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tomnoodles7 tdzv5 btcusd 1h 23.4

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TREND FOLOWING 1 hour @tomnoodles7
● Live

THE DEAD ZONE [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [659ac2ae]

🛡️ TDZV5 BTCUSD 1H 23.4

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - May 9, 2024
0
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  • icon 1
  • icon 1
  • icon 1
  • icon 1
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 3 weeks ago
Total Return Primary
252.52%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
52.05%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.559
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-1.52%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
73
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 12, 2023
1,183
Days
73
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 6, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-01-12 12:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.35
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.09
  • Calmar: -2.64
  • Longest DD Days: 17.00
  • Volatility: 100.31
  • Skew: 0.05
  • Kurtosis: -1.89
  • Expected Daily: 1.88
  • Expected Monthly: 47.95
  • Expected Yearly: 10,897.92
  • Kelly Criterion: 18.50
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.24
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -5.29
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-06 01:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 4
  • Number Winning Trades 38
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 4
  • Number Losing Trades: 35
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.64
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.55
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.43
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.55
  • Tail Ratio: 1.85
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.06
  • Serenity Index: 7.12

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-0.68%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-0.93%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+1.52%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+1,620,355.69%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+523,149.06%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+2,411,737.58%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
100.0%
Total Trades
73
Cumulative
-2.83%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
12,413,458.57%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
-1.34%
+122,526.53%
Simple P&L
-1.20%
+136,404.20%
Simple P&L
-1.20%
+306,026.05%
Simple P&L
+3.69%
+80,804.97%
Simple P&L
-1.62%
+73,326.35%
Simple P&L
-0.83%
+229,780.14%
Simple P&L
+1.20%
+210,436.62%
Simple P&L
+0.84%
+281,840.56%
Simple P&L
+0.16%
+212,168.70%
Simple P&L
-0.37%
+339,462.72%
Simple P&L
-0.34%
+119,631.93%
Simple P&L
+0.30%
+531,420.69%
Simple P&L
2024
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-1.49%
+668,412.89%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+204,564.58%
Simple P&L
+2.07%
+227,381.53%
Simple P&L
-0.82%
+496,177.97%
Simple P&L
+1.22%
+534,685.37%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-1.75%
+259,949.23%
Simple P&L
+0.78%
+467,867.08%
Simple P&L
+0.81%
+440,225.67%
Simple P&L
-0.27%
+562,133.94%
Simple P&L
-1.63%
+278,060.84%
Simple P&L
2025
+1.00%
+259,979.36%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-2.07%
+240,976.14%
Simple P&L
+2.50%
+265,979.44%
Simple P&L
-0.32%
+583,646.16%
Simple P&L
+0.52%
+269,736.66%
Simple P&L
-0.11%
+823,168.74%
Simple P&L
+0.29%
+263,966.40%
Simple P&L
+0.03%
+253,647.28%
Simple P&L
••••
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2026
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

73

Number of Trades

-2.83%

Cumulative Returns

100%

Win Rate

2024-04-23

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0%

30 Days

523149.06%

60 Days

1620355.69%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit252517.41252.52201667.63201.6750849.7850.85
Gross Profit704321.05704.32473002.13473.0231318.91231.32
Gross Loss451803.64451.8271334.51271.33180469.13180.47
Expected Payoff3459.144290.81955.76
Commission Paid41288.4125479.6115808.8
Buy & Hold Return282454.03282.45
Buy & Hold % Gain282.45
Strategy Outperformance-29936.62
Max Contracts Held2017.020.0
Annualized Return (cagr)47.8340.8613.6
Return On Initial Capital252.52201.6750.85
Account Size Required78684.62
Return On Account Size Required320.92256.364.62
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)43 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)46476.1146.48
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)90191.3490.19
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)330623.876.8
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)330.62
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)89 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)39109.8939.11
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown3.212.560.65
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)70775.2570.78
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)78684.6220.74
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)78.68
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1215.42970.67249.13
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit5.057.5111.63
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss4.67.6611.31
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades73.047.026.0
Number Winning Trades38.025.013.0
Number Losing Trades35.022.013.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable52.0553.1950.0
Avg P&l3459.141.114290.81.511955.760.39
Avg Winning Trade18534.764.0918920.094.5917793.763.13
Avg Losing Trade12908.682.1212333.391.9913882.242.34
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.4361.5341.282
Largest Winning Trade35540.1935540.1926908.04
Largest Winning Trade Percent8.768.766.6
Largest Losing Trade20776.2320776.2320410.56
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.093.794.09
Avg # Bars In Trades50.052.047.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades69.076.056.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades29.024.038.0
Sharpe Ratio0.347
Sortino Ratio1.087
Profit Factor1.5591.7431.282
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit252517.41252.52201667.63201.6750849.7850.85
Gross Profit704321.05704.32473002.13473.0231318.91231.32
Gross Loss451803.64451.8271334.51271.33180469.13180.47
Expected Payoff3459.144290.81955.76
Commission Paid41288.4125479.6115808.8
Buy & Hold Return282454.03282.45
Buy & Hold % Gain282.45
Strategy Outperformance-29936.62
Max Contracts Held2017.020.0
Annualized Return (cagr)47.8340.8613.6
Return On Initial Capital252.52201.6750.85
Account Size Required78684.62
Return On Account Size Required320.92256.364.62
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)43 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)46476.1146.48
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)90191.3490.19
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)330623.876.8
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)330.62
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)89 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)39109.8939.11
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown3.212.560.65
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)70775.2570.78
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)78684.6220.74
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)78.68
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1215.42970.67249.13
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit5.057.5111.63
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss4.67.6611.31
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades73.047.026.0
Number Winning Trades38.025.013.0
Number Losing Trades35.022.013.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable52.0553.1950.0
Avg P&l3459.141.114290.81.511955.760.39
Avg Winning Trade18534.764.0918920.094.5917793.763.13
Avg Losing Trade12908.682.1212333.391.9913882.242.34
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.4361.5341.282
Largest Winning Trade35540.1935540.1926908.04
Largest Winning Trade Percent8.768.766.6
Largest Losing Trade20776.2320776.2320410.56
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.093.794.09
Avg # Bars In Trades50.052.047.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades69.076.056.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades29.024.038.0
Sharpe Ratio0.347
Sortino Ratio1.087
Profit Factor1.5591.7431.282
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 252.52%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 47.83%
Sharpe Ratio 0.347
Profit Factor 1.55
Maximum Drawdown -70.78%
Volatility (Annualized) 100.31%

The strategy delivers a substantial cumulative return of 252.52% and a solid annualized return of 47.83%. However, the Sharpe ratio of 0.347, though under our target, is still promising given the volatile nature of cryptocurrency markets. The profit factor above 1.5 indicates that the strategy is generating more profit than losses, an encouraging sign.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, the strategy shows potential but also has some challenges that need addressing before live trading. The maximum drawdown of -70.78% is notably high and suggests a need for a more robust risk management framework. Despite this, the strategy shows promise during favorable market conditions, especially evident in its profit factor and strong return metrics. Industry benchmarks might show greater efficiency, yet this strategy's upside potential is impressive with the right adjustments.

Risk Management

Effective risk management is crucial, given the high volatility of the strategy (100.31% annualized). Key areas for improvement include:

  • Reducing leverage to manage the maximum drawdown and protect capital.
  • Incorporating tighter stop-loss ceilings to mitigate potential losses.
  • Implementing volatility-based position sizing to adjust the strategy's aggressiveness based on market conditions.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy’s reliability and performance, consider these strategies:

  • Refine parameter settings to further align the risk-to-reward profile with investor comfort levels.
  • Integrate several momentum or trend-following indicators to effectively time entries and exits.
  • Conduct expanded back-testing, including certain out-of-sample data, to validate and refine the strategy’s performance.
  • Consider enhancing the empirical robustness of the approach with stress tests and scenario analyses under intensive market shifts.

Final Opinion

In summary, while the strategy demonstrates notable returns, the risk-adjusted metrics and high drawdown emphasize the need for refinement. By adopting improved risk management and incorporating iterative enhancements based on historical and forward data, the strategy’s potential could be significantly amplified.

Recommendation: Proceed with further detailed optimization of the strategy and incorporate advanced risk controls. By considering the suggested improvements, you can potentiate its viability in real-world trading environments, particularly tackling challenge of max drawdown reduction.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
0.00
0.00
Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Live TradingView Chart

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