.033.0
Sharpe Ratio0.411
Sortino Ratio2.027
Profit Factor1.0331.0760.967
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several key performance metrics have emerged:

Metric Value
Cumulative Return 62564.28%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 368.75%
Sharpe Ratio 0.415
Profit Factor 1.032
Maximum Drawdown (Intrabar %) 78.87%
Volatility (Annualized) 65.8%
Percent Profitable 47.76%

The strategy shows a tremendously high cumulative return of 62564.28% and a significant annualized return of 368.75%. However, the Sharpe ratio of 0.415, below the benchmark of 0.5, indicates that the risk-adjusted returns could be improved. The maximum drawdown of 78.87% suggests significant risk, which might be addressed through adjustments in leverage and risk management techniques.

Strategy Viability

The strategy has demonstrated robust returns, emphasizing its potential viability in real-world trading. Despite the impressive performance, there are concerns regarding the maximum drawdown and relatively modest Sharpe ratio. These factors necessitate further evaluation to ascertain optimal market conditions for strategy deployment. The strategy also outperforms the buy-and-hold approach by a large margin, demonstrating its adaptability in different market conditions.

Risk Management

The report suggests improvements in risk management, especially in drawdown metrics. Key areas for attention include:

  • Reducing leverage to lower the maximum drawdown and mitigate potential losses.
  • Employing stricter stop-loss orders to protect against large adverse price movements.
  • Enhancing volatility management through dynamic position sizing to adapt to changing market conditions.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy's performance and hedging against downside risks, consider the following improvements:

  • Fine-tune strategy parameters to improve the risk-return profile, focusing on lowering the maximum drawdown.
  • Incorporate additional quantitative and technical indicators for trade entries and exits to improve trade accuracy.
  • Perform extensive scenario and sensitivity analysis across various market conditions to test the strategy's robustness.
  • Consider backtesting and forward-testing using diverse datasets to validate consistency in performance metrics.

Final Opinion

In conclusion, although the strategy delivers exceptional returns, high drawdowns and moderate risk-adjusted returns present challenges that must be addressed. With significant optimization and robust risk mitigation measures, this strategy holds promise.

Recommendation: Proceed with caution and focus on refining the risk management framework. Further testing and strategic enhancements are advised to ensure the strategy is ready for implementation, particularly under varying market conditions.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

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Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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