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reid michonnev5 solusdt 1h 23.4

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TREND FOLOWING 1 hour @reid
● Live

Michonne [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [502fa949]

🛡️ MICHONNEV5 SOLUSDT 1H 23.4

Trading Pair
SOL
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - May 9, 2024
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 1
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 5 months ago
Total Return Primary
120.74%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
70.79%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.376
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-0.4%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
202
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jun 4, 2023
1,163
Days
202
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 18, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-06-04 21:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.30
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.78
  • Calmar: -1.72
  • Longest DD Days: 32.00
  • Volatility: 35.78
  • Skew: -1.03
  • Kurtosis: 0.14
  • Expected Daily: 0.43
  • Expected Monthly: 9.49
  • Expected Yearly: 196.94
  • Kelly Criterion: 20.24
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -4.05
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.86
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-18 07:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 17
  • Number Winning Trades 143
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 59
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.72
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.40
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.56
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.40
  • Tail Ratio: 0.81
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 1.87
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.07
  • Serenity Index: 5.95

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

☰ Note: Multiple Take Profits might enhance the appearance of results. Check the TradingView chart for clarity.

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+0.41%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-12.71%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
70.8%
Total Trades
202
Cumulative
-4.02%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
550.26%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-1.62%
+18.22%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-2.00%
+23.18%
Simple P&L
+1.76%
+13.48%
Simple P&L
+0.16%
+93.82%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+20.04%
Simple P&L
+1.12%
+21.53%
Simple P&L
2024
+2.78%
+23.86%
Simple P&L
-0.01%
+2.49%
Simple P&L
+0.60%
+17.10%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
-3.39%
Simple P&L
+0.44%
+14.65%
Simple P&L
-1.49%
+16.49%
Simple P&L
+1.99%
+34.24%
Simple P&L
-0.84%
+4.66%
Simple P&L
+0.08%
+11.77%
Simple P&L
+0.86%
+0.51%
Simple P&L
-1.81%
+25.64%
Simple P&L
+0.60%
-7.47%
Simple P&L
2025
+2.42%
+20.76%
Simple P&L
-1.05%
+36.88%
Simple P&L
+2.17%
+9.68%
Simple P&L
-0.75%
+45.02%
Simple P&L
-3.64%
+4.68%
Simple P&L
-1.04%
+1.73%
Simple P&L
+5.11%
+20.90%
Simple P&L
+5.07%
+23.72%
Simple P&L
-0.27%
+23.94%
Simple P&L
+1.45%
-2.80%
Simple P&L
-0.47%
+41.06%
Simple P&L
+0.78%
-6.40%
Simple P&L
2026
-1.63%
+12.98%
Simple P&L
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

202

Number of Trades

-4.02%

Cumulative Returns

70.79%

Win Rate

2024-04-23

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0%

30 Days

0%

60 Days

0%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit120736.37120.7495296.8595.325439.5225.44
Gross Profit442122.18442.12285855.97285.86156266.21156.27
Gross Loss321385.81321.39190559.12190.56130826.69130.83
Expected Payoff597.7690.56397.49
Commission Paid18381.4212593.85787.62
Buy & Hold Return295703.26295.7
Buy & Hold % Gain295.7
Strategy Outperformance-174966.89
Max Contracts Held65875223.06587.0
Annualized Return (cagr)27.8523.087.29
Return On Initial Capital120.7495.325.44
Account Size Required55611.89
Return On Account Size Required217.11171.3645.74
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)31 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)20588.0120.59
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)60306.360.31
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)182331.4265.16
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)182.33
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)57 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)24153.0624.15
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown2.171.710.46
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)51579.9251.58
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)55611.8920.59
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)55.61
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss973.13825.31205.04
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.172.36.13
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.866.069.48
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades202.0138.064.0
Number Winning Trades143.098.045.0
Number Losing Trades59.040.019.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable70.7971.0170.31
Avg P&l597.72.72690.562.61397.492.97
Avg Winning Trade3091.765.212916.94.873472.585.95
Avg Losing Trade5447.223.34763.982.936885.624.08
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.5680.6120.504
Largest Winning Trade9573.236566.729573.23
Largest Winning Trade Percent12.5410.3912.54
Largest Losing Trade12407.0211546.7912407.02
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.746.026.74
Avg # Bars In Trades37.029.055.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades34.026.050.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades45.035.066.0
Sharpe Ratio0.304
Sortino Ratio0.781
Profit Factor1.3761.51.194
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit120736.37120.7495296.8595.325439.5225.44
Gross Profit442122.18442.12285855.97285.86156266.21156.27
Gross Loss321385.81321.39190559.12190.56130826.69130.83
Expected Payoff597.7690.56397.49
Commission Paid18381.4212593.85787.62
Buy & Hold Return295703.26295.7
Buy & Hold % Gain295.7
Strategy Outperformance-174966.89
Max Contracts Held65875223.06587.0
Annualized Return (cagr)27.8523.087.29
Return On Initial Capital120.7495.325.44
Account Size Required55611.89
Return On Account Size Required217.11171.3645.74
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)31 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)20588.0120.59
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)60306.360.31
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)182331.4265.16
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)182.33
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)57 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)24153.0624.15
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown2.171.710.46
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)51579.9251.58
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)55611.8920.59
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)55.61
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss973.13825.31205.04
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.172.36.13
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.866.069.48
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades202.0138.064.0
Number Winning Trades143.098.045.0
Number Losing Trades59.040.019.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable70.7971.0170.31
Avg P&l597.72.72690.562.61397.492.97
Avg Winning Trade3091.765.212916.94.873472.585.95
Avg Losing Trade5447.223.34763.982.936885.624.08
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.5680.6120.504
Largest Winning Trade9573.236566.729573.23
Largest Winning Trade Percent12.5410.3912.54
Largest Losing Trade12407.0211546.7912407.02
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.746.026.74
Avg # Bars In Trades37.029.055.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades34.026.050.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades45.035.066.0
Sharpe Ratio0.304
Sortino Ratio0.781
Profit Factor1.3761.51.194
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Net Profit 120.74%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 27.85%
Sharpe Ratio 0.304
Profit Factor 1.376
Maximum Drawdown (Close-to-Close) 51.58%
Volatility (Annualized) 35.78%
Percent Profitable 70.79%
Gain Pain Ratio 1.4

The strategy demonstrates a solid net profit of 120.74% with an annualized return of 27.85%. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.304, while below the ideal threshold, indicates room for optimization in risk-adjusted returns. The profit factor of 1.376 shows reasonable profitability, but there is potential for improvement. The maximum drawdown of 51.58% is higher than the acceptable range, suggesting that risk management improvements could be beneficial.

Strategy Viability

While the strategy has delivered substantial profits and a high win rate of 70.79%, its elevated drawdown and moderate Sharpe Ratio point to areas needing refinement. The strategy might be viable in real-world trading, especially during market uptrends, but care should be taken during high volatility periods to manage risks effectively. The current market conditions and volatility should be closely monitored to ensure the strategy's suitability.

Risk Management

The risk management approach underlying the strategy could benefit from enhancements given the high drawdown and volatility. Here are some potential strategies to consider:

  • Employing adaptive leverage settings to mitigate large drawdowns by reducing position sizes during volatile periods.
  • Incorporating additional stop-loss strategies to limit potential losses swiftly.
  • Integrating diversification across more trading pairs or assets to spread risk.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy’s performance and resilience, consider the following improvement recommendations:

  • Optimize trading parameters to potentially increase the Sharpe Ratio and reduce drawdown.
  • Explore additional technical indicators or machine learning models to refine entry and exit signals.
  • Conduct extensive backtesting and forward testing across diverse market conditions to verify robustness.
  • Enhance position sizing rules by applying the Kelly Criterion more conservatively to balance growth and risk.

Final Opinion

In summary, while the strategy highlights promising attributes such as high returns and an impressive win rate, its effectiveness is somewhat overshadowed by a higher-than-desired drawdown and moderate risk-adjusted performance. This suggests the importance of optimizing risk management strategies and further validation through testing.

Recommendation: Proceed with improvements and additional testing of the strategy, focusing on risk management and parameter optimization. By strategically refining these areas, the strategy could significantly boost its robustness and performance reliability in varying market conditions.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
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W L Win/Loss States
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
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Stability Index
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

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Strategy Analysis Video

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