🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [7c4ede33]
🛡️ OLEG_PLOTNIKOV TRENDHOO BTCUSDT 2H 3.1
@
⌛2 hours
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-09-04 01:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.52
- Sortino Ratio: 1.85
- Calmar: -4.72
- Longest DD Days: 27.00
- Volatility: 231.00
- Skew: 0.24
- Kurtosis: -1.60
- Expected Daily: 5.80
- Expected Monthly: 226.65
- Expected Yearly: 147,566,244.06
- Kelly Criterion: 14.85
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -10.42
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -10.49
- Last Trade Date: 2025-01-13 12:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 5
- Number Winning Trades 62
- Max Consecutive Losses: 6
- Number Losing Trades: 61
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -4.72
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.43
- Payoff Ratio: 1.45
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.43
- Tail Ratio: 2.67
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.21
- Serenity Index: 631.02
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 30841.5 |
Gross Profit | 99922.15 |
Gross Loss | 69080.65 |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.512 |
Sortino Ratio | 1.828 |
Profit Factor | 1.446 |
Maximum Drawdown | 62.82% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 231.05% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 280.41% |
The strategy shows a net profit of 30841.5 with a satisfactory Sharpe ratio of 0.512, indicating adequate risk-adjusted returns. The profit factor of 1.446 suggests that the strategy yields more profits than losses per trade dollar invested. However, the maximum drawdown of 62.82% is quite high, which indicates a significant risk exposure that warrants improvement.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy holds potential for real-world trading, especially considering its net profit and risk-adjusted returns. However, the high maximum drawdown suggests caution is needed in highly leveraged or volatile environments. It's essential to evaluate if market conditions favoring this strategy may continue, particularly given its decent annualized return of 280.41%.
Risk Management
The strategy's risk management approach can be further augmented. While the Sharpe ratio is above 0.5, indicating acceptable performance, the high volatility and drawdown suggest potential improvements:
- Reducing leverage can significantly lower the maximum drawdown and improve the capital preservation aspect of this strategy.
- Introducing adaptive stop-loss measures could mitigate significant losses during downtrends.
- Diversification in trade assets might reduce unsystematic risk.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy's performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize existing strategy parameters to reduce drawdown while maintaining high returns.
- Incorporate additional technical indicators to increase precision in trade entry and exits.
- Conduct rigorous out-of-sample and forward-testing to validate the strategy’s effectiveness across different market cycles.
- Refine risk management techniques like incorporating Value-at-Risk (VaR) for better capital allocation and stress testing for potential extreme events.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy displays a promising performance with an adequate Sharpe ratio and profitable return metrics. However, considerable exposure to risk indicated by a high drawdown necessitates strategic improvements. By adopting a more robust risk management framework and tweaking parameters, the strategy can be optimized further.
Recommendation: Proceed with further refinement of the strategy alongside robust testing and optimization. Implement suggested improvements to bolster its ability to handle volatility and drawdown effectively.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2024 | -19.43% | 64.85% | 14.06% | -3.79% | -4.29% | -10.25% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 52.01% | -27.48% | 30.79% | 17.42% | 0.00% | 33.87% | 0.00% | 12.29% | -6.68% | 50.71% | 28.56% | -5.22% |
2022 | 43.60% | 17.29% | 17.17% | -9.56% | 79.74% | 25.02% | -13.84% | 16.69% | 0.00% | -5.67% | 12.57% | -7.39% |
2021 | 25.80% | 5.86% | 9.10% | -20.45% | 63.25% | 6.08% | 8.61% | 18.52% | 13.31% | 32.39% | -0.05% | -10.52% |
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 9.71% | 9.55% | 64.25% | 51.89% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
33
Number of Trades
78.43%
Cumulative Returns
36.36%
Win Rate
2024-01-03
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
16.92%
30 Days
88.5%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 23,547,654.26 USD | 23,547.65 | 19,556,210.57 USD | 19,556.21 | 3,991,443.69 USD | 3,991.44 |
Gross Profit | 42,686,812.15 | 42,686.81 | 29,966,156.04 | 29,966.16 | 12,720,656.11 | 12,720.66 |
Gross Loss | 19,139,157.90 | 19,139.16 | 10,409,945.47 | 10,409.95 | 8,729,212.42 | 8,729.21 |
Max Run-up | 32,501,468.79 | 99.69 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 8,863,428.30 | 28.39 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 298,171.82 | 298.17 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.605 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.7 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.23 | 2.879 | 1.457 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 1,593 | 1,593 | 1,289 | |||
Open PL | −426,066.95 | −1.80 | ||||
Commission Paid | 733,409.53 | 435,398.53 | 298,011.00 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 90 | 43 | 47 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 50 | 25 | 25 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 40 | 18 | 22 | |||
Percent Profitable | 55.56 | 58.14 | 53.19 | |||
Avg Trade | 261,640.60 | 3.46 | 454,795.59 | 4.65 | 84,924.33 | 2.38 |
Avg Winning Trade | 853,736.24 | 9.75 | 1,198,646.24 | 11.19 | 508,826.24 | 8.31 |
Avg Losing Trade | 478,478.95 | 4.39 | 578,330.30 | 4.43 | 396,782.38 | 4.36 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.784 | 2.073 | 1.282 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 5,724,696.78 | 12.29 | 5,724,696.78 | 12.29 | 1,775,825.80 | 8.92 |
Largest Losing Trade | 3,201,357.50 | 4.58 | 3,201,357.50 | 4.58 | 1,569,934.65 | 4.58 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 68 | 88 | 50 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 85 | 104 | 66 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 48 | 66 | 33 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 37,033,568.66 USD | 37,033.57 | 42,366,094.57 USD | 42,366.09 | −5,332,525.92 USD | −5,332.53 |
Gross Profit | 106,086,583.06 | 106,086.58 | 71,319,961.90 | 71,319.96 | 34,766,621.15 | 34,766.62 |
Gross Loss | 69,053,014.40 | 69,053.01 | 28,953,867.33 | 28,953.87 | 40,099,147.07 | 40,099.15 |
Max Run-up | 45,022,521.54 | 99.78 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 27,668,991.63 | 62.82 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 778,048.05 | 778.05 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.517 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.846 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.536 | 2.463 | 0.867 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 1,593 | 1,593 | 1,500 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 2,109,041.54 | 1,046,828.66 | 1,062,212.88 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 123 | 59 | 64 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 62 | 32 | 30 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 61 | 27 | 34 | |||
Percent Profitable | 50.41 | 54.24 | 46.88 | |||
Avg Trade | 301,085.92 | 2.78 | 718,069.40 | 4.07 | −83,320.72 | 1.59 |
Avg Winning Trade | 1,711,073.92 | 9.84 | 2,228,748.81 | 11.22 | 1,158,887.37 | 8.36 |
Avg Losing Trade | 1,132,016.63 | 4.40 | 1,072,365.46 | 4.41 | 1,179,386.68 | 4.39 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.512 | 2.078 | 0.983 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 9,491,627.15 | 12.29 | 9,491,627.15 | 12.29 | 6,397,784.76 | 8.92 |
Largest Losing Trade | 4,244,639.86 | 4.58 | 3,492,986.19 | 4.58 | 4,244,639.86 | 4.58 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 71 | 93 | 50 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 88 | 102 | 73 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 53 | 82 | 30 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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