🚀 McGinley Trend Followers [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [7b9d31aa]
🛡️ MCGINLEY APE 1H @zagzag
TREND FOLOWING
1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 3 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2022-08-10 22:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.47
- Sortino Ratio: 1.05
- Calmar: -0.74
- Longest DD Days: 42.00
- Volatility: 5.76
- Skew: 0.37
- Kurtosis: -0.61
- Expected Daily: 0.05
- Expected Monthly: 0.98
- Expected Yearly: 12.48
- Kelly Criterion: 10.10
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.47
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.54
- Last Trade Date: 2025-05-06 19:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 8
- Number Winning Trades 66
- Max Consecutive Losses: 11
- Number Losing Trades: 66
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.74
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.26
- Payoff Ratio: 1.30
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.26
- Tail Ratio: 1.45
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.39
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.01
- Serenity Index: 0.67
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, the following performance metrics stand out:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 1112.02% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 2.21% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.466 |
Profit Factor | 1.34 |
Maximum Drawdown | -55.02% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 5.76% |
The strategy reveals a positive cumulative return of 1112.02%, signifying overall profitability. However, the Sharpe Ratio is slightly below the preferred threshold of 0.5, indicating room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. The Profit Factor of 1.34 suggests that the strategy earns more than it loses by some margin. One notable area for concern is the maximum drawdown of -55.02%, which exceeds the preferred limit of 40%. This might imply periods of significant loss, yet considering the potential for improved leverage management, this can be addressed.
Strategy Viability
The data indicates that the strategy has been profitable, yet there are concerns regarding its risk-adjusted effectiveness. While exhibiting a reasonable profit factor, its high drawdown suggests that the strategy could be vulnerable during adverse market conditions, especially without additional capital management measures. However, given the estimated CAGR, the strategy has the potential to be viable with adjustments. Users should be aware of possible market shifts and adapt as necessary.
Risk Management
The strategy's risk management practices could be enhanced, particularly in reducing the drawdown levels. Suggested improvements include:
- Adjusting leverage to align with acceptable risk tolerance could effectively minimize drawdowns.
- Incorporating stricter stop-loss parameters to prevent larger losses in volatile markets.
- Diversifying trading pairs to spread out risk and limit exposure to specific currency fluctuations.
Improvement Suggestions
To refine the strategy and bolster performance, consider the following recommendations:
- Conduct in-depth optimization of strategy parameters to achieve higher Sharpe Ratios by balancing risk and reward.
- Test additional entry and exit indicators that may enhance trading timing and accuracy.
- Perform rigorous out-of-sample and forward testing to ensure the strategy's robustness across various market conditions.
- Integrate a dynamic leverage adjustment model to reduce drawdown during high market volatility.
Final Opinion
Overall, the strategy presents a promising framework for profit generation, with a substantial cumulative return. However, optimization and risk management enhancements are essential to improve its overall effectiveness. Addressing the high drawdown and enhancing risk-adjusted metrics will likely lead to better sustainability in varying market environments.
Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and optimization, focusing on improving risk management and optimizing parameters to achieve more consistent and robust returns.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 11.23% | 13.65% | 44.03% | 17.43% | 37.65% |
2023 | 33.00% | -2.05% | 33.54% | -4.03% | 31.02% | -3.49% | 16.29% | -6.40% | 42.17% | -8.01% | -10.66% | 2.31% |
2024 | -16.41% | 35.98% | 0.00% | 5.97% | -56.57% | 13.42% | 4.49% | 25.65% | -2.19% | -5.22% | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
APE
Base Currency
48
Number of Trades
51.33%
Cumulative Returns
41.67%
Win Rate
2024-02-27
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
29.14%
30 Days
100.3%
60 Days
60.87%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 4605.9 | 829.89 | 2292.32 | 413.03 | 2313.58 | 416.86 |
Gross Profit | 14177.04 | 2554.42 | 6760.26 | 1218.07 | 7416.77 | 1336.36 |
Gross Loss | 9571.13 | 1724.53 | 4467.94 | 805.03 | 5103.19 | 919.49 |
Commission Paid | 441.99 | 213.86 | 228.13 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -399.61 | -72.0 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 5372.03 | 91.21 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 2148.92 | 39.6 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 15684.0 | 14655.0 | 15684.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 84.0 | 37.0 | 47.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 46.0 | 19.0 | 27.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 38.0 | 18.0 | 20.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 54.76 | 51.35 | 57.45 | |||
Avg P&l | 54.83 | 1.39 | 61.95 | 0.94 | 49.23 | 1.74 |
Avg Winning Trade | 308.2 | 5.31 | 355.8 | 4.91 | 274.7 | 5.59 |
Avg Losing Trade | 251.87 | 3.36 | 248.22 | 3.25 | 255.16 | 3.46 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.224 | 1.433 | 1.077 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 909.62 | 909.62 | 579.0 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 6.41 | 6.33 | 6.41 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 589.21 | 589.21 | 540.88 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.78 | 3.78 | 3.75 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 35.0 | 29.0 | 39.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 35.0 | 24.0 | 43.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 34.0 | 34.0 | 34.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.672 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.494 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.481 | 1.513 | 1.453 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 6171.73 | 1112.02 | 208.62 | 37.59 | 5963.11 | 1074.44 |
Gross Profit | 24344.52 | 4386.4 | 11811.22 | 2128.15 | 12533.3 | 2258.25 |
Gross Loss | 18172.79 | 3274.38 | 11602.61 | 2090.56 | 6570.19 | 1183.82 |
Commission Paid | 778.66 | 446.41 | 332.25 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -504.08 | -90.83 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 6209.14 | 92.31 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 3151.01 | 55.02 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 38656.0 | 38656.0 | 36517.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 132.0 | 72.0 | 60.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 66.0 | 31.0 | 35.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 66.0 | 41.0 | 25.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 50.0 | 43.06 | 58.33 | |||
Avg P&l | 46.76 | 1.01 | 2.9 | 0.31 | 99.39 | 1.85 |
Avg Winning Trade | 368.86 | 5.42 | 381.01 | 5.18 | 358.09 | 5.63 |
Avg Losing Trade | 275.35 | 3.4 | 282.99 | 3.37 | 262.81 | 3.45 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.34 | 1.346 | 1.363 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 1012.8 | 1012.8 | 979.07 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 6.45 | 6.33 | 6.45 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 652.41 | 652.41 | 540.88 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.78 | 3.78 | 3.75 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 32.0 | 29.0 | 37.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 33.0 | 26.0 | 39.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 32.0 | 31.0 | 33.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.466 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.05 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.34 | 1.018 | 1.908 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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