THE DEAD ZONE [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [659ac2ae]
🛡️ TDZV5 BTCUSD 1H 23.4 @tomnoodles7
TREND FOLOWING
1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 1 hour agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2018-12-19 12:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.54
- Sortino Ratio: 1.95
- Calmar: -2.57
- Longest DD Days: 36.00
- Volatility: 100.69
- Skew: -0.33
- Kurtosis: -1.76
- Expected Daily: 2.97
- Expected Monthly: 84.97
- Expected Yearly: 160,318.00
- Kelly Criterion: 36.10
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.21
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -5.31
- Last Trade Date: 2025-05-13 04:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 7
- Number Winning Trades 94
- Max Consecutive Losses: 6
- Number Losing Trades: 60
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.57
- Gain/Pain (1M): 2.41
- Payoff Ratio: 1.50
- Common Sense Ratio: 2.41
- Tail Ratio: 1.87
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.10
- Serenity Index: 190.63
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 7112.69% |
Buy & Hold Return | 2834.69% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.535 |
Sortino Ratio | 1.954 |
Profit Factor | 2.167 |
Maximum Drawdown | 37.45% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 100.69% |
Percent Profitable | 61.04% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 95.09% |
The strategy showcases a significant net profit of 7112.69% with a respectable Sharpe Ratio of 0.535, which is considered good in the crypto domain. The Profit Factor of 2.167 indicates a favorable risk-reward scenario, with each loss compensated by more than twice the gain. The maximum drawdown of 37.45% is below the threshold and is impressive given the high volatility inherent in crypto markets.
Strategy Viability
This strategy appears viable for real-world trading, especially considering its strong profit factor and substantial net profit. It performs substantially well under market conditions akin to those observed, with a good balance between risk and reward. The strategy's performance is noteworthy when compared to its buy & hold return counterpart, offering a compelling case for its application in active crypto trading.
Risk Management
The current risk management approach is adequate, as reflected by the acceptable maximum drawdown and profit factor. Nevertheless, given the volatility of 100.69%, there is room for enhancing risk management. Potential improvements include:
- Employing less leverage to reduce maximum drawdown and manage volatility more effectively.
- Incorporating dynamic stop-loss mechanisms that react to market conditions.
- Improving the robustness of position sizing strategies to account for large trades with potential outsized impacts.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Refine and optimize trading parameters regularly to maintain performance consistency as market dynamics evolve.
- Incorporate additional technical indicators that could improve the strategy’s adaptability to diverse market conditions.
- Carry out extensive out-of-sample testing, along with stress testing, to solidify the strategy's viability across various financial climates.
- Integrate advanced risk management techniques, such as Monte Carlo simulations, to estimate potential drawdown scenarios and optimize the risk-reward balance.
Final Opinion
In summary, this strategy illustrates strong performance with a notable positive return and adequate risk-adjusted metrics. While the volatility is high, the strategy’s low drawdown proportion to this volatility suggests a satisfactory risk management structure. Continuous optimization and careful tweaking are needed to uphold its impressive performance while minimizing risk.
Recommendation: Proceed with further optimization and testing of the strategy. Implement the suggested upgrades to solidify its robustness against market volatility while striving for enhanced returns.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2018 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 16.91% |
2019 | 9.35% | 7.61% | -3.38% | -3.25% | -0.51% | 6.89% | 0.00% | -5.09% | 2.01% | -4.00% | -2.83% | -9.57% |
2020 | -14.82% | -2.39% | 22.17% | 28.48% | 0.00% | -5.67% | 25.01% | 9.62% | 9.63% | 19.93% | 19.14% | 28.75% |
2021 | -5.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 9.80% | 4.78% | 0.00% | 14.73% | 18.83% | 17.03% | 5.57% |
2022 | 22.19% | 17.32% | 9.83% | 11.65% | 7.54% | 7.46% | 0.00% | 14.80% | -0.58% | 6.60% | -5.21% | 0.00% |
2023 | 44.32% | -1.40% | 16.43% | 8.06% | -4.09% | 10.43% | 6.20% | -2.39% | 3.29% | 14.51% | -5.11% | 5.38% |
2024 | 0.00% | 20.00% | 9.85% | 7.53% | 4.03% | 11.79% | 0.00% | -5.09% | -9.58% | 2.20% | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
17
Number of Trades
20.08%
Cumulative Returns
47.06%
Win Rate
2024-04-23
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
5.09%
30 Days
24.94%
60 Days
7.22%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 6027255.94 | 6027.26 | 4630018.56 | 4630.02 | 1397237.37 | 1397.24 |
Gross Profit | 9034476.42 | 9034.48 | 6624139.78 | 6624.14 | 2410336.64 | 2410.34 |
Gross Loss | 3007220.49 | 3007.22 | 1994121.22 | 1994.12 | 1013099.27 | 1013.1 |
Commission Paid | 300679.28 | 207760.16 | 92919.12 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1802654.71 | 1802.65 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 6037403.96 | 98.53 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 568173.7 | 37.45 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 372.0 | 323.0 | 372.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 137.0 | 87.0 | 50.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 86.0 | 55.0 | 31.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 51.0 | 32.0 | 19.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 62.77 | 63.22 | 62.0 | |||
Avg P&l | 43994.57 | 1.87 | 53218.6 | 2.09 | 27944.75 | 1.5 |
Avg Winning Trade | 105052.05 | 4.42 | 120438.91 | 4.64 | 77752.79 | 4.04 |
Avg Losing Trade | 58965.11 | 2.43 | 62316.29 | 2.3 | 53321.01 | 2.63 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.782 | 1.933 | 1.458 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 510948.03 | 510948.03 | 428813.96 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 8.78 | 8.78 | 6.27 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 229106.15 | 229106.15 | 157418.76 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 4.33 | 4.33 | 4.3 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 41.0 | 42.0 | 39.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 48.0 | 53.0 | 40.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 28.0 | 22.0 | 38.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.6 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.408 | |||||
Profit Factor | 3.004 | 3.322 | 2.379 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 7112690.93 | 7112.69 | 6188308.92 | 6188.31 | 924382.0 | 924.38 |
Gross Profit | 13208933.32 | 13208.93 | 9555915.27 | 9555.92 | 3653018.05 | 3653.02 |
Gross Loss | 6096242.39 | 6096.24 | 3367606.35 | 3367.61 | 2728636.04 | 2728.64 |
Commission Paid | 492665.63 | 313444.89 | 179220.73 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 2901115.79 | 2901.12 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 7968361.31 | 98.88 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1464458.32 | 37.45 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 372.0 | 323.0 | 372.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 154.0 | 96.0 | 58.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 94.0 | 60.0 | 34.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 60.0 | 36.0 | 24.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 61.04 | 62.5 | 58.62 | |||
Avg P&l | 46186.3 | 1.71 | 64461.55 | 2.03 | 15937.62 | 1.19 |
Avg Winning Trade | 140520.57 | 4.37 | 159265.25 | 4.62 | 107441.71 | 3.93 |
Avg Losing Trade | 101604.04 | 2.45 | 93544.62 | 2.3 | 113693.17 | 2.69 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.383 | 1.703 | 0.945 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 670808.38 | 670808.38 | 473436.92 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 8.78 | 8.78 | 6.27 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 388132.23 | 388132.23 | 362395.06 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 4.33 | 4.33 | 4.3 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 42.0 | 44.0 | 37.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 49.0 | 56.0 | 37.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 30.0 | 25.0 | 38.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.535 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.954 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.167 | 2.838 | 1.339 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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