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mcginleyV5AAVE 45m

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TREND FOLOWING 45 minutes @Steven0123
● Live

🚀 McGinley Trend Followers [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [092bf1b7]

🛡️ MCGINLEYV5AAVE 45M

Trading Pair
AAVE
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - March 27, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 2 weeks ago
Total Return Primary
385.55%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
70.28%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
52.43%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.198
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
0%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
360
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jun 18, 2021
1,558
Days
360
Trades
Last Trade
Sep 11, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-06-18 17:45:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.33
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.70
  • Calmar: -0.35
  • Longest DD Days: 106.00
  • Volatility: 19.16
  • Skew: -0.27
  • Kurtosis: 7.16
  • Expected Daily: 0.10
  • Expected Monthly: 2.08
  • Expected Yearly: 28.09
  • Kelly Criterion: 11.53
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -2.06
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -2.93
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-09-11 03:30:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 13
  • Number Winning Trades 253
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 5
  • Number Losing Trades: 107
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.35
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.20
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.51
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.20
  • Tail Ratio: 0.69
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 5.18
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.67
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.09
  • Serenity Index: 0.73

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-41.50%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+62.71%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+12.26%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+69.20%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-5.32%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+8.33%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+1.57%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+10.91%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
70.3%
Total Trades
360
Cumulative
385.55%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
125.99%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2021
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-0.37%
-0.49%
Simple P&L
+0.63%
+0.67%
Simple P&L
+0.84%
-2.70%
Simple P&L
-7.16%
-3.61%
Simple P&L
+7.31%
+5.56%
Simple P&L
-0.14%
-0.30%
Simple P&L
+8.10%
+4.92%
Simple P&L
2022
+6.86%
+4.75%
Simple P&L
+6.27%
+4.89%
Simple P&L
+6.55%
+4.15%
Simple P&L
+3.38%
+1.50%
Simple P&L
+3.30%
+1.73%
Simple P&L
+1.54%
+1.59%
Simple P&L
+8.60%
+4.50%
Simple P&L
+14.05%
+5.71%
Simple P&L
+0.64%
+0.91%
Simple P&L
+25.28%
+11.15%
Simple P&L
+12.25%
+4.52%
Simple P&L
-10.62%
-5.92%
Simple P&L
2023
+45.25%
+16.78%
Simple P&L
+38.05%
+4.71%
Simple P&L
+2.91%
+2.03%
Simple P&L
-6.66%
-1.66%
Simple P&L
+52.54%
+11.96%
Simple P&L
+113.36%
+17.11%
Simple P&L
+29.07%
+4.89%
Simple P&L
-21.90%
-4.41%
Simple P&L
+4.96%
+1.03%
Simple P&L
+57.00%
+9.25%
Simple P&L
+30.36%
+3.80%
Simple P&L
-12.41%
-0.81%
Simple P&L
2024
+83.76%
+9.86%
Simple P&L
-23.86%
-1.28%
Simple P&L
+30.54%
+3.28%
Simple P&L
+76.35%
+8.83%
Simple P&L
-84.56%
-4.67%
Simple P&L
-9.81%
+3.89%
Simple P&L
+57.51%
+3.23%
Simple P&L
-114.33%
-7.18%
Simple P&L
-26.42%
+1.15%
Simple P&L
+6.90%
+0.68%
Simple P&L
+10.86%
+1.40%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
2025
-83.64%
-4.11%
Simple P&L
-21.05%
-2.68%
Simple P&L
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

360

Number of Trades

385.55%

Cumulative Returns

70.28%

Win Rate

2024-04-18

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-5.32%

30 Days

1.57%

60 Days

8.33%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit58410.61584.1120833.73208.3437576.88375.77
Gross Profit127214.941272.1552571.32525.7174643.62746.44
Gross Loss68804.33688.0431737.59317.3837066.74370.67
Commission Paid8430.73937.794492.91
Buy & Hold Return-7064.99-70.65
Max Equity Run-up59463.2286.92
Max Drawdown7721.8424.45
Max Contracts Held1796.01796.01313.0
Total Closed Trades229.0104.0125.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades166.073.093.0
Number Losing Trades63.031.032.0
Percent Profitable72.4970.1974.4
Avg P&l255.070.55200.320.43300.620.64
Avg Winning Trade766.361.62720.161.55802.621.68
Avg Losing Trade1092.132.281023.792.191158.342.37
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.7020.7030.693
Largest Winning Trade9719.462787.999719.46
Largest Winning Trade Percent13.593.3413.59
Largest Losing Trade3503.933213.113503.93
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.763.763.54
Avg # Bars In Trades11.011.011.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades10.010.010.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades14.014.014.0
Sharpe Ratio0.636
Sortino Ratio2.57
Profit Factor1.8491.6562.014
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit38555.04385.55-20983.52-209.8459538.56595.39
Gross Profit233196.62331.9798586.43985.86134610.171346.1
Gross Loss194641.561946.42119569.951195.775071.61750.72
Commission Paid18070.09344.978725.03
Buy & Hold Return673.876.74
Max Equity Run-up64419.2987.8
Max Drawdown38437.1952.43
Max Contracts Held2799.02332.02799.0
Total Closed Trades360.0178.0182.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades253.0118.0135.0
Number Losing Trades107.060.047.0
Percent Profitable70.2866.2974.18
Avg P&l107.10.35-117.880.14327.130.56
Avg Winning Trade921.731.55835.481.45997.111.63
Avg Losing Trade1819.082.481992.832.451597.272.51
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.5070.4190.624
Largest Winning Trade9719.462787.999719.46
Largest Winning Trade Percent13.593.3413.59
Largest Losing Trade8139.398139.396367.98
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.993.993.58
Avg # Bars In Trades11.010.011.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades10.09.010.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades13.013.014.0
Sharpe Ratio0.334
Sortino Ratio0.701
Profit Factor1.1980.8251.793
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, a range of performance metrics have been evaluated to understand the strategy's effectiveness:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 385.55%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 8.01%
Sharpe Ratio 0.334
Profit Factor 1.20
Maximum Drawdown 52.43%
Volatility (Annualized) 19.16%
Percent Profitable 70.28%

The strategy shows considerable cumulative returns of 385.55%, with a relatively modest annualized return of 8.01%. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.334 is below the 0.5 threshold, indicating that the risk-adjusted returns can be improved. The profit factor is marginally above 1, suggesting that for every dollar lost, there is a $1.20 gain. The maximum drawdown of 52.43% exceeds the ideal threshold of 40%, highlighting substantial risk exposure which could be mitigated with adjusted leverage levels.

Strategy Viability

Given the provided metrics, the strategy has potential in a real-world trading environment, yet some adjustments are needed to enhance its viability. The high percentage of profitable trades at 70.28% is promising. However, the significant drawdown suggests vulnerability in volatile markets. It's crucial to determine if these market conditions will persist and to ensure that the strategy can adapt and optimize its settings accordingly.

Risk Management

The risk management approach of the current strategy could benefit from enhancements. Key focus areas include:

  • Reducing leverage to decrease the maximum drawdown and control risk exposure more effectively.
  • Implementing stricter stop-loss mechanisms to protect against excessive losses.
  • Increasing the diversification of trades to lower specific trade risks and ensure steady returns.

Improvement Suggestions

To improve the strategy's performance and resilience, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize leverage usage to reduce the high drawdown, making the strategy less sensitive to market volatility.
  • Incorporate additional technical and sentiment indicators to better time trade entries and exits.
  • Undergo rigorous backtesting, including out-of-sample and forward-testing, to ensure robustness across varying market conditions.
  • Refine the position sizing algorithm based on more dynamic market insights, such as historical volatility.

Final Opinion

The strategy exhibits a solid foundation, with impressive cumulative returns and a high win rate, yet there are areas in need of improvement, primarily in risk management and leverage usage. Given the current metrics, this strategy would substantially benefit from optimizations focused on reducing maximum drawdown and improving the risk-adjusted return profile.

Recommendation: Initiate further testing and refining of the strategy. Adjust leverage to enhance drawdown control and integrate more robust risk management practices to navigate market volatilities effectively.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
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Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

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