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mcginleyV5AAVE 45m

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TREND FOLOWING 45 minutes @Steven0123
● Live

🚀 McGinley Trend Followers [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [092bf1b7]

🛡️ MCGINLEYV5AAVE 45M

Trading Pair
AAVE
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - March 27, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +1.77% Updated 10 hours ago
Total Return Primary
289.71%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
69.21%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
54.09%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.154
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-226.4%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
380
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jun 18, 2021
1,597
Days
380
Trades
Last Trade
Oct 27, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-06-18 17:45:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.29
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.58
  • Calmar: -0.20
  • Longest DD Days: 126.00
  • Volatility: 2.30
  • Skew: -0.52
  • Kurtosis: 6.03
  • Expected Daily: 0.01
  • Expected Monthly: 0.16
  • Expected Yearly: 1.95
  • Kelly Criterion: 9.85
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.24
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.37
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-10-27 19:15:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 13
  • Number Winning Trades 263
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 5
  • Number Losing Trades: 117
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.20
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.17
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.51
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.17
  • Tail Ratio: 0.71
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 5.37
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.72
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.01
  • Serenity Index: 0.26

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+13.17%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-23.05%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-14.10%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-32.91%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+51.15%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+1.77%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-5.94%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-5.15%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-8.16%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+9.49%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
69.2%
Total Trades
380
Cumulative
289.71%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
109.55%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2021
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-0.39%
-0.52%
Simple P&L
+0.60%
+0.64%
Simple P&L
+0.66%
-2.89%
Simple P&L
-7.20%
-3.64%
Simple P&L
+6.84%
+5.29%
Simple P&L
-0.37%
-0.48%
Simple P&L
+7.86%
+4.83%
Simple P&L
2022
+6.60%
+4.63%
Simple P&L
+6.06%
+4.81%
Simple P&L
+6.31%
+4.06%
Simple P&L
+3.06%
+1.35%
Simple P&L
+3.18%
+1.69%
Simple P&L
+1.48%
+1.56%
Simple P&L
+8.28%
+4.41%
Simple P&L
+13.32%
+5.53%
Simple P&L
+0.38%
+0.79%
Simple P&L
+24.03%
+10.88%
Simple P&L
+11.47%
+4.34%
Simple P&L
-11.29%
-6.22%
Simple P&L
2023
+42.14%
+16.30%
Simple P&L
+35.32%
+4.41%
Simple P&L
+0.79%
+1.49%
Simple P&L
-7.43%
-1.90%
Simple P&L
+47.31%
+11.48%
Simple P&L
+104.48%
+16.87%
Simple P&L
+24.49%
+4.50%
Simple P&L
-21.43%
-4.59%
Simple P&L
+2.62%
+0.73%
Simple P&L
+51.09%
+9.04%
Simple P&L
+27.35%
+3.74%
Simple P&L
-12.77%
-1.02%
Simple P&L
2024
+73.44%
+9.50%
Simple P&L
-29.97%
-1.43%
Simple P&L
+26.63%
+3.16%
Simple P&L
+65.16%
+8.44%
Simple P&L
-86.92%
-5.00%
Simple P&L
-11.49%
+3.62%
Simple P&L
+48.58%
+2.93%
Simple P&L
-101.86%
-7.24%
Simple P&L
-26.36%
+0.88%
Simple P&L
+4.15%
+0.41%
Simple P&L
+9.28%
+1.37%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
2025
-74.82%
-4.25%
Simple P&L
-18.57%
-2.74%
Simple P&L
-19.14%
-4.76%
Simple P&L
-2.47%
-0.58%
Simple P&L
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

380

Number of Trades

289.71%

Cumulative Returns

69.21%

Win Rate

2024-04-18

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-5.94%

30 Days

-8.16%

60 Days

-5.15%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit5161.15516.111808.42180.843352.73335.27
Gross Profit11674.111167.414828.15482.826845.96684.6
Gross Loss6512.96651.33019.73301.973493.23349.32
Commission Paid1083.24506.64576.6
Buy & Hold Return-706.38-70.64
Max Equity Run-up5270.2185.54
Max Drawdown710.2524.8
Max Contracts Held166.0166.0121.0
Total Closed Trades229.0104.0125.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades166.073.093.0
Number Losing Trades63.031.032.0
Percent Profitable72.4970.1974.4
Avg P&l22.540.5217.390.426.820.61
Avg Winning Trade70.331.5966.141.5273.611.65
Avg Losing Trade103.382.3197.412.21109.162.4
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.680.6790.674
Largest Winning Trade904.16252.84904.16
Largest Winning Trade Percent13.563.3113.56
Largest Losing Trade318.82294.41318.82
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.793.793.57
Avg # Bars In Trades11.011.011.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades10.010.010.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades14.014.014.0
Sharpe Ratio0.609
Sortino Ratio2.305
Profit Factor1.7921.5991.96
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit2897.06289.71-2381.51-238.155278.57527.86
Gross Profit21750.612175.069445.91944.5912304.71230.47
Gross Loss18853.551885.3611827.421182.747026.13702.61
Commission Paid2378.391261.441116.95
Buy & Hold Return-193.99-19.4
Max Equity Run-up5665.3286.41
Max Drawdown3524.5654.09
Max Contracts Held251.0209.0251.0
Total Closed Trades380.0193.0187.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades263.0125.0138.0
Number Losing Trades117.068.049.0
Percent Profitable69.2164.7773.8
Avg P&l7.620.29-12.340.0628.230.52
Avg Winning Trade82.71.5275.571.4289.161.6
Avg Losing Trade161.142.47173.932.44143.392.51
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.5130.4340.622
Largest Winning Trade904.16252.84904.16
Largest Winning Trade Percent13.563.3113.56
Largest Losing Trade725.21725.21567.45
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.024.023.61
Avg # Bars In Trades11.010.011.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades10.09.010.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades13.012.014.0
Sharpe Ratio0.289
Sortino Ratio0.58
Profit Factor1.1540.7991.751
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics highlight the performance characteristics of the trading strategy:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 299.48%
Sharpe Ratio 0.295
Profit Factor 1.162
Maximum Drawdown -54.09%
Percent Profitable 69.6%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 0.69%

The strategy boasts a strong cumulative return of 299.48% and a high percentage of profitable trades (69.6%), indicating that it is capable of generating consistent profits. However, some metrics such as the Sharpe Ratio (0.295) suggest risk-adjusted returns could be improved. Notably, the maximum drawdown of -54.09% exceeds desirable levels, highlighting an area for improvement.

Strategy Viability

While the strategy has delivered impressive cumulative returns and has a strong win rate, the high maximum drawdown and relatively low Sharpe ratio may present challenges in real-world trading scenarios, particularly in volatile or bear market conditions. This suggests a need for improvement in managing risk and enhancing risk-adjusted performance before it can be considered highly viable. Nonetheless, its profitability potential is promising, especially in favorable market conditions.

Risk Management

Effective risk management appears to be a key area for enhancement. Several approaches can be considered:

  • Reducing leverage can directly decrease the maximum drawdown to more acceptable levels.
  • Incorporating robust stop-loss mechanisms to minimize potential losses on trades.
  • Dynamic position sizing strategies could be implemented to adjust trading volume based on volatility.

Improvement Suggestions

To further optimize the strategy and bolster its robustness, consider the following enhancements:

  • Refine strategy parameters to improve the Sharpe Ratio, boosting risk-adjusted returns.
  • Explore integrating additional technical indicators or signals to refine entry and exit points.
  • Conduct in-depth backtesting with out-of-sample data to ensure the strategy's adaptability to different market conditions.
  • Consider scenario analysis or stress testing to evaluate performance under extreme market conditions.

Final Opinion

The strategy shows strong profitability potential, but improving risk-adjusted returns and reducing maximum drawdown are crucial for real-world application. Focusing on refining risk management practices and optimizing strategy parameters could significantly enhance its performance and viability.

Recommendation: Proceed with modifications aimed at reducing leverage and refining risk management strategies. Conduct further testing to validate improvements and ensure robustness before deployment in live trading scenarios.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
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Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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