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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
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phyu2 newsmartmoney ishares2000etf 15m 28.05

  • Homepage
STRUCTURE 15 minutes @phyu2
● Live

New Smart Money by @DaviddTech 🤖 [5f258764]

🛡️ NEWSMARTMONEY ISHARES2000ETF 15M 28.05

Trading Pair
IWM
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - June 5, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +35165.09% Updated 5 days ago
Total Return Primary
35.17%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
14.29%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.94
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-0.22%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
63
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Feb 22, 2023
1,128
Days
63
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 20, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-02-22 10:30:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.19
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.54
  • Calmar: -1.33
  • Longest DD Days: 14.00
  • Volatility: 46.50
  • Skew: 2.57
  • Kurtosis: 5.63
  • Expected Daily: 0.54
  • Expected Monthly: 11.96
  • Expected Yearly: 287.94
  • Kelly Criterion: 6.72
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -1.02
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -1.18
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-20 13:30:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 2
  • Number Winning Trades 9
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 12
  • Number Losing Trades: 54
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.33
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.89
  • Payoff Ratio: 11.32
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.89
  • Tail Ratio: 7.82
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 1.22
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.03
  • Serenity Index: 1.02

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.25%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-0.03%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-0.55%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-0.20%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+35,165.09%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+147,329.62%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+309,062.84%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+228,562.10%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+418,061.51%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
92.1%
Total Trades
63
Cumulative
-0.89%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
1,169,563.55%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-0.95%
-3,159.84%
Simple P&L
+0.10%
-5,288.26%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.31%
+14,857.70%
Simple P&L
-0.26%
+18,211.16%
Simple P&L
-0.19%
+19,157.81%
Simple P&L
+0.21%
+10,366.69%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.23%
+13,520.51%
Simple P&L
2024
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-0.08%
+41,393.53%
Simple P&L
-0.25%
+57,985.78%
Simple P&L
+0.29%
+36,098.24%
Simple P&L
+0.12%
+50,532.82%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+23,651.02%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+22,368.67%
Simple P&L
+0.87%
+62,720.36%
Simple P&L
+0.78%
+39,732.31%
Simple P&L
-0.53%
+52,332.79%
Simple P&L
-0.26%
+25,592.82%
Simple P&L
2025
-0.95%
+24,662.44%
Simple P&L
+1.01%
+65,607.13%
Simple P&L
-0.16%
+94,183.40%
Simple P&L
+0.08%
+16,478.30%
Simple P&L
-0.23%
+40,230.44%
Simple P&L
+1.14%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+30,266.22%
Simple P&L
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2026
••••
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••••
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

63

Number of Trades

-0.89%

Cumulative Returns

92.06%

Win Rate

2024-05-28

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

147329.62%

30 Days

228562.1%

60 Days

309062.84%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit35165.0935.1735165.0935.170.00.0
Gross Profit72564.9472.5672564.9472.560.00.0
Gross Loss37399.8637.437399.8637.40.00.0
Expected Payoff558.18558.180.0
Commission Paid3494.273494.270.0
Buy & Hold Return28312.0828.31
Buy & Hold % Gain28.35
Strategy Outperformance6853.01
Max Contracts Held468468.00.0
Annualized Return (cagr)10.110.10.0
Return On Initial Capital35.1735.170.0
Account Size Required10077.34
Return On Account Size Required348.95348.950.0
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)137 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)16477.5816.48
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)19167.2519.17
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)47735.4332.98
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)47.74
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)75 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)4985.724.99
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown3.493.490.0
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)9797.039.8
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)10077.347.98
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)10.08
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1944.471944.470.0
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit16.0316.030.0
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss4.844.840.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades63.063.00.0
Number Winning Trades9.09.00.0
Number Losing Trades54.054.00.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable14.2914.29
Avg P&l558.181.0558.181.0
Avg Winning Trade8062.7712.78062.7712.7
Avg Losing Trade692.590.95692.590.95
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss11.64111.641
Largest Winning Trade11629.6611629.66
Largest Winning Trade Percent15.2515.25
Largest Losing Trade1808.471808.47
Largest Losing Trade Percent1.941.94
Avg # Bars In Trades213.0213.00.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades839.0839.00.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades108.0108.00.0
Sharpe Ratio0.19
Sortino Ratio0.541
Profit Factor1.941.94
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit35165.0935.1735165.0935.170.00.0
Gross Profit72564.9472.5672564.9472.560.00.0
Gross Loss37399.8637.437399.8637.40.00.0
Expected Payoff558.18558.180.0
Commission Paid3494.273494.270.0
Buy & Hold Return28312.0828.31
Buy & Hold % Gain28.35
Strategy Outperformance6853.01
Max Contracts Held468468.00.0
Annualized Return (cagr)10.110.10.0
Return On Initial Capital35.1735.170.0
Account Size Required10077.34
Return On Account Size Required348.95348.950.0
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)137 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)16477.5816.48
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)19167.2519.17
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)47735.4332.98
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)47.74
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)75 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)4985.724.99
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown3.493.490.0
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)9797.039.8
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)10077.347.98
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)10.08
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1944.471944.470.0
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit16.0316.030.0
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss4.844.840.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades63.063.00.0
Number Winning Trades9.09.00.0
Number Losing Trades54.054.00.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable14.2914.29
Avg P&l558.181.0558.181.0
Avg Winning Trade8062.7712.78062.7712.7
Avg Losing Trade692.590.95692.590.95
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss11.64111.641
Largest Winning Trade11629.6611629.66
Largest Winning Trade Percent15.2515.25
Largest Losing Trade1808.471808.47
Largest Losing Trade Percent1.941.94
Avg # Bars In Trades213.0213.00.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades839.0839.00.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades108.0108.00.0
Sharpe Ratio0.19
Sortino Ratio0.541
Profit Factor1.941.94
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 35.17%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 10.3%
Sharpe Ratio 0.19
Profit Factor 1.94
Maximum Drawdown 0%
Volatility (Annualized) 46.5%

The strategy achieves a positive cumulative return of 35.17% over the evaluation period with an acceptable profit factor of 1.94, suggesting that the strategy earns $1.94 for every dollar of loss. However, the Sharpe ratio of 0.19 falls below the desired threshold of 0.5, indicating a need for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. Notably, the zero maximum drawdown signifies strong risk control under the current conditions.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, while the strategy does produce positive returns, its low Sharpe Ratio suggests that it may not be highly viable for real-world trading in its current form without further adjustments. It is important to understand the market conditions under which it operates optimally and consider the potential variability in future market conditions.

Risk Management

The strategy's risk management appears effective in maintaining a zero maximum drawdown. Yet, the high annualized volatility of 46.5% indicates opportunities for refining volatility management. Suggestions for better risk management include:

  • Reducing leverage to help lower volatility and potential drawdowns.
  • Improving stop-loss strategies to protect against unexpected market movements.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy’s performance and risk-adjusted returns, consider these recommendations:

  • Refine strategy parameters to improve the Sharpe ratio and overall profitability.
  • Experiment with additional technical and fundamental indicators to improve trade signals.
  • Undertake out-of-sample and forward-testing to ensure the strategy’s robustness in various market environments.
  • Incorporate more dynamic position sizing techniques to adapt to market changes effectively.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy demonstrates some positive performance metrics, such as a zero maximum drawdown and a reasonable profit factor. However, the low Sharpe ratio requires careful attention to improve its attractiveness for real-world implementation. The strategy could be made more robust with further testing and optimization.

Recommendation: Proceed with further modifications and testing for the strategy, with a keen focus on enhancing risk-adjusted returns and reducing volatility exposure through better leverage and stop-loss management practices.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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