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reid thetausdt trendhoo 2h 02.07

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TREND FOLOWING 2 hours @reid
● Live

🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [a8edfbdf]

🛡️ THETAUSDT TRENDHOO 2H 02.07

Trading Pair
THETA
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - July 3, 2024
0
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 3 months ago
Total Return Primary
78.07%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
68.9%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.172
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
0.24%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
553
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 31, 2022
1,590
Days
553
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 22, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2022-01-31 11:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.18
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.38
  • Calmar: -0.73
  • Longest DD Days: 132.00
  • Volatility: 29.95
  • Skew: -0.25
  • Kurtosis: 5.50
  • Expected Daily: 0.12
  • Expected Monthly: 2.65
  • Expected Yearly: 36.88
  • Kelly Criterion: 10.41
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.04
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.37
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-22 06:30:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 14
  • Number Winning Trades 381
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 172
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.73
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.18
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.53
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.18
  • Tail Ratio: 0.79
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 6.54
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.04
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.10
  • Serenity Index: 1.91

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

☰ Note: Multiple Take Profits might enhance the appearance of results. Check the TradingView chart for clarity.

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-0.98%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+3.96%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+2.59%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+14.81%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
69.0%
Total Trades
554
Cumulative
-2.12%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
413.59%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2022
-5.82%
-5.54%
Simple P&L
+0.39%
-3.30%
Simple P&L
+4.59%
-7.26%
Simple P&L
-4.29%
+19.60%
Simple P&L
+0.58%
+21.17%
Simple P&L
-3.67%
+18.48%
Simple P&L
+3.71%
-3.05%
Simple P&L
-1.92%
+9.79%
Simple P&L
-0.68%
-5.19%
Simple P&L
-1.37%
+3.65%
Simple P&L
+3.34%
+10.55%
Simple P&L
-0.84%
+23.57%
Simple P&L
2023
-2.75%
-2.67%
Simple P&L
+1.74%
-3.85%
Simple P&L
-0.04%
-4.28%
Simple P&L
-6.64%
-5.69%
Simple P&L
+8.57%
+13.15%
Simple P&L
-2.42%
+0.17%
Simple P&L
+0.11%
+1.13%
Simple P&L
+1.16%
+20.16%
Simple P&L
-12.24%
-7.44%
Simple P&L
+9.28%
-6.31%
Simple P&L
+1.00%
+21.28%
Simple P&L
+1.75%
+8.16%
Simple P&L
2024
+2.47%
+17.49%
Simple P&L
-0.66%
+10.41%
Simple P&L
-6.42%
+8.94%
Simple P&L
+5.92%
+15.59%
Simple P&L
-2.60%
+18.52%
Simple P&L
+1.60%
-4.05%
Simple P&L
+1.08%
+25.01%
Simple P&L
-1.71%
+7.54%
Simple P&L
-2.00%
+14.91%
Simple P&L
+4.94%
+3.47%
Simple P&L
-0.10%
+47.70%
Simple P&L
-6.41%
-0.57%
Simple P&L
2025
+5.19%
-6.27%
Simple P&L
-3.22%
+12.71%
Simple P&L
+3.75%
+17.30%
Simple P&L
-2.17%
+20.39%
Simple P&L
+2.61%
+28.09%
Simple P&L
-0.64%
+17.56%
Simple P&L
-2.39%
+8.41%
Simple P&L
-0.44%
+9.15%
Simple P&L
+2.48%
-7.94%
Simple P&L
-2.96%
-4.13%
Simple P&L
+2.29%
+30.39%
Simple P&L
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2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

554

Number of Trades

-2.12%

Cumulative Returns

68.95%

Win Rate

2024-07-02

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0%

30 Days

0%

60 Days

2.59%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l390.680.22
Net Profit78073.278.0752331.4352.3325741.7725.74
Gross Profit531890.91531.89249674.15249.67282216.76282.22
Gross Loss453817.71453.82197342.72197.34256474.99256.47
Expected Payoff141.18228.5279.45
Commission Paid32722.2814096.3718625.91
Buy & Hold Return-94173.87-94.17
Buy & Hold % Gain-94.17
Strategy Outperformance172247.07
Max Contracts Held967323823818.0967323.0
Annualized Return (cagr)13.499.675.15
Return On Initial Capital78.0752.3325.74
Account Size Required40125.57
Return On Account Size Required194.57130.4264.15
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)41 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)14357.2614.36
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)43414.1843.41
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)122046.6358.31
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)122.05
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)59 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)16717.0216.72
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.961.310.65
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)38386.6438.39
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)40125.5728.17
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)40.13
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss563.42377.66230.92
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.454.744.62
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.057.024.35
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades553.0229.0324.0
Number Winning Trades381.0157.0224.0
Number Losing Trades172.072.0100.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable68.968.5669.14
Avg P&l141.180.75228.520.8579.450.67
Avg Winning Trade1396.042.541590.282.711259.92.42
Avg Losing Trade2638.483.232740.873.22564.753.25
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.5290.580.491
Largest Winning Trade13031.7711828.2613031.77
Largest Winning Trade Percent8.978.978.65
Largest Losing Trade13856.9313856.9311147.68
Largest Losing Trade Percent12.9712.979.48
Avg # Bars In Trades6.06.07.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades6.05.06.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades8.07.08.0
Sharpe Ratio0.184
Sortino Ratio0.378
Profit Factor1.1721.2651.1
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l395.050.22
Net Profit78073.278.0752331.4352.3325741.7725.74
Gross Profit531890.91531.89249674.15249.67282216.76282.22
Gross Loss453817.71453.82197342.72197.34256474.99256.47
Expected Payoff141.18228.5279.45
Commission Paid32722.2814096.3718625.91
Buy & Hold Return-94174.59-94.17
Buy & Hold % Gain-94.17
Strategy Outperformance172247.79
Max Contracts Held967323823818.0967323.0
Annualized Return (cagr)13.499.675.15
Return On Initial Capital78.0752.3325.74
Account Size Required40125.57
Return On Account Size Required194.57130.4264.15
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)41 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)14357.2614.36
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)43414.1843.41
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)122046.6358.31
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)122.05
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)59 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)16717.0216.72
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.961.310.65
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)38386.6438.39
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)40125.5728.17
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)40.13
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss563.42377.66230.92
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.454.744.62
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.057.024.35
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades553.0229.0324.0
Number Winning Trades381.0157.0224.0
Number Losing Trades172.072.0100.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable68.968.5669.14
Avg P&l141.180.75228.520.8579.450.67
Avg Winning Trade1396.042.541590.282.711259.92.42
Avg Losing Trade2638.483.232740.873.22564.753.25
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.5290.580.491
Largest Winning Trade13031.7711828.2613031.77
Largest Winning Trade Percent8.978.978.65
Largest Losing Trade13856.9313856.9311147.68
Largest Losing Trade Percent12.9712.979.48
Avg # Bars In Trades6.06.07.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades6.05.06.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades8.07.08.0
Sharpe Ratio0.184
Sortino Ratio0.378
Profit Factor1.1721.2651.1
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 13.49%
Sharpe Ratio 0.184
Profit Factor 1.172
Maximum Drawdown (intrabar) 28.17%
Volatility (Annualized) 29.95%
Percent Profitable 68.9%
Net Profit 78.07%

The strategy exhibits a moderate annualized return of 13.49% with a net profit of 78.07%. While the Sharpe Ratio at 0.184 is below the generally desired threshold of 0.5, the maximum drawdown is 28.17%, which is below the critical 40% level, demonstrating reasonable downside risk management. The strategy's win rate is strong at 68.9%, indicating a high probability of successful trades.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, the strategy shows potential for real-world trading, especially with its solid win rate and drawdown performance. However, the low Sharpe Ratio suggests that the returns are not significantly compensating for the risk taken. It would be beneficial to assess the market conditions under which the strategy thrives to understand its performance context better.

Risk Management

The strategy's ability to maintain a maximum drawdown below 40% is commendable, reflecting effective risk management to some extent. However, the volatility at nearly 30% indicates the opportunity to stabilize returns further. Enhancing risk management could involve:

  • Incorporating dynamic position sizing to optimize trade exposure relative to current market volatility.
  • Utilizing more sophisticated stop-loss strategies to protect against unforeseen market downturns.
  • Reducing leverage to further decrease potential drawdowns and improve performance stability.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy's performance, consider:

  • Refining parameters to achieve better risk-adjusted returns.
  • Including additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit points further.
  • Performing rigorous out-of-sample and forward-testing to ensure robustness under diverse market conditions.
  • Augmenting the risk management framework by introducing advanced measures like Value-at-Risk (VaR) and scenario analysis.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy demonstrates adequate profitability with a satisfactory drawdown level, indicating viable risk management. However, improvements are essential to enhance return quality and reward-to-risk ratio. By addressing the Sharpe Ratio and volatility, the strategy could become more appealing for deployment in live trading environments.

Recommendation: Proceed with modifications and further testing. Focus on improving the Sharpe Ratio and reducing volatility via the suggested risk management and strategy enhancement techniques.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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