Michonne [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [c91aef64]
🛡️ MICHONNE BTC 89M @Igorek
TREND FOLOWING
89 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 5 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-23 14:21:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.48
- Sortino Ratio: 1.51
- Calmar: -2.33
- Longest DD Days: 57.00
- Volatility: 73.60
- Skew: -0.17
- Kurtosis: -1.46
- Expected Daily: 1.19
- Expected Monthly: 28.10
- Expected Yearly: 1,852.71
- Kelly Criterion: 17.85
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.69
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -6.43
- Last Trade Date: 2025-05-12 06:56:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 8
- Number Winning Trades 150
- Max Consecutive Losses: 6
- Number Losing Trades: 107
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.33
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.44
- Payoff Ratio: 1.03
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.44
- Tail Ratio: 1.32
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.10
- Serenity Index: 45.97
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 1521.32% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 73.54% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.475 |
Profit Factor | 1.442 |
Maximum Drawdown | -33.05% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 73.6% |
The strategy shows substantial returns with a cumulative gain of 1521.32% over the trading period. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.475, slightly below the 0.5 threshold, suggests some room for improvement in risk-adjusted performance. Meanwhile, the maximum drawdown of -33.05% remains within a manageable range, demonstrating the strategy's capability to withstand market downturns effectively.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, the strategy appears viable for real-world cryptocurrency trading. Its consistent returns and drawdown management are promising. However, the viability is slightly tempered by a Sharpe Ratio that is marginally below the preferred standard. It is encouraging that the strategy achieves a positive profit factor, hinting at a potential sustainable edge.
Risk Management
The strategy incorporates some effective risk management strategies, evident from maintaining a maximum drawdown below 40%. Nonetheless, with an annualized volatility at 73.6%, there are opportunities to optimize risk control mechanisms further.
- Consider reducing leverage to lower the maximum drawdown further.
- Enhance stop-loss strategies to protect against unexpected volatility.
- Use dynamic position sizing to adapt to changing market conditions effectively.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy's robustness and performance, consider implementing the following:
- Improve risk-adjusted performance by fine-tuning trading parameters.
- Introduce additional technical indicators to better optimize trade timing.
- Perform rigorous out-of-sample testing to ensure strategy robustness across diverse market conditions.
- Explore advanced risk management tools such as Value-at-Risk adjustments and stress-testing approaches.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy displays promising potential with commendable cumulative returns and decent drawdown management. Although the Sharpe Ratio indicates a need for improved risk-adjusted returns, the strategy remains a strong candidate with optimization and further validation.
Recommendation: Proceed with further testing, incorporating suggested improvements to refine risk management and increase overall strategy robustness. Aim for a higher Sharpe Ratio through optimization and advanced risk management techniques.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 28.31% | -2.75% | 8.76% | 8.34% | -10.95% | 3.14% | 22.74% | 10.69% | 18.91% |
2021 | 0.00% | 17.39% | 7.49% | 7.69% | 6.41% | -3.75% | -0.14% | 0.70% | -0.04% | 26.55% | 4.51% | 1.50% |
2022 | 0.80% | 6.20% | 5.35% | 4.05% | 5.72% | -3.92% | 9.78% | 0.34% | 5.76% | 0.91% | 8.97% | 5.74% |
2023 | 11.90% | 0.63% | 26.20% | 5.61% | -6.95% | 14.91% | -3.86% | -2.44% | -4.65% | 29.43% | -3.82% | -0.39% |
2024 | -7.84% | 12.42% | 12.37% | 0.21% | 3.68% | -3.55% | -3.36% | -12.00% | -2.86% | 1.79% | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
63
Number of Trades
18.77%
Cumulative Returns
49.21%
Win Rate
2024-03-16
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
35.02%
30 Days
61.4%
60 Days
24.09%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 1333723.86 | 1333.72 | 1080005.62 | 1080.01 | 253718.25 | 253.72 |
Gross Profit | 2996695.0 | 2996.7 | 2686364.21 | 2686.36 | 310330.79 | 310.33 |
Gross Loss | 1662971.14 | 1662.97 | 1606358.6 | 1606.36 | 56612.54 | 56.61 |
Commission Paid | 149580.46 | 137545.44 | 12035.02 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 826580.93 | 826.58 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 1462151.1 | 93.6 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 263106.67 | 19.4 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 69.0 | 69.0 | 53.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 194.0 | 173.0 | 21.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 119.0 | 103.0 | 16.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 75.0 | 70.0 | 5.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 61.34 | 59.54 | 76.19 | |||
Avg P&l | 6874.87 | 0.89 | 6242.81 | 0.83 | 12081.82 | 1.4 |
Avg Winning Trade | 25182.31 | 2.85 | 26081.21 | 2.89 | 19395.67 | 2.61 |
Avg Losing Trade | 22172.95 | 2.23 | 22947.98 | 2.21 | 11322.51 | 2.45 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.136 | 1.137 | 1.713 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 99275.77 | 99275.77 | 37362.99 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 4.97 | 4.97 | 4.75 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 79881.41 | 79881.41 | 27562.3 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.95 | 3.95 | 3.85 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 20.0 | 19.0 | 27.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 21.0 | 19.0 | 30.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 19.0 | 19.0 | 19.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.588 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.235 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.802 | 1.672 | 5.482 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 1521320.66 | 1521.32 | 1449789.94 | 1449.79 | 71530.72 | 71.53 |
Gross Profit | 4960852.43 | 4960.85 | 4478992.93 | 4478.99 | 481859.49 | 481.86 |
Gross Loss | 3439531.77 | 3439.53 | 3029202.99 | 3029.2 | 410328.78 | 410.33 |
Commission Paid | 265003.95 | 238606.21 | 26397.74 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1395596.6 | 1395.6 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 1532887.31 | 93.88 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 531611.07 | 33.05 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 69.0 | 69.0 | 53.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 257.0 | 226.0 | 31.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 150.0 | 131.0 | 19.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 107.0 | 95.0 | 12.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 58.37 | 57.96 | 61.29 | |||
Avg P&l | 5919.54 | 0.7 | 6415.0 | 0.71 | 2307.44 | 0.62 |
Avg Winning Trade | 33072.35 | 2.84 | 34190.79 | 2.86 | 25361.03 | 2.7 |
Avg Losing Trade | 32145.16 | 2.3 | 31886.35 | 2.25 | 34194.06 | 2.68 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.029 | 1.072 | 0.742 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 123821.28 | 123821.28 | 67621.1 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 4.98 | 4.98 | 4.75 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 92730.8 | 92730.8 | 58338.8 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.95 | 3.95 | 3.85 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 23.0 | 22.0 | 27.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 23.0 | 23.0 | 30.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 21.0 | 21.0 | 23.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.475 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.512 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.442 | 1.479 | 1.174 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
TradingView Screenshots
Slide this way to reveal live trades
USE SLIDER TO REVEAL RESULTS
Slide this way to reveal backtest
Slide this way to reveal live trades
USE SLIDER TO REVEAL RESULTS
Slide this way to reveal backtest