AI vs. Ninja Turtle by @DaviddTech 🤖 [1de1d2e5]
🛡️ AIVSNT RUNEUSDT 15M 25.06
@morgang12
⌛15 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 51 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-12-06 10:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.89
- Sortino Ratio: 3.58
- Calmar: -15.62
- Longest DD Days: 126.00
- Volatility: 53.07
- Skew: -0.12
- Kurtosis: -1.78
- Expected Daily: 0.58
- Expected Monthly: 12.80
- Expected Yearly: 324.46
- Kelly Criterion: 9.52
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.86
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.05
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-25 11:45:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 9
- Number Winning Trades 686
- Max Consecutive Losses: 10
- Number Losing Trades: 592
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -15.62
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.22
- Payoff Ratio: 1.05
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.22
- Tail Ratio: 1.17
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.31
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.12
- Serenity Index: 22,580.63
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 79,717.20% |
CAGR (Compounded Annual Growth Rate) | 661.72% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.904 |
Profit Factor | 1.237 |
Maximum Drawdown | -42.1% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 53.04% |
The strategy demonstrates robust growth with a significant net profit of 79,717.20% and an impressive CAGR of 661.72%. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.904 indicates a solid risk-adjusted return, suitable for crypto trading. The Profit Factor of 1.237 suggests that the strategy earns $1.237 for every dollar lost. However, the maximum drawdown of 42.1% exceeds the preferred threshold, signaling room for improvement in risk management.
Strategy Viability
This strategy shows potential for real-world trading, achieving strong returns and a decent risk-adjusted performance. Despite the higher than preferred maximum drawdown, the Sharpe Ratio above 0.5 is a positive indicator of performance efficiency. The strategy's resilience during negative market trends and ability to recover quickly is noteworthy. Nevertheless, attention should be given to ensuring that the favorable market conditions that enable these returns are likely to persist.
Risk Management
The strategy employs a reasonable risk management approach, yet the maximum drawdown of 42.1% suggests that adjustments could be beneficial. Recommendations for enhancing risk management include:
- Reducing leverage to decrease the potential for large drawdowns and improve stability.
- Implementing stricter stop-loss measures to protect from severe losses.
- Utilizing dynamic position sizing based on volatility to manage risk exposure effectively.
Improvement Suggestions
To bolster the strategy’s performance and durability, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize strategy parameters to enhance returns and keep drawdowns under control.
- Incorporate additional technical indicators to refine trade entries and exits.
- Conduct comprehensive out-of-sample testing to validate robustness across varying market conditions.
- Introduce advanced risk management frameworks like Value-at-Risk (VaR) adjustments and regular stress testing.
Final Opinion
Overall, the strategy presents a promising harbinger of high returns with satisfactory risk-adjusted metrics. However, the slightly elevated maximum drawdown indicates a need for improved risk management strategies. By optimizing and validating the strategy to counteract volatility, it should withstand diverse market conditions.
Recommendation: Continue developing the strategy by integrating suggested improvements, with a focus on reducing drawdowns and enhancing the risk-return profile. Further testing and validation are advised to ensure robustness and adaptability to dynamic market environments.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.75% |
2022 | 16.06% | 5.49% | 20.32% | 20.25% | 28.93% | 24.70% | 36.06% | 33.78% | 13.41% | -1.61% | 19.22% | -13.58% |
2023 | 43.19% | 30.51% | 23.24% | 24.84% | 19.89% | 25.75% | -5.36% | -20.44% | 61.37% | 46.01% | 17.31% | -4.97% |
2024 | 27.02% | 51.96% | 12.65% | 37.43% | 20.97% | 10.72% | 32.21% | 31.78% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
RUNE
Base Currency
294
Number of Trades
96.24%
Cumulative Returns
49.66%
Win Rate
2024-06-25
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-18.08%
30 Days
-30.08%
60 Days
9.2%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 21667.35 | 0.07 | ||||
Net Profit | 32638597.8 | 32638.6 | 22503684.21 | 22503.68 | 10134913.59 | 10134.91 |
Gross Profit | 97447327.61 | 97447.33 | 55844492.87 | 55844.49 | 41602834.74 | 41602.83 |
Gross Loss | 64808729.81 | 64808.73 | 33340808.66 | 33340.81 | 31467921.15 | 31467.92 |
Commission Paid | 6444300.14 | 3672208.24 | 2772091.9 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -41781.5 | -41.78 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 34931864.39 | 99.74 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 4779539.43 | 42.1 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 18729445.0 | 17547454.0 | 18729445.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 984.0 | 533.0 | 451.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 540.0 | 305.0 | 235.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 444.0 | 228.0 | 216.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 54.88 | 57.22 | 52.11 | |||
Avg P&l | 33169.31 | 0.44 | 42220.8 | 0.58 | 22472.09 | 0.28 |
Avg Winning Trade | 180458.01 | 2.76 | 183096.7 | 2.67 | 177033.34 | 2.88 |
Avg Losing Trade | 145965.61 | 2.38 | 146231.62 | 2.23 | 145684.82 | 2.54 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.236 | 1.252 | 1.215 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 2465288.5 | 1341893.14 | 2465288.5 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 8.11 | 6.99 | 8.11 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 1182688.74 | 1155000.59 | 1182688.74 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.84 | 5.5 | 5.84 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 26.0 | 21.0 | 32.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 25.0 | 20.0 | 30.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 28.0 | 21.0 | 34.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 1.025 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 4.511 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.504 | 1.675 | 1.322 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 73728053.84 | 73728.05 | 54987800.71 | 54987.8 | 18740253.12 | 18740.25 |
Gross Profit | 415672332.89 | 415672.33 | 258934698.55 | 258934.7 | 156737634.33 | 156737.63 |
Gross Loss | 341944279.05 | 341944.28 | 203946897.84 | 203946.9 | 137997381.21 | 137997.38 |
Commission Paid | 25603785.69 | 16335204.96 | 9268580.73 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -82270.2 | -82.27 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 104882289.91 | 99.91 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 31705393.55 | 42.1 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 166614697.0 | 149191026.0 | 166614697.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 1278.0 | 707.0 | 571.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 686.0 | 392.0 | 294.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 592.0 | 315.0 | 277.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 53.68 | 55.45 | 51.49 | |||
Avg P&l | 57690.18 | 0.39 | 77776.24 | 0.48 | 32820.06 | 0.27 |
Avg Winning Trade | 605936.35 | 2.84 | 660547.7 | 2.7 | 533121.21 | 3.02 |
Avg Losing Trade | 577608.58 | 2.45 | 647450.47 | 2.29 | 498185.49 | 2.64 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.049 | 1.02 | 1.07 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 3900215.65 | 3900215.65 | 3479430.42 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 10.25 | 6.99 | 10.25 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 3211276.75 | 3211276.75 | 2999834.35 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.84 | 5.5 | 5.84 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 25.0 | 21.0 | 30.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 24.0 | 20.0 | 29.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 27.0 | 22.0 | 32.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.887 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 3.575 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.216 | 1.27 | 1.136 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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