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tomnoodles7 tdzv5 btcusd 1h 23.4

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TREND FOLOWING 1 hour @tomnoodles7
● Live

THE DEAD ZONE [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [659ac2ae]

🛡️ TDZV5 BTCUSD 1H 23.4

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - May 9, 2024
0
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 4 hours ago
Total Return Primary
6023.65%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
59.15%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.795
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
22892.3%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
164
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Dec 19, 2018
2,565
Days
164
Trades
Last Trade
Dec 6, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2018-12-19 12:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.48
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.65
  • Calmar: -2.14
  • Longest DD Days: 36.00
  • Volatility: 100.33
  • Skew: -0.24
  • Kurtosis: -1.81
  • Expected Daily: 2.70
  • Expected Monthly: 74.81
  • Expected Yearly: 81,325.10
  • Kelly Criterion: 26.12
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.25
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -5.34
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-12-06 00:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 7
  • Number Winning Trades 97
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 67
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.14
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.79
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.24
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.79
  • Tail Ratio: 1.84
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.10
  • Serenity Index: 135.22

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-13,766.50%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-23,766.10%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-13,766.50%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-18,555.10%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+471,825.22%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+2,294,806.09%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+471,825.22%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+3,273,980.74%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
98.8%
Total Trades
164
Cumulative
89,993.30%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
20,702,154.08%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2018
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+3,578.90%
+17,710.30%
Simple P&L
2019
-225.50%
+31,174.64%
Simple P&L
+666.90%
+30,061.91%
Simple P&L
-67.60%
+489.01%
Simple P&L
+954.80%
+16,808.36%
Simple P&L
+2,682.50%
+28,592.83%
Simple P&L
+5,699.30%
+24,405.64%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-3,067.00%
+4,446.06%
Simple P&L
-1,607.30%
+22,768.91%
Simple P&L
+732.40%
+21,588.89%
Simple P&L
-1,964.60%
+19,175.95%
Simple P&L
-5.50%
+13,198.20%
Simple P&L
2020
+1,572.40%
+2,314.63%
Simple P&L
+994.60%
+15,005.89%
Simple P&L
-2,490.40%
+21,249.53%
Simple P&L
+1,917.50%
+34,435.07%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-312.40%
+371.49%
Simple P&L
+1,815.00%
+37,346.78%
Simple P&L
+708.00%
+16,630.37%
Simple P&L
-967.10%
+41,827.87%
Simple P&L
+2,741.40%
+50,886.17%
Simple P&L
+5,250.40%
+50,156.28%
Simple P&L
+6,062.20%
+94,729.10%
Simple P&L
2021
+6,828.40%
+13,886.60%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+9,809.10%
+36,706.38%
Simple P&L
-4,813.30%
+75,413.24%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+4,931.00%
+65,436.82%
Simple P&L
+17,137.80%
+97,277.81%
Simple P&L
-2,666.20%
+169,321.20%
Simple P&L
-3,845.70%
+73,313.59%
Simple P&L
2022
-18,911.90%
+174,422.47%
Simple P&L
+6,559.00%
+163,542.16%
Simple P&L
+7,122.90%
+104,952.62%
Simple P&L
-7,776.10%
+275,573.66%
Simple P&L
-4,518.70%
+98,486.10%
Simple P&L
-10,661.90%
+104,579.93%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-4,284.70%
+231,779.18%
Simple P&L
+148.20%
+223,506.61%
Simple P&L
+943.50%
+113,695.85%
Simple P&L
-470.30%
+93,764.29%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
2023
+3,389.30%
+1,185,443.07%
Simple P&L
-24.90%
+651,156.22%
Simple P&L
+1,468.70%
+895,161.20%
Simple P&L
+5,579.70%
+241,661.28%
Simple P&L
-2,875.70%
+3,128.96%
Simple P&L
+2,402.40%
+581,420.41%
Simple P&L
-604.80%
+419,700.19%
Simple P&L
-1,410.30%
+283,832.71%
Simple P&L
-2,626.40%
+339,263.20%
Simple P&L
+5,459.50%
+851,508.54%
Simple P&L
+5,982.80%
+60,282.25%
Simple P&L
+5,376.80%
+790,913.50%
Simple P&L
2024
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+20,226.40%
+1,264,507.09%
Simple P&L
+5,546.20%
+486,769.62%
Simple P&L
-3,998.80%
+409,483.90%
Simple P&L
+4,198.30%
+1,043,942.84%
Simple P&L
-8,947.20%
+737,330.58%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+1,262.10%
+270,486.20%
Simple P&L
-781.60%
+85,394.81%
Simple P&L
+8,144.60%
+664,862.92%
Simple P&L
+22,651.80%
+1,205,504.66%
Simple P&L
+9,584.40%
+62,700.66%
Simple P&L
2025
+542.30%
+196,378.80%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-12,071.40%
+373,742.12%
Simple P&L
+4,353.80%
+450,259.56%
Simple P&L
+8,091.00%
+1,102,384.32%
Simple P&L
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Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

164

Number of Trades

89993.3%

Cumulative Returns

98.78%

Win Rate

2024-04-23

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

471825.22%

30 Days

471825.22%

60 Days

2294806.09%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit5712063.735712.064392418.684392.421319645.061319.65
Gross Profit8626643.528626.646322231.126322.232304412.42304.41
Gross Loss2914579.792914.581929812.441929.81984767.35984.77
Expected Payoff41693.950487.5726392.9
Commission Paid360508.66248909.63111599.03
Buy & Hold Return1802654.711802.65
Buy & Hold % Gain1802.65
Strategy Outperformance3909409.03
Max Contracts Held355308.0355.0
Annualized Return (cagr)110.96101.2162.82
Return On Initial Capital5712.064392.421319.65
Account Size Required540243.18
Return On Account Size Required1057.31813.04244.27
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)71 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)444454.01444.45
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)1009105.71009.11
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)5723668.0498.48
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)5723.67
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)97 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)226147.13226.15
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown10.578.132.44
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)332689.6332.69
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)540243.1838.13
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)540.24
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss2597.51997.41866.24
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit5.617.6517.58
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss7.5511.415.47
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades137.087.050.0
Number Winning Trades86.055.031.0
Number Losing Trades51.032.019.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable62.7763.2262.0
Avg P&l41693.91.8550487.572.0726392.91.48
Avg Winning Trade100309.814.4114949.664.6274335.884.02
Avg Losing Trade57148.622.4560306.642.3251829.862.65
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.7551.9061.434
Largest Winning Trade483764.69483764.69405075.42
Largest Winning Trade Percent8.768.766.25
Largest Losing Trade219905.87219905.87152342.3
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.354.354.32
Avg # Bars In Trades41.042.039.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades48.053.040.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades28.022.038.0
Sharpe Ratio0.594
Sortino Ratio2.348
Profit Factor2.963.2762.34
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit6023654.526023.655179722.365179.72843932.16843.93
Gross Profit13599549.3213599.559607431.889607.433992117.453992.12
Gross Loss7575894.817575.894427709.524427.713148185.293148.19
Expected Payoff36729.650781.5913611.81
Commission Paid733229.6468984.7264244.9
Buy & Hold Return2378850.042378.85
Buy & Hold % Gain2378.85
Strategy Outperformance3644804.48
Max Contracts Held355308.0355.0
Annualized Return (cagr)78.2174.5437.06
Return On Initial Capital6023.655179.72843.93
Account Size Required1396924.85
Return On Account Size Required431.21370.7960.41
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)68 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)580818.04580.82
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)1601143.51601.14
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)7554286.1398.84
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)7554.29
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)115 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)551247.64551.25
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown4.313.710.6
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)1256505.51256.51
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)1396924.8538.13
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)1396.92
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1633.011404.22243.42
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit4.646.5711.41
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss4.878.3311.01
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades164.0102.062.0
Number Winning Trades97.061.036.0
Number Losing Trades67.041.026.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable59.1559.858.06
Avg P&l36729.61.5950781.591.8513611.811.15
Avg Winning Trade140201.544.32157498.884.58110892.153.89
Avg Losing Trade113073.062.38107992.922.22121084.052.63
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.241.4580.916
Largest Winning Trade630936.17630936.17455419.43
Largest Winning Trade Percent8.768.766.6
Largest Losing Trade368867.56368867.56346696.27
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.354.354.32
Avg # Bars In Trades42.044.038.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades50.056.039.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades30.025.038.0
Sharpe Ratio0.483
Sortino Ratio1.646
Profit Factor1.7952.171.268
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics highlight both strengths and potential areas for improvement:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 6023.65%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 80.49%
Sharpe Ratio 0.483
Profit Factor 1.79
Maximum Drawdown -38.13%
Volatility (Annualized) 100.33%

The strategy exhibits a spectacular cumulative gain of 6023.65% with a robust annualized return of 80.49%. Despite the impressive returns, the Sharpe Ratio sits just below the optimal threshold at 0.483, indicating room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. However, the profit factor of 1.79 suggests a sound balance between winning and losing trades. The maximum drawdown of 38.13% is within an acceptable range but highlights an area for potential risk management refinement.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy demonstrates promising potential for real-world trading. It delivers substantial returns and manages to maintain a drawdown within acceptable limits, though on the higher side. The strategy seems adaptable but may benefit significantly by ensuring it is fine-tuned for various market conditions. Given the high volatility, assessing how resilient the strategy is in different market regimes will be crucial.

Risk Management

The strategy showcases decent risk management practices, with no margin calls recorded and an effective max drawdown management strategy in place. However, given the strategy's volatility, there is ample opportunity to enhance risk management further:

  • Adjust and potentially reduce leverage to lower drawdown risks without excessively compromising returns.
  • Improving position sizing techniques could help in controlling risk more dynamically.
  • Implementing a more robust stop-loss framework can protect against sharp adverse market moves.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following:

  • Optimize strategy parameters to increase the Sharpe Ratio and overall risk-adjusted returns.
  • Explore diversified asset inclusion to mitigate the effects of high volatility.
  • Conduct thorough stress testing and scenario analysis to understand the strategy's behavior under extreme market conditions.
  • Consider integrating advanced risk management measures, such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) or Expected Shortfall (ES) metrics.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy demonstrates strong return capabilities but operates within a high-volatility environment that requires careful risk monitoring. The strong profit factor and containment of drawdown enhance its attractiveness, yet there remains potential for optimization concerning risk-adjusted performance.

Recommendation: Move forward with refining and optimizing the strategy. Implementing the suggested risk management and performance improvements can unlock greater potential and enable the strategy to thrive even in varied market conditions. Continued testing and validation will be critical to ensure long-term strategy robustness.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

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