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DaviddTech
Traders should know
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marcob precisiontrendmastery ethusdt 30m 17.12.2024

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 30 minutes @marcob
● Live

🚀 Precision Trend Mastery by @DaviddTech 🤖 [6dcd4dc9]

🛡️ PRECISIONTRENDMASTERY ETHUSDT 30M 17.12.2024

Trading Pair
ETH
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - January 19, 2025
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 1
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +4.15% Updated 3 hours ago
Total Return Primary
858.61%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
58.38%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
🔒
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.537
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
388.62%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
543
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Oct 30, 2020
1,719
Days
543
Trades
Last Trade
Jul 11, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-10-30 08:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.51
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.34
  • Calmar: -3.66
  • Longest DD Days: 57.00
  • Volatility: 39.92
  • Skew: -0.20
  • Kurtosis: -1.20
  • Expected Daily: 0.44
  • Expected Monthly: 9.72
  • Expected Yearly: 204.32
  • Kelly Criterion: 20.74
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.48
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.05
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-07-11 02:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 14
  • Number Winning Trades 317
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 226
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -3.66
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.55
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.10
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.55
  • Tail Ratio: 1.18
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.17
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.06
  • Serenity Index: 78.79

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators


Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20200.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.18%16.16%1.63%
20212.17%0.59%3.75%-5.10%-4.72%6.44%6.29%-10.55%19.05%-0.34%-12.15%5.14%
202211.44%-1.53%1.66%1.37%-10.68%8.92%18.84%12.81%-0.83%-3.48%3.24%3.93%
20233.86%10.34%2.37%2.69%-3.76%5.66%-1.07%6.76%-1.19%1.03%-8.24%3.07%
202410.79%-2.33%15.11%27.90%13.56%5.57%5.83%5.49%-2.07%1.69%10.17%7.56%
2025••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

79

Number of Trades

51.9%

Cumulative Returns

59.49%

Win Rate

2024-12-17

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

2.89%

30 Days

85.34%

60 Days

24.53%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit469990.3469.99173828.79173.83296161.51296.16
Gross Profit1484683.641484.68610466.8610.47874216.85874.22
Gross Loss1014693.341014.69436638.0436.64578055.33578.06
Commission Paid89493.4740980.148513.37
Buy & Hold Return926603.55926.6
Max Equity Run-up494857.283.19
Max Drawdown51455.519.06
Max Contracts Held261.0256.0261.0
Total Closed Trades466.0212.0254.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades270.0121.0149.0
Number Losing Trades196.091.0105.0
Percent Profitable57.9457.0858.66
Avg P&l1008.560.4819.950.391165.990.41
Avg Winning Trade5498.832.335045.182.165867.232.47
Avg Losing Trade5177.012.254798.221.965505.292.5
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0621.0511.066
Largest Winning Trade28707.719965.8928707.7
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.634.895.63
Largest Losing Trade21460.8518286.5121460.85
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.854.64.85
Avg # Bars In Trades27.027.027.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades25.025.025.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades30.029.031.0
Sharpe Ratio0.434
Sortino Ratio1.114
Profit Factor1.4631.3981.512
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l-10644.05-1.11
Net Profit858605.93858.61188507.33188.51670098.6670.1
Gross Profit2457312.792457.31923862.14923.861533450.651533.45
Gross Loss1598706.861598.71735354.81735.35863352.05863.35
Commission Paid135998.5263617.3772381.16
Buy & Hold Return655529.35655.53
Max Equity Run-up865605.4989.65
Max Drawdown99183.1319.06
Max Contracts Held474.0466.0474.0
Total Closed Trades543.0247.0296.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades317.0139.0178.0
Number Losing Trades226.0108.0118.0
Percent Profitable58.3856.2860.14
Avg P&l1581.230.45763.190.342263.850.54
Avg Winning Trade7751.782.46646.492.168614.892.59
Avg Losing Trade7073.922.296808.842.07316.542.56
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0960.9761.177
Largest Winning Trade35107.1334183.3735107.13
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.634.895.63
Largest Losing Trade34491.8334460.6534491.83
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.854.64.85
Avg # Bars In Trades26.025.027.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades24.024.024.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades29.027.031.0
Sharpe Ratio0.51
Sortino Ratio1.34
Profit Factor1.5371.2561.776
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 858.61%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 61.39%
Sharpe Ratio 0.51
Profit Factor 1.55
Maximum Drawdown 19.06%
Volatility (Annualized) 39.92%
Win Rate 58.38%

The strategy showcases robust returns with a cumulative gain of 858.61% and an annualized return of 61.39%. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.51 indicates good risk-adjusted performance. The maximum drawdown of 19.06% is comfortably below the threshold, suggesting effective risk mitigation relative to market conditions, while maintaining a stable volatility at 39.92%. The strategy's win rate of 58.38% further underscores its effectiveness in generating profitable trades.

Strategy Viability

This strategy appears to be viable for real-world trading, particularly in the volatile crypto market, where its resilience and risk-adjusted returns are significant advantages. With a maximum drawdown well below 40%, the strategy has demonstrated the ability to navigate tough market environments. The outperformance against a typical buy-and-hold return of 655.53% suggests a well-defined edge over broader market movements.

Risk Management

The strategy employs a sound risk management approach, evidenced by the maximum drawdown and no margin calls. Yet, there are opportunities for advancing risk mitigation measures:

  • Experimenting with reduced leverage can lower the drawdown risk even further while preserving returns.
  • Incorporating tighter stop-loss levels could prevent larger loss scenarios, thus safeguarding capital.
  • Adopting volatility-adjusted position sizing might enhance the strategy's adaptability to market fluctuations.

Improvement Suggestions

To elevate the strategy's robustness and performance, consider the following suggestions:

  • Optimize existing parameters to align with dynamic market conditions, potentially enhancing profitability and stability.
  • Expand the array of technical indicators utilized to fine-tune entry and exit strategies.
  • Conduct extensive stress testing to assess the impact of unpredictable market scenarios on strategy viability.
  • Test and validate the strategy in out-of-sample and forward-looking scenarios to ensure adaptability across different periods.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy displays strong strengths, particularly in high returns and adequate risk management. Despite the high volatility that characterizes the crypto market, the strategy remains adept at maintaining a competitive edge. However, further optimization and validation can fortify the strategy's robustness and ensure its continued effectiveness.

Recommendation: Proceed with further refining and testing of the strategy. Focus on implementing suggested improvements and enhancing the risk management framework to support even greater market adaptability and performance efficiency.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
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Stability Index
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Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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