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reid michonnev5 solusdt 1h 23.4

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TREND FOLOWING 1 hour @reid
● Live

Michonne [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [502fa949]

🛡️ MICHONNEV5 SOLUSDT 1H 23.4

Trading Pair
SOL
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - May 9, 2024
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 1
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 1 week ago
Total Return Primary
120.74%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
70.79%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.376
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-0.4%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
202
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jun 4, 2023
1,031
Days
202
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 18, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-06-04 21:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.30
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.78
  • Calmar: -1.72
  • Longest DD Days: 32.00
  • Volatility: 35.78
  • Skew: -1.03
  • Kurtosis: 0.14
  • Expected Daily: 0.43
  • Expected Monthly: 9.49
  • Expected Yearly: 196.94
  • Kelly Criterion: 20.24
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -4.05
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.86
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-18 07:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 17
  • Number Winning Trades 143
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 59
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.72
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.40
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.56
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.40
  • Tail Ratio: 0.81
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 1.87
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.07
  • Serenity Index: 5.95

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

☰ Note: Multiple Take Profits might enhance the appearance of results. Check the TradingView chart for clarity.

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+1.77%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-1.51%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
+0.12%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-1.20%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-0.87%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+0.27%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-12.71%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+32.13%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
70.8%
Total Trades
202
Cumulative
-4.02%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
550.26%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-1.62%
+18.22%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-2.00%
+23.18%
Simple P&L
+1.76%
+13.48%
Simple P&L
+1.85%
+93.82%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+20.04%
Simple P&L
+1.12%
+21.53%
Simple P&L
2024
-3.13%
+23.86%
Simple P&L
-0.01%
+2.49%
Simple P&L
+0.60%
+17.10%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
-3.39%
Simple P&L
+0.44%
+14.65%
Simple P&L
-1.49%
+16.49%
Simple P&L
+1.99%
+34.24%
Simple P&L
-0.84%
+4.66%
Simple P&L
+0.08%
+11.77%
Simple P&L
+0.86%
+0.51%
Simple P&L
-1.81%
+25.64%
Simple P&L
+0.60%
-7.47%
Simple P&L
2025
+2.42%
+20.76%
Simple P&L
-1.05%
+36.88%
Simple P&L
+2.17%
+9.68%
Simple P&L
-0.75%
+45.02%
Simple P&L
-3.64%
+4.68%
Simple P&L
-1.04%
+1.73%
Simple P&L
+5.11%
+20.90%
Simple P&L
+0.05%
+23.72%
Simple P&L
-3.75%
+23.94%
Simple P&L
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2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

202

Number of Trades

-4.02%

Cumulative Returns

70.79%

Win Rate

2024-04-23

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-0.87%

30 Days

-12.71%

60 Days

0.27%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit120736.37120.7495296.8595.325439.5225.44
Gross Profit442122.18442.12285855.97285.86156266.21156.27
Gross Loss321385.81321.39190559.12190.56130826.69130.83
Expected Payoff597.7690.56397.49
Commission Paid18381.4212593.85787.62
Buy & Hold Return295703.26295.7
Buy & Hold % Gain295.7
Strategy Outperformance-174966.89
Max Contracts Held65875223.06587.0
Annualized Return (cagr)27.8523.087.29
Return On Initial Capital120.7495.325.44
Account Size Required55611.89
Return On Account Size Required217.11171.3645.74
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)31 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)20588.0120.59
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)60306.360.31
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)182331.4265.16
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)182.33
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)57 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)24153.0624.15
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown2.171.710.46
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)51579.9251.58
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)55611.8920.59
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)55.61
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss973.13825.31205.04
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.172.36.13
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.866.069.48
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades202.0138.064.0
Number Winning Trades143.098.045.0
Number Losing Trades59.040.019.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable70.7971.0170.31
Avg P&l597.72.72690.562.61397.492.97
Avg Winning Trade3091.765.212916.94.873472.585.95
Avg Losing Trade5447.223.34763.982.936885.624.08
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.5680.6120.504
Largest Winning Trade9573.236566.729573.23
Largest Winning Trade Percent12.5410.3912.54
Largest Losing Trade12407.0211546.7912407.02
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.746.026.74
Avg # Bars In Trades37.029.055.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades34.026.050.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades45.035.066.0
Sharpe Ratio0.304
Sortino Ratio0.781
Profit Factor1.3761.51.194
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit120736.37120.7495296.8595.325439.5225.44
Gross Profit442122.18442.12285855.97285.86156266.21156.27
Gross Loss321385.81321.39190559.12190.56130826.69130.83
Expected Payoff597.7690.56397.49
Commission Paid18381.4212593.85787.62
Buy & Hold Return295703.26295.7
Buy & Hold % Gain295.7
Strategy Outperformance-174966.89
Max Contracts Held65875223.06587.0
Annualized Return (cagr)27.8523.087.29
Return On Initial Capital120.7495.325.44
Account Size Required55611.89
Return On Account Size Required217.11171.3645.74
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)31 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)20588.0120.59
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)60306.360.31
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)182331.4265.16
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)182.33
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)57 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)24153.0624.15
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown2.171.710.46
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)51579.9251.58
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)55611.8920.59
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)55.61
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss973.13825.31205.04
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.172.36.13
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.866.069.48
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades202.0138.064.0
Number Winning Trades143.098.045.0
Number Losing Trades59.040.019.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable70.7971.0170.31
Avg P&l597.72.72690.562.61397.492.97
Avg Winning Trade3091.765.212916.94.873472.585.95
Avg Losing Trade5447.223.34763.982.936885.624.08
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.5680.6120.504
Largest Winning Trade9573.236566.729573.23
Largest Winning Trade Percent12.5410.3912.54
Largest Losing Trade12407.0211546.7912407.02
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.746.026.74
Avg # Bars In Trades37.029.055.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades34.026.050.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades45.035.066.0
Sharpe Ratio0.304
Sortino Ratio0.781
Profit Factor1.3761.51.194
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics are noteworthy and provide a comprehensive view of the strategy's effectiveness:

Metric Strategy
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 27.85%
Sharpe Ratio 0.304
Profit Factor 1.376
Maximum Drawdown 51.58%
Volatility (Annualized) 35.78%
Win Rate 70.79%

The strategy generates an annualized return of 27.85%, indicating a solid performance. Despite the favorable win rate of 70.79%, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.304 is below the desired threshold of 0.5 for crypto trading, suggesting that the risk-adjusted returns could be improved. The maximum drawdown of 51.58% is higher than the acceptable limit of 40%, indicating room for better risk management.

Strategy Viability

While the strategy shows promise with a strong win rate and a reasonable annualized return, the elevated maximum drawdown and lower Sharpe Ratio raise concerns. These factors suggest the strategy might face challenges in real-world trading scenarios, especially under volatile market conditions. The strategy's current performance does not outperform the expected basic buy & hold return (295.7%), indicating it's struggling to capitalize on market opportunities effectively.

Risk Management

The high maximum drawdown highlights potential weaknesses in risk management. To enhance the strategy's risk framework, consider the following measures:

  • Reduce leverage to manage maximum drawdown more effectively.
  • Implement strict stop-loss mechanisms to limit potential losses.
  • Utilize position sizing adjustments based on market volatility.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy’s overall performance and robustness, the following recommendations could be beneficial:

  • Optimize strategy parameters to balance returns and drawdowns more effectively.
  • Incorporate additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit decisions.
  • Conduct extensive out-of-sample testing to ensure robustness across varying market conditions.
  • Enhance the strategy's risk management framework to handle higher market volatility strategically.

Final Opinion

In summary, while the strategy demonstrates a commendable annualized return and win rate, improvements in risk-adjusted performance metrics are needed to meet industry standards. The high maximum drawdown and lower Sharpe Ratio suggest that risk management needs to be a priority for this strategy.

Recommendation: It is advisable to modify the strategy by integrating risk management improvements and conducting further optimization. If these adjustments can adequately address the current weaknesses, the strategy may become a viable candidate for real-world trading deployment.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
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Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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