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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
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  • Free Indicators
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    • Documentation
    • Risk Calculator
    • Win Rate Calendar
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    • Bug & Feature Tracker
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McGinley BTC 30min

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 30 minutes @A-Dog
● Live

🚀 McGinley Trend Followers [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [4bf2c230]

🛡️ MCGINLEY BTC 30MIN

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - March 18, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 1 month ago
Total Return Primary
7223.88%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
66.84%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
38.28%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.317
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
0%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
582
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jul 26, 2020
1,885
Days
582
Trades
Last Trade
Aug 18, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-07-26 10:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.67
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.95
  • Calmar: -1.51
  • Longest DD Days: 85.00
  • Volatility: 32.92
  • Skew: -0.29
  • Kurtosis: 0.07
  • Expected Daily: 0.38
  • Expected Monthly: 8.39
  • Expected Yearly: 162.93
  • Kelly Criterion: 15.01
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.80
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.03
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-08-18 01:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 24
  • Number Winning Trades 389
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 193
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.51
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.29
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.65
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.29
  • Tail Ratio: 1.00
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.95
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.20
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.09
  • Serenity Index: 32.27

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.46%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+6.05%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+4.80%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+5.41%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-1.26%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+12.73%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
66.8%
Total Trades
582
Cumulative
2.65%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
223.02%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2020
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-4.34%
+2.94%
Simple P&L
+5.67%
+1.20%
Simple P&L
+9.12%
+2.61%
Simple P&L
-5.65%
+6.66%
Simple P&L
+2.04%
+6.94%
Simple P&L
+6.60%
+10.59%
Simple P&L
2021
+1.09%
+7.85%
Simple P&L
-3.04%
+0.84%
Simple P&L
-1.07%
+0.80%
Simple P&L
+3.06%
+3.23%
Simple P&L
+0.03%
+5.94%
Simple P&L
-6.45%
+3.84%
Simple P&L
+4.24%
+5.57%
Simple P&L
+0.80%
+1.13%
Simple P&L
-5.10%
+0.79%
Simple P&L
-6.42%
+0.47%
Simple P&L
-2.72%
+4.06%
Simple P&L
+2.73%
+2.38%
Simple P&L
2022
+3.46%
+3.41%
Simple P&L
+2.96%
+12.69%
Simple P&L
+0.01%
+3.59%
Simple P&L
-6.44%
+5.65%
Simple P&L
+6.48%
-0.33%
Simple P&L
-6.08%
+3.19%
Simple P&L
+9.10%
+11.86%
Simple P&L
-3.03%
+9.07%
Simple P&L
-5.63%
+6.24%
Simple P&L
+8.62%
+3.80%
Simple P&L
-3.48%
+0.91%
Simple P&L
+0.45%
+0.99%
Simple P&L
2023
+3.56%
+11.31%
Simple P&L
-2.20%
+10.73%
Simple P&L
+2.25%
+15.01%
Simple P&L
-9.20%
+9.85%
Simple P&L
+8.63%
+4.33%
Simple P&L
+0.02%
+0.44%
Simple P&L
-3.77%
-1.28%
Simple P&L
-5.14%
+9.00%
Simple P&L
+9.02%
+2.95%
Simple P&L
-0.41%
+9.60%
Simple P&L
+0.54%
-1.65%
Simple P&L
-3.54%
+1.87%
Simple P&L
2024
+2.98%
+2.39%
Simple P&L
-5.45%
+6.47%
Simple P&L
-3.17%
-7.26%
Simple P&L
+3.45%
+4.35%
Simple P&L
+0.55%
-2.53%
Simple P&L
-0.61%
-0.18%
Simple P&L
+6.22%
+10.40%
Simple P&L
-3.43%
+5.49%
Simple P&L
+3.36%
+1.70%
Simple P&L
-5.65%
+3.69%
Simple P&L
+9.67%
+1.40%
Simple P&L
-9.69%
-7.86%
Simple P&L
2025
+2.73%
-9.89%
Simple P&L
+4.76%
+1.96%
Simple P&L
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

582

Number of Trades

2.65%

Cumulative Returns

66.84%

Win Rate

2024-03-13

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0%

30 Days

-1.26%

60 Days

5.41%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit660628.856606.29539732.315397.32120896.551208.97
Gross Profit1270122.4212701.22981248.89812.49288873.622888.74
Gross Loss609493.566094.94441516.494415.16167977.071679.77
Commission Paid96736.6766191.8730544.79
Buy & Hold Return64367.09643.67
Max Equity Run-up698588.5198.59
Max Drawdown113164.9818.9
Max Contracts Held49.046.049.0
Total Closed Trades401.0192.0209.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades281.0136.0145.0
Number Losing Trades120.056.064.0
Percent Profitable70.0770.8369.38
Avg P&l1647.450.522811.110.74578.450.32
Avg Winning Trade4520.011.467215.061.771992.231.16
Avg Losing Trade5079.111.667884.221.752624.641.59
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.890.9150.759
Largest Winning Trade28571.2728571.2724092.77
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.073.875.07
Largest Losing Trade30226.5530226.5524111.5
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.493.492.57
Avg # Bars In Trades16.020.012.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades15.020.010.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades17.021.014.0
Sharpe Ratio0.967
Sortino Ratio10.553
Profit Factor2.0842.2221.72
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit722387.537223.88383318.53833.19339069.033390.69
Gross Profit2999747.5829997.481903046.6419030.471096700.9310967.01
Gross Loss2277360.0422773.61519728.1415197.28757631.97576.32
Commission Paid278050.59158210.71119839.88
Buy & Hold Return107047.311070.47
Max Equity Run-up849200.998.84
Max Drawdown322287.8238.28
Max Contracts Held49.046.049.0
Total Closed Trades582.0268.0314.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades389.0171.0218.0
Number Losing Trades193.097.096.0
Percent Profitable66.8463.8169.43
Avg P&l1241.220.381430.290.51079.840.29
Avg Winning Trade7711.431.4111128.931.775030.741.13
Avg Losing Trade11799.791.6815667.31.747892.01.63
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.6540.710.637
Largest Winning Trade38904.6838904.6827707.52
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.073.875.07
Largest Losing Trade40274.3840274.3836856.46
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.493.492.57
Avg # Bars In Trades18.025.012.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades17.025.011.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades20.026.014.0
Sharpe Ratio0.666
Sortino Ratio1.952
Profit Factor1.3171.2521.448
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Value
Cumulative Return 7223.88%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 51.59%
Sharpe Ratio 0.666
Profit Factor 1.317
Maximum Drawdown -38.28%
Volatility (Annualized) 32.92%
Percent Profitable 66.84%

The strategy displays a robust cumulative return of 7223.88% and an impressive percent profitabile of 66.84%. The Sharpe Ratio and Profit Factor, while modest at 0.666 and 1.317 respectively, still indicate a sound risk-adjusted performance. Additionally, the maximum drawdown of -38.28% is within acceptable limits for crypto trading, especially since it stays below the benchmark figure of 40%.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy appears to hold promise for real-world trading, particularly in the crypto market where volatility is inherent. It significantly outperforms the buy-and-hold benchmark return, demonstrating effective trade management. The market conditions conducive to this strategy, such as moderate to high volatility, could potentially persist, supporting ongoing performance.

Risk Management

The strategy demonstrates competent risk management, reflected in its deliberate drawdown limits and profit preservation, with no margin calls recorded. Notably, the strategy could enhance its handling of daily fluctuations possibly by:

  • Employing dynamic leverage adjustments to safeguard against volatile shifts.
  • Incorporating tighter stop-loss mechanisms to prevent escalating losses.
  • Enhancing diversification across different cryptocurrencies to mitigate specific market risks.

Improvement Suggestions

To further enhance the strategy’s effectiveness and resilience, consider the following recommendations:

  • Explore parameter optimizations, especially for entry and exit criteria, to maximize positive outcomes.
  • Integrate a broader range of technical indicators to refine trading signals.
  • Conduct out-of-sample testing and forward-testing to confirm strategy reliability in diverse market conditions.
  • Possibly reduce leverage slightly to further decrease drawdown risks, increasing risk adjustability.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy showcases a strong capacity for generating returns with adequate risk-adjusted metrics. Despite reasonable volatility, it manages a respectable drawdown figure, indicating proficient risk management. Fine-tuning the strategy and validating its robustness across different scenarios can further bolster its performance.

Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and refinement of the strategy. Implement suggested improvements to strengthen robustness and adaptability to fluctuations within the crypto markets.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
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Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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How-to import CSV files.

After Downloading the optimiser and installing it on your chrome browser, follow the steps in this video to upload the settings.

The settings will of started to download in the background.

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  • Simply navigate to the top right corner and click "copy" like in the image below.
  • This will copy the chart to your TradingView with all the shared settings.

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