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DaviddTech
Traders should know
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  • Free Indicators
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    • Documentation
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ykot90 stifftrend runeusdt 30m 16.4

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TREND FOLOWING 30 minutes @ykot90
● Live

StiffTrend by @DaviddTech 🤖 [1c043c48]

🛡️ STIFFTREND RUNEUSDT 30M 16.4

Trading Pair
RUNE
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - May 9, 2024
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 2 weeks ago
Total Return Primary
151.54%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
44.44%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.127
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-1.11%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
198
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 4, 2025
454
Days
198
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 22, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2025-01-04 17:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.29
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.55
  • Calmar: -1.02
  • Longest DD Days: 100.00
  • Volatility: 1.10
  • Skew: 0.44
  • Kurtosis: -0.69
  • Expected Daily: 0.00
  • Expected Monthly: 0.08
  • Expected Yearly: 0.95
  • Kelly Criterion: 4.76
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.08
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.10
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-22 10:39:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 7
  • Number Winning Trades 88
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 9
  • Number Losing Trades: 110
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.02
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.12
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.41
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.12
  • Tail Ratio: 1.29
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.49
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.66
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 0.70

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+1.60%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.64%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-0.41%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+1.41%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-0.98%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+3.32%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+5.45%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-6.47%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
44.7%
Total Trades
199
Cumulative
-1.11%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
80.60%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2025
-3.07%
+27.97%
Simple P&L
+2.55%
+59.18%
Simple P&L
-1.29%
-12.86%
Simple P&L
-0.40%
+3.47%
Simple P&L
-1.79%
-4.22%
Simple P&L
+1.23%
-0.36%
Simple P&L
+1.79%
+12.92%
Simple P&L
-0.57%
+2.92%
Simple P&L
+0.41%
-2.06%
Simple P&L
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2026
••••
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••••
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

199

Number of Trades

-1.11%

Cumulative Returns

44.72%

Win Rate

2024-04-16

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-0.98%

30 Days

5.45%

60 Days

3.32%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital500
Open P&l14.261.13
Net Profit757.69151.54-633.37-126.671391.06278.21
Gross Profit6703.731340.752929.52585.93774.21754.84
Gross Loss5946.041189.213562.89712.582383.15476.63
Expected Payoff3.83-6.0314.96
Commission Paid469.1252.2216.9
Buy & Hold Return-459.5-91.9
Buy & Hold % Gain-91.9
Strategy Outperformance1217.19
Max Contracts Held47084655.04708.0
Annualized Return (cagr)112.970.0197.51
Return On Initial Capital151.54-126.67278.21
Account Size Required643.05
Return On Account Size Required117.83-98.49216.32
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)25 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)339.267.84
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)581.7116.34
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)1307.6472.88
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)261.53
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)55 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)430.1186.02
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.2-0.962.19
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)627.82125.56
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)643.0536.47
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)128.61
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss527.02-513.84967.58
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.356.635.95
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.423.466.03
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades198.0105.093.0
Number Winning Trades88.041.047.0
Number Losing Trades110.064.046.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable44.4439.0550.54
Avg P&l3.830.4-6.03-0.1114.960.98
Avg Winning Trade76.184.2171.453.980.34.49
Avg Losing Trade54.052.6455.672.6851.812.6
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.4091.2831.55
Largest Winning Trade224.69194.14224.69
Largest Winning Trade Percent10.3210.2510.32
Largest Losing Trade143.77123.26143.77
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.145.056.14
Avg # Bars In Trades30.029.032.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades34.030.037.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades27.028.026.0
Sharpe Ratio0.289
Sortino Ratio1.55
Profit Factor1.1270.8221.584
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital500
Open P&l12.881.02
Net Profit757.69151.54-633.37-126.671391.06278.21
Gross Profit6703.731340.752929.52585.93774.21754.84
Gross Loss5946.041189.213562.89712.582383.15476.63
Expected Payoff3.83-6.0314.96
Commission Paid469.1252.2216.9
Buy & Hold Return-459.47-91.89
Buy & Hold % Gain-91.89
Strategy Outperformance1217.16
Max Contracts Held47084655.04708.0
Annualized Return (cagr)112.970.0197.51
Return On Initial Capital151.54-126.67278.21
Account Size Required643.05
Return On Account Size Required117.83-98.49216.32
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)25 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)339.267.84
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)581.7116.34
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)1307.6472.88
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)261.53
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)55 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)430.1186.02
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.2-0.962.18
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)627.82125.56
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)643.0536.47
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)128.61
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss527.02-513.84967.58
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.356.635.95
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.423.466.03
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades198.0105.093.0
Number Winning Trades88.041.047.0
Number Losing Trades110.064.046.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable44.4439.0550.54
Avg P&l3.830.4-6.03-0.1114.960.98
Avg Winning Trade76.184.2171.453.980.34.49
Avg Losing Trade54.052.6455.672.6851.812.6
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.4091.2831.55
Largest Winning Trade224.69194.14224.69
Largest Winning Trade Percent10.3210.2510.32
Largest Losing Trade143.77123.26143.77
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.145.056.14
Avg # Bars In Trades30.029.032.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades34.030.037.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades27.028.026.0
Sharpe Ratio0.289
Sortino Ratio1.548
Profit Factor1.1270.8221.584
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that require our attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 151.54%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 112.97%
Sharpe Ratio 0.289
Profit Factor 1.127
Maximum Drawdown (intra-bar) 36.47%
Volatility (Annualized) 110%
Percent Profitable 44.44%

The results indicate a healthy cumulative return of 151.54% and a strong annualized return of 112.97%. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.289 suggests there might be room for improvement in terms of risk-adjusted performance. The maximum drawdown is within acceptable limits at 36.47%, indicating the strategy's resilience. The profit factor of 1.127 demonstrates the strategy's capability to generate more gains than losses.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, the strategy exhibits potential for real-world adaptation, particularly given its robust annualized return. While the Sharpe Ratio below 0.5 is a slight concern, the strategy appears favorable due to its outperformance compared to the buy & hold benchmark, which is at -91.89%. Identifying scenarios where it capitalizes on prevailing market trends could amplify its viability.

Risk Management

Despite certain strengths in the strategy's design, its risk management could be improved. The existing maximum drawdown and volatility levels suggest that further refinements in risk mechanisms could enhance stability and returns. Considerations for enhancement include:

  • Implementing more conservative position sizing or reducing leverage to mitigate potential high drawdowns.
  • Incorporating dynamic stop-loss orders to protect against adverse market moves.

Improvement Suggestions

To bolster the strategy’s performance and strengthen its robustness, the following recommendations are proposed:

  • Optimizing strategy parameters to better align with current market conditions, thereby enhancing overall performance.
  • Incorporating additional technical indicators to bolster trade signals and improve entry and exit points.
  • Conducting extensive out-of-sample and forward-testing to validate the strategy across different market environments.
  • Exploring advanced risk management techniques, such as Value-at-Risk, to fine-tune leverage and exposure levels.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy reflects a promising foundation with commendable performance metrics. Nonetheless, there's significant room for optimization, especially in its risk management and Sharpe Ratio. It's important to consider these enhancement opportunities seriously to enhance robustness and adaptability.

Recommendation: Proceed with cautious optimism, focusing on testing and refining key strategy components. Incorporating recommended improvements can leverage the strategy's strengths, minimize risks, and realize its full potential as a viable trading approach.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
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Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

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