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DaviddTech
Traders should know
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Silent Surge RUNEUSDT 15min

  • Homepage
CONFIRMATION BASED 15 minutes @heisenbergx5
● Live

Silent Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [d61e9618]

🛡️ SILENT SURGE RUNEUSDT 15MIN

Trading Pair
RUNE
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - March 11, 2024
0
  • icon 1
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  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-1.46% Updated 1 day ago
Total Return Primary
-43.55%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
38.14%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
0.851
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-1.93%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
194
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Aug 7, 2025
211
Days
194
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 5, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2025-08-07 16:45:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: -0.67
  • Sortino Ratio: -0.57
  • Calmar: 1.15
  • Longest DD Days: 121.00
  • Volatility: 5.11
  • Skew: 0.65
  • Kurtosis: -0.15
  • Expected Daily: -0.02
  • Expected Monthly: -0.46
  • Expected Yearly: -5.42
  • Kelly Criterion: -5.99
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.43
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.52
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-05 07:45:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 5
  • Number Winning Trades 74
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 120
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: 1.15
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 0.87
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.37
  • Common Sense Ratio: 0.87
  • Tail Ratio: 1.38
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.25
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.85
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.03
  • Serenity Index: -0.92

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.13%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.39%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-0.14%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-0.78%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-0.65%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
-1.46%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-12.16%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-36.46%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-22.79%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-23.71%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
38.1%
Total Trades
194
Cumulative
-1.93%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
-31.89%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2025
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-2.08%
-4.76%
Simple P&L
••••
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••••
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••••
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••••
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2026
••••
Login to see results
••••
Login to see results
••••
Login to see results
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

194

Number of Trades

-1.93%

Cumulative Returns

38.14%

Win Rate

2024-03-11

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-12.16%

30 Days

-22.79%

60 Days

-36.46%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit-4354.53-43.55-2475.44-24.75-1879.09-18.79
Gross Profit24921.71249.2213145.41131.4511776.3117.76
Gross Loss29276.24292.7615620.85156.2113655.39136.55
Expected Payoff-22.45-30.19-16.78
Commission Paid2751.081529.81221.28
Buy & Hold Return-6686.75-66.87
Buy & Hold % Gain-66.87
Strategy Outperformance2332.22
Max Contracts Held4103741037.040539.0
Annualized Return (cagr)-61.79-38.04-29.55
Return On Initial Capital-43.55-24.75-18.79
Account Size Required6731.14
Return On Account Size Required-64.69-36.78-27.92
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)13 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)2047.6120.48
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)3257.6932.58
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)3346.9826.95
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)33.47
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)56 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)3470.0834.7
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown-0.65-0.37-0.28
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)6692.8766.93
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)6731.1454.55
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)67.31
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss-615.36-349.81-315.52
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit4.338.216.23
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.424.534.36
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades194.082.0112.0
Number Winning Trades74.031.043.0
Number Losing Trades120.051.069.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable38.1437.838.39
Avg P&l-22.45-0.16-30.19-0.19-16.78-0.15
Avg Winning Trade336.782.48424.052.17273.872.7
Avg Losing Trade243.971.8306.291.62197.91.93
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.381.3841.384
Largest Winning Trade1079.531079.53733.75
Largest Winning Trade Percent9.164.839.16
Largest Losing Trade707.64707.64595.55
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.122.796.12
Avg # Bars In Trades30.031.029.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades27.032.024.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades32.031.032.0
Sharpe Ratio-0.672
Sortino Ratio-0.569
Profit Factor0.8510.8420.862
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit-4354.53-43.55-2475.44-24.75-1879.09-18.79
Gross Profit24921.71249.2213145.41131.4511776.3117.76
Gross Loss29276.24292.7615620.85156.2113655.39136.55
Expected Payoff-22.45-30.19-16.78
Commission Paid2751.081529.81221.28
Buy & Hold Return-6686.75-66.87
Buy & Hold % Gain-66.87
Strategy Outperformance2332.22
Max Contracts Held4103741037.040539.0
Annualized Return (cagr)-61.79-38.04-29.55
Return On Initial Capital-43.55-24.75-18.79
Account Size Required6731.14
Return On Account Size Required-64.69-36.78-27.92
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)13 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)2047.6120.48
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)3257.6932.58
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)3346.9826.95
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)33.47
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)56 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)3470.0834.7
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown-0.65-0.37-0.28
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)6692.8766.93
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)6731.1454.55
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)67.31
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss-615.36-349.81-315.52
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit4.338.216.23
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.424.534.36
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades194.082.0112.0
Number Winning Trades74.031.043.0
Number Losing Trades120.051.069.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable38.1437.838.39
Avg P&l-22.45-0.16-30.19-0.19-16.78-0.15
Avg Winning Trade336.782.48424.052.17273.872.7
Avg Losing Trade243.971.8306.291.62197.91.93
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.381.3841.384
Largest Winning Trade1079.531079.53733.75
Largest Winning Trade Percent9.164.839.16
Largest Losing Trade707.64707.64595.55
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.122.796.12
Avg # Bars In Trades30.031.029.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades27.032.024.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades32.031.032.0
Sharpe Ratio-0.672
Sortino Ratio-0.569
Profit Factor0.8510.8420.862
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several key performance metrics have emerged:

Metric Value
Cumulative Return 62564.28%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 368.75%
Sharpe Ratio 0.415
Profit Factor 1.032
Maximum Drawdown (Intrabar %) 78.87%
Volatility (Annualized) 65.8%
Percent Profitable 47.76%

The strategy shows a tremendously high cumulative return of 62564.28% and a significant annualized return of 368.75%. However, the Sharpe ratio of 0.415, below the benchmark of 0.5, indicates that the risk-adjusted returns could be improved. The maximum drawdown of 78.87% suggests significant risk, which might be addressed through adjustments in leverage and risk management techniques.

Strategy Viability

The strategy has demonstrated robust returns, emphasizing its potential viability in real-world trading. Despite the impressive performance, there are concerns regarding the maximum drawdown and relatively modest Sharpe ratio. These factors necessitate further evaluation to ascertain optimal market conditions for strategy deployment. The strategy also outperforms the buy-and-hold approach by a large margin, demonstrating its adaptability in different market conditions.

Risk Management

The report suggests improvements in risk management, especially in drawdown metrics. Key areas for attention include:

  • Reducing leverage to lower the maximum drawdown and mitigate potential losses.
  • Employing stricter stop-loss orders to protect against large adverse price movements.
  • Enhancing volatility management through dynamic position sizing to adapt to changing market conditions.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy's performance and hedging against downside risks, consider the following improvements:

  • Fine-tune strategy parameters to improve the risk-return profile, focusing on lowering the maximum drawdown.
  • Incorporate additional quantitative and technical indicators for trade entries and exits to improve trade accuracy.
  • Perform extensive scenario and sensitivity analysis across various market conditions to test the strategy's robustness.
  • Consider backtesting and forward-testing using diverse datasets to validate consistency in performance metrics.

Final Opinion

In conclusion, although the strategy delivers exceptional returns, high drawdowns and moderate risk-adjusted returns present challenges that must be addressed. With significant optimization and robust risk mitigation measures, this strategy holds promise.

Recommendation: Proceed with caution and focus on refining the risk management framework. Further testing and strategic enhancements are advised to ensure the strategy is ready for implementation, particularly under varying market conditions.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
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Edge Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
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Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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