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Traders should know
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oleg_plotnikov HaCeLSMAv5.1 adausdt 1h 20.05.2025

  • Homepage
1 hour @oleg_plotnikov
● Live

HACELSMAV5.1 ADAUSDT 1H 20.05.2025

Trading Pair
ADA
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - July 10, 2025
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-2.86% Updated 6 hours ago
Total Return Primary
299.72%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
56.05%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
5.64%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.705
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-7.46%%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
744
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Mar 21, 2021
1,623
Days
744
Trades
Last Trade
Aug 29, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-03-21 20:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.80
  • Sortino Ratio: 3.92
  • Calmar: -3.79
  • Longest DD Days: 69.00
  • Volatility: 2.68
  • Skew: 0.56
  • Kurtosis: 1.01
  • Expected Daily: 0.04
  • Expected Monthly: 0.75
  • Expected Yearly: 9.34
  • Kelly Criterion: 23.42
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.24
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.28
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-08-29 17:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 11
  • Number Winning Trades 417
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 327
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -3.79
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.72
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.34
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.72
  • Tail Ratio: 1.33
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 3.12
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.35
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 42.61

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators


Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20210.00%0.00%-0.78%2.43%-0.53%1.70%4.83%0.29%1.75%2.07%3.90%2.53%
20220.71%3.36%0.12%5.95%0.71%1.58%2.23%-1.55%5.11%8.66%1.75%7.84%
20238.29%6.83%9.62%3.22%1.58%3.94%1.40%9.56%2.47%9.77%0.68%4.23%
20244.56%3.27%0.36%3.18%1.18%4.89%2.91%4.29%1.70%-1.08%1.99%-1.36%
20250.24%••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

50

Number of Trades

-1.08%

Cumulative Returns

48%

Win Rate

2025-05-20

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-2.32%

30 Days

2%

60 Days

-0.35%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit30717.97307.1810099.71101.020618.27206.18
Gross Profit72109.93721.130241.83302.4241868.09418.68
Gross Loss41391.95413.9220142.13201.4221249.83212.5
Commission Paid3648.361608.12040.26
Buy & Hold Return-3719.44-37.19
Max Equity Run-up31787.3176.21
Max Drawdown2349.295.64
Max Contracts Held109347.0109347.0108872.0
Total Closed Trades732.0319.0413.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades413.0169.0244.0
Number Losing Trades319.0150.0169.0
Percent Profitable56.4252.9859.08
Avg P&l41.960.5931.660.4549.920.7
Avg Winning Trade174.62.89178.952.98171.592.83
Avg Losing Trade129.762.39134.282.39125.742.39
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.3461.3331.365
Largest Winning Trade931.24752.93931.24
Largest Winning Trade Percent6.875.026.87
Largest Losing Trade542.74542.74451.16
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.813.813.02
Avg # Bars In Trades16.017.015.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades16.017.015.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades16.017.015.0
Sharpe Ratio0.817
Sortino Ratio4.624
Profit Factor1.7421.5011.97
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit29971.82299.729780.9597.8120190.87201.91
Gross Profit72492.07724.9230533.92305.3441958.16419.58
Gross Loss42520.26425.220752.97207.5321767.29217.67
Commission Paid3691.421632.922058.5
Buy & Hold Return-2947.03-29.47
Max Equity Run-up31787.3176.21
Max Drawdown2349.295.64
Max Contracts Held109347.0109347.0108872.0
Total Closed Trades744.0326.0418.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades417.0172.0245.0
Number Losing Trades327.0154.0173.0
Percent Profitable56.0552.7658.61
Avg P&l40.280.5730.00.4448.30.67
Avg Winning Trade173.842.9177.522.98171.262.84
Avg Losing Trade130.032.39134.762.39125.822.39
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.3371.3171.361
Largest Winning Trade931.24752.93931.24
Largest Winning Trade Percent6.875.026.87
Largest Losing Trade542.74542.74451.16
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.813.813.02
Avg # Bars In Trades16.017.015.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades16.017.015.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades16.016.015.0
Sharpe Ratio0.795
Sortino Ratio3.922
Profit Factor1.7051.4711.928
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 301.87%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 6.13%
Sharpe Ratio 0.802
Profit Factor 1.715
Maximum Drawdown -5.64%
Volatility (Annualized) 2.69%

The strategy demonstrates solid overall performance with a cumulative return of 301.87% and a positive annualized return of 6.13%. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.802 highlights good risk-adjusted returns, especially commendable in the context of crypto trading. A low maximum drawdown of -5.64% showcases effective downside protection. Furthermore, a Profit Factor of 1.715 indicates profitable trading activities outnumbering losses.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy appears to be viable for real-world trading. The strategy performs well under current market conditions, with profitable trades outweighing the losing ones. With a positive Sharpe Ratio and a low drawdown, it stands well against industry standards for risk-adjusted performance. These metrics suggest the strategy can navigate market fluctuations effectively.

Risk Management

The effective risk management is evident through the low maximum drawdown and lack of margin calls, suggesting sound practices in place. Nevertheless, here are some insights for potential improvements:

  • Continue leveraging the strategy's current position sizing to maintain risk levels effectively.
  • Implement more advanced stop-loss strategies to further reduce potential drawdowns when market volatility increases.
  • Consider diversifying across more crypto assets to minimize unsystematic risk.

Improvement Suggestions

To further elevate the strategy's performance and ensure its robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize trade execution parameters to further enhance profitability.
  • Incorporate additional technical indicators to refine trade entry and exit points, which may improve the strategy’s profitability ratio.
  • Conduct rigorous out-of-sample testing and backtest the strategy under different market scenarios to validate its robustness across various conditions.
  • Reduce leverage where necessary to lower the potential maximum drawdown percentage, adding further stability to the strategy.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy demonstrates strong performance across various metrics, with excellent returns, satisfactory risk-adjusted performance, and low drawdowns. Despite its volatility, effective risk management and drawdown control are evident, suggesting a well-structured approach.

Recommendation: Proceed with this strategy, while simultaneously refining the components and conducting further testing for enhanced robustness and dynamic risk management. Implementing the suggested improvements could make the strategy more resilient across diverse market conditions.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
0.00
0.00
Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

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