Stiff Zone by @DaviddTech 🤖 [f442b280]
🛡️ STIFFZONE MNTUSDT 15M 16.4
@ykot90
⌛15 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 26 mins agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2023-10-08 16:15:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.77
- Sortino Ratio: 2.47
- Calmar: -1.61
- Longest DD Days: 47.00
- Volatility: 9.76
- Skew: 0.00
- Kurtosis: 0.00
- Expected Daily: 0.05
- Expected Monthly: 1.11
- Expected Yearly: 14.13
- Kelly Criterion: 0.00
- Risk of Ruin: 0.00
- Daily Value-at-Risk: 0.00
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): 0.00
- Last Trade Date: 2024-10-15 12:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 0
- Number Winning Trades 62
- Max Consecutive Losses: 0
- Number Losing Trades: 110
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.61
- Gain/Pain (1M): 0.00
- Payoff Ratio: 0.00
- Common Sense Ratio: 0.00
- Tail Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.00
- Serenity Index: 0.00
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several key performance metrics stand out:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 1859.79% |
Gross Profit | 6796.81% |
Gross Loss | 4937.02% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.782 |
Sortino Ratio | 2.52 |
Profit Factor | 1.377 |
Maximum Drawdown | 48.28% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 9.78% |
Win Rate | 36.26% |
Annualized Return | 14.63% |
The strategy achieves a notable net profit of 1859.79%, with an impressive gross profit relative to the gross loss. The Sharpe ratio of 0.782 indicates good risk-adjusted returns for a crypto environment. With a Profit Factor of 1.377, the strategy generates $1.377 for every $1 lost, which is reasonable.
Strategy Viability
The strategy appears viable for real-world trading given the effective risk-return profile provided. It operates with a Sharpe ratio above the acceptable threshold and maintains profitability despite a lower win rate, attributing success to its favorable average return per trade. Although the maximum drawdown of 48.28% is above the optimal level for crypto trading, this can be addressed with further risk management strategies, like leveraging less.
Risk Management
Risk management is crucial given the strategy's maximum drawdown. While the volatility is relatively low at 9.78%, indicating stable returns, reducing leverage can mitigate high drawdowns. Additionally, incorporating robust stop-loss mechanisms and diversifying trading instruments could enhance risk control.
- Adjust leverage to decrease maximum drawdown naturally.
- Consider implementing stricter stop-loss strategies.
- Explore trading a diversified portfolio to reduce exposure to any single market.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize the strategy parameters to improve the Sharpe ratio and reduce drawdowns.
- Incorporate additional technical indicators to enhance trade signal accuracy.
- Conduct stress testing and scenario analysis to ensure resilience under different market conditions.
- Explore dynamic position sizing to leverage based on volatility forecasts.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy showcases strong potential with substantial profitability and reasonable risk-adjusted returns. However, attention should be given to high drawdowns and risk management enhancements. By implementing further improvements and continuing to optimize the strategy, its performance can be significantly elevated.
Recommendation: Proceed with additional optimization and testing. Implement risk management enhancements to address identified vulnerabilities, ensuring the strategy remains robust across fluctuating market conditions.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 91.05% | 47.20% | 101.31% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2023 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 64.99% | 33.83% | 27.43% |
Live Trades Stats
MNT
Base Currency
86
Number of Trades
12.27%
Cumulative Returns
24.42%
Win Rate
2024-04-16
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-37.6%
30 Days
1.02%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 10,202.53 USD | 2,040.51 | 9,600.26 USD | 1,920.05 | 602.27 USD | 120.45 |
Gross Profit | 13,194.59 | 2,638.92 | 11,132.08 | 2,226.42 | 2,062.51 | 412.50 |
Gross Loss | 2,992.06 | 598.41 | 1,531.82 | 306.36 | 1,460.24 | 292.05 |
Max Run-up | 12,739.79 | 96.25 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 599.76 | 21.15 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 980.74 | 196.15 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 1.917 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | N/A | |||||
Profit Factor | 4.41 | 7.267 | 1.412 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 20,917 | 18,515 | 20,917 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 404.93 | 230.47 | 174.46 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 86 | 47 | 39 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 41 | 24 | 17 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 45 | 23 | 22 | |||
Percent Profitable | 47.67 | 51.06 | 43.59 | |||
Avg Trade | 118.63 | 1.79 | 204.26 | 2.86 | 15.44 | 0.51 |
Avg Winning Trade | 321.82 | 4.97 | 463.84 | 6.69 | 121.32 | 2.54 |
Avg Losing Trade | 66.49 | 1.10 | 66.60 | 1.14 | 66.37 | 1.07 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 4.84 | 6.964 | 1.828 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 4,557.47 | 41.95 | 4,557.47 | 41.95 | 389.84 | 8.87 |
Largest Losing Trade | 294.00 | 2.67 | 209.68 | 2.67 | 294.00 | 2.27 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 67 | 74 | 59 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 114 | 124 | 100 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 25 | 22 | 27 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 9,031.21 USD | 1,806.24 | 4,116.32 USD | 823.26 | 4,914.88 USD | 982.98 |
Gross Profit | 33,984.06 | 6,796.81 | 15,545.37 | 3,109.07 | 18,438.69 | 3,687.74 |
Gross Loss | 24,952.86 | 4,990.57 | 11,429.05 | 2,285.81 | 13,523.81 | 2,704.76 |
Max Run-up | 19,944.28 | 97.57 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 6,703.46 | 48.28 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 317.87 | 63.57 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.774 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.474 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.362 | 1.36 | 1.363 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 68,639 | 63,450 | 68,639 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 2,172.29 | 1,001.27 | 1,171.02 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 172 | 85 | 87 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 62 | 32 | 30 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 110 | 53 | 57 | |||
Percent Profitable | 36.05 | 37.65 | 34.48 | |||
Avg Trade | 52.51 | 0.92 | 48.43 | 1.33 | 56.49 | 0.53 |
Avg Winning Trade | 548.13 | 4.70 | 485.79 | 5.56 | 614.62 | 3.79 |
Avg Losing Trade | 226.84 | 1.20 | 215.64 | 1.22 | 237.26 | 1.19 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.416 | 2.253 | 2.591 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 4,557.47 | 41.95 | 4,557.47 | 41.95 | 3,648.48 | 19.68 |
Largest Losing Trade | 1,350.54 | 3.37 | 757.36 | 2.67 | 1,350.54 | 3.37 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 62 | 65 | 60 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 118 | 125 | 111 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 31 | 29 | 33 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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