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tomnoodles7 trendhooV5 btcusdt 2h 28.05

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 2 hours @tomnoodles7
● Live

🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [17e9c667]

🛡️ TRENDHOOV5 BTCUSDT 2H 28.05

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - June 5, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +328035.4% Updated 4 hours ago
Total Return Primary
328.04%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
41.97%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.326
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-1.96%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
305
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Feb 22, 2021
1,842
Days
305
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 6, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-02-22 13:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.37
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.81
  • Calmar: -1.97
  • Longest DD Days: 87.00
  • Volatility: 49.60
  • Skew: 0.48
  • Kurtosis: -1.40
  • Expected Daily: 0.53
  • Expected Monthly: 11.82
  • Expected Yearly: 282.16
  • Kelly Criterion: 10.31
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -2.85
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -2.88
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-06 15:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 5
  • Number Winning Trades 128
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 8
  • Number Losing Trades: 177
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.97
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.33
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.83
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.33
  • Tail Ratio: 1.89
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.07
  • Serenity Index: 13.49

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-2.06%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-1.48%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-2.50%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-3.62%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+328,035.40%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+1,757,529.91%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+5,060,736.92%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+3,502,694.84%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+8,783,480.92%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
97.0%
Total Trades
305
Cumulative
-4.34%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
55,384,203.41%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2021
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-5.55%
+1,439.59%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+12,065.33%
Simple P&L
+1.90%
-16,849.48%
Simple P&L
+1.44%
-2,214.60%
Simple P&L
+0.45%
+27,342.63%
Simple P&L
-3.17%
+39,781.54%
Simple P&L
+1.55%
+29,217.32%
Simple P&L
-2.33%
+35,830.82%
Simple P&L
+2.00%
+120,775.98%
Simple P&L
+0.09%
+83,098.42%
Simple P&L
+2.50%
+62,375.15%
Simple P&L
2022
+0.39%
+190,431.01%
Simple P&L
-4.40%
+179,462.10%
Simple P&L
+2.80%
+118,962.89%
Simple P&L
+0.33%
+205,706.52%
Simple P&L
-0.80%
+203,717.54%
Simple P&L
-0.55%
+275,577.36%
Simple P&L
+1.37%
+242,838.29%
Simple P&L
+1.04%
+219,584.62%
Simple P&L
-2.98%
+541,733.94%
Simple P&L
+3.20%
+416,427.64%
Simple P&L
-0.26%
+593,409.72%
Simple P&L
-0.85%
+204,413.64%
Simple P&L
2023
-0.43%
+548,445.68%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+642,936.45%
Simple P&L
-0.31%
+900,898.18%
Simple P&L
+0.67%
+1,118,535.75%
Simple P&L
+0.71%
+903,126.22%
Simple P&L
+0.24%
+689,727.84%
Simple P&L
+0.85%
+325,188.29%
Simple P&L
-1.66%
+1,566,414.38%
Simple P&L
+0.97%
+1,031,729.89%
Simple P&L
-1.60%
+1,281,992.09%
Simple P&L
+0.51%
+859,430.41%
Simple P&L
+0.35%
+1,307,576.93%
Simple P&L
2024
+2.05%
+1,430,973.55%
Simple P&L
-2.09%
+698,074.82%
Simple P&L
-1.48%
+502,714.61%
Simple P&L
+3.01%
+1,223,048.34%
Simple P&L
-1.74%
+1,256,159.49%
Simple P&L
+1.66%
+1,066,516.82%
Simple P&L
-1.28%
+2,410,192.26%
Simple P&L
-0.04%
+1,518,008.39%
Simple P&L
+0.13%
+1,793,210.22%
Simple P&L
+0.74%
+2,065,772.99%
Simple P&L
-0.94%
+537,656.10%
Simple P&L
+1.29%
+1,339,764.15%
Simple P&L
2025
-0.31%
+1,994,929.58%
Simple P&L
-3.23%
+2,712,952.00%
Simple P&L
+3.13%
+1,350,851.77%
Simple P&L
+0.23%
+1,590,365.75%
Simple P&L
+0.91%
+2,889,447.76%
Simple P&L
+0.39%
+1,976,086.62%
Simple P&L
-1.41%
+1,483,669.07%
Simple P&L
-2.18%
+1,230,005.14%
Simple P&L
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2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

305

Number of Trades

-4.34%

Cumulative Returns

97.05%

Win Rate

2024-05-28

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

1757529.91%

30 Days

3502694.84%

60 Days

5060736.92%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit328035.4328.04187936.66187.94140098.74140.1
Gross Profit1333701.121333.7687761.86687.76645939.25645.94
Gross Loss1005665.721005.67499825.21499.83505840.51505.84
Expected Payoff1075.531197.05946.61
Commission Paid61121.3733547.527573.87
Buy & Hold Return27278.2827.28
Buy & Hold % Gain27.28
Strategy Outperformance300757.11
Max Contracts Held1414.013.0
Annualized Return (cagr)32.3222.5918.37
Return On Initial Capital328.04187.94140.1
Account Size Required77859.53
Return On Account Size Required421.32241.38179.94
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)35 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)29977.5929.98
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)90169.1690.17
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)391705.5580.66
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)391.71
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)34 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)21370.821.37
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown4.212.411.8
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)71242.3671.24
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)77859.5318.59
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)77.86
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss2467.031470.911053.63
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.793.023.69
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.322.562.63
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades305.0157.0148.0
Number Winning Trades128.066.062.0
Number Losing Trades177.091.086.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable41.9742.0441.89
Avg P&l1075.530.721197.050.61946.610.84
Avg Winning Trade10419.546.0410420.635.3910418.386.74
Avg Losing Trade5681.733.135492.582.855881.873.42
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.8341.8971.771
Largest Winning Trade23831.220772.8523831.2
Largest Winning Trade Percent15.6912.6715.69
Largest Losing Trade13296.7612776.8713296.76
Largest Losing Trade Percent7.415.187.41
Avg # Bars In Trades34.035.032.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades48.050.045.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades24.024.023.0
Sharpe Ratio0.37
Sortino Ratio0.812
Profit Factor1.3261.3761.277
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit328035.4328.04187936.66187.94140098.74140.1
Gross Profit1333701.121333.7687761.86687.76645939.25645.94
Gross Loss1005665.721005.67499825.21499.83505840.51505.84
Expected Payoff1075.531197.05946.61
Commission Paid61121.3733547.527573.87
Buy & Hold Return27278.2827.28
Buy & Hold % Gain27.28
Strategy Outperformance300757.11
Max Contracts Held1414.013.0
Annualized Return (cagr)32.3222.5918.37
Return On Initial Capital328.04187.94140.1
Account Size Required77859.53
Return On Account Size Required421.32241.38179.94
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)35 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)29977.5929.98
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)90169.1690.17
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)391705.5580.66
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)391.71
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)34 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)21370.821.37
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown4.212.411.8
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)71242.3671.24
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)77859.5318.59
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)77.86
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss2467.031470.911053.63
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.793.023.69
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.322.562.63
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades305.0157.0148.0
Number Winning Trades128.066.062.0
Number Losing Trades177.091.086.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable41.9742.0441.89
Avg P&l1075.530.721197.050.61946.610.84
Avg Winning Trade10419.546.0410420.635.3910418.386.74
Avg Losing Trade5681.733.135492.582.855881.873.42
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.8341.8971.771
Largest Winning Trade23831.220772.8523831.2
Largest Winning Trade Percent15.6912.6715.69
Largest Losing Trade13296.7612776.8713296.76
Largest Losing Trade Percent7.415.187.41
Avg # Bars In Trades34.035.032.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades48.050.045.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades24.024.023.0
Sharpe Ratio0.37
Sortino Ratio0.812
Profit Factor1.3261.3761.277
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 328.04%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 32.38%
Sharpe Ratio 0.37
Profit Factor 1.33
Maximum Drawdown 71.24%
Volatility (Annualized) 49.6%

The strategy shows a robust cumulative return of 328.04% and a solid annualized return of 32.38%. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.37 suggests room for improvement in risk-adjusted performance. The maximum drawdown of 71.24% indicates significant downside risk, although this can be mitigated by adjusting leverage and implementing improved risk management techniques.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, the strategy appears to have strong potential for real-world application, though careful consideration of its risk profile is warranted. It significantly outperforms the buy and hold strategy's 22.72% gain. To ensure future success, it's important to monitor market conditions and understand the environments in which the strategy thrives. This strategy offers promise if market conditions similar to the segments sampled in the backtest persist.

Risk Management

The strategy's high drawdown highlights a need for enhanced risk management. Although the margin calls are notably absent, suggesting cautious exposure, the substantial maximum drawdown and volatility warrant attention. Improvements could include:

  • Using dynamic position sizing to more effectively respond to market volatility.
  • Implementing sophisticated stop-loss techniques to curtail substantial losses.
  • Reducing leverage to lessen the impact of drawdowns.

Improvement Suggestions

To further enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Re-calibrate parameters to find the optimal balance between risk and return.
  • Introduce complementary technical indicators for better market entry and exit decisions.
  • Conduct further out-of-sample testing to evaluate the strategy's effectiveness under diverse market conditions.
  • Incorporate more advanced risk management frameworks, such as VaR enhancements and stress testing to handle turbulent market phases.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy demonstrates strong potential with excellent returns. Its maximum drawdown indicates an area for improvement, yet with refined risk management and optimization, there is significant room for value enhancement. Overall, the strategy's strengths, particularly its outperformance against the basic buy and hold tactic, suggest it is a candidate for further development.

Recommendation: Pursue continued optimization and testing of this strategy. Implement suggested risk management improvements to enhance its robustness in varying market environments.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

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Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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