🚀 McGinley Trend Followers [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [092bf1b7]
🛡️ MCGINLEYV5AAVE 45M
@Steven0123
⌛45 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 46 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-06-18 17:45:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.36
- Sortino Ratio: 0.81
- Calmar: -0.31
- Longest DD Days: 47.00
- Volatility: 2.59
- Skew: -0.63
- Kurtosis: 7.01
- Expected Daily: 0.01
- Expected Monthly: 0.24
- Expected Yearly: 2.91
- Kelly Criterion: 13.11
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.30
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.44
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-27 08:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 13
- Number Winning Trades 213
- Max Consecutive Losses: 5
- Number Losing Trades: 87
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.31
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.23
- Payoff Ratio: 0.50
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.23
- Tail Ratio: 0.65
- Outlier Win Ratio: 5.60
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.75
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.01
- Serenity Index: 0.41
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 339.12% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 0.89% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.36 |
Profit Factor | 1.222 |
Maximum Drawdown | 42.7% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 2.6% |
The strategy delivers a cumulative return of 339.12%, indicating strong growth. However, the annualized return (CAGR) of 0.89% is modest. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.36 suggests room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. While the profit factor of 1.222 is positive, the maximum drawdown of 42.7% exceeds the acceptable range, indicating potential areas for optimization.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, the strategy demonstrates some promising elements, such as a high win rate of 71.04% and solid cumulative returns. However, the relatively high maximum drawdown and low Sharpe Ratio indicate the need for enhancements to ensure its viability in real-world trading. This strategy may perform better during high volatility market conditions, which are common in the crypto space, but further testing is recommended to validate its robustness under varying market scenarios.
Risk Management
The strategy's risk management approach could benefit from improvements, particularly in drawdown control and volatility management. Given the volatility of cryptocurrency markets, incorporating more robust mechanisms is crucial. Suggestions for enhancement include:
- Reducing leverage usage to lower max drawdown risks.
- Implementing dynamic position sizing to better align with market conditions.
- Incorporating stricter stop-loss mechanisms to quickly respond to adverse movements.
Improvement Suggestions
To further enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize parameters to improve the Sharpe Ratio while decreasing drawdowns.
- Utilize more sophisticated technical indicators for improved decision-making.
- Conduct comprehensive forward-testing across different cryptocurrencies.
- Enhance diversification to mitigate unsystematic risk exposure.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy shows potential with its cumulative returns and high win rate but requires improvements in its risk management framework to ensure its effectiveness in real-world trading. Addressing the high drawdown and enhancing the Sharpe Ratio are essential steps.
Recommendation: Proceed with modifications and further testing of the strategy, particularly focusing on risk management and parameter optimizations, to ensure its effectiveness and viability in diverse market conditions.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -0.37% | 0.63% | -3.28% | -7.40% | 8.43% | 0.23% | 8.17% |
2022 | 6.40% | 5.51% | 5.46% | 2.77% | 2.58% | 1.17% | 6.40% | 10.16% | 0.53% | 16.98% | 6.63% | -7.20% |
2023 | 26.88% | 8.31% | 5.49% | -3.03% | 19.24% | 35.64% | 7.22% | -4.80% | 3.49% | 13.87% | 5.92% | 0.51% |
2024 | 14.86% | -2.07% | 5.00% | 12.11% | -11.75% | 6.01% | 2.75% | -17.71% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
AAVE
Base Currency
72
Number of Trades
-35.88%
Cumulative Returns
66.67%
Win Rate
2024-04-18
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-0.76%
30 Days
-9.9%
60 Days
-19.79%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 5840.8 | 584.08 | 2083.29 | 208.33 | 3757.51 | 375.75 |
Gross Profit | 12720.95 | 1272.1 | 5256.92 | 525.69 | 7464.03 | 746.4 |
Gross Loss | 6880.15 | 688.01 | 3173.62 | 317.36 | 3706.52 | 370.65 |
Commission Paid | 843.03 | 393.76 | 449.27 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -706.38 | -70.64 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 5946.06 | 86.92 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 772.15 | 24.45 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 180.0 | 180.0 | 131.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 229.0 | 104.0 | 125.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 166.0 | 73.0 | 93.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 63.0 | 31.0 | 32.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 72.49 | 70.19 | 74.4 | |||
Avg P&l | 25.51 | 0.55 | 20.03 | 0.43 | 30.06 | 0.64 |
Avg Winning Trade | 76.63 | 1.62 | 72.01 | 1.55 | 80.26 | 1.68 |
Avg Losing Trade | 109.21 | 2.28 | 102.37 | 2.19 | 115.83 | 2.37 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.702 | 0.703 | 0.693 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 971.91 | 278.79 | 971.91 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 13.59 | 3.34 | 13.59 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 350.38 | 321.3 | 350.38 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.76 | 3.76 | 3.54 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 11.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 10.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 14.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.636 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.57 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.849 | 1.656 | 2.014 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 39.35 | 0.9 | ||||
Net Profit | 3390.59 | 339.06 | -2198.9 | -219.89 | 5589.49 | 558.95 |
Gross Profit | 18835.45 | 1883.55 | 7381.67 | 738.17 | 11453.78 | 1145.38 |
Gross Loss | 15444.86 | 1544.49 | 9580.57 | 958.06 | 5864.29 | 586.43 |
Commission Paid | 1459.35 | 734.58 | 724.77 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -370.37 | -37.04 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 6441.65 | 87.8 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 3130.19 | 42.7 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 280.0 | 233.0 | 280.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 300.0 | 144.0 | 156.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 213.0 | 96.0 | 117.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 87.0 | 48.0 | 39.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 71.0 | 66.67 | 75.0 | |||
Avg P&l | 11.3 | 0.4 | -15.27 | 0.16 | 35.83 | 0.61 |
Avg Winning Trade | 88.43 | 1.55 | 76.89 | 1.44 | 97.9 | 1.64 |
Avg Losing Trade | 177.53 | 2.43 | 199.6 | 2.4 | 150.37 | 2.46 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.498 | 0.385 | 0.651 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 971.91 | 278.79 | 971.91 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 13.59 | 3.34 | 13.59 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 813.91 | 813.91 | 636.77 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.76 | 3.76 | 3.58 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 11.0 | 10.0 | 11.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 10.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 14.0 | 13.0 | 14.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.363 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.807 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.22 | 0.77 | 1.953 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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