Michonne [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [83994897]
🛡️ MICHONNE SOLUSDT 30M 09.07
@phyu2
⌛30 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 14 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-07-03 21:30:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.25
- Sortino Ratio: 0.69
- Calmar: -0.88
- Longest DD Days: 396.00
- Volatility: 91.05
- Skew: 1.36
- Kurtosis: 2.79
- Expected Daily: 0.41
- Expected Monthly: 9.01
- Expected Yearly: 181.69
- Kelly Criterion: 5.27
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -6.77
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -8.00
- Last Trade Date: 2024-12-09 21:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 7
- Number Winning Trades 270
- Max Consecutive Losses: 8
- Number Losing Trades: 421
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.88
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.16
- Payoff Ratio: 1.81
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.16
- Tail Ratio: 1.59
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.90
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.41
- Serenity Index: 4.15
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 468.49% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.253 |
Profit Factor | 1.221 |
Maximum Drawdown | 76.13% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 91.3% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 69.23% |
Win Rate | 39.13% |
The strategy delivers a significant net profit of 468.49% and a robust CAGR of 69.23%. The high Sharpe ratio indicates potential areas for improvement to enhance risk-adjusted returns. Notably, the maximum drawdown of 76.13% is a concern, marking a potential area for adjustments in leverage and risk management.
Strategy Viability
While the strategy shows a strong gross profit, the Sharpe ratio fell below the desired benchmark of 0.5. The high maximum drawdown poses a risk to capital, suggesting the strategy may need refinement to thrive in various market environments. However, the historical net profit indicates underlying strength worth exploring further.
Risk Management
The current risk management approach could benefit from enhancements to reduce drawdowns and manage volatility, which stands at 91.3%. A few considerations include:
- Re-evaluating leverage to decrease the maximum drawdown and enhance overall stability.
- Implementing additional loss-limiting strategies, such as tighter stop-losses.
- Exploring dynamic adjustments based on market conditions to optimize trade positions.
Improvement Suggestions
To increase the strategy's robustness and performance, consider the following:
- Fine-tuning parameters to enhance trade accuracy and profitability.
- Incorporating new technical indicators or trading signals to refine entry and exit criteria.
- Conducting backtesting across diverse market conditions to ensure strategy adaptability.
- Using less leverage to lower drawdown risk and improve risk-adjusted returns.
Final Opinion
The initial results show promise, with a strong net profit and potential for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. Addressing the high drawdown through refined leverage and risk management strategies could greatly enhance the strategy's efficacy.
Recommendation: Proceed with caution and focus on optimizing risk management and testing further. The potential for strong returns exists; however, adjustments are vital to minimize risk and leverage more effectively.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 2.37% | 2.68% | 5.50% | 8.71% | -15.04% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 17.00% | 13.08% | -3.38% | 35.45% | -9.82% | 30.96% | -21.18% | 57.30% | 53.03% | 91.49% | 7.28% | 7.21% |
2022 | -13.96% | -18.93% | -5.88% | 3.80% | -4.19% | 9.60% | -11.40% | -21.02% | -30.22% | 9.69% | 16.93% | -17.34% |
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -6.34% | -1.41% | -0.46% | 11.36% | 4.56% | -18.16% |
Live Trades Stats
SOL
Base Currency
80
Number of Trades
45.04%
Cumulative Returns
38.75%
Win Rate
2024-07-09
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-2.97%
30 Days
11%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 334,255.99 USD | 334.26 | 185,171.15 USD | 185.17 | 149,084.84 USD | 149.08 |
Gross Profit | 1,618,501.40 | 1,618.50 | 945,814.13 | 945.81 | 672,687.26 | 672.69 |
Gross Loss | 1,284,245.41 | 1,284.25 | 760,642.98 | 760.64 | 523,602.42 | 523.60 |
Max Run-up | 425,641.57 | 93.97 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 120,983.79 | 76.13 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 295,661.99 | 295.66 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.237 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.694 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.26 | 1.243 | 1.285 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 39,718 | 39,718 | 24,347 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 78,291.79 | 40,950.12 | 37,341.67 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 611 | 277 | 334 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 239 | 81 | 158 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 372 | 196 | 176 | |||
Percent Profitable | 39.12 | 29.24 | 47.31 | |||
Avg Trade | 547.06 | 0.07 | 668.49 | 0.02 | 446.36 | 0.11 |
Avg Winning Trade | 6,771.97 | 3.98 | 11,676.72 | 5.92 | 4,257.51 | 2.99 |
Avg Losing Trade | 3,452.27 | 2.44 | 3,880.83 | 2.42 | 2,975.01 | 2.46 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.962 | 3.009 | 1.431 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 61,592.34 | 6.48 | 61,592.34 | 6.48 | 27,708.13 | 3.86 |
Largest Losing Trade | 29,944.53 | 3.88 | 29,944.53 | 2.64 | 29,409.55 | 3.88 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 27 | 33 | 22 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 33 | 46 | 25 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 23 | 27 | 18 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 471,404.48 USD | 471.40 | 324,794.00 USD | 324.79 | 146,610.48 USD | 146.61 |
Gross Profit | 2,884,946.37 | 2,884.95 | 1,715,851.46 | 1,715.85 | 1,169,094.91 | 1,169.09 |
Gross Loss | 2,413,541.90 | 2,413.54 | 1,391,057.46 | 1,391.06 | 1,022,484.44 | 1,022.48 |
Max Run-up | 678,372.52 | 96.13 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 214,717.90 | 76.13 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 504,536.26 | 504.54 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.246 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.691 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.195 | 1.233 | 1.143 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 39,718 | 39,718 | 24,550 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 147,908.99 | 76,807.87 | 71,101.12 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 691 | 316 | 375 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 270 | 94 | 176 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 421 | 222 | 199 | |||
Percent Profitable | 39.07 | 29.75 | 46.93 | |||
Avg Trade | 682.21 | 0.07 | 1,027.83 | 0.05 | 390.96 | 0.09 |
Avg Winning Trade | 10,684.99 | 3.98 | 18,253.74 | 5.86 | 6,642.58 | 2.97 |
Avg Losing Trade | 5,732.88 | 2.43 | 6,266.02 | 2.41 | 5,138.11 | 2.45 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.864 | 2.913 | 1.293 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 115,695.43 | 6.48 | 115,695.43 | 6.48 | 48,158.07 | 3.86 |
Largest Losing Trade | 58,054.14 | 3.88 | 51,342.08 | 2.64 | 58,054.14 | 3.88 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 27 | 35 | 21 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 34 | 50 | 25 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 23 | 28 | 18 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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