🚀 Precision Trend Mastery by @DaviddTech 🤖 [6dcd4dc9]
🛡️ PRECISIONTRENDMASTERY ETHUSDT 30M 17.12.2024
@marcob
⌛30 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 3 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-10-30 08:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.47
- Sortino Ratio: 1.20
- Calmar: -3.29
- Longest DD Days: 57.00
- Volatility: 39.87
- Skew: -0.18
- Kurtosis: -1.18
- Expected Daily: 0.41
- Expected Monthly: 9.04
- Expected Yearly: 182.55
- Kelly Criterion: 18.70
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.48
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.04
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-25 02:30:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 14
- Number Winning Trades 292
- Max Consecutive Losses: 6
- Number Losing Trades: 211
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -3.29
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.47
- Payoff Ratio: 1.06
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.47
- Tail Ratio: 1.18
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.19
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.06
- Serenity Index: 49.64
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 591.13% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 55.14% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.466 |
Profit Factor | 1.452 |
Maximum Drawdown | 19.06% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 39.87% |
The strategy shows a substantial cumulative return of 591.13% with an impressive annualized return of 55.14%. While the Sharpe ratio of 0.466 is slightly below the threshold for excellence in crypto, it approaches adequacy, indicating room for optimization. The maximum drawdown of 19.06% is well-controlled, particularly notable in the volatile realm of cryptocurrencies, highlighting effective downside risk management.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy demonstrates potential for real-world trading, especially under conditions that mirror historical data. Its performance compares favorably to benchmark standards due to relatively low drawdowns and satisfactory profit metrics. Consideration should be given to market conditions that have influenced historical performance, ensuring they are likely to continue.
Risk Management
The strategy employs a sound risk management framework, as evidenced by the maximum drawdown and gain/pain ratio of 1.47. While the statistical metrics are solid, improvements can always be made to enhance resilience to market volatility:
- Consider reducing leverage to mitigate risk further, which can easily decrease maximum drawdown and enhance stability.
- Implement enhanced stop-loss mechanisms tailored to market volatility and instrument characteristics.
- Incorporate advanced hedging techniques to protect against extreme market movements.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Refine the Sharpe ratio through parameter optimization and strategic adjustments to align better with market opportunities.
- Expand the use of technical and quantitative indicators to improve decision-making processes.
- Undertake comprehensive out-of-sample testing to confirm the strategy's robustness across variable conditions.
- Integrate more sophisticated risk management techniques like dynamic position sizing governed by changes in market volatility.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy exhibits encouraging potential through high returns and controlled maximum drawdown. While the Sharpe ratio could benefit from specific improvements, it’s positioned advantageously within the volatile crypto market. Continuous enhancement and validation of the strategy are recommended to sustain and augment its performance.
Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and optimization. Embrace the suggested improvements to bolster risk management and adapt to volatile market environments more effectively.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.18% | 16.16% | 1.63% |
2021 | 2.17% | 0.59% | 3.75% | -5.10% | -4.72% | 6.44% | 6.29% | -10.55% | 19.05% | -0.34% | -12.15% | 5.14% |
2022 | 11.44% | -1.53% | 1.66% | 1.37% | -10.68% | 8.92% | 18.84% | 12.81% | -0.83% | -3.48% | 3.24% | 3.93% |
2023 | 3.86% | 10.34% | 2.37% | 2.69% | -3.76% | 5.66% | -1.07% | 6.76% | -1.19% | 1.03% | -8.24% | 3.07% |
2024 | 10.79% | -2.33% | 15.11% | 27.90% | 13.56% | 5.57% | 5.83% | 5.49% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
ETH
Base Currency
38
Number of Trades
18.92%
Cumulative Returns
57.89%
Win Rate
2024-12-17
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
4.39%
30 Days
10.24%
60 Days
10.58%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 469990.3 | 469.99 | 173828.79 | 173.83 | 296161.51 | 296.16 |
Gross Profit | 1484683.64 | 1484.68 | 610466.8 | 610.47 | 874216.85 | 874.22 |
Gross Loss | 1014693.34 | 1014.69 | 436638.0 | 436.64 | 578055.33 | 578.06 |
Commission Paid | 89493.47 | 40980.1 | 48513.37 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 926603.55 | 926.6 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 494857.2 | 83.19 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 51455.5 | 19.06 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 261.0 | 256.0 | 261.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 466.0 | 212.0 | 254.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 270.0 | 121.0 | 149.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 196.0 | 91.0 | 105.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 57.94 | 57.08 | 58.66 | |||
Avg P&l | 1008.56 | 0.4 | 819.95 | 0.39 | 1165.99 | 0.41 |
Avg Winning Trade | 5498.83 | 2.33 | 5045.18 | 2.16 | 5867.23 | 2.47 |
Avg Losing Trade | 5177.01 | 2.25 | 4798.22 | 1.96 | 5505.29 | 2.5 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.062 | 1.051 | 1.066 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 28707.7 | 19965.89 | 28707.7 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 5.63 | 4.89 | 5.63 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 21460.85 | 18286.51 | 21460.85 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 4.85 | 4.6 | 4.85 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 27.0 | 27.0 | 27.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 25.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 30.0 | 29.0 | 31.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.434 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.114 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.463 | 1.398 | 1.512 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 591130.24 | 591.13 | 121712.03 | 121.71 | 469418.21 | 469.42 |
Gross Profit | 1898933.44 | 1898.93 | 667405.16 | 667.41 | 1231528.28 | 1231.53 |
Gross Loss | 1307803.21 | 1307.8 | 545693.13 | 545.69 | 762110.07 | 762.11 |
Commission Paid | 108934.78 | 47522.77 | 61412.01 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 435278.58 | 435.28 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 628352.33 | 86.28 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 99183.13 | 19.06 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 354.0 | 354.0 | 354.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 503.0 | 224.0 | 279.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 292.0 | 126.0 | 166.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 211.0 | 98.0 | 113.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 58.05 | 56.25 | 59.5 | |||
Avg P&l | 1175.21 | 0.42 | 543.36 | 0.34 | 1682.5 | 0.48 |
Avg Winning Trade | 6503.2 | 2.38 | 5296.87 | 2.14 | 7418.85 | 2.55 |
Avg Losing Trade | 6198.12 | 2.3 | 5568.3 | 1.98 | 6744.34 | 2.57 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.049 | 0.951 | 1.1 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 34293.34 | 19965.89 | 34293.34 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 5.63 | 4.89 | 5.63 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 32394.91 | 25556.89 | 32394.91 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 4.85 | 4.6 | 4.85 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 27.0 | 26.0 | 27.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 25.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 29.0 | 28.0 | 30.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.466 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.197 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.452 | 1.223 | 1.616 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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