StiffTrend by @DaviddTech 🤖 [2fa1db12]
🛡️ STIFFTREND RUNEUSDT 30M 7.05
@traderdev
⌛30 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-12-09 02:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.57
- Sortino Ratio: 2.63
- Calmar: -1.79
- Longest DD Days: 49.00
- Volatility: 2.89
- Skew: 0.24
- Kurtosis: 2.12
- Expected Daily: 0.02
- Expected Monthly: 0.46
- Expected Yearly: 5.64
- Kelly Criterion: 17.89
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.27
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.39
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-26 02:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 11
- Number Winning Trades 335
- Max Consecutive Losses: 6
- Number Losing Trades: 237
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.79
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.44
- Payoff Ratio: 1.01
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.44
- Tail Ratio: 1.26
- Outlier Win Ratio: 3.96
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.86
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.00
- Serenity Index: 8.28
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, a detailed evaluation of the key performance metrics reveals valuable insights into the strategy's performance:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 2777.46% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 3.99% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.575 |
Profit Factor | 1.459 |
Maximum Drawdown | 29.04% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 2.87% |
The strategy achieves an impressive cumulative return of 2777.46%, indicating substantial growth over the evaluation period. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.575 signifies good risk-adjusted returns, particularly noteworthy in the volatile crypto markets. The maximum drawdown of 29.04% is within acceptable limits, emphasizing effective risk management. A profit factor of 1.459 suggests that for every $1 lost, $1.46 is gained, validating profitability.
Strategy Viability
Based on the available data, this strategy demonstrates significant viability for real-world trading in crypto markets. Despite the modest annualized return (CAGR), the strategy's performance is commendable in a market with an inherent high risk. The observed market conditions seem to favor the strategy's approach, enhancing its potential for future application.
Risk Management
The strategy's risk management mechanisms appear robust, as evidenced by the acceptable maximum drawdown and a favorable gain-pain ratio. Potential improvements could further solidify risk resilience:
- Utilizing less leverage could reduce drawdowns and further stabilize equity curves.
- Implementing adaptive position sizing tied to market volatility could enhance risk exposure control.
- Exploring additional stop-loss techniques to better cap potential losses.
Improvement Suggestions
To augment the strategy’s performance and resilience, consider these recommendations:
- Refine parameter optimization for better return-risk balance.
- Introduce diverse technical indicators to refine entry and exit strategies.
- Conduct comprehensive out-of-sample testing to confirm robustness across diverse market conditions.
- Adopt advanced risk management tools like Value-at-Risk (VaR) and conduct periodic stress tests.
Final Opinion
In conclusion, the strategy showcases strong performance potential, highlighted by high cumulative returns and effective risk-adjusted metrics. Despite the achievable volatility, it maintains an acceptable drawdown level. However, refinement and further validation are essential to affirm its robustness in fluctuating market conditions.
Recommendation: Continue with more extensive testing and strategic optimization. Adopt proposed improvements to enhance robustness and tailor the risk management framework to adeptly navigate high market volatility. This strategy is on the path to success with committed enhancement efforts.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -3.96% |
2022 | 29.93% | -6.59% | 13.56% | -2.48% | 17.72% | 5.95% | 16.77% | -6.63% | -0.52% | 3.27% | 6.82% | 7.74% |
2023 | 10.97% | 14.27% | -1.13% | -0.96% | 6.58% | 15.35% | 6.23% | 19.76% | 18.77% | 9.84% | 19.10% | 20.02% |
2024 | 25.32% | -2.55% | 21.49% | 17.07% | 12.49% | 10.86% | -9.75% | -1.17% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
RUNE
Base Currency
158
Number of Trades
87.73%
Cumulative Returns
55.06%
Win Rate
2024-05-07
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
11.74%
30 Days
135.28%
60 Days
70.77%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 5870.63 | 1174.13 | 3775.47 | 755.09 | 2095.16 | 419.03 |
Gross Profit | 15850.76 | 3170.15 | 9182.4 | 1836.48 | 6668.36 | 1333.67 |
Gross Loss | 9980.13 | 1996.03 | 5406.93 | 1081.39 | 4573.2 | 914.64 |
Commission Paid | 627.39 | 378.55 | 248.84 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -146.42 | -29.28 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 6257.23 | 93.29 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 724.07 | 24.08 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 1810.0 | 1705.0 | 1810.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 415.0 | 237.0 | 178.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 248.0 | 149.0 | 99.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 167.0 | 88.0 | 79.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 59.76 | 62.87 | 55.62 | |||
Avg P&l | 14.15 | 0.67 | 15.93 | 0.88 | 11.77 | 0.39 |
Avg Winning Trade | 63.91 | 3.28 | 61.63 | 3.19 | 67.36 | 3.41 |
Avg Losing Trade | 59.76 | 3.19 | 61.44 | 3.02 | 57.89 | 3.39 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.069 | 1.003 | 1.164 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 400.23 | 317.38 | 400.23 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 8.94 | 5.46 | 8.94 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 303.35 | 303.35 | 290.56 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.12 | 5.12 | 5.11 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 19.0 | 15.0 | 25.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 18.0 | 14.0 | 23.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 21.0 | 16.0 | 27.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.862 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 3.793 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.588 | 1.698 | 1.458 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | -167.24 | -1.21 | ||||
Net Profit | 13351.05 | 2670.21 | 6396.18 | 1279.24 | 6954.87 | 1390.97 |
Gross Profit | 44462.77 | 8892.55 | 22572.41 | 4514.48 | 21890.36 | 4378.07 |
Gross Loss | 31111.73 | 6222.35 | 16176.24 | 3235.25 | 14935.49 | 2987.1 |
Commission Paid | 1692.74 | 926.8 | 765.94 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -417.84 | -83.57 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 14682.98 | 97.03 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 2456.1 | 29.04 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 13493.0 | 11547.0 | 13493.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 572.0 | 319.0 | 253.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 335.0 | 194.0 | 141.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 237.0 | 125.0 | 112.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 58.57 | 60.82 | 55.73 | |||
Avg P&l | 23.34 | 0.64 | 20.05 | 0.77 | 27.49 | 0.48 |
Avg Winning Trade | 132.72 | 3.42 | 116.35 | 3.27 | 155.25 | 3.61 |
Avg Losing Trade | 131.27 | 3.28 | 129.41 | 3.11 | 133.35 | 3.46 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.011 | 0.899 | 1.164 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 774.86 | 636.47 | 774.86 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 8.94 | 5.46 | 8.94 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 697.31 | 697.31 | 625.1 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.12 | 5.12 | 5.11 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 20.0 | 16.0 | 24.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 19.0 | 16.0 | 23.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 21.0 | 18.0 | 25.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.568 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.629 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.429 | 1.395 | 1.466 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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