MACD Liquidity Spectrum by @DaviddTech 🤖 [ce644610]
🛡️ MACD LIQUIDITY SPECTRUM SOL 1H @mrdavetrading
MOMENTUM
1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-07-14 07:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.39
- Sortino Ratio: 0.84
- Calmar: -1.65
- Longest DD Days: 88.00
- Volatility: 97.43
- Skew: 0.13
- Kurtosis: -1.38
- Expected Daily: 0.81
- Expected Monthly: 18.54
- Expected Yearly: 669.71
- Kelly Criterion: 5.83
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -7.72
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -7.84
- Last Trade Date: 2025-04-17 02:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 7
- Number Winning Trades 174
- Max Consecutive Losses: 7
- Number Losing Trades: 169
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.65
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.13
- Payoff Ratio: 1.10
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.13
- Tail Ratio: 1.27
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.17
- Serenity Index: 13.78
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Net Profit | 893.28% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 84.72% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.405 |
Profit Factor | 1.162 |
Maximum Drawdown | 46.39% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 97.43% |
The strategy exhibits a solid cumulative net profit of 893.28% with a commendable annualized return of 84.72%. The Sharpe Ratio, although slightly below the good threshold, indicates there is room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. A profit factor of 1.162 suggests moderate effectiveness in generating returns over losses. The maximum drawdown of 46.39% indicates a higher risk exposure, which could be a potential area of concern, suggesting the need for cautious risk management.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, the strategy demonstrates potential viability for real-world trading, especially in aggressive market environments as reflected by the substantial returns. However, the high drawdown and volatility indicate that robust risk management is crucial. An examination to establish specific market conditions where this strategy performs optimally is recommended.
Risk Management
The strategy shows a high risk exposure, as evidenced by the significant drawdown and volatility figures. Improvement in risk management could enhance the strategy’s sustainability, such as:
- Implementing a leverage reduction which could decrease the maximum drawdown.
- Utilizing refined stop-loss mechanisms to contain large losses effectively.
- Incorporating volatility-based position sizing to minimize risk during high volatility periods.
Improvement Suggestions
To further enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize strategy parameters for better risk-adjusted returns, possibly focusing on improving the Sharpe Ratio.
- Investigate additional technical indicators for better market signals to refine trade entry and exit points.
- Conduct thorough back-testing and forward-testing across diverse market conditions to confirm the strategy's robustness.
- Explore diversification across different crypto assets to reduce unsystematic risk.
Final Opinion
In summary, while the strategy exhibits significant return potential, its risk metrics such as high drawdown and volatility indicate the necessity for optimization and enhanced risk control. Therefore, while promising, it requires refinements to ensure sustainability and resilience in various market conditions.
Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and improvements on the strategy, particularly focusing on its risk management components and leveraging methods to fortify the drawdown profile and enhance the Sharpe Ratio for better risk-adjusted performance.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 13.92% | 3.83% | 3.82% | -7.62% | 26.96% | 8.90% |
2022 | -3.28% | 13.55% | 29.35% | 13.26% | 16.39% | 9.34% | 5.84% | 6.28% | -1.06% | -1.16% | 12.15% | 18.51% |
2023 | -13.19% | 20.38% | -4.43% | -3.38% | -9.72% | 1.29% | 31.04% | 4.32% | -7.29% | 12.11% | 22.83% | 32.59% |
2024 | 25.60% | -0.31% | 20.51% | 30.01% | -20.07% | 1.93% | 11.91% | -9.49% | 14.33% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
SOL
Base Currency
86
Number of Trades
-36.75%
Cumulative Returns
40.7%
Win Rate
2024-04-30
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-25.98%
30 Days
-40.4%
60 Days
-21.36%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | -18691.98 | -1.23 | ||||
Net Profit | 1419362.01 | 1419.36 | 1108290.12 | 1108.29 | 311071.89 | 311.07 |
Gross Profit | 3736902.46 | 3736.9 | 2361347.54 | 2361.35 | 1375554.92 | 1375.55 |
Gross Loss | 2317540.45 | 2317.54 | 1253057.42 | 1253.06 | 1064483.03 | 1064.48 |
Commission Paid | 88805.18 | 50622.08 | 38183.1 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 371937.52 | 371.94 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 1720881.08 | 94.86 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 305119.23 | 37.53 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 47080.0 | 47080.0 | 46122.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 258.0 | 133.0 | 125.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 139.0 | 75.0 | 64.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 119.0 | 58.0 | 61.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 53.88 | 56.39 | 51.2 | |||
Avg P&l | 5501.4 | 1.03 | 8333.01 | 1.34 | 2488.58 | 0.71 |
Avg Winning Trade | 26884.19 | 6.05 | 31484.63 | 6.19 | 21493.05 | 5.88 |
Avg Losing Trade | 19475.13 | 4.82 | 21604.44 | 4.93 | 17450.54 | 4.72 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.38 | 1.457 | 1.232 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 127115.93 | 109977.08 | 127115.93 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 6.51 | 6.46 | 6.51 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 132722.06 | 93495.91 | 132722.06 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.15 | 5.13 | 5.15 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 27.0 | 25.0 | 30.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 27.0 | 27.0 | 28.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 27.0 | 22.0 | 31.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.666 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.317 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.612 | 1.884 | 1.292 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | -7804.66 | -0.85 | ||||
Net Profit | 815412.83 | 815.41 | 500171.41 | 500.17 | 315241.42 | 315.24 |
Gross Profit | 6410793.99 | 6410.79 | 3469790.02 | 3469.79 | 2941003.97 | 2941.0 |
Gross Loss | 5595381.16 | 5595.38 | 2969618.61 | 2969.62 | 2625762.55 | 2625.76 |
Commission Paid | 177942.63 | 93836.22 | 84106.41 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 346759.4 | 346.76 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 1720881.08 | 94.86 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 880123.94 | 49.52 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 47080.0 | 47080.0 | 46122.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 343.0 | 166.0 | 177.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 174.0 | 87.0 | 87.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 169.0 | 79.0 | 90.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 50.73 | 52.41 | 49.15 | |||
Avg P&l | 2377.3 | 0.69 | 3013.08 | 0.89 | 1781.02 | 0.5 |
Avg Winning Trade | 36843.64 | 6.03 | 39882.64 | 6.16 | 33804.64 | 5.91 |
Avg Losing Trade | 33108.76 | 4.81 | 37590.11 | 4.9 | 29175.14 | 4.73 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.113 | 1.061 | 1.159 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 156513.65 | 156513.65 | 142209.18 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 6.51 | 6.46 | 6.51 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 134107.54 | 134107.54 | 132722.06 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.15 | 5.13 | 5.15 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 30.0 | 28.0 | 32.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 30.0 | 29.0 | 32.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 29.0 | 26.0 | 32.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.388 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.843 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.146 | 1.168 | 1.12 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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