Silent Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [d61e9618]
🛡️ SILENT SURGE RUNEUSDT 15MIN
@heisenbergx5
⌛15 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 5 mins agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-12-06 08:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.62
- Sortino Ratio: 6.11
- Calmar: -19.85
- Longest DD Days: 173.00
- Volatility: 63.36
- Skew: 0.00
- Kurtosis: 0.00
- Expected Daily: 0.63
- Expected Monthly: 14.16
- Expected Yearly: 389.97
- Kelly Criterion: 0.00
- Risk of Ruin: 0.00
- Daily Value-at-Risk: 0.00
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): 0.00
- Last Trade Date: 2024-10-15 02:15:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 0
- Number Winning Trades 532
- Max Consecutive Losses: 0
- Number Losing Trades: 510
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -19.85
- Gain/Pain (1M): 0.00
- Payoff Ratio: 0.00
- Common Sense Ratio: 0.00
- Tail Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.00
- Serenity Index: 0.00
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | $310,047.51 |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.619 |
Sortino Ratio | 6.111 |
Profit Factor | 1.336 |
Maximum Drawdown | 32.46% |
Annualized Return | 389.97% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 63.36% |
Percent Profitable | 51.06% |
The strategy exhibits strong returns with a net profit of $310,047.51 and an annualized return of 389.97%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.619 and Sortino ratio of 6.111 indicate solid risk-adjusted returns. The maximum drawdown of 32.46% is comfortably within acceptable limits for crypto trading, demonstrating effective downside risk management. The profit factor of 1.336 suggests that the strategy is profitable over time.
Strategy Viability
This strategy demonstrates viability for real-world trading under observed market conditions. It presents a promising balance between risk and reward, significantly surpassing a Sharpe ratio of 0.5, which is considered good in the crypto market. The slightly higher than expected volatility at 63.36% suggests that the strategy is more suitable for traders willing to withstand some market fluctuations.
Risk Management
The strategy employs reasonable risk management techniques as evidenced by its acceptable drawdown and higher profitability. However, there is always room for improvement:
- Consider using less leverage to potentially lower maximum drawdown and volatility.
- Introduce dynamic position sizing to better manage risk based on market conditions.
- Employ more sophisticated stop-loss mechanisms to curtail potential losses more effectively.
Improvement Suggestions
To further enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize the parameters to ensure the strategy is tuned for varying market conditions.
- Incorporate additional leading indicators for more accurate trade signals.
- Conduct out-of-sample testing to validate performance across different market environments.
- Implement stress testing scenarios to evaluate the strategy’s resilience to market shocks.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy showcases commendable performance with strong returns and satisfactory risk-adjusted metrics. The maximum drawdown is within a tolerable range, albeit with considerable volatility. The impressive Sortino ratio highlights effective downside risk management.
Recommendation: Proceed with real-world testing while implementing suggested enhancements. The strategy appears robust but making adjustments to the risk management framework will likely increase its efficiency and adaptability to market volatility.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 49.04% | 32.69% | 36.77% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2023 | 19.42% | 2.30% | -12.40% | 11.10% | -6.27% | 18.63% | 5.65% | -19.97% | 51.54% | 51.27% | 49.05% | 17.92% |
2022 | 38.09% | 21.01% | 154.61% | 61.14% | 50.85% | 51.97% | 52.22% | 17.30% | -2.46% | 7.04% | 17.50% | 4.41% |
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 26.30% |
Live Trades Stats
RUNE
Base Currency
225
Number of Trades
132.95%
Cumulative Returns
50.22%
Win Rate
2024-03-11
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
32.28%
30 Days
61.04%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 11,717,281.69 USD | 117,172.82 | 11,459,400.46 USD | 114,594.00 | 257,881.22 USD | 2,578.81 |
Gross Profit | 27,342,903.94 | 273,429.04 | 21,521,532.17 | 215,215.32 | 5,821,371.78 | 58,213.72 |
Gross Loss | 15,625,622.26 | 156,256.22 | 10,062,131.70 | 100,621.32 | 5,563,490.55 | 55,634.91 |
Max Run-up | 12,692,978.42 | 99.94 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1,567,998.27 | 30.00 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 4,087.23 | 40.87 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.641 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 7.438 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.75 | 2.139 | 1.046 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 3,417,810 | 3,417,810 | 2,340,306 | |||
Open PL | 632,617.66 | 5.39 | ||||
Commission Paid | 1,245,196.73 | 921,241.78 | 323,954.95 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 818 | 429 | 389 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 420 | 229 | 191 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 398 | 200 | 198 | |||
Percent Profitable | 51.34 | 53.38 | 49.10 | |||
Avg Trade | 14,324.31 | 0.58 | 26,711.89 | 0.64 | 662.93 | 0.51 |
Avg Winning Trade | 65,102.15 | 3.38 | 93,980.49 | 3.16 | 30,478.39 | 3.63 |
Avg Losing Trade | 39,260.36 | 2.37 | 50,310.66 | 2.24 | 28,098.44 | 2.51 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.658 | 1.868 | 1.085 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 1,324,791.07 | 10.49 | 1,324,791.07 | 8.92 | 440,602.19 | 10.49 |
Largest Losing Trade | 1,253,471.19 | 6.36 | 1,253,471.19 | 6.03 | 370,788.08 | 6.36 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 32 | 26 | 39 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 34 | 27 | 43 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 31 | 26 | 35 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 31,004,751.38 USD | 310,047.51 | 27,703,583.08 USD | 277,035.83 | 3,301,168.30 USD | 33,011.68 |
Gross Profit | 123,248,556.86 | 1,232,485.57 | 85,936,344.90 | 859,363.45 | 37,312,211.96 | 373,122.12 |
Gross Loss | 92,243,805.48 | 922,438.05 | 58,232,761.82 | 582,327.62 | 34,011,043.66 | 340,110.44 |
Max Run-up | 35,253,682.16 | 99.98 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 6,000,787.26 | 33.31 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −2,729.08 | −27.29 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.619 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 6.111 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.336 | 1.476 | 1.097 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 17,425,183 | 17,425,183 | 14,888,864 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 6,234,908.36 | 4,262,949.38 | 1,971,958.98 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 1,042 | 543 | 499 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 532 | 290 | 242 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 510 | 253 | 257 | |||
Percent Profitable | 51.06 | 53.41 | 48.50 | |||
Avg Trade | 29,755.04 | 0.53 | 51,019.49 | 0.61 | 6,615.57 | 0.44 |
Avg Winning Trade | 231,670.22 | 3.34 | 296,332.22 | 3.11 | 154,182.69 | 3.62 |
Avg Losing Trade | 180,870.21 | 2.41 | 230,169.02 | 2.27 | 132,338.69 | 2.56 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.281 | 1.287 | 1.165 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 2,943,466.19 | 10.49 | 2,943,466.19 | 8.92 | 1,721,838.09 | 10.49 |
Largest Losing Trade | 3,172,293.98 | 6.36 | 3,172,293.98 | 6.09 | 1,473,195.01 | 6.36 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 31 | 26 | 37 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 32 | 27 | 39 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 30 | 26 | 35 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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