🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [b14c73d1]
🛡️ TRENDHOO 30M BTCUSDT 03.12.2024
@phyu2
⌛30 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 1 hour agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-02 16:30:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.72
- Sortino Ratio: 2.33
- Calmar: -5.28
- Longest DD Days: 60.00
- Volatility: 69.69
- Skew: 0.01
- Kurtosis: -0.67
- Expected Daily: 1.06
- Expected Monthly: 24.82
- Expected Yearly: 1,330.39
- Kelly Criterion: 15.14
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.55
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -7.04
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-18 23:30:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 9
- Number Winning Trades 305
- Max Consecutive Losses: 6
- Number Losing Trades: 219
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -5.28
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.35
- Payoff Ratio: 0.97
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.35
- Tail Ratio: 1.38
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.47
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.62
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.10
- Serenity Index: 1,186.91
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics warrant attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 15126.12% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 177.7% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.713 |
Profit Factor | 1.35 |
Maximum Drawdown | 34.23% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 69.78% |
The strategy exhibits a robust cumulative return of 15126.12% and an impressive annualized return of 177.7%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.713 indicates a good risk-adjusted return, which is suitable for crypto markets. The maximum drawdown of 34.23% is within an acceptable range for the high volatility seen in these markets, suggesting a certain level of downside protection.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy appears to be viable for real-world trading, especially under current market conditions characterized by significant volatility. The strategy maintains a reasonable Sharpe ratio, indicating its effectiveness in generating returns over the risk taken. However, ensuring these conditions are likely to persist is essential for long-term viability.
Risk Management
The strategy's risk management approach appears moderately effective, as reflected in its reasonable drawdown and profit factor metrics. However, the relatively high volatility suggests room for improvement in volatility management:
- Consider employing less leverage to decrease potential drawdowns further.
- Implement tighter stop-loss strategies to manage risks more effectively.
- Diversify the assets traded to reduce systemic risks.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy's performance, consider the following enhancements:
- Optimize strategy parameters to boost gains while lowering risk exposure.
- Incorporate additional technical indicators to refine trade entries and exits.
- Conduct extensive out-of-sample testing to verify robustness under various market scenarios.
- Integrate advanced risk management techniques like dynamic hedging and Monte Carlo simulations to anticipate extreme market movements.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy demonstrates compelling performance with high returns and decent risk-adjusted measures. Despite substantial volatility, it holds effectively against drawdowns, indicating sound risk management. Optimizing and further testing the strategy is crucial to ensure its endurance in diverse market conditions.
Recommendation: Continue with additional testing and optimization to reinforce the strategy's robustness. Implementing suggested improvements could enhance adaptability, especially in volatile markets, thereby ensuring steady performance.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 41.99% | 1.34% | -7.63% | -5.92% | 3.03% | 10.97% | 18.90% | -3.40% | 8.75% |
2021 | 9.45% | 9.05% | 16.75% | 18.79% | 2.40% | 22.21% | 20.80% | 6.32% | 19.67% | -16.03% | 12.17% | 21.18% |
2022 | 14.72% | 26.09% | 28.69% | 3.83% | 26.15% | 8.29% | 18.02% | 3.69% | 21.40% | 8.34% | 12.12% | 1.41% |
2023 | 7.77% | 18.18% | 20.51% | 3.72% | 9.78% | 7.08% | -6.35% | 23.16% | -10.62% | 19.52% | 3.48% | 14.36% |
2024 | 22.91% | 2.23% | 7.67% | 9.91% | 0.06% | 2.06% | -10.92% | 27.52% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
27
Number of Trades
-28.25%
Cumulative Returns
40.74%
Win Rate
2024-12-03
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-0.94%
30 Days
-12.02%
60 Days
-14.68%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 21098209.54 | 21098.21 | 9721401.55 | 9721.4 | 11376807.99 | 11376.81 |
Gross Profit | 53412183.98 | 53412.18 | 24155166.52 | 24155.17 | 29257017.46 | 29257.02 |
Gross Loss | 32313974.44 | 32313.97 | 14433764.98 | 14433.76 | 17880209.46 | 17880.21 |
Commission Paid | 4308475.32 | 2161767.15 | 2146708.18 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1348245.4 | 1348.25 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 21098245.41 | 99.53 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 3750260.36 | 34.23 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 787.0 | 753.0 | 787.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 497.0 | 257.0 | 240.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 294.0 | 170.0 | 124.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 203.0 | 87.0 | 116.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 59.15 | 66.15 | 51.67 | |||
Avg P&l | 42451.13 | 0.54 | 37826.47 | 0.6 | 47403.37 | 0.47 |
Avg Winning Trade | 181674.1 | 1.98 | 142089.21 | 1.68 | 235943.69 | 2.39 |
Avg Losing Trade | 159182.14 | 1.54 | 165905.34 | 1.5 | 154139.74 | 1.57 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.141 | 0.856 | 1.531 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 1544996.46 | 705093.45 | 1544996.46 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 5.12 | 3.53 | 5.12 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 1116315.14 | 791526.36 | 1116315.14 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.31 | 2.93 | 3.31 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 23.0 | 20.0 | 27.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 22.0 | 19.0 | 26.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 25.0 | 22.0 | 27.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.838 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 3.091 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.653 | 1.674 | 1.636 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 15494035.2 | 15494.04 | 6000846.72 | 6000.85 | 9493188.48 | 9493.19 |
Gross Profit | 59135998.45 | 59136.0 | 25198798.15 | 25198.8 | 33937200.3 | 33937.2 |
Gross Loss | 43641963.25 | 43641.96 | 19197951.42 | 19197.95 | 24444011.83 | 24444.01 |
Commission Paid | 5093805.86 | 2451040.95 | 2642764.91 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1223218.97 | 1223.22 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 21662509.75 | 99.54 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 6535127.01 | 34.23 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 787.0 | 753.0 | 787.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 524.0 | 266.0 | 258.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 305.0 | 173.0 | 132.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 219.0 | 93.0 | 126.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 58.21 | 65.04 | 51.16 | |||
Avg P&l | 29568.77 | 0.49 | 22559.57 | 0.55 | 36795.3 | 0.43 |
Avg Winning Trade | 193888.52 | 1.96 | 145657.79 | 1.67 | 257100.0 | 2.35 |
Avg Losing Trade | 199278.37 | 1.57 | 206429.59 | 1.54 | 194000.09 | 1.59 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.973 | 0.706 | 1.325 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 1544996.46 | 751544.95 | 1544996.46 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 5.12 | 3.53 | 5.12 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 1476969.56 | 1362538.69 | 1476969.56 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.33 | 2.93 | 3.33 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 23.0 | 20.0 | 26.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 22.0 | 19.0 | 26.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 24.0 | 22.0 | 26.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.718 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.325 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.355 | 1.313 | 1.388 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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