MACD Liquidity Spectrum by @DaviddTech 🤖 [722b4fb0]
🛡️ MACD LIQUIDITY SPECTRUM RUNE 1H
@
⌛1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-12-09 14:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.62
- Sortino Ratio: 2.47
- Calmar: -10.08
- Longest DD Days: 65.00
- Volatility: 78.91
- Skew: 0.05
- Kurtosis: -1.72
- Expected Daily: 1.10
- Expected Monthly: 25.86
- Expected Yearly: 1,480.58
- Kelly Criterion: 13.10
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.12
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -5.20
- Last Trade Date: 2024-12-09 21:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 9
- Number Winning Trades 228
- Max Consecutive Losses: 6
- Number Losing Trades: 215
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -10.08
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.34
- Payoff Ratio: 1.28
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.34
- Tail Ratio: 1.52
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.11
- Serenity Index: 823.39
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 5126.96% |
CAGR | 300.49% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.622 |
Sortino Ratio | 2.59 |
Profit Factor | 1.34 |
Maximum Drawdown | 32.44% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 78.45% |
The strategy shows robust returns with a net profit of 5126.96% and a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 300.49%. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.622 is above the threshold for a good performance in the crypto markets, which is promising for risk-adjusted returns. With a Maximum Drawdown of 32.44%, the strategy remains within the acceptable range, especially in the volatile crypto market.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy appears to be viable for real-world trading under the observed market conditions. Its performance matches industry benchmarks, especially with higher returns and risk-adjusted measures like the Sharpe and Sortino ratios. Given the unpredictable nature of the crypto market, consistent performance with a profit factor above 1 is beneficial. Assessing the strategy's robustness under varying market conditions will provide a more comprehensive understanding of its viability.
Risk Management
Effective risk management is indicated by the average drawdown of 7.72 days and no recorded margin calls. Nevertheless, the annualized volatility at 78.45% suggests opportunities for optimizing risk management. Considerations include:
- Optimizing position sizing to better align with market volatility and reducing leverage without affecting overall returns.
- Implementing more sophisticated stop-loss mechanisms to limit potential losses efficiently.
- Diversifying trading instruments to spread risk and minimize unsystematic factors.
Improvement Suggestions
To further enhance the strategy’s performance and competitiveness, consider exploring:
- Refining strategy parameters to enhance profitability while maintaining the drawdown within an acceptable range.
- Incorporating additional technical indicators to optimize trade entry and exit decisions, possibly increasing win rates.
- Conducting extensive out-of-sample testing to evaluate the strategy’s adaptability to different market regimes.
- Improving the risk management framework to address high volatility, such as using stress tests and VaR models.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy demonstrates strong performance with impressive returns and satisfactory risk-adjusted metrics. While volatility is high, the strategy sustains a manageable drawdown, showcasing effective downside protection for a crypto trading setup.
Recommendation: Proceed with the strategy while focusing on further optimizations and validations. Implement suggested enhancements to bolster robustness and adapt risk management to better handle elevated market volatility.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 8.06% | 0.80% | 18.28% | 7.16% | 19.36% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 1.39% | 3.19% | -1.64% | 4.80% | -5.44% | 20.43% | 6.66% | 18.37% | 28.87% | 14.74% | -15.56% | 7.50% |
2022 | -6.05% | 7.75% | 7.70% | 64.43% | 24.08% | 59.05% | 28.60% | 6.28% | -25.69% | 23.37% | 28.84% | 13.02% |
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 45.31% |
Live Trades Stats
RUNE
Base Currency
98
Number of Trades
86.13%
Cumulative Returns
46.94%
Win Rate
2024-04-16
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
32.7%
30 Days
24.63%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 3,272,183.14 USD | 3,272.18 | 1,174,375.62 USD | 1,174.38 | 2,097,807.52 USD | 2,097.81 |
Gross Profit | 11,376,330.83 | 11,376.33 | 5,516,082.72 | 5,516.08 | 5,860,248.11 | 5,860.25 |
Gross Loss | 8,104,147.69 | 8,104.15 | 4,341,707.10 | 4,341.71 | 3,762,440.59 | 3,762.44 |
Max Run-up | 3,473,214.95 | 97.59 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 929,261.62 | 32.44 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −35,024.80 | −35.02 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.634 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.668 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.404 | 1.27 | 1.558 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 1,683,096 | 1,683,096 | 1,659,490 | |||
Open PL | 27,074.90 | 0.80 | ||||
Commission Paid | 350,246.76 | 186,434.27 | 163,812.49 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 346 | 181 | 165 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 182 | 97 | 85 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 164 | 84 | 80 | |||
Percent Profitable | 52.60 | 53.59 | 51.52 | |||
Avg Trade | 9,457.18 | 1.14 | 6,488.26 | 1.16 | 12,713.98 | 1.11 |
Avg Winning Trade | 62,507.31 | 5.59 | 56,866.83 | 5.33 | 68,944.10 | 5.89 |
Avg Losing Trade | 49,415.53 | 3.81 | 51,686.99 | 3.65 | 47,030.51 | 3.97 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.265 | 1.1 | 1.466 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 240,900.96 | 7.97 | 199,488.96 | 7.48 | 240,900.96 | 7.97 |
Largest Losing Trade | 173,575.66 | 5.74 | 173,575.66 | 5.11 | 163,405.85 | 5.74 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 21 | 17 | 25 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 22 | 18 | 27 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 19 | 16 | 22 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 6,939,022.16 USD | 6,939.02 | 2,987,131.73 USD | 2,987.13 | 3,951,890.43 USD | 3,951.89 |
Gross Profit | 24,311,884.61 | 24,311.88 | 12,433,630.82 | 12,433.63 | 11,878,253.79 | 11,878.25 |
Gross Loss | 17,372,862.45 | 17,372.86 | 9,446,499.09 | 9,446.50 | 7,926,363.36 | 7,926.36 |
Max Run-up | 7,410,096.32 | 98.85 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1,598,015.05 | 32.44 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −26,414.85 | −26.41 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.624 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.471 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.399 | 1.316 | 1.499 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 1,696,885 | 1,683,096 | 1,696,885 | |||
Open PL | 316,324.61 | 4.49 | ||||
Commission Paid | 713,543.20 | 388,252.56 | 325,290.64 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 443 | 234 | 209 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 228 | 122 | 106 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 215 | 112 | 103 | |||
Percent Profitable | 51.47 | 52.14 | 50.72 | |||
Avg Trade | 15,663.71 | 1.08 | 12,765.52 | 1.08 | 18,908.57 | 1.08 |
Avg Winning Trade | 106,631.07 | 5.69 | 101,915.01 | 5.45 | 112,059.00 | 5.96 |
Avg Losing Trade | 80,804.01 | 3.81 | 84,343.74 | 3.68 | 76,954.98 | 3.94 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.32 | 1.208 | 1.456 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 527,579.86 | 7.97 | 527,579.86 | 7.48 | 499,209.90 | 7.97 |
Largest Losing Trade | 364,522.49 | 5.74 | 355,243.37 | 5.11 | 364,522.49 | 5.74 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 21 | 18 | 24 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 23 | 19 | 27 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 19 | 16 | 21 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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