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tomnoodles7 trendhooV5 btcusdt 2h 28.05

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TREND FOLOWING 2 hours @tomnoodles7
● Live

🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [17e9c667]

🛡️ TRENDHOOV5 BTCUSDT 2H 28.05

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - June 5, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 1 month ago
Total Return Primary
317.1%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
41.69%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.312
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
1.49%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
307
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Feb 22, 2021
1,892
Days
307
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 22, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-02-22 13:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.37
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.80
  • Calmar: -1.92
  • Longest DD Days: 87.00
  • Volatility: 49.41
  • Skew: 0.49
  • Kurtosis: -1.38
  • Expected Daily: 0.52
  • Expected Monthly: 11.58
  • Expected Yearly: 272.49
  • Kelly Criterion: 9.71
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -2.85
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -2.88
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-22 07:56:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 5
  • Number Winning Trades 128
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 8
  • Number Losing Trades: 179
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.92
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.31
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.84
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.31
  • Tail Ratio: 1.89
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.07
  • Serenity Index: 12.36

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+2.52%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+2.14%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+3,453,788.46%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+1,289,137.23%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+7,692,870.57%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
97.1%
Total Trades
308
Cumulative
-0.89%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
56,345,305.24%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2021
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-5.55%
+1,439.59%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+12,065.33%
Simple P&L
+1.90%
-16,849.48%
Simple P&L
+1.44%
-2,214.60%
Simple P&L
+0.45%
+27,342.63%
Simple P&L
-3.17%
+39,781.54%
Simple P&L
+1.55%
+29,217.32%
Simple P&L
-2.33%
+35,830.82%
Simple P&L
+2.00%
+120,775.98%
Simple P&L
+0.09%
+83,098.42%
Simple P&L
+2.50%
+62,375.15%
Simple P&L
2022
+0.39%
+190,431.01%
Simple P&L
-4.40%
+179,462.10%
Simple P&L
+2.80%
+118,962.89%
Simple P&L
-0.27%
+205,706.52%
Simple P&L
-0.80%
+203,717.54%
Simple P&L
-0.55%
+275,577.36%
Simple P&L
+1.37%
+242,838.29%
Simple P&L
+1.04%
+219,584.62%
Simple P&L
-2.98%
+541,733.94%
Simple P&L
+3.20%
+416,427.64%
Simple P&L
-0.26%
+593,409.72%
Simple P&L
-0.85%
+204,413.64%
Simple P&L
2023
-0.43%
+548,445.68%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+642,936.45%
Simple P&L
-0.31%
+900,898.18%
Simple P&L
+0.67%
+1,118,535.75%
Simple P&L
+0.71%
+903,126.22%
Simple P&L
+0.24%
+689,727.84%
Simple P&L
+0.85%
+325,188.29%
Simple P&L
-1.66%
+1,566,414.38%
Simple P&L
+0.97%
+1,031,729.89%
Simple P&L
-1.60%
+1,281,992.09%
Simple P&L
+0.51%
+859,430.41%
Simple P&L
+0.35%
+1,307,576.93%
Simple P&L
2024
+2.05%
+1,430,973.55%
Simple P&L
-2.09%
+698,074.82%
Simple P&L
-1.48%
+502,714.61%
Simple P&L
+3.01%
+1,223,048.34%
Simple P&L
-1.74%
+1,256,159.49%
Simple P&L
+1.66%
+1,066,516.82%
Simple P&L
-1.28%
+2,410,192.26%
Simple P&L
-0.04%
+1,518,008.39%
Simple P&L
+0.13%
+1,793,210.22%
Simple P&L
+0.74%
+2,065,772.99%
Simple P&L
-0.94%
+537,656.10%
Simple P&L
+1.29%
+1,339,764.15%
Simple P&L
2025
-0.31%
+1,994,929.58%
Simple P&L
-3.23%
+2,712,952.00%
Simple P&L
+3.13%
+1,350,851.77%
Simple P&L
+0.23%
+1,590,365.75%
Simple P&L
+0.91%
+2,889,447.76%
Simple P&L
+0.39%
+1,976,086.62%
Simple P&L
-1.41%
+1,483,669.07%
Simple P&L
-2.18%
+1,230,005.14%
Simple P&L
+1.20%
+1,726,351.41%
Simple P&L
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2026
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

308

Number of Trades

-0.89%

Cumulative Returns

97.08%

Win Rate

2024-05-28

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0%

30 Days

1289137.23%

60 Days

3453788.46%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l4383.691.05
Net Profit317099.98317.1177084.02177.08140015.96140.02
Gross Profit1333701.121333.7687761.86687.76645939.25645.94
Gross Loss1016601.141016.6510677.85510.68505923.29505.92
Expected Payoff1032.91113.74946.05
Commission Paid61597.4833940.8227656.65
Buy & Hold Return26328.7726.33
Buy & Hold % Gain26.33
Strategy Outperformance290771.21
Max Contracts Held1414.013.0
Annualized Return (cagr)31.4521.5518.25
Return On Initial Capital317.1177.08140.02
Account Size Required77859.53
Return On Account Size Required407.27227.44179.83
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)35 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)29977.5929.98
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)90169.1690.17
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)391705.5580.66
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)391.71
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)34 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)21864.1121.86
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown4.132.331.85
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)71242.3671.24
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)77859.5318.59
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)77.86
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss2384.791385.971053.01
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.793.023.69
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.312.52.63
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades307.0159.0148.0
Number Winning Trades128.066.062.0
Number Losing Trades179.093.086.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable41.6941.5141.89
Avg P&l1032.90.71113.740.57946.050.84
Avg Winning Trade10419.546.0410420.635.3910418.386.74
Avg Losing Trade5679.343.125491.162.855882.833.42
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.8351.8981.771
Largest Winning Trade23831.220772.8523831.2
Largest Winning Trade Percent15.6912.6715.69
Largest Losing Trade13296.7612776.8713296.76
Largest Losing Trade Percent7.415.187.41
Avg # Bars In Trades34.035.032.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades48.050.045.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades24.024.023.0
Sharpe Ratio0.365
Sortino Ratio0.796
Profit Factor1.3121.3471.277
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l4383.691.05
Net Profit317099.98317.1177084.02177.08140015.96140.02
Gross Profit1333701.121333.7687761.86687.76645939.25645.94
Gross Loss1016601.141016.6510677.85510.68505923.29505.92
Expected Payoff1032.91113.74946.05
Commission Paid61597.4833940.8227656.65
Buy & Hold Return26328.7726.33
Buy & Hold % Gain26.33
Strategy Outperformance290771.21
Max Contracts Held1414.013.0
Annualized Return (cagr)31.4521.5518.25
Return On Initial Capital317.1177.08140.02
Account Size Required77859.53
Return On Account Size Required407.27227.44179.83
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)35 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)29977.5929.98
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)90169.1690.17
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)391705.5580.66
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)391.71
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)34 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)21864.1121.86
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown4.132.331.85
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)71242.3671.24
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)77859.5318.59
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)77.86
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss2384.791385.971053.01
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.793.023.69
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.312.52.63
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades307.0159.0148.0
Number Winning Trades128.066.062.0
Number Losing Trades179.093.086.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable41.6941.5141.89
Avg P&l1032.90.71113.740.57946.050.84
Avg Winning Trade10419.546.0410420.635.3910418.386.74
Avg Losing Trade5679.343.125491.162.855882.833.42
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.8351.8981.771
Largest Winning Trade23831.220772.8523831.2
Largest Winning Trade Percent15.6912.6715.69
Largest Losing Trade13296.7612776.8713296.76
Largest Losing Trade Percent7.415.187.41
Avg # Bars In Trades34.035.032.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades48.050.045.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades24.024.023.0
Sharpe Ratio0.365
Sortino Ratio0.796
Profit Factor1.3121.3471.277
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

After reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 31.45%
Sharpe Ratio 0.365
Profit Factor 1.31
Maximum Drawdown (Intrabar %) -77.86%
Volatility (Annualized) 49.41%

The strategy yields a decent annualized return of 31.45%, which is quite robust. However, the Sharpe ratio at 0.365, although below the desired threshold of 0.5, suggests the potential for better risk-adjusted returns. The profit factor of 1.31 indicates the strategy is profitable, but there is room for better optimization. The maximum drawdown, particularly intrabar, is substantially high, indicating a need for improved risk management.

Strategy Viability

Given the metrics, the strategy currently presents challenges in terms of risk-adjusted performance, primarily due to the higher-than-preferred maximum drawdown. Yet, the positive annualized return and profit factor denote potential. The strategy seems to flourish in highly volatile environments; hence, assessing if such conditions will persist is essential in judging its future viability.

Risk Management

The significant maximum drawdown percentage highlights a critical area for risk management enhancement. Recommendations include:

  • Reducing leverage to decrease potential drawdowns while maintaining profitability.
  • Implementing more stringent stop-loss orders to mitigate significant losses.
  • Considering diversification across various crypto assets to minimize systemic risk exposure.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy’s performance and resilience, consider the following:

  • Optimize current trading parameters to achieve better results without increasing drawdown risks.
  • Integrate additional technical indicators or sentiment analysis to refine trade execution timing.
  • Conduct thorough out-of-sample testing to evaluate robustness across different market backdrops.
  • Focus on dynamic risk management frameworks, like scenario analysis and stress testing with various leverage levels.

Final Opinion

In summary, while the strategy poses considerable risks reflected by high drawdowns, it still demonstrates compelling potential with positive returns. Improvements in risk management and strategy optimization could bolster its overall performance and strengthen its standing in real-world applications.

Recommendation: Initiate a phase of detailed testing and optimization. Focus on reducing leverage and enhancing the risk management techniques to effectively handle volatility and improve Sharpe ratio metrics for a more resilient strategy.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

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Strategy Analysis Video

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