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oleg_plotnikov HaCeLSMAv5.1 adausdt 1h 20.05.2025

  • Homepage
1 hour @oleg_plotnikov
● Live

HACELSMAV5.1 ADAUSDT 1H 20.05.2025

Trading Pair
ADA
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - July 10, 2025
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0.48% Updated 2 weeks ago
Total Return Primary
1799.1%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
53.13%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.245
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
1.31%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
559
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 4, 2023
1,186
Days
559
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 22, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-01-04 07:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.63
  • Sortino Ratio: 2.84
  • Calmar: -1.02
  • Longest DD Days: 252.00
  • Volatility: 5.28
  • Skew: 0.34
  • Kurtosis: 0.62
  • Expected Daily: 0.03
  • Expected Monthly: 0.64
  • Expected Yearly: 8.00
  • Kelly Criterion: 10.71
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.50
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.63
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-22 19:57:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 11
  • Number Winning Trades 297
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 262
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.02
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.25
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.10
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.25
  • Tail Ratio: 1.18
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 3.32
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.12
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.02
  • Serenity Index: 3.47

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+1.26%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-0.30%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
+0.91%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+1.31%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+11.08%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-0.09%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
+1.59%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-10.38%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
53.2%
Total Trades
560
Cumulative
-1.29%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
218.35%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
-0.10%
+10.59%
Simple P&L
-0.89%
+23.30%
Simple P&L
+0.58%
+19.98%
Simple P&L
+0.14%
+9.62%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
-0.78%
Simple P&L
-0.63%
+26.00%
Simple P&L
-0.93%
+4.64%
Simple P&L
+1.95%
+12.84%
Simple P&L
+0.32%
+4.12%
Simple P&L
-0.53%
+11.46%
Simple P&L
+0.06%
+16.90%
Simple P&L
+0.52%
+19.11%
Simple P&L
2024
-1.06%
+16.08%
Simple P&L
+1.93%
+13.83%
Simple P&L
-1.92%
-3.33%
Simple P&L
+2.31%
+15.61%
Simple P&L
-1.57%
-2.82%
Simple P&L
-0.63%
+12.80%
Simple P&L
+1.06%
+1.14%
Simple P&L
-0.91%
+11.06%
Simple P&L
+1.11%
+6.34%
Simple P&L
+2.08%
-1.28%
Simple P&L
+0.02%
+9.65%
Simple P&L
-2.11%
-9.81%
Simple P&L
2025
+0.00%
-1.20%
Simple P&L
-0.49%
+10.43%
Simple P&L
+0.12%
+9.64%
Simple P&L
+0.10%
-7.67%
Simple P&L
-1.09%
+0.21%
Simple P&L
+0.21%
-7.08%
Simple P&L
+0.08%
+19.24%
Simple P&L
+0.35%
-13.32%
Simple P&L
-0.21%
-4.81%
Simple P&L
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2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

560

Number of Trades

-1.29%

Cumulative Returns

53.21%

Win Rate

2025-05-20

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

11.08%

30 Days

1.59%

60 Days

-0.09%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l232.921.23
Net Profit17990.991799.13298.93329.8914692.061469.21
Gross Profit91486.479148.6540418.974041.951067.55106.75
Gross Loss73495.497349.5537120.053712.036375.443637.54
Expected Payoff32.1813.0448.01
Commission Paid6398.542991.073407.47
Buy & Hold Return16.721.67
Buy & Hold % Gain1.67
Strategy Outperformance17974.27
Max Contracts Held209059209059.0164492.0
Annualized Return (cagr)149.2557.21134.92
Return On Initial Capital1799.1329.891469.21
Account Size Required6567.01
Return On Account Size Required273.9650.23223.73
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)11 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)1003.52100.35
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)4137.41413.74
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)22006.3295.8
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)2200.63
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)21 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)758.8375.88
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown2.780.542.27
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)6400.63640.06
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)6567.0128.75
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)656.7
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1607.76294.811548.31
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.613.632.89
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.523.012.61
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades559.0253.0306.0
Number Winning Trades297.0126.0171.0
Number Losing Trades262.0127.0135.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable53.1349.855.88
Avg P&l32.180.3913.040.2548.010.51
Avg Winning Trade308.042.88320.792.95298.642.82
Avg Losing Trade280.522.43292.282.43269.452.42
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0981.0981.108
Largest Winning Trade1474.171465.921474.17
Largest Winning Trade Percent6.853.926.85
Largest Losing Trade1119.011119.01948.91
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.833.833.0
Avg # Bars In Trades17.017.017.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades17.017.017.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades16.016.017.0
Sharpe Ratio0.633
Sortino Ratio2.842
Profit Factor1.2451.0891.404
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l232.921.23
Net Profit17990.991799.13298.93329.8914692.061469.21
Gross Profit91486.479148.6540418.974041.951067.55106.75
Gross Loss73495.497349.5537120.053712.036375.443637.54
Expected Payoff32.1813.0448.01
Commission Paid6398.542991.073407.47
Buy & Hold Return16.721.67
Buy & Hold % Gain1.67
Strategy Outperformance17974.27
Max Contracts Held209059209059.0164492.0
Annualized Return (cagr)149.2557.21134.92
Return On Initial Capital1799.1329.891469.21
Account Size Required6567.01
Return On Account Size Required273.9650.23223.73
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)11 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)1003.52100.35
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)4137.41413.74
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)22006.3295.8
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)2200.63
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)21 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)758.8375.88
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown2.780.542.27
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)6400.63640.06
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)6567.0128.75
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)656.7
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1607.76294.811548.31
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.613.632.89
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.523.012.61
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades559.0253.0306.0
Number Winning Trades297.0126.0171.0
Number Losing Trades262.0127.0135.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable53.1349.855.88
Avg P&l32.180.3913.040.2548.010.51
Avg Winning Trade308.042.88320.792.95298.642.82
Avg Losing Trade280.522.43292.282.43269.452.42
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0981.0981.108
Largest Winning Trade1474.171465.921474.17
Largest Winning Trade Percent6.853.926.85
Largest Losing Trade1119.011119.01948.91
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.833.833.0
Avg # Bars In Trades17.017.017.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades17.017.017.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades16.016.017.0
Sharpe Ratio0.633
Sortino Ratio2.842
Profit Factor1.2451.0891.404
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 1799.1%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 149.25%
Sharpe Ratio 0.633
Profit Factor 1.245
Maximum Drawdown (close-to-close) -640.06%
Volatility (Annualized) 5.28%

The strategy achieves a notable cumulative return of 1799.1% with an annualized return of 149.25%. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.633 indicates a good risk-adjusted return, especially in the volatile crypto market. However, the maximum drawdown reported as -640.06% (close-to-close) is alarmingly high and requires attention. Despite this, the profit factor of 1.245 is positive, suggesting profitability over losses.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, the strategy shows potential for real-world trading due to its significant returns and decent Sharpe Ratio. However, the viability is currently hampered by the extremely high drawdown figure, which is likely a result of leverage use. Evaluating the market conditions under which this strategy thrives and confirming if these are expected to persist is crucial.

Risk Management

The reported drawdown highlights a critical risk management issue, potentially linked to high leverage usage. Suggestions for improvement include:

  • Reducing leverage to manage and minimize drawdown risk more effectively.
  • Implementing stricter stop-loss orders to control potential loss size.
  • Enhancing position sizing rules to mitigate large downside risks.

Improvement Suggestions

To further enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize leverage usage to appropriately balance return and risk.
  • Incorporate additional risk-adjustment techniques such as volatility scaling.
  • Review and possibly integrate more sophisticated modeling tools to improve decision-making.
  • Conduct additional testing in diverse market conditions to ensure the strategy's robustness across various scenarios.

Final Opinion

In summary, this trading strategy demonstrates substantial returns with a respectable Sharpe Ratio, suggesting good risk-adjusted performance potential. However, the very high drawdown needs urgent addressing. Reducing leverage is a priority alongside enhancing risk management practices.

Recommendation: Proceed to modify and optimize the strategy, focusing on reducing leverage and enhancing risk management measures. Undertake further testing to ensure better control over drawdowns and confirm strategy robustness.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
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Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
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Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
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Stability Index
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
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Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
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Analyzing strategy patterns...

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