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phyu2 TRENDHOO 30M BTCusdt 03.12.2024

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TREND FOLOWING 30 minutes @phyu2
● Live

🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [b14c73d1]

🛡️ TRENDHOO 30M BTCUSDT 03.12.2024

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - January 19, 2025
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-2.56% Updated 10 hours ago
Total Return Primary
7739.9%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
56.44%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.193
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-1.4%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
590
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Apr 2, 2020
2,138
Days
590
Trades
Last Trade
Feb 3, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-04-02 16:30:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.55
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.58
  • Calmar: -2.57
  • Longest DD Days: 93.00
  • Volatility: 67.80
  • Skew: 0.06
  • Kurtosis: -0.62
  • Expected Daily: 0.83
  • Expected Monthly: 18.96
  • Expected Yearly: 702.85
  • Kelly Criterion: 8.99
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.56
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -6.99
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-02-03 20:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 9
  • Number Winning Trades 333
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 257
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.57
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.19
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.92
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.19
  • Tail Ratio: 1.35
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.57
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.64
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.16
  • Serenity Index: 306.57

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
-0.98%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-1.92%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-1.59%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-1.43%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-1.91%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
-2.56%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-1.66%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-2.04%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-4.25%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-8.06%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
56.4%
Total Trades
590
Cumulative
-2.94%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
223.35%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2020
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-0.49%
+15.49%
Simple P&L
-0.69%
-0.28%
Simple P&L
+1.06%
-6.29%
Simple P&L
-0.62%
-2.26%
Simple P&L
-0.71%
+0.61%
Simple P&L
+0.36%
+5.81%
Simple P&L
+0.58%
+9.29%
Simple P&L
-0.43%
+0.06%
Simple P&L
-1.01%
+2.83%
Simple P&L
2021
-0.82%
+4.77%
Simple P&L
+2.25%
+10.42%
Simple P&L
-0.90%
+7.20%
Simple P&L
+0.72%
+8.52%
Simple P&L
+0.32%
+4.10%
Simple P&L
-2.01%
+10.78%
Simple P&L
+2.23%
+7.39%
Simple P&L
-0.91%
+2.11%
Simple P&L
-1.81%
+6.46%
Simple P&L
+1.30%
-5.12%
Simple P&L
-0.37%
+4.41%
Simple P&L
+0.10%
+11.87%
Simple P&L
2022
+1.03%
+9.19%
Simple P&L
+0.50%
+8.51%
Simple P&L
+0.39%
+9.38%
Simple P&L
-0.44%
-1.58%
Simple P&L
+0.82%
+11.01%
Simple P&L
+0.61%
+3.05%
Simple P&L
-1.52%
+7.30%
Simple P&L
+0.41%
+3.00%
Simple P&L
-0.17%
+8.38%
Simple P&L
+1.10%
+2.77%
Simple P&L
-0.28%
+4.11%
Simple P&L
-0.01%
+0.36%
Simple P&L
2023
-0.16%
+3.29%
Simple P&L
+0.22%
+7.31%
Simple P&L
-0.08%
+14.20%
Simple P&L
+0.34%
+1.29%
Simple P&L
+0.25%
+2.49%
Simple P&L
+0.19%
+2.50%
Simple P&L
-0.03%
-2.89%
Simple P&L
+0.68%
+7.28%
Simple P&L
-1.03%
-4.13%
Simple P&L
+0.96%
+6.63%
Simple P&L
-0.87%
-1.49%
Simple P&L
+0.60%
+3.72%
Simple P&L
2024
-0.66%
+12.12%
Simple P&L
+1.03%
+0.71%
Simple P&L
-1.37%
+2.00%
Simple P&L
+0.74%
+3.36%
Simple P&L
-0.09%
+2.19%
Simple P&L
+0.15%
+2.01%
Simple P&L
+0.47%
-4.54%
Simple P&L
-1.70%
+13.82%
Simple P&L
+0.69%
-1.16%
Simple P&L
-0.39%
+1.40%
Simple P&L
-0.90%
+13.00%
Simple P&L
+1.00%
-3.29%
Simple P&L
2025
-1.27%
-8.04%
Simple P&L
-1.16%
+0.14%
Simple P&L
+1.90%
+0.15%
Simple P&L
+0.29%
-0.10%
Simple P&L
+0.02%
-2.76%
Simple P&L
-0.77%
-6.06%
Simple P&L
+0.61%
+1.01%
Simple P&L
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2026
••••
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

590

Number of Trades

-2.94%

Cumulative Returns

56.44%

Win Rate

2024-12-03

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-1.66%

30 Days

-4.25%

60 Days

-2.04%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit13689624.613689.626373439.86373.447316184.817316.18
Gross Profit37465483.5237465.4816988642.7716988.6420476840.7520476.84
Gross Loss23775858.9223775.8610615202.9810615.213160655.9413160.66
Expected Payoff27544.5224799.3830484.1
Commission Paid4617268.392323349.682293918.71
Buy & Hold Return1348245.41348.25
Buy & Hold % Gain1348.25
Strategy Outperformance12341379.2
Max Contracts Held569561.0569.0
Annualized Return (cagr)185.59143.1150.24
Return On Initial Capital13689.626373.447316.18
Account Size Required2733269.96
Return On Account Size Required500.85233.18267.67
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)18 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)606063.59606.06
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)28788492878.85
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)13689678.499.28
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)13689.68
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)21 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)436786.64436.79
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown5.012.332.68
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)26058172605.82
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)2733269.9635.54
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)2733.27
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1784.491146.41953.69
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.652.694.85
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.235.245.83
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades497.0257.0240.0
Number Winning Trades294.0170.0124.0
Number Losing Trades203.087.0116.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable59.1566.1551.67
Avg P&l27544.520.524799.380.5630484.10.43
Avg Winning Trade127433.621.9499933.191.64165135.812.35
Avg Losing Trade117122.461.58122013.831.54113453.931.61
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0880.8191.456
Largest Winning Trade992508.05457618.44992508.05
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.083.495.08
Largest Losing Trade767145.11555948.2767145.11
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.352.973.35
Avg # Bars In Trades23.020.027.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades22.019.026.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades25.022.027.0
Sharpe Ratio0.782
Sortino Ratio2.664
Profit Factor1.5761.61.556
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit7739899.827739.92639667.762639.675100232.075100.23
Gross Profit47784082.7947784.0819712500.3719712.528071582.4228071.58
Gross Loss40044182.9740044.1817072832.6117072.8322971350.3522971.35
Expected Payoff13118.479071.0217057.63
Commission Paid6719932.163122571.953597360.21
Buy & Hold Return964523.2964.52
Buy & Hold % Gain964.52
Strategy Outperformance6775376.63
Max Contracts Held569561.0569.0
Annualized Return (cagr)109.9575.5895.79
Return On Initial Capital7739.92639.675100.23
Account Size Required6051233.89
Return On Account Size Required127.9143.6284.28
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)18 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)606063.59606.06
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)28788492878.85
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)14049345.9199.29
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)14049.35
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)34 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)603845.38603.85
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.280.440.84
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)59497255949.73
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)6051233.8943.88
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)6051.23
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss806.91297.1531.72
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.082.413.54
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.45.24.18
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades590.0291.0299.0
Number Winning Trades333.0185.0148.0
Number Losing Trades257.0106.0151.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable56.4463.5749.5
Avg P&l13118.470.389071.020.4517057.630.31
Avg Winning Trade143495.741.89106554.061.59189672.852.25
Avg Losing Trade155813.941.57161064.461.54152128.151.6
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.9210.6621.247
Largest Winning Trade992508.05474257.42992508.05
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.083.495.08
Largest Losing Trade959200.23888470.46959200.23
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.372.973.37
Avg # Bars In Trades23.020.026.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades22.019.026.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades24.022.025.0
Sharpe Ratio0.547
Sortino Ratio1.579
Profit Factor1.1931.1551.222
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 8074.29%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 111.96%
Sharpe Ratio 0.559
Profit Factor 1.203
Maximum Drawdown -43.88%
Volatility (Annualized) 67.78%

The strategy exhibits substantial growth with a cumulative return of 8074.29% and an annualized return of 111.96%. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.559 surpasses the threshold for crypto markets, indicating reasonably good risk-adjusted returns. However, the maximum drawdown at -43.88% marginally exceeds the acceptable threshold, highlighting areas for improvement in risk management. The profit factor of 1.203 suggests that for every dollar risked, there's a $1.20 return, which is quite encouraging.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy shows potential viability for real-world trading, especially given its substantial returns. The strategy performs effectively, as evidenced by a winning trade percentage of 56.54%. However, the elevated maximum drawdown underscores a need for caution and perhaps a closer review of environmental conditions that might stress the strategy. It's important to assess whether such market conditions are likely to persist and capitalize on those optimally.

Risk Management

Although the strategy reaches commendable profit metrics, risk management could be improved, especially regarding the drawdown. Here are some suggestions:

  • Using lower leverage could help in reducing the maximum drawdown significantly, making the strategy safer for the account capital.
  • Incorporating regular stop-loss orders and dynamic position sizing based on volatility can also limit potential drawdowns.
  • Periodic diversification of trades to include different asset types might help mitigate risks relating to market shocks.

Improvement Suggestions

For further optimization, consider the following recommendations:

  • Revisiting and optimizing strategy parameters to better control drawdown while maintaining high returns.
  • Experimenting with additional indicators for refined entries and exits, potentially increasing profitability.
  • Conduct back-testing with diverse datasets and market conditions to ensure robust performance across scenarios.
  • Enhance the risk management framework with techniques like Value-at-Risk (VaR) and stress testing to handle volatility effectively.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy demonstrates robust performance with impressive returns and acceptable risk-adjusted metrics, although a slightly high maximum drawdown is noted. Strategic refinements focused on risk management can significantly enhance its stability and attractiveness.

Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and optimization, particularly around risk mitigation and drawdown management. Implement the suggested improvements to increase the strategy's robustness and potential to thrive in varying market conditions.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
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Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

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Strategy Analysis Video

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