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mcginley ape 1h

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 1 hour @zagzag
● Live

🚀 McGinley Trend Followers [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [7b9d31aa]

🛡️ MCGINLEY APE 1H

Trading Pair
APE
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - February 27, 2024
0
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 3 weeks ago
Total Return Primary
-32.2%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
39.87%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
0.97
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-1.2%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
158
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Mar 28, 2023
1,111
Days
158
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 22, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-03-28 01:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.03
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.05
  • Calmar: 0.06
  • Longest DD Days: 44.00
  • Volatility: 1.31
  • Skew: 0.57
  • Kurtosis: -0.63
  • Expected Daily: 0.00
  • Expected Monthly: -0.03
  • Expected Yearly: -0.41
  • Kelly Criterion: -1.39
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.11
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.12
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-22 16:48:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 4
  • Number Winning Trades 63
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 11
  • Number Losing Trades: 95
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: 0.06
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 0.97
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.47
  • Common Sense Ratio: 0.97
  • Tail Ratio: 1.32
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.10
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: -0.01

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+1.81%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+2.07%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+1.81%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+1.18%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-4.71%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-11.66%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-12.32%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-23.34%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
40.3%
Total Trades
159
Cumulative
-1.60%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
22.08%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-3.00%
-1.95%
Simple P&L
-2.70%
-2.15%
Simple P&L
+0.27%
+16.80%
Simple P&L
-0.25%
+0.62%
Simple P&L
+2.35%
+4.32%
Simple P&L
-2.17%
+3.27%
Simple P&L
+3.13%
+18.56%
Simple P&L
-1.89%
-1.81%
Simple P&L
-1.54%
-7.57%
Simple P&L
+0.17%
+2.50%
Simple P&L
2024
+0.15%
-7.07%
Simple P&L
+3.01%
+14.88%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-3.12%
+2.62%
Simple P&L
+0.35%
-27.58%
Simple P&L
+0.13%
+5.91%
Simple P&L
-0.66%
-0.44%
Simple P&L
+3.52%
+13.18%
Simple P&L
-3.44%
-4.28%
Simple P&L
+0.86%
+0.94%
Simple P&L
+0.06%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+6.15%
Simple P&L
2025
-1.00%
-1.80%
Simple P&L
+0.24%
-3.51%
Simple P&L
+2.75%
+11.93%
Simple P&L
-2.90%
+7.26%
Simple P&L
-0.07%
-5.82%
Simple P&L
+2.66%
+12.56%
Simple P&L
-1.54%
+2.57%
Simple P&L
-0.56%
+2.90%
Simple P&L
-0.56%
-9.71%
Simple P&L
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2026
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

159

Number of Trades

-1.6%

Cumulative Returns

40.25%

Win Rate

2024-02-27

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-4.71%

30 Days

-12.32%

60 Days

-11.66%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital555
Open P&l2.480.66
Net Profit-178.7-32.2-712.71-128.42534.0196.22
Gross Profit5704.811027.892643.64476.333061.17551.56
Gross Loss5883.511060.093356.35604.752527.16455.34
Expected Payoff-1.13-8.017.74
Commission Paid287.02154.13132.89
Buy & Hold Return-542.54-97.76
Buy & Hold % Gain-97.76
Strategy Outperformance363.84
Max Contracts Held1700513978.017005.0
Annualized Return (cagr)-11.360.023.26
Return On Initial Capital-32.2-128.4296.22
Account Size Required1067.73
Return On Account Size Required-16.74-66.7550.01
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)56 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)322.7258.15
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)644.78116.18
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)1015.168.0
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)182.9
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)54 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)337.2660.77
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown-0.17-0.670.5
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)1059.19190.84
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)1067.7374.37
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)192.38
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss-128.07-545.27382.72
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.948.516.75
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.373.895.52
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades158.089.069.0
Number Winning Trades63.031.032.0
Number Losing Trades95.058.037.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable39.8734.8346.38
Avg P&l-1.130.14-8.01-0.367.740.77
Avg Winning Trade90.555.3185.285.0495.665.56
Avg Losing Trade61.933.2957.873.2468.33.37
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.4621.4741.401
Largest Winning Trade224.86224.86206.66
Largest Winning Trade Percent6.436.296.43
Largest Losing Trade139.53130.71139.53
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.83.83.79
Avg # Bars In Trades32.030.036.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades40.035.046.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades27.027.028.0
Sharpe Ratio0.029
Sortino Ratio0.047
Profit Factor0.970.7881.211
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital555
Open P&l2.420.64
Net Profit-178.7-32.2-712.71-128.42534.0196.22
Gross Profit5704.811027.892643.64476.333061.17551.56
Gross Loss5883.511060.093356.35604.752527.16455.34
Expected Payoff-1.13-8.017.74
Commission Paid287.02154.13132.89
Buy & Hold Return-542.54-97.75
Buy & Hold % Gain-97.76
Strategy Outperformance363.84
Max Contracts Held1700513978.017005.0
Annualized Return (cagr)-11.360.023.26
Return On Initial Capital-32.2-128.4296.22
Account Size Required1067.73
Return On Account Size Required-16.74-66.7550.01
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)56 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)322.7258.15
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)644.78116.18
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)1015.168.0
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)182.9
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)54 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)337.2660.77
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown-0.17-0.670.5
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)1059.19190.84
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)1067.7374.37
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)192.38
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss-128.07-545.27382.72
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.948.516.75
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.373.895.52
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades158.089.069.0
Number Winning Trades63.031.032.0
Number Losing Trades95.058.037.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable39.8734.8346.38
Avg P&l-1.130.14-8.01-0.367.740.77
Avg Winning Trade90.555.3185.285.0495.665.56
Avg Losing Trade61.933.2957.873.2468.33.37
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.4621.4741.401
Largest Winning Trade224.86224.86206.66
Largest Winning Trade Percent6.436.296.43
Largest Losing Trade139.53130.71139.53
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.83.83.79
Avg # Bars In Trades32.030.036.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades40.035.046.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades27.027.028.0
Sharpe Ratio0.029
Sortino Ratio0.047
Profit Factor0.970.7881.211
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, it's clear that certain performance metrics warrant closer examination:

Metric Strategy
Net Profit -32.15%
Annualized Return (CAGR) -11.36%
Sharpe Ratio 0.029
Profit Factor 0.97
Maximum Drawdown (Close-to-Close) 190.84%
Volatility (Annualized) 1.31%
Percent Profitable 39.87%

The strategy currently reflects a negative net profit of -32.15% and an annualized return of -11.36%, indicating losses over the evaluated period. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.029 is below the acceptable threshold, suggesting that returns do not adequately compensate for the risk taken. A Profit Factor below 1 (0.97) further indicates that losses outweigh profits. Importantly, a maximum drawdown of 190.84% raises significant concerns about the strategy's sustainability.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, the strategy presently lacks viability for real-world trading under similar conditions. The substantial drawdown and negative returns highlight an urgent need to reevaluate and optimize the existing parameters. The strategy's performance under current market conditions and parameters does not align with industry standards or benchmarks, emphasizing the need for substantial refinement.

Risk Management

The strategy appears to have limited risk management effectiveness, as evidenced by high drawdowns and relatively poor risk-adjusted returns. Key areas to address include:

  • Adopting stricter leverage controls to reduce exposure to volatile market swings.
  • Incorporating stop-loss strategies to limit losses on underperforming trades.
  • Re-evaluating position sizing techniques to ensure appropriate risk levels are maintained per trade.

Improvement Suggestions

Several recommendations for improvement may enhance the strategy's performance and robustness:

  • Optimize model parameters to improve profitability and reduce drawdowns, particularly by lowering leverage.
  • Incorporate additional technical indicators and market sentiment analysis to improve trade decision-making.
  • Conduct further backtesting across different market conditions to identify potential areas of improvement and robustness.
  • Implement a dynamic risk management framework including techniques like Value-at-Risk (VaR) and stress testing.

Final Opinion

In summary, this strategy currently faces significant challenges in achieving positive returns and managing risk effectively. The performance metrics indicate a need for substantial rework to bring the strategy in line with acceptable trading standards, especially concerning max drawdown and risk-adjusted performance.

Recommendation: Abandon the current version of the strategy in its existing form. Proceed with comprehensive refinement, focusing on reducing leverage, enhancing risk management, and optimizing trading parameters before considering real-world application.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
0.00
0.00
Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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