StiffTrend by @DaviddTech 🤖 [1c043c48]
🛡️ STIFFTREND RUNEUSDT 30M 16.4
@ykot90
⌛30 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-12-09 02:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.56
- Sortino Ratio: 1.75
- Calmar: -1.09
- Longest DD Days: 96.00
- Volatility: 19.62
- Skew: 1.22
- Kurtosis: 5.96
- Expected Daily: 0.12
- Expected Monthly: 2.49
- Expected Yearly: 34.27
- Kelly Criterion: 13.75
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -1.61
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -2.38
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-26 02:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 7
- Number Winning Trades 249
- Max Consecutive Losses: 9
- Number Losing Trades: 238
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.09
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.37
- Payoff Ratio: 1.30
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.37
- Tail Ratio: 1.37
- Outlier Win Ratio: 4.75
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 5.19
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.05
- Serenity Index: 3.98
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several key performance metrics provide insights into the strategy's effectiveness:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
CAGR (Compounded Annual Growth Rate) | 18.32% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.563 |
Profit Factor | 1.381 |
Maximum Drawdown | -50.43% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 19.54% |
Percent Profitable | 51.24% |
Gain/Pain Ratio | 1.41 |
The strategy shows a moderate annual growth rate at 18.32% with a Sharpe ratio slightly above 0.5, indicating acceptable risk-adjusted returns. The profit factor of 1.381 suggests the strategy is profitable, but there's room for improvement. A maximum drawdown of -50.43% highlights an area for attention, suggesting the need for enhanced risk management.
Strategy Viability
This strategy demonstrates potential viability for real-world trading but requires adjustments. While it operates with over 50% profitable trades and a decent Sharpe ratio, its high drawdown poses a concern. The strategy seems to perform reasonably well in various conditions, but optimizing its parameters could improve outcomes in the face of persistent market conditions.
Risk Management
The strategy utilizes basic risk management protocols but has evident high drawdown risks. Suggestions for improvement include:
- Reducing leverage to help lessen potential drawdowns.
- Implementing tighter stop-loss measures to curtail losses more effectively.
- Incorporating comprehensive volatility management techniques to stabilize returns.
Improvement Suggestions
Several measures can be implemented to bolster the strategy's performance:
- Optimizing leverage and position sizing can help control drawdowns and improve risk management.
- Testing different combinations of technical indicators to refine entry and exit points.
- Engaging in rigorous back-testing across diverse conditions to ensure robustness.
- Considering stress testing to understand how the strategy might react under severe market conditions.
Final Opinion
In summary, this trading strategy shows promise, delivering reasonable profitability and decent risk-adjusted returns. However, the high maximum drawdown underscores a critical need for improved risk management. Fine-tuning leverage and integrating more sophisticated risk mitigation approaches are necessary for successful implementation.
Recommendation: Proceed by focusing on refining risk management components and testing new combinations of trading signals. Addressing the drawdown issue should be prioritized to ensure this strategy's validity and robustness in real-world trading scenarios.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 32.39% |
2022 | 40.19% | -13.16% | 31.56% | -6.10% | 1.84% | 13.58% | 12.72% | -13.07% | -13.61% | 4.51% | 6.67% | -6.08% |
2023 | 7.86% | 18.25% | 5.86% | 4.81% | 13.37% | 27.26% | 14.72% | 27.02% | 24.20% | 38.03% | 46.31% | 35.40% |
2024 | 39.68% | -2.51% | 59.04% | 28.09% | 27.01% | 25.04% | -35.01% | 9.25% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
RUNE
Base Currency
143
Number of Trades
143.24%
Cumulative Returns
46.85%
Win Rate
2024-04-16
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
3.6%
30 Days
152%
60 Days
102.02%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 176.16 | 0.73 | ||||
Net Profit | 23541.56 | 4708.31 | 9966.16 | 1993.23 | 13575.4 | 2715.08 |
Gross Profit | 47827.26 | 9565.45 | 25297.37 | 5059.47 | 22529.89 | 4505.98 |
Gross Loss | 24285.7 | 4857.14 | 15331.21 | 3066.24 | 8954.49 | 1790.9 |
Commission Paid | 1382.46 | 846.21 | 536.25 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -164.18 | -32.84 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 25121.52 | 98.05 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 2215.99 | 48.2 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 7045.0 | 4874.0 | 7045.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 345.0 | 200.0 | 145.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 182.0 | 112.0 | 70.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 163.0 | 88.0 | 75.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 52.75 | 56.0 | 48.28 | |||
Avg P&l | 68.24 | 0.89 | 49.83 | 1.06 | 93.62 | 0.65 |
Avg Winning Trade | 262.79 | 4.54 | 225.87 | 4.34 | 321.86 | 4.85 |
Avg Losing Trade | 148.99 | 3.19 | 174.22 | 3.11 | 119.39 | 3.28 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.764 | 1.296 | 2.696 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 2573.86 | 1769.76 | 2573.86 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 9.51 | 9.25 | 9.51 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 1682.43 | 1601.36 | 1682.43 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 7.07 | 7.07 | 7.05 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 31.0 | 22.0 | 44.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 29.0 | 19.0 | 46.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 33.0 | 26.0 | 41.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.751 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.99 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.969 | 1.65 | 2.516 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | -1310.1 | -1.81 | ||||
Net Profit | 71820.31 | 14364.06 | 22501.41 | 4500.28 | 49318.9 | 9863.78 |
Gross Profit | 276090.37 | 55218.07 | 136622.1 | 27324.42 | 139468.26 | 27893.65 |
Gross Loss | 204270.06 | 40854.01 | 114120.7 | 22824.14 | 90149.36 | 18029.87 |
Commission Paid | 8672.71 | 4843.88 | 3828.83 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -417.84 | -83.57 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 101594.22 | 99.51 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 29671.34 | 50.43 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 111091.0 | 103778.0 | 111091.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 487.0 | 278.0 | 209.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 249.0 | 148.0 | 101.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 238.0 | 130.0 | 108.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 51.13 | 53.24 | 48.33 | |||
Avg P&l | 147.47 | 0.82 | 80.94 | 0.87 | 235.98 | 0.77 |
Avg Winning Trade | 1108.8 | 4.76 | 923.12 | 4.46 | 1380.87 | 5.19 |
Avg Losing Trade | 858.28 | 3.29 | 877.85 | 3.23 | 834.72 | 3.37 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.292 | 1.052 | 1.654 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 13019.25 | 11202.49 | 13019.25 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 10.41 | 10.3 | 10.41 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 8218.86 | 6964.19 | 8218.86 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 7.07 | 7.07 | 7.05 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 32.0 | 24.0 | 42.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 32.0 | 22.0 | 46.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 31.0 | 27.0 | 37.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.558 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.748 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.352 | 1.197 | 1.547 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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