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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
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  • Free Indicators
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    • Documentation
    • Risk Calculator
    • Win Rate Calendar
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    • Bug & Feature Tracker
    • Bybit Slippage Calculator

McGinley BTC 30min

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 30 minutes @A-Dog
● Live

🚀 McGinley Trend Followers [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [4bf2c230]

🛡️ MCGINLEY BTC 30MIN

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - March 18, 2024
0
  • icon 1
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 10 hours ago
Total Return Primary
7223.88%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
66.84%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
38.28%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.317
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
3.79%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
582
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jul 26, 2020
1,924
Days
582
Trades
Last Trade
Aug 18, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-07-26 10:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.67
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.95
  • Calmar: -1.51
  • Longest DD Days: 85.00
  • Volatility: 32.92
  • Skew: -0.29
  • Kurtosis: 0.07
  • Expected Daily: 0.38
  • Expected Monthly: 8.39
  • Expected Yearly: 162.93
  • Kelly Criterion: 15.01
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.80
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.03
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-08-18 01:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 24
  • Number Winning Trades 389
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 193
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.51
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.29
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.65
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.29
  • Tail Ratio: 1.00
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.95
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.20
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.09
  • Serenity Index: 32.27

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+1.51%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+7.51%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-1.87%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+6.55%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
66.8%
Total Trades
582
Cumulative
2.65%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
223.02%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2020
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-4.34%
+2.94%
Simple P&L
+5.67%
+1.20%
Simple P&L
+9.12%
+2.61%
Simple P&L
-5.65%
+6.66%
Simple P&L
+2.04%
+6.94%
Simple P&L
+6.60%
+10.59%
Simple P&L
2021
+1.09%
+7.85%
Simple P&L
-3.04%
+0.84%
Simple P&L
-1.07%
+0.80%
Simple P&L
+3.06%
+3.23%
Simple P&L
+0.03%
+5.94%
Simple P&L
-6.45%
+3.84%
Simple P&L
+4.24%
+5.57%
Simple P&L
+0.80%
+1.13%
Simple P&L
-5.10%
+0.79%
Simple P&L
-6.42%
+0.47%
Simple P&L
-2.72%
+4.06%
Simple P&L
+2.73%
+2.38%
Simple P&L
2022
+3.46%
+3.41%
Simple P&L
+2.96%
+12.69%
Simple P&L
+0.01%
+3.59%
Simple P&L
-6.44%
+5.65%
Simple P&L
+6.48%
-0.33%
Simple P&L
-2.60%
+3.19%
Simple P&L
+9.10%
+11.86%
Simple P&L
-3.03%
+9.07%
Simple P&L
-5.63%
+6.24%
Simple P&L
+8.62%
+3.80%
Simple P&L
-3.48%
+0.91%
Simple P&L
+0.45%
+0.99%
Simple P&L
2023
+3.56%
+11.31%
Simple P&L
+0.49%
+10.73%
Simple P&L
+2.25%
+15.01%
Simple P&L
-9.20%
+9.85%
Simple P&L
+8.63%
+4.33%
Simple P&L
+0.02%
+0.44%
Simple P&L
-3.77%
-1.28%
Simple P&L
-5.14%
+9.00%
Simple P&L
+9.02%
+2.95%
Simple P&L
-0.41%
+9.60%
Simple P&L
+0.54%
-1.65%
Simple P&L
-3.54%
+1.87%
Simple P&L
2024
-0.56%
+2.39%
Simple P&L
-5.45%
+6.47%
Simple P&L
-3.17%
-7.26%
Simple P&L
+3.45%
+4.35%
Simple P&L
+0.55%
-2.53%
Simple P&L
-0.61%
-0.18%
Simple P&L
+6.22%
+10.40%
Simple P&L
-3.43%
+5.49%
Simple P&L
+3.36%
+1.70%
Simple P&L
-2.72%
+3.69%
Simple P&L
+9.67%
+1.40%
Simple P&L
-9.69%
-7.86%
Simple P&L
2025
+2.73%
-9.89%
Simple P&L
+4.76%
+1.96%
Simple P&L
+0.32%
+1.07%
Simple P&L
+2.64%
+5.98%
Simple P&L
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

582

Number of Trades

2.65%

Cumulative Returns

66.84%

Win Rate

2024-03-13

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0%

30 Days

0%

60 Days

-1.87%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit660628.856606.29539732.315397.32120896.551208.97
Gross Profit1270122.4212701.22981248.89812.49288873.622888.74
Gross Loss609493.566094.94441516.494415.16167977.071679.77
Commission Paid96736.6766191.8730544.79
Buy & Hold Return64367.09643.67
Max Equity Run-up698588.5198.59
Max Drawdown113164.9818.9
Max Contracts Held49.046.049.0
Total Closed Trades401.0192.0209.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades281.0136.0145.0
Number Losing Trades120.056.064.0
Percent Profitable70.0770.8369.38
Avg P&l1647.450.522811.110.74578.450.32
Avg Winning Trade4520.011.467215.061.771992.231.16
Avg Losing Trade5079.111.667884.221.752624.641.59
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.890.9150.759
Largest Winning Trade28571.2728571.2724092.77
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.073.875.07
Largest Losing Trade30226.5530226.5524111.5
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.493.492.57
Avg # Bars In Trades16.020.012.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades15.020.010.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades17.021.014.0
Sharpe Ratio0.967
Sortino Ratio10.553
Profit Factor2.0842.2221.72
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit722387.537223.88383318.53833.19339069.033390.69
Gross Profit2999747.5829997.481903046.6419030.471096700.9310967.01
Gross Loss2277360.0422773.61519728.1415197.28757631.97576.32
Commission Paid278050.59158210.71119839.88
Buy & Hold Return107047.311070.47
Max Equity Run-up849200.998.84
Max Drawdown322287.8238.28
Max Contracts Held49.046.049.0
Total Closed Trades582.0268.0314.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades389.0171.0218.0
Number Losing Trades193.097.096.0
Percent Profitable66.8463.8169.43
Avg P&l1241.220.381430.290.51079.840.29
Avg Winning Trade7711.431.4111128.931.775030.741.13
Avg Losing Trade11799.791.6815667.31.747892.01.63
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.6540.710.637
Largest Winning Trade38904.6838904.6827707.52
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.073.875.07
Largest Losing Trade40274.3840274.3836856.46
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.493.492.57
Avg # Bars In Trades18.025.012.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades17.025.011.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades20.026.014.0
Sharpe Ratio0.666
Sortino Ratio1.952
Profit Factor1.3171.2521.448
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
CAGR 51.59%
Sharpe Ratio 0.666
Profit Factor 1.317
Maximum Drawdown -38.28%
Volatility (Annualized) 32.92%
Percent Profitable 66.84%
Gain/Pain Ratio 1.29

The strategy demonstrates solid returns with a CAGR of 51.59% and an acceptable Sharpe ratio of 0.666, indicating good risk-adjusted performance. The maximum drawdown of -38.28% is within acceptable limits for crypto, demonstrating decent downside protection. The profit factor of 1.317 further supports the strategy’s profitability, with a good percentage of profitable trades at 66.84%.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy appears viable for real-world trading given its performance metrics. It shows potential in achieving consistent returns while maintaining a maximum drawdown below the critical threshold of 40%. The strategy has managed to carry out a substantial number of trades (582) with no margin calls, indicating prudent leverage use. Adapting to changing market conditions will be crucial for its ongoing viability.

Risk Management

The strategy employs reasonable risk management techniques, as evidenced by the low occurrence of margin calls and sound drawdown levels. However, considerations for improvement include:

  • Implementing tighter stop-loss parameters to mitigate larger losses.
  • Utilizing dynamic leverage adjustments to manage drawdown levels more effectively.
  • Consider diversification to spread risk across various cryptocurrencies.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance performance and reduce risks further, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize entry and exit signals by exploring additional technical indicators.
  • Re-evaluate position sizing tactics to minimize potential drawdowns.
  • Implement forward-testing under different market conditions to ensure robustness.
  • Explore using less leverage to reduce max drawdown further.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy displays commendable performance with a good Sharpe ratio and an acceptable maximum drawdown. Its ability to maintain stability in crypto’s volatile environment is a testament to its solid design and execution. While it does exhibit some areas for enhancement, particularly in optimizing risk management, none are severe enough to impact its potential profitability.

Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and incremental improvements. It's advised to continually tweak the strategy's parameters and risk management techniques to optimize for various market scenarios and enhance robustness.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
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Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
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Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

Open Live ChartView on TradingView

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How-to import CSV files.

After Downloading the optimiser and installing it on your chrome browser, follow the steps in this video to upload the settings.

The settings will of started to download in the background.

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To copy other members charts, is simple:

  • A new window in TradingView will of opened.
  • Simply navigate to the top right corner and click "copy" like in the image below.
  • This will copy the chart to your TradingView with all the shared settings.

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