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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
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    • Documentation
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matt_doc t3nexusstiff avaxusdt 30m 27.08

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TREND FOLOWING 30 minutes @matt_doc
● Live

T3 Nexus + Stiff @DaviddTech 🤖 [a8ce6b46]

🛡️ T3NEXUSSTIFF AVAXUSDT 30M 27.08

Trading Pair
AVAX
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - September 6, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 2 months ago
Total Return Primary
13.48%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
46.82%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.008
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-1.54%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
440
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 5, 2025
496
Days
440
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 22, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2025-01-05 19:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.18
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.25
  • Calmar: -0.24
  • Longest DD Days: 283.00
  • Volatility: 86.93
  • Skew: 0.18
  • Kurtosis: -1.29
  • Expected Daily: 0.21
  • Expected Monthly: 4.41
  • Expected Yearly: 67.92
  • Kelly Criterion: 0.65
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -7.39
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -8.28
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-22 16:15:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 6
  • Number Winning Trades 206
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 8
  • Number Losing Trades: 234
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.24
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.01
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.15
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.01
  • Tail Ratio: 1.20
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.06
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.40
  • Serenity Index: 0.04

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.18%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.52%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+1.72%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.75%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+6.33%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+20.01%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
46.9%
Total Trades
441
Cumulative
-1.54%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
18.93%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2025
-2.33%
-4.38%
Simple P&L
-1.56%
+4.62%
Simple P&L
+2.47%
+6.63%
Simple P&L
-1.41%
-7.84%
Simple P&L
+2.08%
+19.87%
Simple P&L
-1.02%
+3.25%
Simple P&L
-0.44%
+3.45%
Simple P&L
+1.55%
-4.94%
Simple P&L
-1.53%
-3.50%
Simple P&L
+2.03%
-18.25%
Simple P&L
••••
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2026
••••
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••••
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••••
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••••
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

441

Number of Trades

-1.54%

Cumulative Returns

46.94%

Win Rate

2024-08-27

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0%

30 Days

6.33%

60 Days

0.75%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l8588.657.57
Net Profit13481.413.488009.958.015471.455.47
Gross Profit1664046.41664.05868222.15868.22795824.25795.82
Gross Loss16505651650.57860212.2860.21790352.8790.35
Expected Payoff30.6439.6522.99
Commission Paid111750.4159521.752228.71
Buy & Hold Return-78164.54-78.16
Buy & Hold % Gain-78.16
Strategy Outperformance91645.94
Max Contracts Held7397373973.070409.0
Annualized Return (cagr)10.916.514.46
Return On Initial Capital13.488.015.47
Account Size Required205706.26
Return On Account Size Required6.553.892.66
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)8 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)29478.2729.48
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)87788.587.79
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)209259.5672.43
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)209.26
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)26 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)36955.1736.96
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.110.080.07
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)205548.02205.55
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)205706.2671.9
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)205.71
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss57.7534.3126.53
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.552.593.23
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.412.712.61
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades440.0202.0238.0
Number Winning Trades206.095.0111.0
Number Losing Trades234.0107.0127.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable46.8247.0346.64
Avg P&l30.640.0439.650.0222.990.06
Avg Winning Trade8077.92.819139.182.697169.592.92
Avg Losing Trade7053.72.48039.372.356223.252.44
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.1451.1371.152
Largest Winning Trade25713.5822505.2525713.58
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.064.645.06
Largest Losing Trade23344.0823344.0820622.82
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.063.934.06
Avg # Bars In Trades21.020.022.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades22.021.023.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades21.020.021.0
Sharpe Ratio0.178
Sortino Ratio0.246
Profit Factor1.0081.0091.007
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l8377.457.38
Net Profit13481.413.488009.958.015471.455.47
Gross Profit1664046.41664.05868222.15868.22795824.25795.82
Gross Loss16505651650.57860212.2860.21790352.8790.35
Expected Payoff30.6439.6522.99
Commission Paid111750.4159521.752228.71
Buy & Hold Return-78157.33-78.16
Buy & Hold % Gain-78.16
Strategy Outperformance91638.73
Max Contracts Held7397373973.070409.0
Annualized Return (cagr)10.916.514.46
Return On Initial Capital13.488.015.47
Account Size Required205706.26
Return On Account Size Required6.553.892.66
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)8 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)29478.2729.48
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)87788.587.79
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)209259.5672.43
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)209.26
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)26 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)36955.1736.96
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.110.080.07
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)205548.02205.55
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)205706.2671.9
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)205.71
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss57.7534.3126.53
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.552.593.23
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.412.712.61
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades440.0202.0238.0
Number Winning Trades206.095.0111.0
Number Losing Trades234.0107.0127.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable46.8247.0346.64
Avg P&l30.640.0439.650.0222.990.06
Avg Winning Trade8077.92.819139.182.697169.592.92
Avg Losing Trade7053.72.48039.372.356223.252.44
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.1451.1371.152
Largest Winning Trade25713.5822505.2525713.58
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.064.645.06
Largest Losing Trade23344.0823344.0820622.82
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.063.934.06
Avg # Bars In Trades21.020.022.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades22.021.023.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades21.020.021.0
Sharpe Ratio0.177
Sortino Ratio0.245
Profit Factor1.0081.0091.007
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 13.48%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 10.91%
Sharpe Ratio 0.177
Profit Factor 1.01
Maximum Drawdown 0%
Volatility (Annualized) 86.93%

The strategy exhibits a modest cumulative return of 13.48% with an annualized return of 10.91%. While the maximum drawdown is reported as 0%, it is crucial to delve into how that aligns with actual trading scenarios since no strategy is truly immune to drawdowns. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.177 is below the generally acceptable range, indicating an area for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. However, the profit factor slightly over 1 shows the strategy is marginally profitable.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, the strategy's performance is moderate for real-world trading under volatile conditions, especially in the crypto market. It slightly outperforms a buy-and-hold strategy, particularly evident in its strategy outperformance of 91638.73%. However, its viability depends heavily on improving the risk-reward balance. Observing market conditions where it slightly excels could provide insights into its optimal operational conditions, helping determine if those conditions are sustainable.

Risk Management

The strategy's risk management techniques exhibit some prudent aspects, given the absence of reported drawdowns. However, with high volatility at 86.93%, it is essential to refine risk management to ensure sustainability across diverse market conditions. Possible enhancements include:

  • Incorporating dynamic position sizing to better align exposure with prevailing market volatility.
  • Developing robust stop-loss mechanisms tailored to reduce abrupt losses and mitigate high volatility impacts.
  • Diversifying traded assets to spread the risk and lower asset-specific exposure.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, it is recommended to:

  • Optimize parameters to balance returns and minimize drawdowns, especially in high-volatility environments.
  • Incorporate a diverse set of technical indicators to improve timing for trade entries and exits.
  • Conduct comprehensive out-of-sample and forward-testing to verify the strategy’s resilience across various market conditions.
  • Leverage advanced risk management techniques like Value-at-Risk (VaR) adjustments and stress testing for more precise risk assessment.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy demonstrates areas of potential with gains that slightly outperform passive investment approaches, yet requires significant risk-adjusted improvements. The absence of drawdown is intriguing but needs verification of its feasibility in live trading. Despite high volatility, improvements in adaptive risk management could enhance its sustainability.

Recommendation: Continue with detailed testing and optimization of the strategy. Introduce recommended refinements to enhance robustness and refine risk management to effectively address market volatility.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
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1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
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Skewness --
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Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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