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tomnoodles7 tdzv5 btcusd 1h 23.4

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TREND FOLOWING 1 hour @tomnoodles7
● Live

THE DEAD ZONE [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [659ac2ae]

🛡️ TDZV5 BTCUSD 1H 23.4

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - May 9, 2024
0
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  • icon 1
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 1 hour ago
Total Return Primary
252.52%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
52.05%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.559
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-1.52%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
73
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 12, 2023
1,157
Days
73
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 6, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-01-12 12:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.35
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.09
  • Calmar: -2.64
  • Longest DD Days: 17.00
  • Volatility: 100.31
  • Skew: 0.05
  • Kurtosis: -1.89
  • Expected Daily: 1.88
  • Expected Monthly: 47.95
  • Expected Yearly: 10,897.92
  • Kelly Criterion: 18.50
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.24
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -5.29
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-06 01:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 4
  • Number Winning Trades 38
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 4
  • Number Losing Trades: 35
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.64
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.55
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.43
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.55
  • Tail Ratio: 1.85
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.06
  • Serenity Index: 7.12

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-0.93%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-0.68%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-0.68%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-1.67%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+523,149.06%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+1,620,355.69%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+1,620,355.69%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+2,922,717.11%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
100.0%
Total Trades
73
Cumulative
-2.83%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
12,413,458.57%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
-1.34%
+122,526.53%
Simple P&L
-1.20%
+136,404.20%
Simple P&L
-1.20%
+306,026.05%
Simple P&L
+3.69%
+80,804.97%
Simple P&L
-1.62%
+73,326.35%
Simple P&L
-0.83%
+229,780.14%
Simple P&L
+1.20%
+210,436.62%
Simple P&L
+0.84%
+281,840.56%
Simple P&L
+0.16%
+212,168.70%
Simple P&L
-0.37%
+339,462.72%
Simple P&L
-0.34%
+119,631.93%
Simple P&L
+0.30%
+531,420.69%
Simple P&L
2024
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-1.49%
+668,412.89%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+204,564.58%
Simple P&L
+2.07%
+227,381.53%
Simple P&L
-0.82%
+496,177.97%
Simple P&L
+1.22%
+534,685.37%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-1.75%
+259,949.23%
Simple P&L
+0.78%
+467,867.08%
Simple P&L
+0.81%
+440,225.67%
Simple P&L
-0.27%
+562,133.94%
Simple P&L
-1.63%
+278,060.84%
Simple P&L
2025
+1.00%
+259,979.36%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-2.07%
+240,976.14%
Simple P&L
+2.50%
+265,979.44%
Simple P&L
-0.32%
+583,646.16%
Simple P&L
+0.52%
+269,736.66%
Simple P&L
-0.11%
+823,168.74%
Simple P&L
+0.29%
+263,966.40%
Simple P&L
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2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

73

Number of Trades

-2.83%

Cumulative Returns

100%

Win Rate

2024-04-23

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

523149.06%

30 Days

1620355.69%

60 Days

1620355.69%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit252517.41252.52201667.63201.6750849.7850.85
Gross Profit704321.05704.32473002.13473.0231318.91231.32
Gross Loss451803.64451.8271334.51271.33180469.13180.47
Expected Payoff3459.144290.81955.76
Commission Paid41288.4125479.6115808.8
Buy & Hold Return293859.19293.86
Buy & Hold % Gain293.86
Strategy Outperformance-41341.78
Max Contracts Held2017.020.0
Annualized Return (cagr)48.2141.1713.7
Return On Initial Capital252.52201.6750.85
Account Size Required78684.62
Return On Account Size Required320.92256.364.62
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)43 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)46476.1146.48
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)90191.3490.19
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)330623.876.8
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)330.62
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)89 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)39109.8939.11
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown3.212.560.65
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)70775.2570.78
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)78684.6220.74
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)78.68
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1215.42970.67249.13
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit5.057.5111.63
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss4.67.6611.31
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades73.047.026.0
Number Winning Trades38.025.013.0
Number Losing Trades35.022.013.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable52.0553.1950.0
Avg P&l3459.141.114290.81.511955.760.39
Avg Winning Trade18534.764.0918920.094.5917793.763.13
Avg Losing Trade12908.682.1212333.391.9913882.242.34
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.4361.5341.282
Largest Winning Trade35540.1935540.1926908.04
Largest Winning Trade Percent8.768.766.6
Largest Losing Trade20776.2320776.2320410.56
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.093.794.09
Avg # Bars In Trades50.052.047.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades69.076.056.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades29.024.038.0
Sharpe Ratio0.347
Sortino Ratio1.087
Profit Factor1.5591.7431.282
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit252517.41252.52201667.63201.6750849.7850.85
Gross Profit704321.05704.32473002.13473.0231318.91231.32
Gross Loss451803.64451.8271334.51271.33180469.13180.47
Expected Payoff3459.144290.81955.76
Commission Paid41288.4125479.6115808.8
Buy & Hold Return293859.19293.86
Buy & Hold % Gain293.86
Strategy Outperformance-41341.78
Max Contracts Held2017.020.0
Annualized Return (cagr)48.2141.1713.7
Return On Initial Capital252.52201.6750.85
Account Size Required78684.62
Return On Account Size Required320.92256.364.62
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)43 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)46476.1146.48
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)90191.3490.19
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)330623.876.8
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)330.62
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)89 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)39109.8939.11
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown3.212.560.65
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)70775.2570.78
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)78684.6220.74
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)78.68
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1215.42970.67249.13
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit5.057.5111.63
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss4.67.6611.31
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades73.047.026.0
Number Winning Trades38.025.013.0
Number Losing Trades35.022.013.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable52.0553.1950.0
Avg P&l3459.141.114290.81.511955.760.39
Avg Winning Trade18534.764.0918920.094.5917793.763.13
Avg Losing Trade12908.682.1212333.391.9913882.242.34
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.4361.5341.282
Largest Winning Trade35540.1935540.1926908.04
Largest Winning Trade Percent8.768.766.6
Largest Losing Trade20776.2320776.2320410.56
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.093.794.09
Avg # Bars In Trades50.052.047.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades69.076.056.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades29.024.038.0
Sharpe Ratio0.347
Sortino Ratio1.087
Profit Factor1.5591.7431.282
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, the strategy's performance showcases both notable strengths and areas for potential enhancement:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 252.52%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 49.24%
Sharpe Ratio 0.347
Profit Factor 1.559
Maximum Drawdown 70.78%
Volatility (Annualized) 100.31%

The strategy generates a commendable cumulative return of 252.52% and an annualized return of 49.24%, indicative of its potential profitability. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.347 signals a need for improved risk-adjusted returns. Additionally, the maximum drawdown of 70.78% is a concern, suggesting significant exposure to downturns, which could be improved by reducing leverage.

Strategy Viability

Despite its lucrative returns, the strategy's viability for real-world trading is questionable due to its high maximum drawdown and less-than-ideal Sharpe Ratio. Such metrics reflect elevated risk, particularly when compared to the crypto context's acceptable thresholds. It will be crucial to adapt the strategy to perform well under varying market conditions and explore ways to align closer to benchmarks.

Risk Management

The strategy's risk management framework requires strengthening. Some areas to consider in promoting a more balanced approach include:

  • Reducing leverage to decrease maximum drawdown and enhance stability.
  • Incorporating dynamic position sizing aligned with market volatility to improve resilience.
  • Implementing robust stop-loss mechanisms to better manage potential losses.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance both performance and risk management, consider the following strategies:

  • Recalibrating strategy parameters to strike a balance between returns and risk.
  • Integrating additional technical indicators to assist in fine-tuning entry and exit signals.
  • Conducting comprehensive stress testing under extreme market conditions to ensure robustness.
  • Venturing into out-of-sample and forward testing to validate strategic assumptions across varying environments.

Final Opinion

In summary, this strategy presents strong profitability potential but comes with significant risks as evidenced by its elevated drawdown and lower Sharpe Ratio. It is important to address these concerns by potentially reducing leverage and refining risk management tactics. These adjustments should work towards aligning the strategy with its ideal operating market conditions.

Recommendation: Proceed with optimizing and testing the strategy. Focus on refining its risk management framework to maintain its profitability while reducing exposure to adverse market conditions. Implementing the suggested improvements could transform the strategy into a robust, real-world contender.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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0.00
Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Live TradingView Chart

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The settings will of started to download in the background.

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